# Research Papers — 2026-03 · bundle page 80 of 243

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### AEGIS: An Operational Infrastructure for Post-Market Governance of Adaptive Medical AI Under US and EU Regulations

Authors: Fardin Afdideh, Mehdi Astaraki, Fernando Seoane, Farhad Abtahi
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CY
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22322v1

Machine learning systems deployed in medical devices require governance frameworks that ensure safety while enabling continuous improvement. Regulatory bodies including the FDA and European Union have introduced mechanisms such as the Predetermined Change Control Plan (PCCP) and Post-Market Surveillance (PMS) to manage iterative model updates without repeated submissions. This paper presents AI/ML Evaluation and Governance Infrastructure for Safety (AEGIS), a governance framework applicable to any healthcare AI system. AEGIS comprises three modules, i.e., dataset assimilation and retraining, model monitoring, and conditional decision, that operationalize FDA PCCP and EU AI Act Article 43(4) provisions. We implement a four-category deployment decision taxonomy (APPROVE, CONDITIONAL APPROVAL, CLINICAL REVIEW, REJECT) with an independent PMS ALARM signal, enabling detection of the critical state in which no deployable model exists while the released model is simultaneously at risk. To illustrate how AEGIS can be instantiated across heterogeneous clinical contexts, we provide two examples: sepsis prediction from electronic health records and brain tumor segmentation from medical imaging. Both cases use identical governance architecture, differing only in configuration. Across 11 simulated iterations on the sepsis example, AEGIS yielded 8 APPROVE, 1 CONDITIONAL APPROVAL, 1 CLINICAL REVIEW, and 1 REJECT decision, exercising all four categories. ALARM signals were co-issued at iterations 8 and 10, including the critical state where no deployable model exists and the released model is simultaneously failing. AEGIS detected drift before observable performance degradation. These results demonstrate that AEGIS translates regulatory change-control concepts into executable governance procedures, supporting safe continuous learning for adaptive medical AI across diverse clinical applications.

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### From Instructions to Assistance: a Dataset Aligning Instruction Manuals with Assembly Videos for Evaluating Multimodal LLMs

Authors: Federico Toschi, Nicolò Brunello, Andrea Sassella, Vincenzo Scotti, Mark James Carman
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22321v1

The recent advancements introduced by Large Language Models (LLMs) have transformed how Artificial Intelligence (AI) can support complex, real world tasks, pushing research outside the text boundaries towards multi modal contexts and leading to Multimodal Large Language Models (MLMs). Given the current adoption of LLM based assistants in solving technical or domain specific problems, the natural continuation of this trend is to extend the input domains of these assistants exploiting MLMs. Ideally, these MLMs should be used as real time assistants in procedural tasks, hopefully integrating a view of the environment where the user being assisted is, or even better sharing the same point of view via Virtual Reality (VR) or Augmented Reality (AR) supports, to reason over the same scenario the user is experiencing. With this work, we aim at evaluating the quality of currently openly available MLMs to provide this kind of assistance on technical tasks. To this end, we annotated a data set of furniture assembly with step by step labels and manual references: the Manual to Action Dataset (M2AD). We used this dataset to assess (1) to which extent the reasoning abilities of MLMs can be used to reduce the need for detailed labelling, allowing for more efficient, cost effective annotation practices, (2) whether MLMs are able to track the progression of assembly steps (3) and whether MLMs can refer correctly to the instruction manual pages. Our results showed that while some models understand procedural sequences, their performance is limited by architectural and hardware constraints, highlighting the need for multi image and interleaved text image reasoning.

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### How Can Machine Learning Emulators Best Support Climate Science?

Authors: Luca Schmidt, Nina Effenberger, Vitus Benson, Philine L. Bommer, Robert Brunstein, Mikel N. Legasa, Maxim Samarin, Maybritt Schillinger
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, stat.AP, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22320v3

For decades, physics-based climate models have been used to provide insights for climate decision-making. Their application is, however, constrained by significant computational and technical demands. Machine learning (ML) emulators offer a way to reduce these high computational costs; yet, it remains challenging to use ML emulators effectively in climate research. In practice, climate scientists often bypass emulators altogether, and machine learning researchers frequently develop them as methodological showcases without proving their practical utility. The reasons are diverse, ranging from limited accessibility and a lack of specialized knowledge to broader concerns about the physical grounding of ML methods. Here, we discuss limitations and introduce a framework for guiding emulator development, considering both climate science and machine learning perspectives. We argue that designing easy-to-adopt emulators that address clearly defined tasks and demonstrate their reliability is essential. This offers a promising path towards making machine-learning approaches more relevant and usable for applied climate research.

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### Sparsely-Supervised Data Assimilation via Physics-Informed Schrödinger Bridge

Authors: Dohyun Bu, Chanho Kim, Seokun Choi, Jong-Seok Lee
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22319v1

Data assimilation (DA) for systems governed by partial differential equations (PDE) aims to reconstruct full spatiotemporal fields from sparse high-fidelity (HF) observations while respecting physical constraints. While full-grid low-fidelity (LF) simulations provide informative priors in multi-fidelity settings, recovering an HF field consistent with both sparse observations and the governing PDE typically requires per-instance test-time optimization, which becomes a major bottleneck in time-critical applications. To alleviate this, amortized reconstruction using generative models has recently been proposed; however, such approaches rely on full-field HF supervision during training, which is often impractical in real-world settings. From a more realistic perspective, we propose the Physics-Informed Conditional Schrödinger Bridge (PICSB), which transports an informative LF prior toward an observation-conditioned HF posterior without any additional inference-time guidance. To enable learning without HF endpoints, PICSB employs an iterative surrogate-endpoint refresh scheme, and directly incorporates PDE residuals into the training objective while enforcing observations via hard conditioning throughout sampling. Experiments on fluid PDE benchmarks demonstrate that PICSB enables extremely fast spatiotemporal field reconstruction while maintaining competitive accuracy under sparse HF supervision.

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### A graph neural network based chemical mechanism reduction method for combustion applications

Authors: Manuru Nithin Padiyar, Priyabrat Dash, Konduri Aditya
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22318v1

Direct numerical simulations of turbulent reacting flows involving millions of grid points and detailed chemical mechanisms with hundreds of species and thousands of reactions are computationally prohibitive. To address this challenge, we present two data-driven chemical mechanism reduction formulations based on graph neural networks (GNNs) with message-passing transformer layers that learn nonlinear dependencies among species and reactions. The first formulation, GNN-SM, employs a pre-trained surrogate model to guide reduction across a broad range of reactor conditions. The second formulation, GNN-AE, uses an autoencoder formulation to obtain highly compact mechanisms that remain accurate within the thermochemical regimes used during training. The approaches are demonstrated on detailed mechanisms for methane (53 species, 325 reactions), ethylene (96 species, 1054 reactions), and iso-octane (1034 species, 8453 reactions). GNN-SM achieves reductions comparable to the established graph-based method DRGEP while maintaining accuracy across a wide range of thermochemical states. In contrast, GNN-AE achieves up to 95% reduction in species and reactions and outperforms DRGEP within its target conditions. Overall, the proposed framework provides an automated, machine-learning-based pathway for chemical mechanism reduction that can complement traditional expert-guided analytical approaches.

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### Geometric Mixture-of-Experts with Curvature-Guided Adaptive Routing for Graph Representation Learning

Authors: Haifang Cao, Yu Wang, Timing Li, Xinjie Yao, Pengfei Zhu
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22317v1

Graph-structured data typically exhibits complex topological heterogeneity, making it difficult to model accurately within a single Riemannian manifold. While emerging mixed-curvature methods attempt to capture such diversity, they often rely on implicit, task-driven routing that lacks fundamental geometric grounding. To address this challenge, we propose a Geometric Mixture-of-Experts framework (GeoMoE) that adaptively fuses node representations across diverse Riemannian spaces to better accommodate multi-scale topological structures. At its core, GeoMoE leverages Ollivier-Ricci Curvature (ORC) as an intrinsic geometric prior to orchestrate the collaboration of specialized experts. Specifically, we design a graph-aware gating network that assigns node-specific fusion weights, regularized by a curvature-guided alignment loss to ensure interpretable and geometry-consistent routing. Additionally, we introduce a curvature-aware contrastive objective that promotes geometric discriminability by constructing positive and negative pairs according to curvature consistency. Extensive experiments on six benchmark datasets demonstrate that GeoMoE outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across diverse graph types.

