# Research Papers — 2026-06 · bundle page 23 of 260 > Full-text markdown of papers #1101–1150 of 12993 published in 2026-06, newest first. AI-readable mirrors of the full 12993-paper 2026-06 archive (50 papers per file). Canonical page: https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-06/page/23 [← Previous bundle](https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-06/page/22.md) [Next bundle →](https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-06/page/24.md) ### I-BBS: Coordinate-Free Inference of Latent Sub-Manifolds Using Random Distance Matrix Theory Authors: Igor Halperin Published: 2026-06-29 Categories: cs.LG, cond-mat.dis-nn, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29675v1 Bogomolny, Bohigas and Schmit (BBS) found that the spectrum of the pairwise distance matrix on N points sampled from a smooth d-dimensional manifold encodes a signature of the underlying geometry. We develop I-BBS (Inference-BBS), a coordinate-free method that identifies a low-dimensional latent sub-manifold embedded in a high-dimensional ambient distance matrix alone, without accessing an ambient high-dimensional vector space. It therefore applies even when that space is only partly observable or undefined. We model the ambient embedding by two classes of generative noise, model-based and model-free. The noise mixes the latent signal with off-manifold components, so the eigenvalues reorganise collectively and the latent geometry cannot be read off eigenvalue by eigenvalue. We recover it instead from two integer-stable signatures that survive the noise: the multiplicity of the top non-Perron multiplet, which fixes $d$, and a parameter-free law for how the multiplet positions shrink as the noise grows. On synthetic spheres $S^1$, $S^2$ and $S^3$ these integer signatures are far more stable under noise than the continuous spectral slope, and a blind test recovers both the manifold and the noise model from a single distance matrix. Applications to neural-network representations and to the dynamic training regime are developed in two companion papers. --- ### How LLMs See Creativity: Zero-Shot Scoring of Visual Creativity with Interpretable Reasoning Authors: William Orwig, Roger E. Beaty Published: 2026-06-29 Categories: cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29672v2 Evaluating the originality of visual images poses enduring challenges for creativity assessment. Automated scoring using AI models has proven effective in the verbal domain, yet key questions remain about evaluating visual creativity and understanding how models arrive at their ratings. The present research asks whether multimodal large language models (LLMs) can serve as judges of visual creativity zero-shot (without any fine-tuning or examples of human ratings) and whether their "reasoning" output offers an interpretable window into their evaluation process. We tested six multimodal LLMs (Gemini 3 Flash, Gemma 4 31B IT, GPT-5.4 Mini, GLM-5v Turbo, Kimi K2.5, and Qwen 3.6 Plus) on 992 AI-generated images (based on human-written prompts) and 1,500 hand-drawn sketches scored for creativity by human raters. In Study 1, all models showed substantial alignment with human creativity ratings on both datasets (r = .57-.68 on AI-generated images; r = .29-68 on sketches). In Study 2, we analyzed the step-by-step reasoning processes of three LLMs evaluating the same images and drawings. Although reasoning made model evaluations interpretable -- showing what they attend to, how they balance originality vs. quality, and how they justify their ratings -- reasoning did not improve alignment with human ratings. In sum, our findings indicate that multimodal LLMs can match human judgments of visual creativity without any additional training, and that their reasoning reveals how AI models evaluate creativity. An open scoring app implementing this pipeline is available at https://review-visual-eval-scoring.hf.space. --- ### MatMMExtract: An Open-Source Pipeline for Panel-Level Extraction of Grounded Image-Text Pairs from Materials Science Literature Authors: Subham Ghosh, Shubham Tiwari, Mohammad Ibrahim, Abhishek Tewari Published: 2026-06-29 Categories: cs.CV, cond-mat.mtrl-sci, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29667v2 The materials science literature encodes decades of experimental knowledge in figures, yet this visual record remains locked away and inaccessible to AI at scale. The core difficulty is structural: most scientific figures are compound, with a single caption describing multiple sub-panels simultaneously, making direct image-text pairing unreliable. We present MatMMExtract, an end-to-end open-source pipeline that