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### ST-GDance++: A Scalable Spatial-Temporal Diffusion for Long-Duration Group Choreography

Authors: Jing Xu, Weiqiang Wang, Cunjian Chen, Jun Liu, Qiuhong Ke
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CV, cs.SD
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22316v1

Group dance generation from music requires synchronizing multiple dancers while maintaining spatial coordination, making it highly relevant to applications such as film production, gaming, and animation. Recent group dance generation models have achieved promising generation quality, but they remain difficult to deploy in interactive scenarios due to bidirectional attention dependencies. As the number of dancers and the sequence length increase, the attention computation required for aligning music conditions with motion sequences grows quadratically, leading to reduced efficiency and increased risk of motion collisions. Effectively modeling dense spatial-temporal interactions is therefore essential, yet existing methods often struggle to capture such complexity, resulting in limited scalability and unstable multi-dancer coordination. To address these challenges, we propose ST-GDance++, a scalable framework that decouples spatial and temporal dependencies to enable efficient and collision-aware group choreography generation. For spatial modeling, we introduce lightweight distance-aware graph convolutions to capture inter-dancer relationships while reducing computational overhead. For temporal modeling, we design a diffusion noise scheduling strategy together with an efficient temporal-aligned attention mask, enabling stream-based generation for long motion sequences and improving scalability in long-duration scenarios. Experiments on the AIOZ-GDance dataset show that ST-GDance++ achieves competitive generation quality with significantly reduced latency compared to existing methods.

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### Emergency Preemption Without Online Exploration: A Decision Transformer Approach

Authors: Haoran Su, Hanxiao Deng, Yandong Sun
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22315v1

Emergency vehicle (EV) response time is a critical determinant of survival outcomes, yet deployed signal preemption strategies remain reactive and uncontrollable. We propose a return-conditioned framework for emergency corridor optimization based on the Decision Transformer (DT). By casting corridor optimization as offline, return-conditioned sequence modeling, our approach (1) eliminates online environment interaction during policy learning, (2) enables dispatch-level urgency control through a single target-return scalar, and (3) extends to multi-agent settings via a Multi-Agent Decision Transformer (MADT) with graph attention for spatial coordination. On the LightSim simulator, DT reduces average EV travel time by 37.7% relative to fixed-timing preemption on a 4x4 grid (88.6 s vs. 142.3 s), achieving the lowest civilian delay (11.3 s/veh) and fewest EV stops (1.2) among all methods, including online RL baselines that require environment interaction. MADT further improves on larger grids, overtaking DT with 45.2% reduction on 8x8 via graph-attention coordination. Return conditioning produces a smooth dispatch interface: varying the target return from 100 to -400 trades EV travel time (72.4-138.2 s) against civilian delay (16.8-5.4 s/veh), requiring no retraining. A Constrained DT extension adds explicit civilian disruption budgets as a second control knob.

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### Enhancing AI-Based Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasting via Systematic Bias Correction

Authors: Peisong Niu, Haifan Zhang, Yang Zhao, Tian Zhou, Ziqing Ma, Wenqiang Shen, Junping Zhao, Huiling Yuan, Liang Sun
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22314v1

Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose severe threats to life, infrastructure, and economies in tropical and subtropical regions, underscoring the critical need for accurate and timely forecasts of both track and intensity. Recent advances in AI-based weather forecasting have shown promise in improving TC track forecasts. However, these systems are typically trained on coarse-resolution reanalysis data (e.g., ERA5 at 0.25 degree), which constrains predicted TC positions to a fixed grid and introduces significant discretization errors. Moreover, intensity forecasting remains limited especially for strong TCs by the smoothing effect of coarse meteorological fields and the use of regression losses that bias predictions toward conditional means. To address these limitations, we propose BaguanCyclone, a novel, unified framework that integrates two key innovations: (1) a probabilistic center refinement module that models the continuous spatial distribution of TC centers, enabling finer track precision; and (2) a region-aware intensity forecasting module that leverages high-resolution internal representations within dynamically defined sub-grid zones around the TC core to better capture localized extremes. Evaluated on the global IBTrACS dataset across six major TC basins, our system consistently outperforms both operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and most AI-based baselines, delivering a substantial enhancement in forecast accuracy. Remarkably, BaguanCyclone excels in navigating meteorological complexities, consistently delivering accurate forecasts for re-intensification, sweeping arcs, twin cyclones, and meandering events. Our code is available at https://github.com/DAMO-DI-ML/Baguan-cyclone.

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### A Multi-Modal CNN-LSTM Framework with Multi-Head Attention and Focal Loss for Real-Time Elderly Fall Detection

Authors: Lijie Zhou, Luran Wang
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22313v1

The increasing global aging population has intensified the demand for reliable health monitoring systems, particularly those capable of detecting critical events such as falls among elderly individuals. Traditional fall detection approaches relying on single-modality acceleration data suffer from high false alarm rates, while conventional machine learning methods require extensive hand-crafted feature engineering. This paper proposes a novel multi-modal deep learning framework, MultiModalFallDetector, designed for real-time elderly fall detection using wearable sensors. Our approach integrates multiple innovations: a multi-scale CNN-based feature extractor capturing motion dynamics at varying temporal resolutions; fusion of tri-axial accelerometer, gyroscope, and four-channel physiological signals; incorporation of a multi-head self-attention mechanism for dynamic temporal weighting; adoption of Focal Loss to mitigate severe class imbalance; introduction of an auxiliary activity classification task for regularization; and implementation of transfer learning from UCI HAR to SisFall dataset. Extensive experiments on the SisFall dataset, which includes real-world simulated fall trials from elderly participants (aged 60-85), demonstrate that our framework achieves an F1-score of 98. 7, Recall of 98. 9, and AUC-ROC of 99. 4, significantly outperforming baseline methods including traditional machine learning and standard deep learning approaches. The model maintains sub- 50ms inference latency on edge devices, confirming its suitability for real-time deployment in geriatric care settings.

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### Permutation-Consensus Listwise Judging for Robust Factuality Evaluation

Authors: Tianyi Huang, Nathan Huang, Justin Tang, Wenqian Chen, Elsa Fan
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20562v3

Large language models (LLMs) are now widely used as judges, yet their decisions can change under presentation choices that should be irrelevant. We study one such source of instability: candidate-order sensitivity in listwise factuality evaluation, where several answers can look similarly polished while differing substantially in hallucination risk. We introduce PCFJudge, an inference-time method that reruns the same factuality-first listwise prompt over multiple orderings of the same candidate set and aggregates the resulting scores, ranks, and uncertainty signals into a single consensus decision. On RewardBench 2 Factuality, the final seven-permutation aggregate (K=7) improves top-1 selection accuracy from 86.00% to 91.33% with GPT-5.4 and from 86.33% to 89.67% with Claude Sonnet 4.6. These results suggest that candidate order can be a meaningful source of factuality-judging error and that marginalizing over this nuisance variation can improve the reliability of LLM evaluation.

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### When Negation Is a Geometry Problem in Vision-Language Models

Authors: Fawaz Sammani, Tzoulio Chamiti, Paul Gavrikov, Nikos Deligiannis
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20554v2

Joint Vision-Language Embedding models such as CLIP typically fail at understanding negation in text queries, for example, failing to distinguish "no" in the query: "a plain blue shirt with no logos". Prior work has largely addressed this limitation through data-centric approaches, fine-tuning CLIP on large-scale synthetic negation datasets. However, these efforts are commonly evaluated using retrieval-based metrics that cannot reliably reflect whether negation is actually understood. In this paper, we identify two key limitations of such evaluation metrics and investigate an alternative evaluation framework based on Multimodal LLMs-as-a-judge, which typically excel at understanding simple yes/no questions about image content, providing a fair evaluation of negation understanding in CLIP models. We then ask whether there already exists a direction in the CLIP embedding space associated with negation. We find evidence that such a direction exists, and show that it can be manipulated through test-time intervention via representation engineering to steer CLIP toward negation-aware behavior without any fine-tuning. Finally, we test negation understanding on non-common image-text samples to evaluate generalization under distribution shifts. Code is at https://github.com/fawazsammani/negation-steering

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### Understanding Behavior Cloning with Action Quantization

Authors: Haoqun Cao, Tengyang Xie
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20538v1

Behavior cloning is a fundamental paradigm in machine learning, enabling policy learning from expert demonstrations across robotics, autonomous driving, and generative models. Autoregressive models like transformer have proven remarkably effective, from large language models (LLMs) to vision-language-action systems (VLAs). However, applying autoregressive models to continuous control requires discretizing actions through quantization, a practice widely adopted yet poorly understood theoretically. This paper provides theoretical foundations for this practice. We analyze how quantization error propagates along the horizon and interacts with statistical sample complexity. We show that behavior cloning with quantized actions and log-loss achieves optimal sample complexity, matching existing lower bounds, and incurs only polynomial horizon dependence on quantization error, provided the dynamics are stable and the policy satisfies a probabilistic smoothness condition. We further characterize when different quantization schemes satisfy or violate these requirements, and propose a model-based augmentation that provably improves the error bound without requiring policy smoothness. Finally, we establish fundamental limits that jointly capture the effects of quantization error and statistical complexity.

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### LLM-Driven Heuristic Synthesis for Industrial Process Control: Lessons from Hot Steel Rolling

Authors: Nima H. Siboni, Seyedreza Kiamousavi, Emad Scharifi
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20537v1

Industrial process control demands policies that are interpretable and auditable, requirements that black-box neural policies struggle to meet. We study an LLM-driven heuristic synthesis framework for hot steel rolling, in which a language model iteratively proposes and refines human-readable Python controllers using rich behavioral feedback from a physics-based simulator. The framework combines structured strategic ideation, executable code generation, and per-component feedback across diverse operating conditions to search over control logic for height reduction, interpass time, and rolling velocity. Our first contribution is an auditable controller-synthesis pipeline for industrial process control. The generated controllers are explicit programs accessible to expert review, and we pair them with an automated audit pipeline that formally verifies key safety and monotonicity properties for the best synthesized heuristic. Our second contribution is a principled budget allocation strategy for LLM-driven heuristic search: we show that Luby-style universal restarts -- originally developed for randomized algorithms -- transfer directly to this setting, eliminating the need for problem-specific budget tuning. A single 160-iteration Luby campaign approaches the hindsight-optimal budget allocation derived from 52 ad-hoc runs totalling 730 iterations.

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### Towards Practical Multimodal Hospital Outbreak Detection

Authors: Chang Liu, Jieshi Chen, Alexander J. Sundermann, Kathleen Shutt, Marissa P. Griffith, Lora Lee Pless, Lee H. Harrison, Artur W. Dubrawski
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20536v1

Rapid identification of outbreaks in hospitals is essential for controlling pathogens with epidemic potential. Although whole genome sequencing (WGS) remains the gold standard in outbreak investigations, its substantial costs and turnaround times limit its feasibility for routine surveillance, especially in less-equipped facilities. We explore three modalities as rapid alternatives: matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization-time of flight (MALDI-TOF) mass spectrometry, antimicrobial resistance (AR) patterns, and electronic health records (EHR). We present a machine learning approach that learns discriminative features from these modalities to support outbreak detection. Multi-species evaluation shows that the integration of these modalities can boost outbreak detection performance. We also propose a tiered surveillance paradigm that can reduce the need for WGS through these alternative modalities. Further analysis of EHR information identifies potentially high-risk contamination routes linked to specific clinical procedures, notably those involving invasive equipment and high-frequency workflows, providing infection prevention teams with actionable targets for proactive risk mitigation

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### An Industrial-Scale Retrieval-Augmented Generation Framework for Requirements Engineering: Empirical Evaluation with Automotive Manufacturing Data

Authors: Muhammad Khalid, Yilmaz Uygun
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.SE, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20534v2

Requirements engineering in Industry 4.0 faces critical challenges with heterogeneous, unstructured documentation spanning technical specifications, supplier lists, and compliance standards. While retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) shows promise for knowledge-intensive tasks, no prior work has evaluated RAG on authentic industrial RE workflows using comprehensive production-grade performance metrics. This paper presents a comprehensive empirical evaluation of RAG for industrial requirements engineering automation using authentic automotive manufacturing documentation comprising 669 requirements across four specification standards (MBN 9666-1, MBN 9666-2, BQF 9666-5, MBN 9666-9) spanning 2015-2023, plus 49 supplier qualifications with extensive supporting documentation. Through controlled comparisons with BERT-based and ungrounded LLM approaches, the framework achieves 98.2% extraction accuracy with complete traceability, outperforming baselines by 24.4% and 19.6%, respectively. Hybrid semantic-lexical retrieval achieves MRR of 0.847. Expert quality assessment averaged 4.32/5.0 across five dimensions. The evaluation demonstrates 83% reduction in manual analysis time and 47% cost savings through multi-provider LLM orchestration. Ablation studies quantify individual component contributions. Longitudinal analysis reveals a 55% reduction in requirement volume coupled with 1,800% increase in IT security focus, identifying 10 legacy suppliers (20.4%) requiring requalification, representing potential $2.3M in avoided contract penalties.

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### Revenue-Sharing as Infrastructure: A Distributed Business Model for Generative AI Platforms

Authors: Ghislain Dorian Tchuente Mondjo
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CY, cs.AI, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20533v1

Generative AI platforms (Google AI Studio, OpenAI, Anthropic) provide infrastructures (APIs, models) that are transforming the application development ecosystem. Recent literature distinguishes three generations of business models: a first generation modeled on cloud computing (pay-per-use), a second characterized by diversification (freemium, subscriptions), and a third, emerging generation exploring multi-layer market architectures with revenue-sharing mechanisms. Despite these advances, current models impose a financial barrier to entry for developers, limiting innovation and excluding actors from emerging economies. This paper proposes and analyzes an original model, "Revenue-Sharing as Infrastructure" (RSI), where the platform offers its AI infrastructure for free and takes a percentage of the revenues generated by developers applications. This model reverses the traditional upstream payment logic and mobilizes concepts of value co-creation, incentive mechanisms, and multi-layer market architecture to build an original theoretical framework. A detailed comparative analysis shows that the RSI model lowers entry barriers for developers, aligns stakeholder interests, and could stimulate innovation in the ecosystem. Beyond its economic relevance, RSI has a major societal dimension: by enabling developers without initial capital to participate in the digital economy, it could unlock the "latent jobs dividend" in low-income countries, where mobile penetration reaches 84%, and help address local challenges in health, agriculture, and services. Finally, we discuss the conditions of feasibility and strategic implications for platforms and developers.

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### Epistemic Observability in Language Models

Authors: Tony Mason, Vaastav Anand
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.DC, cs.AI, cs.CL, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20531v2

We find that models report highest confidence precisely when they are fabricating. Across four model families (OLMo-3, Llama-3.1, Qwen3, Mistral), self-reported confidence inversely correlates with accuracy, with AUC ranging from 0.28 to 0.36 where 0.5 is random guessing. We prove, under explicit formal assumptions, that this is not a capability gap but an observational one. Under text-only observation, where a supervisor sees only the model's output text, no monitoring system can reliably distinguish honest model outputs from plausible fabrications. We prove two results: first, that any policy conditioning only on the query cannot satisfy epistemic honesty across ambiguous world states; second, that no learning algorithm optimizing reward from a text-only supervisor can converge to honest behavior when the supervisor's observations are identical for both grounded and fabricated responses. Within our formal model, these impossibilities hold regardless of model scale or training procedure, including RLHF and instruction tuning. We construct a tensor interface that escapes the impossibility by exporting computational byproducts (per-token entropy and log-probability distributions) that are structurally coupled to correctness under standard training. Per-token entropy achieves pooled AUC 0.757, outperforming all text baselines by 2.5--3.9 percentage points at every budget level tested (10\%, 20\%, 30\%). The entropy signal generalizes across architectures (Spearman $ρ= 0.762$). The core contribution is a cost surface where the empirical mapping from verification budget (fraction of queries receiving expensive checks) to detection accuracy for each judge strategy is a practical lookup for system builders deciding how to allocate verification resources. The contribution is the map. The territory is the system you are building.