resolves this by decomposing compound figures into individual sub-panels and generating structured, grounded annotations using a large language model guided by a curated materials science taxonomy. Applied to 14,810 open-access articles, MatMMExtract produces MatSciFig; 391,606 panel-level image-text pairs from 180,571 figures, each annotated with a sub-caption, a two-level visualisation category spanning 19 classes and over 100 subtypes, and a scientific summary. To enable accurate panel localisation, we introduce MaterialScope, a domain-specific detection dataset of 2,811 manually annotated materials science figures, on which a fine-tuned YOLO12-m detector achieves mAP_50 of 0.9227. Among six benchmarked language models, Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite delivers the best cost-quality trade-off for annotation generation, with 82% of outputs rated good and a hallucination rate of 4.8%. A dual-encoder retrieval baseline on MatSciFig achieves a 4.4 times improvement in R@1 over zero-shot CLIP, demonstrating the dataset's immediate utility for vision-language learning. All resources are released openly to the community. --- ### Unlocking the Visual Record of Materials Science: A Large-Scale Multimodal Dataset from Scientific Literature Authors: Subham Ghosh, Shubham Tiwari, Mohammad Ibrahim, Abhishek Tewari Published: 2026-06-29 Categories: cs.CV, cond-mat.mtrl-sci, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29667v1 The materials science literature encodes decades of experimental knowledge in figures, yet this visual record remains locked away and inaccessible to AI at scale. The core difficulty is structural: most scientific figures are compound, with a single caption describing multiple sub-panels simultaneously, making direct image-text pairing unreliable. We present MatMMExtract, an end-to-end open-source pipeline that resolves this by decomposing compound figures into individual sub-panels and generating structured, grounded annotations using a large language model guided by a curated materials science taxonomy. Applied to 14,810 open-access articles, MatMMExtract produces MatSciFig; 391,606 panel-level image-text pairs from 180,571 figures, each annotated with a sub-caption, a two-level visualisation category spanning 19 classes and over 100 subtypes, and a scientific summary. To enable accurate panel localisation, we introduce MaterialScope, a domain-specific detection dataset of 2,811 manually annotated materials science figures, on which a fine-tuned YOLO12-m detector achieves mAP_50 of 0.9227. Among six benchmarked language models, Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite delivers the best cost-quality trade-off for annotation generation, with 82% of outputs rated good and a hallucination rate of 4.8%. A dual-encoder retrieval baseline on MatSciFig achieves a 4.4 times improvement in R@1 over zero-shot CLIP, demonstrating the dataset's immediate utility for vision-language learning. All resources are released openly to the community. --- ### Adjusted Wasserstein distances for bridging empirical and true distributions with applications to MDS Authors: Flor Martinez-Sermeno, Arturo Jaramillo, Johan Van Horebeek Published: 2026-06-29 Categories: stat.ML, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29665v1 This paper examines how metric adjustments to Multidimensional Scaling (MDS) can enhance its effectiveness as a visual tool for pattern recognition. The distance under consideration, referred to as Max-D-SW, is an adjustment of the Max-Sliced Wasserstein distance. In contrast to the original formulation, which optimizes over single unit directions, Max-D-SW aggregates contributions over orthonormal bases. This modification provides a clear numerical advantage in MDS outcomes, particularly when applied to heavy-tailed distributions. We also establish sample-complexity bounds showing that Max-D-SW remains statistically tractable, with rates comparable to those of its max-sliced counterpart. Moreover, we show that a better sample complexity for a metric does not necessarily translate into better performance when the metric is used as an input for MDS. --- ### Benchmarking Geospatial Foundation Models for Agriculture Applications Authors: Zhuocheng Shang, Sanmay Das, Ahmed Eldawy Published: 2026-06-29 Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29664v1 Geospatial foundation models pretrained on satellite imagery promise broad generalization across remote sensing tasks and regions, but their geographic transferability has not been systematically tested, especially in agriculture applications. This paper presents a controlled benchmark that evaluates