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### Memory Over Maps: 3D Object Localization Without Reconstruction

Authors: Rui Zhou, Xander Yap, Jianwen Cao, Allison Lau, Boyang Sun, Marc Pollefeys
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.RO, cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20530v2

Target localization is a prerequisite for embodied tasks such as navigation and manipulation. Conventional approaches rely on constructing explicit 3D scene representations to enable target localization, such as point clouds, voxel grids, or scene graphs. While effective, these pipelines incur substantial mapping time, storage overhead, and scalability limitations. Recent advances in vision-language models suggest that rich semantic reasoning can be performed directly on 2D observations, raising a fundamental question: is a complete 3D scene reconstruction necessary for object localization? In this work, we revisit object localization and propose a map-free pipeline that stores only posed RGB-D keyframes as a lightweight visual memory--without constructing any global 3D representation of the scene. At query time, our method retrieves candidate views, re-ranks them with a vision-language model, and constructs a sparse, on-demand 3D estimate of the queried target through depth backprojection and multi-view fusion. Compared to reconstruction-based pipelines, this design drastically reduces preprocessing cost, enabling scene indexing that is over two orders of magnitude faster to build while using substantially less storage. We further validate the localized targets on downstream object-goal navigation tasks. Despite requiring no task-specific training, our approach achieves strong performance across multiple benchmarks, demonstrating that direct reasoning over image-based scene memory can effectively replace dense 3D reconstruction for object-centric robot navigation. Project page: https://ruizhou-cn.github.io/memory-over-maps/

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### RMNP: Row-Momentum Normalized Preconditioning for Scalable Matrix-Based Optimization

Authors: Shenyang Deng, Zhuoli Ouyang, Tianyu Pang, Zihang Liu, Ruochen Jin, Shuhua Yu, Yaoqing Yang
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20527v3

Preconditioned adaptive methods have gained significant attention for training deep neural networks, as they capture rich curvature information of the loss landscape. The central challenge in this field lies in balancing preconditioning effectiveness with computational efficiency of implementing the preconditioner. Among recent advances, Muon stands out by using Newton-Schulz iteration to obtain preconditioned updates without explicitly constructing the preconditioning matrix. Despite its advantages, the efficiency of Muon still leaves room for further improvement. In this paper, we introduce RMNP (Row Momentum Normalized Preconditioning), an optimizer that replaces Newton-Schulz iteration with a simple row-wise ($d_{\text{in}}$) $\ell_2$ normalization operation, motivated by the empirically observed diagonal block structure of the Transformer layerwise Hessian. We empirically verified that orthogonalization and row-wise (on input dim) $\ell_2$ normalization are asymptotically equivalent in the case of the transformer. This substitution reduces the per-iteration computational complexity from ${O}(mn\cdot\min(m,n))$ to ${O}(mn)$ for an $m\times n$ weight matrix while maintaining comparable optimization performance. Theoretically, we establish convergence guarantees for RMNP in the non-convex setting that match recent results for Muon optimizers, achieving the minimax optimal complexity. Extensive experiments on large language model pretraining show that RMNP delivers competitive optimization performance compared with Muon while substantially reducing preconditioning wall-clock time. Our code is available at https://github.com/Dominator-Index/RMNP.

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### Does This Gradient Spark Joy?

Authors: Ian Osband
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20526v1

Policy gradient computes a backward pass for every sample, even though the backward pass is expensive and most samples carry little learning value. The Delightful Policy Gradient (DG) provides a forward-pass signal of learning value: \emph{delight}, the product of advantage and surprisal (negative log-probability). We introduce the \emph{Kondo gate}, which compares delight against a compute price and pays for a backward pass only when the sample is worth it, thereby tracing a quality--cost Pareto frontier. In bandits, zero-price gating preserves useful gradient signal while removing perpendicular noise, and delight is a more reliable screening signal than additive combinations of value and surprise. On MNIST and transformer token reversal, the Kondo gate skips most backward passes while retaining nearly all of DG's learning quality, with gains that grow as problems get harder and backward passes become more expensive. Because the gate tolerates approximate delight, a cheap forward pass can screen samples before expensive backpropagation, suggesting a speculative-decoding-for-training paradigm.

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### Delightful Distributed Policy Gradient

Authors: Ian Osband
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, math.OC, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20521v2

Distributed reinforcement learning trains on data from stale, buggy, or mismatched actors, producing actions with high surprisal (negative log-probability) under the learner's policy. The core difficulty is not surprising data per se, but \emph{negative learning from surprising data}. High-surprisal failures can dominate finite-batch updates through large perpendicular components, while high-surprisal successes reveal opportunities the current policy would otherwise miss. The \textit{Delightful Policy Gradient} (DG) separates these cases by gating each update with delight, the product of advantage and surprisal, suppressing rare failures and preserving rare successes without behavior probabilities. In a tabular analysis, DG suppresses the perpendicular second moment of high-surprisal failures by a policy-overlap factor that vanishes as the learner improves. The advantage sign is essential for surprisal-based filtering: any learner-probability-only gate that suppresses rare failures also suppresses rare successes. On MNIST with simulated staleness, DG without off-policy correction outperforms importance-weighted PG with exact behavior probabilities. On a transformer sequence task with staleness, actor bugs, reward corruption, and rare discovery, DG often achieves nearly order-of-magnitude lower error. When all four frictions act simultaneously, its sample-efficiency advantage is order-of-magnitude and grows with task complexity.

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### CogFormer: Learn All Your Models Once

Authors: Jerry M. Huang, Lukas Schumacher, Niek Stevenson, Stefan T. Radev
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: stat.ML, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20520v2

Simulation-based inference (SBI) with neural networks has accelerated and transformed cognitive modeling workflows. SBI enables modelers to fit complex models that were previously difficult or impossible to estimate, while also allowing rapid estimation across large numbers of datasets. However, the utility of SBI for iterating over varying modeling assumptions remains limited: changes to parameterizations, generative functions, priors, and design variables all necessitate model retraining, thereby diminishing the benefits of amortization. To address these issues, we pilot the CogFormer, a meta-amortized framework for cognitive modeling. Our framework trains a transformer-based architecture that remains valid across a combinatorial number of structurally similar models, allowing for changing data types, parameters, design matrices, and sample sizes. We present promising quantitative results across families of decision-making models for binary, multi-alternative, and continuous responses. Our evaluation suggests that CogFormer can accurately estimate parameters across model families with minimal amortization offset, making it a potentially powerful engine that catalyzes cognitive modeling workflows.

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### End-to-End Optimization of Polarimetric Measurement and Material Classifier

Authors: Ryota Maeda, Naoki Arikawa, Yutaka No, Shinsaku Hiura
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20519v1

Material classification is a fundamental problem in computer vision and plays a crucial role in scene understanding. Previous studies have explored various material recognition methods based on reflection properties such as color, texture, specularity, and scattering. Among these cues, polarization is particularly valuable because it provides rich material information and enables recognition even at distances where capturing high-resolution texture is impractical. However, measuring polarimetric reflectance properties typically requires multiple modulations of the polarization state of the incident light, making the process time-consuming and often unnecessary for certain recognition tasks. While material classification can be achieved using only a subset of polarimetric measurements, the optimal configuration of measurement angles remains unclear. In this study, we propose an end-to-end optimization framework that jointly learns a material classifier and determines the optimal combinations of rotation angles for polarization elements that control both the incident and reflected light states. Using our Mueller-matrix material dataset, we demonstrate that our method achieves high-accuracy material classification even with a limited number of measurements.