three models, Prithvi, SpectralGPT, and SatMAE, on multi-temporal crop segmentation and change detection across four U.S. states, Iowa, North Carolina, California, and Minnesota. By assigning each train, validation, and test split to a separate region, we measure how well each model transfers to land it has not seen. All three degrade sharply under regional distribution shift, predicting only the most common crops while missing rare ones. We further find that fitting these models to a shared input format affects each one differently, which complicates direct architectural comparison. These results expose key limitations of current geospatial foundation models for agriculture and point to region aware evaluation as a necessary standard. --- ### Diversity is the Strength of the AI Crowd Authors: Matthew Aitchison, Scott Jeen, Toby Shevlane, Ben Day Published: 2026-06-29 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29661v1 Top AI forecasting systems are approaching superforecaster-level accuracy on future world events, but still rely primarily on off-the-shelf LLMs combined with forecasting-specific context gathering and scaffolding. We study how to improve this recipe through ensembling: given a fixed number of samples, which off-the-shelf model forecasts should be combined to maximize accuracy? On binary questions from the Metaculus AI Benchmark, we find that individual accuracy is not enough: many frontier LLMs make highly correlated predictions, limiting the value of additional forecasts from the same or similar models. Instead, the strongest ensembles combine accurate but diverse forecasters, with models such as \model{Grok 4} contributing disproportionately because their predictions are less correlated with other frontier LLMs. These results suggest that the strength of the AI crowd comes not from sampling more forecasts indiscriminately, but from combining forecasts across models with complementary errors, motivating forecasting systems that explicitly optimize for both model quality and diversity. --- ### SHAPE of Chain-of-Thought in Math Reasoning Authors: Jonghyun Song, Sangjun Song, Minjae Oh, Haesung Pyun, Sungsik Lee, Yohan Jo Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.28600v1 Large language models (LLMs) achieve strong performance on mathematical reasoning benchmarks, yet the mathematically meaningful skills underlying their reasoning remain underexplored. We introduce \texttt{SHAPE}, a framework that analyzes Chain-of-Thought (CoT) trajectories through two lenses developed in mathematics education: (1) semantic spaces: the model's evolving mathematical interpretations of a problem (e.g., algebraic, geometric), and (2) heuristics: the specific mathematical actions taken within those spaces (e.g., simplifying the problem, working backward). We first use \texttt{SHAPE} to analyze the reasoning patterns of various models. Our findings reveal that the mathematical heuristics employed by a model better explain final answer correctness than traditional CoT features. Furthermore, models are likely to reach correct solutions by concentrating their reasoning effort within a few semantic spaces rather than exploring many disparate ones -- a pattern consistent with human behavior. Next, we utilize the \texttt{SHAPE} lens to evaluate whether post-training truly enhances mathematical proficiency. We find that reinforcement learning induces mode-seeking in heuristic usage. Lastly, we post-train LLMs by promoting diverse heuristics and demonstrate its effectiveness in improving accuracy. Overall, \texttt{SHAPE} provides a theoretically-grounded diagnostic framework for decoding LLM reasoning and offers a new path toward post-training LLMs for math reasoning. The code for our model is available at https://github.com/holi-lab/SHAPE-of-CoT --- ### Vagdhenu: A Vrutta (Meter) Aware Shloka-to-Chant (TTS) System for Sanskrit Authors: Prathosh A P Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.26146v1 We present Vagdhenu, a vrutta (meter) aware shloka-to-chant system for Sanskrit: a text-to-speech system that maps a metrical verse to its chanted parayana recitation at high fidelity. This is an experience report, not a new architecture. We take an off-the-shelf flow-matching TTS backbone and a large-scale neural vocoder, and add the components a faithful Sanskrit chant pipeline needs: a frontend that routes Sanskrit through Kannada orthography to avoid the Hindi-style schwa deletion that Devanagari triggers in Indic models; a frontend that obeys subtle Sanskrit phonology (visarga sandhi with its jihvamuliya and upadhmaniya allophones, the aspiration contrast of alpaprana and mahaprana, and the dental, retroflex, and palatal sibilants kept distinct); and a vrutta-aware mechanism that detects the meter and picks an exactly matched reference under a half-reference rule. We report a negative result that shaped the system: in a self-infilling flow-matching backbone, a text-side prosody conditioner is architecturally inert, because the model recovers pitch from the context mel and the embedding gets no gradient; the reference clip and a voice-steering retrain are the only working prosody levers. We also report a comparative lineage across four families (StyleTTS2, VITS2, Matcha-TTS, and the flow-matching backbone), where each earlier family hit a ceiling on conjuncts or prosody that a five-hour clone cleared at an expert MOS near 4.6. The system shipped two deployments: a 32-chapter, 5183-verse video corpus (about 17.5 hours) and an audio app covering about 18000 verses across 12 books. We release the frontend, inference and training code, weights, a single-speaker chant dataset, and an interactive demo. --- ### LLMs for Academic Workflows: An Evaluation of Literature Reviews Generated with Short and Long Context Windows of LLMs Authors: Muhammad Ali Chaudhry, Xinyuan Hao, Haifa Alwahaby Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.AI, cs.HC, cs.IR arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.26145v1 Our research focuses on evaluating literature reviews generated in short and long context settings of large language models (LLMs) to investigate the impact of context window on the quality of AI-generated literature reviews and the role of AI in supporting literature review writing. Twenty AI-generated literature reviews based on research sources from Semantic Scholar and Arxiv were evaluated by two researchers across 15 dimensions. Our findings reveal that AI-generated literature reviews require human oversight to meet academic publishing standards. As context windows increase, LLMs can incorporate broader information and maintain coherence across longer inputs, but they also exacerbate issues such as content repetition, omission of critical work, and a tendency towards descriptiveness over synthesis. Our work shows that AI-generated reviews can provide foundational overviews, but their output must be critically evaluated and refined by domain experts. Future research should consider integrating other LLMs and fine-tuned models in different domains with hybrid approaches that combine human expertise with AI capabilities to address the limitations identified in this study. --- ### Why Current XAI Is Not Enough for Arabic NLP: A Critical Survey of the Explainability Gap Authors: Salima Lamsiyah, Ruslan Mitkov Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.26144v1 Explainable AI (XAI) is now a major theme in NLP; however, Arabic NLP remains under-explained in three connected senses. First, there is a method gap: Arabic XAI relies heavily on a small set of post-hoc techniques such as LIME, SHAP, attention visualization, and saliency, while broader NLP XAI offers richer diagnostic, counterfactual, probing, rationale-based, and human-centered methods. Second, there is a task gap: existing Arabic XAI work is concentrated in classification tasks, especially sentiment analysis, hate/offensive language detection, fake news, and spam, with weaker coverage of generation, retrieval, translation, summarization, structured prediction, and dialogue. Third, there is a linguistic gap: many explanations identify influential tokens, but rarely explain Arabic-specific phenomena such as morphology, clitics, dialectal variation, diglossia, orthographic ambiguity, diacritics, code-switching, named entities, cultural references, or Classical and religious registers. This critical structured survey synthesizes the reviewed literature on Arabic XAI across text, speech, and multimodal settings. We argue that Arabic NLP does not only need explanations of model decisions; it needs explanations that are faithful to Arabic as a linguistic, cultural, and sociotechnical object. We introduce a taxonomy of tasks, methods, linguistic units, varieties, goals, and evaluation practices, and propose a research agenda for linguistically grounded Arabic XAI. --- ### A Survey on Foundations and Frontiers of Multimodal Agentic Frameworks: Techniques and Applications Authors: Neel Mokaria, Rishie Raj, Dheeraj Baiju, Xiaoqian Shen, Shraman Pramanick, Kevin Qinghong Lin, Arda Senocak, Mike Zheng Shou, Philip Torr, Mohamed Elhoseiny, Yapeng Tian, Ruohan Gao et al. Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.20379v1 Advances in large language models (LLMs) have fueled a wave of research into agency: the ability to reason, plan, and act. This effort has produced agentic frameworks that orchestrate perception, memory, and decision-making around powerful LLM backbones. With the advent of large multimodal models (LMMs), these systems can process and integrate diverse modalities, including images, audio, and video, thereby improving their real-world applicability. Yet, while surveys of LLM-based agents exist, the role of multimodality in shaping agency has not been systematically examined in recent years. This survey fills the gap by analyzing the impact of multimodality across the core functional modules of the agentic framework: perception, reasoning, planning, memory, and action. Using this lens, we trace the evolution from text-centric agents to multimodal frameworks, examine how modalities are integrated through delegated, late-fusion, and early-fusion architectures, and assess the emergence of agentic behaviors enabled by grounded perception and multimodal reasoning. We organize existing work through a modality-centric taxonomy that links architectural design choices to agent capabilities. Moreover, we review multimodal agentic systems across various application domains, including Robotics, GUI & Web Navigation, Multimedia Content Generation & Editing, and Long-form Video Understanding & Retrieval. Beyond capabilities, we analyze performance across these settings and discuss efficiency-scalability trade-offs, including training and inference costs, latency, and deployment constraints. By focusing on the impact of multimodality in agentic design, we aim to identify key gaps and chart a roadmap toward robust and general-purpose intelligent systems. --- ### Position: Medical AI Neglects Real Treatment Outcomes Authors: Shiva Kaul, Anjum Khurshid Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.14598v1 Medical AI has rapidly improved its ability to perform diagnostic and prognostic tasks that lead to treatment decisions. But understanding of treatment itself is still inadequately trained and evaluated, using human opinions and syntheses (especially texts such as biomedical publications and clinical practice guidelines) rather than actual underlying data on treatment outcomes. This neglect seriously limits the potential of medical AI, and is already causing deficiencies in both frontier models and major benchmarks, as argued in this position paper. Real treatment outcomes, drawn from sources such as observational databases and randomized experiments, should be substantially incorporated into both training and evaluation. Improving these outcomes should be reemphasized as the downstream goal of all medical AI. --- ### AI-Assisted Knowledge Access for Legacy Enterprise Asset Management in Energy Operations: A Practical Retrieval System Authors: Dave Mercier, Mishca de Costa, Muhammad Anwar, Mark Randall, Issam Hammad Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.IR, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.24792v1 Energy utilities still run engineering work management, engineering procurement, and inventory processes on long-lived enterprise asset management platforms. Replacing these platforms is often cost prohibitive and operationally disruptive, so practical improvement layers are required. This paper presents a retrieval assistant that improves day-to-day knowledge access across three operational modes: vendor documentation question answering, operational data store (ODS) schema question answering, and user interface usage and how-to question answering. The runtime method combines intent understanding, query rewriting, hybrid semantic and vector retrieval, context engineering under token limits, grounded answer generation, and deterministic hyperlink conversion for panel identifiers and cited documentation. The data preparation pipeline emphasizes semantic enrichment as the primary quality lever by adding table and field descriptions, normalizing acronyms across sources, and indexing representative row-level context when useful. A measured pilot shows consistent gains in retrieval quality and user outcomes. Precision at five improved from 0.56 to 0.72, mean reciprocal rank from 0.43 to 0.58, and normalized discounted cumulative gain (nDCG) at five from 0.51 to 0.66. Median task completion time dropped from 14.2 to 8.3 minutes, while usefulness and confidence both increased to 4.0 on a five-point scale. Results are based on a small sample and are reported as pilot findings, but they indicate that intent understanding and semantic enrichment can deliver meaningful operational value in legacy environments while also establishing reusable foundations for future analytics and automation tools. --- ### From Naive RAG to Deep Agentic