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### Evaluating Large Language Models on Historical Health Crisis Knowledge in Resource-Limited Settings: A Hybrid Multi-Metric Study

Authors: Mohammed Rakibul Hasan
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20514v1

Large Language Models (LLMs) offer significant potential for delivering health information. However, their reliability in low-resource contexts remains uncertain. This study evaluates GPT-4, Gemini Pro, Llama~3, and Mistral-7B on health crisis-related enquiries concerning COVID-19, dengue, the Nipah virus, and Chikungunya in the low-resource context of Bangladesh. We constructed a question--answer dataset from authoritative sources and assessed model outputs through semantic similarity, expert-model cross-evaluation, and Natural Language Inference (NLI). Findings highlight both the strengths and limitations of LLMs in representing epidemiological history and health crisis knowledge, underscoring their promise and risks for informing policy in resource-constrained environments.

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### ReBOL: Retrieval via Bayesian Optimization with Batched LLM Relevance Observations and Query Reformulation

Authors: Anton Korikov, Scott Sanner
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.IR, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20513v1

LLM-reranking is limited by the top-k documents retrieved by vector similarity, which neither enables contextual query-document token interactions nor captures multimodal relevance distributions. While LLM query reformulation attempts to improve recall by generating improved or additional queries, it is still followed by vector similarity retrieval. We thus propose to address these top-k retrieval stage failures by introducing ReBOL, which 1) uses LLM query reformulations to initialize a multimodal Bayesian Optimization (BO) posterior over document relevance, and 2) iteratively acquires document batches for LLM query-document relevance scoring followed by posterior updates to optimize relevance. After exploring query reformulation and document batch diversification techniques, we evaluate ReBOL against LLM reranker baselines on five BEIR datasets and using two LLMs (Gemini-2.5-Flash-Lite, GPT-5.2). ReBOL consistently achieves higher recall and competitive rankings, for example compared to the best LLM reranker on the Robust04 dataset with 46.5% vs. 35.0% recall@100 and 63.6% vs. 61.2% NDCG@10. We also show that ReBOL can achieve comparable latency to LLM rerankers.

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### Grounded Chess Reasoning in Language Models via Master Distillation

Authors: Zhenwei Tang, Qianfeng Wen, Seth Grief-Albert, Yahya Elgabra, Blair Yang, Honghua Dong, Ashton Anderson
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20510v2

Language models often lack grounded reasoning capabilities in specialized domains where training data is scarce but bespoke systems excel. We introduce a general framework for distilling expert system reasoning into natural language chain-of-thought explanations, enabling compact models to acquire domain expertise and the ability to generate faithful, grounded explanations. Rather than distilling only final outputs, we capture the full reasoning process, transforming opaque expert computations into transparent, step-by-step explanations. We demonstrate this approach in chess, a canonical reasoning domain where language models continue to underperform. Our 4B parameter model, C1, advances from a near-zero baseline to 48.1\% accuracy, outperforming all open-source models and most frontier proprietary systems. Notably, C1 surpasses its distillation teacher and generates solutions in two orders of magnitude fewer tokens than baselines. Unlike prior neural chess approaches that predict only best moves, C1 generates explainable solutions revealing strategic reasoning. Our pipeline combines supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning with theme-balanced data sampling for comprehensive tactical coverage. Master Distillation demonstrates how to inject expert-level knowledge into compact models for under-optimized domains, offering a recipe for unlocking RLVR where LLMs lack sufficient base capabilities.

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### Lessons and Open Questions from a Unified Study of Camera-Trap Species Recognition Over Time

Authors: Sooyoung Jeon, Hongjie Tian, Lemeng Wang, Zheda Mai, Vidhi Bakshi, Jiacheng Hou, Ping Zhang, Arpita Chowdhury, Jianyang Gu, Wei-Lun Chao
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20509v2

Camera traps are vital for large-scale biodiversity monitoring, yet accurate automated analysis remains challenging due to diverse deployment environments. While the computer vision community has mostly framed this challenge as cross-domain generalization, this perspective overlooks a primary challenge faced by ecological practitioners: maintaining reliable recognition at the fixed site over time, where the dynamic nature of ecosystems introduces profound temporal shifts in both background and animal distributions. To bridge this gap, we present the first unified study of camera-trap species recognition over time. We introduce a realistic benchmark comprising 546 camera traps with a streaming protocol that evaluates models over chronologically ordered intervals. Our end-user-centric study yields four key findings. (1) Biological foundation models (e.g., BioCLIP 2) underperform at numerous sites even in initial intervals, underscoring the necessity of site-specific adaptation. (2) Adaptation is challenging under realistic evaluation: when models are updated using past data and evaluated on future intervals (mirrors real deployment lifecycles), naive adaptation can even degrade below zero-shot performance. (3) We identify two drivers of this difficulty: severe class imbalance and pronounced temporal shift in both species distribution and backgrounds between consecutive intervals. (4) We find that effective integration of model-update and post-processing techniques can largely improve accuracy, though a gap from the upper bounds remains. Finally, we highlight critical open questions, such as predicting when zero-shot models will succeed at a new site and determining whether/when model updates are necessary. Our benchmark and analysis provide actionable deployment guidelines for ecological practitioners while establishing new directions for future research in vision and machine learning.

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### Measuring Weak-to-Strong Legibility of Reasoning Models

Authors: Dani Roytburg, Shreya Sridhar, Daphne Ippolito
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.MA, cs.AI, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20508v2

Reasoning language models (RLMs) and the intermediate chains of thought they emit play an increasingly central role in multi-agent setups such as inter-model monitoring or distillation into smaller models. When agents at different capability tiers must cooperate, strong models need to produce traces digestible by weaker ones. We refer to this goal as "weak-to-strong legibility". Trustworthiness of large models depends in part on this legibility property. For safety oversight in particular, adoption of weak monitors may become a standard for reliability scaffolds on a healthy budget. Legibility requires that the shape of these decision-making traces takes some form accessible to weaker monitors. Existing efficiency-based metrics for legibility fail to capture "thoroughness", instead focusing on conciseness.

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### Distributed Gradient Clustering: Convergence and the Effect of Initialization

Authors: Aleksandar Armacki, Himkant Sharma, Dragana Bajović, Dušan Jakovetić, Mrityunjoy Chakraborty, Soummya Kar
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20507v1

We study the effects of center initialization on the performance of a family of distributed gradient-based clustering algorithms introduced in (1), that work over connected networks of users. In the considered scenario, each user contains a local dataset and communicates only with its immediate neighbours, with the aim of finding a global clustering of the joint data. We perform extensive numerical experiments, evaluating the effects of center initialization on the performance of our family of methods, demonstrating that our methods are more resilient to the effects of initialization, compared to centralized gradient clustering (2). Next, inspired by the $K$-means++ initialization (3), we propose a novel distributed center initialization scheme, which is shown to improve the performance of our methods, compared to the baseline random initialization.

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### Efficient Counterfactual Reasoning in ProbLog via Single World Intervention Programs

Authors: Saimun Habib, Vaishak Belle, Fengxiang He
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20505v1

Probabilistic Logic Programming (PLP) languages, like ProbLog, naturally support reasoning under uncertainty, while maintaining a declarative and interpretable framework. Meanwhile, counterfactual reasoning (i.e., answering ``what if'' questions) is critical for ensuring AI systems are robust and trustworthy; however, integrating this capability into PLP can be computationally prohibitive and unstable in accuracy. This paper addresses this challenge, by proposing an efficient program transformation for counterfactuals as Single World Intervention Programs (SWIPs) in ProbLog. By systematically splitting ProbLog clauses to observed and fixed components relevant to a counterfactual, we create a transformed program that (1) does not asymptotically exceed the computational complexity of existing methods, and is strictly smaller in common cases, and (2) reduces counterfactual reasoning to marginal inference over a simpler program. We formally prove the correctness of our approach, which relies on a weaker set independence assumptions and is consistent with conditional independencies, showing the resulting marginal probabilities match the counterfactual distributions of the underlying Structural Causal Model in wide domains. Our method achieves a 35\% reduction in inference time versus existing methods in extensive experiments. This work makes complex counterfactual reasoning more computationally tractable and reliable, providing a crucial step towards developing more robust and explainable AI systems. The code is at https://github.com/EVIEHub/swip.

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### Meeting in the Middle: A Co-Design Paradigm for FHE and AI Inference

Authors: Bernardo Magri, Benjamin Marsh, Paul Gebheim
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CR, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20504v1

Modern cloud inference creates a two sided privacy problem where users reveal sensitive inputs to providers, while providers must execute proprietary model weights inside potentially leaky execution environments. Fully homomorphic encryption (FHE) offers cryptographic guarantees but remains prohibitively expensive for modern architectures. We argue that progress requires co-design where specializing FHE schemes/compilers for the static structure of inference circuits, while simultaneously constraining inference architectures to reduce dominant homomorphic cost drivers. We outline a meet in the middle agenda and concrete optimization targets on both axes.

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### PARHAF, a human-authored corpus of clinical reports for fictitious patients in French

Authors: Xavier Tannier, Salam Abbara, Rémi Flicoteaux, Youness Khalil, Aurélie Névéol, Pierre Zweigenbaum, Emmanuel Bacry
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20494v1

The development of clinical natural language processing (NLP) systems is severely hampered by the sensitive nature of medical records, which restricts data sharing under stringent privacy regulations, particularly in France and the broader European Union. To address this gap, we introduce PARHAF, a large open-source corpus of clinical documents in French. PARHAF comprises expert-authored clinical reports describing realistic yet entirely fictitious patient cases, making it anonymous and freely shareable by design. The corpus was developed using a structured protocol that combined clinician expertise with epidemiological guidance from the French National Health Data System (SNDS), ensuring broad clinical coverage. A total of 104 medical residents across 18 specialties authored and peer-reviewed the reports following predefined clinical scenarios and document templates. The corpus contains 7394 clinical reports covering 5009 patient cases across a wide range of medical and surgical specialties. It includes a general-purpose component designed to approximate real-world hospitalization distributions, and four specialized subsets that support information-extraction use cases in oncology, infectious diseases, and diagnostic coding. Documents are released under a CC-BY open license, with a portion temporarily embargoed to enable future benchmarking under controlled conditions. PARHAF provides a valuable resource for training and evaluating French clinical language models in a fully privacy-preserving setting, and establishes a replicable methodology for building shareable synthetic clinical corpora in other languages and health systems.

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### AE-LLM: Adaptive Efficiency Optimization for Large Language Models

Authors: Kaito Tanaka, Masato Ito, Yuji Nishimura, Keisuke Matsuda, Aya Nakayama
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20492v1

Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success across diverse applications, yet their deployment remains challenging due to substantial computational costs, memory requirements, and energy consumption. Recent empirical studies have demonstrated that no single efficiency technique is universally optimal; instead, the effectiveness of methods such as efficient attention mechanisms, mixture-of-experts (MoE), parameter-efficient fine-tuning, and quantization varies significantly depending on task characteristics, resource constraints, and model scales. Building upon these insights, we propose AE-LLM, a unified framework that automatically selects and combines optimal efficiency techniques tailored to specific deployment scenarios. Our approach introduces a multi-objective optimization framework that jointly considers accuracy, latency, memory footprint, and energy consumption, while accounting for hardware constraints and task requirements. We develop an efficient search algorithm that explores the combinatorial space of efficiency techniques across architecture, fine-tuning, and inference stages, identifying Pareto-optimal configurations. Extensive experiments across 15 models (0.5B-70B parameters) and 10 diverse tasks demonstrate that AE-LLM achieves an average of $2.8\times$ improvement in efficiency metrics while maintaining competitive accuracy (within 1.2\% of baseline), compared to static efficiency configurations. Furthermore, our framework generalizes effectively to vision-language models, achieving similar efficiency gains. Our contributions provide practitioners with an automated tool for navigating the complex trade-off landscape of LLM efficiency optimization.

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### Spatio-Temporal Grid Intelligence: A Hybrid Graph Neural Network and LSTM Framework for Robust Electricity Theft Detection

Authors: Adewale U. Oguntola, Olowookere A. AbdulQoyum, Adebukola M. Madehin, Adekemi A. Adetoro
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20488v1

Electricity theft, or non-technical loss (NTL), presents a persistent threat to global power systems, driving significant financial deficits and compromising grid stability. Conventional detection methodologies, predominantly reactive and meter-centric, often fail to capture the complex spatio-temporal dynamics and behavioral patterns associated with fraudulent consumption. This study introduces a novel AI-driven Grid Intelligence Framework that fuses Time-Series Anomaly Detection, Supervised Machine Learning, and Graph Neural Networks (GNN) to identify theft with high precision in imbalanced datasets. Leveraging an enriched feature set, including rolling averages, voltage drop estimates, and a critical Grid Imbalance Index, the methodology employs a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) autoencoder for temporal anomaly scoring, a Random Forest classifier for tabular feature discrimination, and a GNN to model spatial dependencies across the distribution network. Experimental validation demonstrates that while standalone anomaly detection yields a low theft F1-score of 0.20, the proposed hybrid fusion achieves an overall accuracy of 93.7%. By calibrating decision thresholds via precision-recall analysis, the system attains a balanced theft precision of 0.55 and recall of 0.50, effectively mitigating the false positives inherent in single-model approaches. These results confirm that integrating topological grid awareness with temporal and supervised analytics provides a scalable, risk-based solution for proactive electricity theft detection and enhanced smart grid reliability.

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### Profiling learners' affective engagement: Emotion AI, intercultural pragmatics, and language learning

Authors: Robert Godwin-Jones
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CY, cs.AI, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20479v2

Learning another language can be a highly emotional process, typically characterized by numerous frustrations and triumphs, big and small. For most learners, language learning does not follow a linear, predictable path, its zigzag course shaped by motivational (or demotivating) variables such as personal characteristics, teacher/peer relationships, learning materials, and dreams of a future L2 (second language) self. While some aspects of language learning (reading, grammar) are relatively mechanical, others can be stressful and unpredictable, especially conversing in the target language. That experience necessitates not only knowledge of structure and lexis, but also the ability to use the language in ways that are appropriate to the social and cultural context. A new opportunity to practice conversational abilities has arrived through the availability of AI chatbots, with both advantages (responsive, non-judgmental) and drawbacks (emotionally void, culturally biased). This column explores aspects of emotion as they arise in technology use and in particular how automatic emotion recognition and simulated human responsiveness in AI systems interface with language learning and the development of pragmatic and interactional competence. Emotion AI, the algorithmically driven interpretation of users' affective signals, has been seen as enabling greater personalized learning, adapting to perceived learner cognitive and emotional states. Others warn of emotional manipulation and inappropriate and ineffective user profiling

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### CREG: Compass Relational Evidence Graph for Characterizing Directional Structure in VLM Spatial-Reasoning Attribution

Authors: Kaizhen Tan, Yang Feng, Heqing Du
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20475v4

Standard attribution heatmaps show where a vision-language model (VLM) focuses, but they do not reveal whether the recovered evidence is organized by the queried spatial relation or merely reflects image layout. To address this problem, we introduce CREG (Compass Relational Evidence Graph), a training-free diagnostic framework that converts token-level attribution into a reference-centered compass distribution and measures its directional alignment. CREG provides a shared directional readout across attribution methods and makes comparison with geometric controls explicit. Across three spatial-relation benchmarks, box-only geometry achieves Direction Alignment Error 28.4 to 34.4 degrees lower than the best current model-based attribution method on each dataset, leaving a substantial gap between attribution structure and simple target localization. To examine this gap, we apply a diagnostic battery including target intervention, reference-center randomization, and variance partition. Taken together, the results suggest that the directional structure recoverable from current attribution methods is limited and often mixed with image layout. We further find that higher task accuracy does not reliably coincide with better directional attribution: small-scale LoRA training and newer model generations can improve task accuracy while leaving Direction Alignment Error unchanged or worse. These findings characterize what current attribution methods reveal rather than the model's internal spatial representation. CREG provides a controlled protocol for testing whether improvements in spatial reasoning are accompanied by more directionally organized evidence.

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### From Data to Laws: Neural Discovery of Conservation Laws Without False Positives

Authors: Rahul D Ray
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, physics.data-an
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20474v1

Conservation laws are fundamental to understanding dynamical systems, but discovering them from data remains challenging due to parameter variation, non-polynomial invariants, local minima, and false positives on chaotic systems. We introduce NGCG, a neural-symbolic pipeline that decouples dynamics learning from invariant discovery and systematically addresses these challenges. A multi-restart variance minimiser learns a near-constant latent representation; system-specific symbolic extraction (polynomial Lasso, log-basis Lasso, explicit PDE candidates, and PySR) yields closed-form expressions; a strict constancy gate and diversity filter eliminate spurious laws. On a benchmark of nine diverse systems including Hamiltonian and dissipative ODEs, chaos, and PDEs, NGCG achieves consistent discovery (DR=1.0, FDR=0.0, F1=1.0) on all four systems with true conservation laws, with constancy two to three orders of magnitude lower than the best baseline. It is the only method that succeeds on the Lotka--Volterra system, and it correctly outputs no law on all five systems without invariants. Extensive experiments demonstrate robustness to noise ($σ= 0.1$), sample efficiency (50--100 trajectories), insensitivity to hyperparameters, and runtime under one minute per system. A Pareto analysis shows that the method provides a range of candidate expressions, allowing users to trade complexity for constancy. NGCG achieves strong performance relative to prior methods for data-driven conservation-law discovery, combining high accuracy with interpretability.

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### DiffGraph: An Automated Agent-driven Model Merging Framework for In-the-Wild Text-to-Image Generation

Authors: Zhuoling Li, Hossein Rahmani, Jiarui Zhang, Yu Xue, Majid Mirmehdi, Jason Kuen, Jiuxiang Gu, Jun Liu
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20470v1

The rapid growth of the text-to-image (T2I) community has fostered a thriving online ecosystem of expert models, which are variants of pretrained diffusion models specialized for diverse generative abilities. Yet, existing model merging methods remain limited in fully leveraging abundant online expert resources and still struggle to meet diverse in-the-wild user needs. We present DiffGraph, a novel agent-driven graph-based model merging framework, which automatically harnesses online experts and flexibly merges them for diverse user needs. Our DiffGraph constructs a scalable graph and organizes ever-expanding online experts within it through node registration and calibration. Then, DiffGraph dynamically activates specific subgraphs based on user needs, enabling flexible combinations of different experts to achieve user-desired generation. Extensive experiments show the efficacy of our method.

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### Goal-oriented learning of stochastic differential equations using error bounds on path-space observables

Authors: Joanna Zou, Han Cheng Lie, Youssef Marzouk
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: stat.ME, cs.LG, math.DS
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20467v2

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which serve as the governing equations for dynamical systems in a broad range of applications, can become cost-prohibitive for numerical simulation at scales necessary for quantifying key properties. Surrogate models of the drift function of an SDE, learned from data of the high-fidelity system, are routinely used to increase the efficiency of simulation and prediction of properties. However, standard choices of loss function for learning the surrogate model fail to provide error guarantees in certain path-dependent observables, such as transition times. This paper introduces an error bound for path-space observables and employs it as a novel variational loss for the goal-oriented learning of the drift function of a SDE. We show the error bound holds for a broad class of observables, including mean first hitting times on unbounded time domains. We derive an analytical gradient of the goal-oriented loss by leveraging the formula for Fréchet derivatives of expected path functionals, which remains tractable for implementation in stochastic gradient descent schemes. We demonstrate that surrogate models of overdamped Langevin systems developed via goal-oriented learning achieve improved accuracy in predicting the statistics of a first hitting time observable and robustness to distributional shift in the data.

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### Diffutron: A Masked Diffusion Language Model for Turkish Language

Authors: Şuayp Talha Kocabay, Talha Rüzgar Akkuş
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20466v1

Masked Diffusion Language Models (MDLMs) have emerged as a compelling non-autoregressive alternative to standard large language models; however, their application to morphologically rich languages remains limited. In this paper, we introduce $\textit{Diffutron}$, a masked diffusion language model specifically designed for Turkish. Our approach leverages a resource-efficient training pipeline, starting with LoRA-based continual pre-training of a multilingual encoder on a large-scale corpus. To enable generative capabilities, we employ a progressive instruction-tuning strategy, sequentially adapting the model on general and task-specific instruction sets. Experimental results across comprehensive benchmarks demonstrate that, despite its compact size, our model achieves competitive performance compared to existing multi-billion-parameter baselines. These findings validate the effectiveness of masked diffusion modeling combined with multi-stage tuning for non-autoregressive text generation in Turkish.

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### Double Machine Learning for Static Panel Data with Instrumental Variables: New Method and Applications

Authors: Anna Baiardi, Paul S. Clarke, Andrea A. Naghi, Annalivia Polselli
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: econ.EM, stat.ME, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20464v1

Panel data methods are widely used in empirical analysis to address unobserved heterogeneity, but causal inference remains challenging when treatments are endogenous and confounding variables high-dimensional and potentially nonlinear. Standard instrumental variables (IV) estimators, such as two-stage least squares (2SLS), become unreliable when instrument validity requires flexibly conditioning on many covariates with potentially non-linear effects. This paper develops a Double Machine Learning estimator for static panel models with endogenous treatments (panel IV DML), and introduces weak-identification diagnostics for it. We revisit three influential migration studies that use shift-share instruments. In these settings, instrument validity depends on a rich covariate adjustment. In one application, panel IV DML strengthens the predictive power of the instrument and broadly confirms 2SLS results. In the other cases, flexible adjustment makes the instruments weak, leading to substantially more cautious causal inference than conventional 2SLS. Monte Carlo evidence supports these findings, showing that panel IV DML improves estimation accuracy under strong instruments and delivers more reliable inference under weak identification.

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### Shift-Invariant Feature Attribution in the Application of Wireless Electrocardiograms

Authors: Yalemzerf Getnet, Abiy Tasissa, Waltenegus Dargie
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: eess.SP, cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20462v1

Assigning relevance scores to the input features of a machine learning model enables to measure the contributions of the features in achieving a correct outcome. It is regarded as one of the approaches towards developing explainable models. For biomedical assignments, this is very useful for medical experts to comprehend machine-based decisions. In the analysis of electro cardiogram (ECG) signals, in particular, understanding which of the electrocardiogram samples or features contributed most for a given decision amounts to understanding the underlying cardiac phases or conditions the machine tries to explain. For the computation of relevance scores, determining the proper baseline is important. Moreover, the scores should have a distribution which is at once intuitive to interpret and easy to associate with the underline cardiac reality. The purpose of this work is to achieve these goals. Specifically, we propose a shift-invariant baseline which has a physical significance in the analysis as well as interpretation of electrocardiogram measurements. Moreover, we aggregate significance scores in such a way that they can be mapped to cardiac phases. We demonstrate our approach by inferring physical exertion from cardiac exertion using a residual network. We show that the ECG samples which achieved the highest relevance scores (and, therefore, which contributed most to the accurate recognition of the physical exertion) are those associated with the P and T waves. Index Terms Attribution, baseline, cardiovascular diseases, electrocardiogram, activity recognition, machine learning

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### Inverting Neural Networks: New Methods to Generate Neural Network Inputs from Prescribed Outputs

Authors: Rebecca Pattichis, Sebastian Janampa, Constantinos S. Pattichis, Marios S. Pattichis
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20461v2

Neural network systems describe complex mappings that can be very difficult to understand. In this paper, we study the inverse problem of determining the input images that get mapped to specific neural network classes. Ultimately, we expect that these images contain recognizable features that are associated with their corresponding class classifications. We introduce two general methods for solving the inverse problem. In our forward pass method, we develop an inverse method based on a root-finding algorithm and the Jacobian with respect to the input image. In our backward pass method, we iteratively invert each layer, at the top. During the inversion process, we add random vectors sampled from the null-space of each linear layer. We demonstrate our new methods on both transformer architectures and sequential networks based on linear layers. Unlike previous methods, we show that our new methods are able to produce random-like input images that yield near perfect classification scores in all cases, revealing vulnerabilities in the underlying networks. Hence, we conclude that the proposed methods provide a more comprehensive coverage of the input image spaces that solve the inverse mapping problem.

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### Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning from Multi-Source Imperfect Preferences

Authors: Ming Shi, Yingbin Liang, Ness B. Shroff, Ananthram Swami
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20453v2

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) replaces hard-to-specify rewards with pairwise trajectory preferences, yet regret-oriented theory often assumes that preference labels are generated consistently from a single ground-truth objective. In practical RLHF systems, however, feedback is typically \emph{multi-source} (annotators, experts, reward models, heuristics) and can exhibit systematic, persistent mismatches due to subjectivity, expertise variation, and annotation/modeling artifacts. We study episodic RL from \emph{multi-source imperfect preferences} through a cumulative imperfection budget: for each source, the total deviation of its preference probabilities from an ideal oracle is at most $ω$ over $K$ episodes. We propose a unified algorithm with regret $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{K/M}+ω)$, which exhibits a best-of-both-regimes behavior: it achieves $M$-dependent statistical gains when imperfection is small (where $M$ is the number of sources), while remaining robust with unavoidable additive dependence on $ω$ when imperfection is large. We complement this with a lower bound $\tildeΩ(\max\{\sqrt{K/M},ω\})$, which captures the best possible improvement with respect to $M$ and the unavoidable dependence on $ω$, and a counterexample showing that naïvely treating imperfect feedback as oracle-consistent can incur regret as large as $\tildeΩ(\min\{ω\sqrt{K},K\})$. Technically, our approach involves imperfection-adaptive weighted comparison learning, value-targeted transition estimation to control hidden feedback-induced distribution shift, and sub-importance sampling to keep the weighted objectives analyzable, yielding regret guarantees that quantify when multi-source feedback provably improves RLHF and how cumulative imperfection fundamentally limits it.

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### SDE-Driven Spatio-Temporal Hypergraph Neural Networks for Irregular Longitudinal fMRI Connectome Modeling in Alzheimer's Disease

Authors: Ruiying Chen, Yutong Wang, Houliang Zhou, Wei Liang, Yong Chen, Lifang He
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20452v2

Longitudinal neuroimaging is essential for modeling disease progression in Alzheimer's disease (AD), yet irregular sampling and missing visits pose substantial challenges for learning reliable temporal representations. To address this challenge, we propose SDE-HGNN, a stochastic differential equation (SDE)-driven spatio-temporal hypergraph neural network for irregular longitudinal fMRI connectome modeling. The framework first employs an SDE-based reconstruction module to recover continuous latent trajectories from irregular observations. Based on these reconstructed representations, dynamic hypergraphs are constructed to capture higher-order interactions among brain regions over time. To further model temporal evolution, hypergraph convolution parameters evolve through SDE-controlled recurrent dynamics conditioned on inter-visit intervals, enabling disease-stage-adaptive connectivity modeling. We also incorporate a sparsity-based importance learning mechanism to identify salient brain regions and discriminative connectivity patterns. Extensive experiments on the OASIS-3 and ADNI cohorts demonstrate consistent improvements over state-of-the-art graph and hypergraph baselines in AD progression prediction. The source code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/SDE-HGNN-017F.

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### Policies Permitting LLM Use for Polishing Peer Reviews Are Currently Not Enforceable

Authors: Rounak Saha, Gurusha Juneja, Dayita Chaudhuri, Naveeja Sajeevan, Nihar B Shah, Danish Pruthi
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI, cs.CY, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20450v2

A number of scientific conferences and journals have recently enacted policies that prohibit LLM usage by peer reviewers, except for polishing, paraphrasing, and grammar correction of otherwise human-written reviews. But, are these policies enforceable? To answer this question, we assemble a dataset of peer reviews simulating multiple levels of human-AI collaboration, and evaluate five state-of-the-art detectors, including two commercial systems. Our analysis shows that all detectors misclassify a non-trivial fraction of LLM-polished reviews as AI-generated, thereby risking false accusations of academic misconduct. We further investigate whether peer-review-specific signals, including access to the paper manuscript and the constrained domain of scientific writing, can be leveraged to improve detection. While incorporating such signals yields measurable gains in some settings, we identify limitations in each approach and find that none meets the accuracy standards required for identifying AI use in peer reviews. Importantly, our results suggest that recent public estimates of AI use in peer reviews through the use of AI-text detectors should be interpreted with caution, as current detectors misclassify mixed reviews (collaborative human-AI outputs) as fully AI generated, potentially overstating the extent of policy violations.

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### Solver-Aided Verification of Policy Compliance in Tool-Augmented LLM Agents

Authors: Cailin Winston, Claris Winston, René Just
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.SE, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20449v1

Tool-augmented Large Language Models (TaLLMs) extend LLMs with the ability to invoke external tools, enabling them to interact with real-world environments. However, a major limitation in deploying TaLLMs in sensitive applications such as customer service and business process automation is a lack of reliable compliance with domain-specific operational policies regarding tool-use and agent behavior. Current approaches merely steer LLMs to adhere to policies by including policy descriptions in the LLM context, but these provide no guarantees that policy violations will be prevented. In this paper, we introduce an SMT solver-aided framework to enforce tool-use policy compliance in TaLLM agents. Specifically, we use an LLM-assisted, human-guided approach to translate natural-language-specified tool-use policies into formal logic (SMT-LIB-2.0) constraints over agent-observable state and tool arguments. At runtime, planned tool calls are intercepted and checked against the constraints using the Z3 solver as a pre-condition to the tool call. Tool invocations that violate the policy are blocked. We evaluated on the TauBench benchmark and demonstrate that solver-aided policy checking reduces policy violations while maintaining overall task accuracy. These results suggest that integrating formal reasoning into TaLLM execution can improve tool-call policy compliance and overall reliability.

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### Thermal is Always Wild: Characterizing and Addressing Challenges in Thermal-Only Novel View Synthesis

Authors: M. Kerem Aydin, Vishwanath Saragadam, Emma Alexander
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.CV, eess.IV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20448v1

Thermal cameras provide reliable visibility in darkness and adverse conditions, but thermal imagery remains significantly harder to use for novel view synthesis (NVS) than visible-light images. This difficulty stems primarily from two characteristics of affordable thermal sensors. First, thermal images have extremely low dynamic range, which weakens appearance cues and limits the gradients available for optimization. Second, thermal data exhibit rapid frame-to-frame photometric fluctuations together with slow radiometric drift, both of which destabilize correspondence estimation and create high-frequency floater artifacts during view synthesis, particularly when no RGB guidance (beyond camera pose) is available. Guided by these observations, we introduce a lightweight preprocessing and splatting pipeline that expands usable dynamic range and stabilizes per-frame photometry. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance across thermal-only NVS benchmarks, without requiring any dataset-specific tuning.

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### Detecting Neurovascular Instability from Multimodal Physiological Signals Using Wearable-Compatible Edge AI: A Responsible Computational Framework

Authors: Truong Quynh Hoa, Hoang Dinh Cuong, Truong Xuan Khanh
Published: 2026-03-20
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20442v1

We propose Melaguard, a multimodal ML framework (Transformer-lite, 1.2M parameters, 4-head self-attention) for detecting neurovascular instability (NVI) from wearable-compatible physiological signals prior to structural stroke pathology. The model fuses heart rate variability (HRV), peripheral perfusion index, SpO2, and bilateral phase coherence into a composite NVI Score, designed for edge inference (WCET &lt;=4 ms on Cortex-M4). NVI - the pre-structural dysregulation of cerebrovascular autoregulation preceding overt stroke - remains undetectable by existing single-modality wearables. With 12.2 million incident strokes annually, continuous multimodal physiological monitoring offers a practical path to community-scale screening. Three-stage independent validation: (1) synthetic benchmark (n=10,000), AUC=0.88 (0.83-0.92); (2) clinical cohort PhysioNet CVES (n=172; 84 stroke, 88 control) - Transformer-lite achieves AUC=0.755 (0.630-0.778), outperforming LSTM (0.643), Random Forest (0.665), SVM (0.472); HRV-SDNN discriminates stroke (p=0.011); (3) PPG pipeline PhysioNet BIDMC (n=53) -- pulse rate r=0.748 and HRV surrogate r=0.690 vs. ECG ground truth. Cross-modality validation on PPG-BP (n=219) confirms PPG morphology classifies cerebrovascular disease at AUC=0.923 (0.869-0.968). Multimodal fusion consistently outperforms single-modality baselines. Code: https://github.com/ClevixLab/Melaguard

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