Retrieval: An Evolving Context Engineering Pipeline for Regulatory Compliance Authors: Mishca de Costa, Muhammad Saleh Anwar, Dave Mercier, Issam Hammad Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.IR, cs.AI, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.24791v1 Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) is the dominant paradigm for applying large language models (LLMs) to enterprise document corpora, yet naive implementations encounter hard limits as corpus scale and query complexity grow. This paper traces the evolution of a production retrieval pipeline at Ontario Power Generation (OPG) for regulatory compliance and rate case analysis under Ontario Energy Board (OEB) reporting requirements. We examine successive stages: naive RAG, hybrid retrieval with re-ranking, agentic function-calling retrieval, and a deep multi-agent architecture with code-based tool synthesis and explicit planning, and identify the failure modes and tradeoffs that motivated each transition. We formalize the mature architecture as Progressive Evidence Acquisition with Cost-Aware Escalation (PEA-CAE): begin with low-cost, high-precision retrieval and escalate to full-document reads only when the expected evidence gain justifies latency and cost. Our findings show that context engineering is a more tractable and economically viable path than domain-specific fine-tuning for large, evolving regulatory corpora. More broadly, the progression toward deep agentic retrieval mirrors classical information retrieval ideas, introducing adaptive query reformulation, progressive document discovery, and hierarchical subagent summarization as practical system primitives. Operational traces further support the search-based nature of modern retrieval systems, where iterative evidence acquisition and adaptive planning increasingly replace single-pass retrieval as the foundation for enterprise-scale question answering. --- ### A GAN-Based Framework for Robust Data Synthesis in Satellite Internet Observations Authors: Xiang Shi, Peng Hu Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.NI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.24790v1 Low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellite Internet has become an important infrastructure for enabling ubiquitous connectivity to align with the International Telecommunications Union vision for 6G telecommunications networks. However, current LEO satellite Internet observations often suffer from missing data, which complicates data augmentation task and limits the expansion of representative datasets. Given the complex characteristics of these datasets, generative AI (GenAI) presents a promising approach, yet its application in this domain has received little attention to date. In this paper, we propose a GenAI-based framework to synthesize high-fidelity data directly from incomplete LEO network observations. We propose the representative data missing scenarios, and evaluate the performance with the latest GAN- and VAE-based GenAI models on the recent WetLinks dataset. We design block-wise and point-wise missing scenarios to closely simulate the data loss that happens on real-world LEO satellite networks. Our results show the effectiveness of our proposed GAN-based framework and GT-GAN model exhibits the best performance among all models in both missing scenarios. Even under extreme conditions (e.g., 40% of the input data is missing), GT-GAN shows the highest robustness, consistently capturing the underlying input data distribution and being the least affected in terms of generalization. Our results shed light on future directions for GenAI-based data augmentation methods and data-driven research on satellite network measurement. --- ### Autonomous mechanistic discovery of colorectal cancer vulnerabilities via multi-scale AI swarms Authors: Christopher Baker, Tianyu Ren, Karen Rafferty, Hui Wang, Simon McDade Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16262v1 The acceleration of automated scientific discovery has been fundamentally bottlenecked by the epistemic gap between the semantic reasoning of large language models (LLMs) and the deterministic physics of mammalian biology. While recent multi-agent frameworks have achieved autonomous hypothesis generation and in vitro experimental analysis, they lack the mathematically grounded, causal constraints required for multi-scale clinical translation. Furthermore, while algorithmic clinical digital twins successfully forecast biological states, they rely on black-box latent spaces, sacrificing mechanistic interpretability for predictive accuracy. Here, we introduce the Multi-Scale Autonomous Discovery Engine (Octopus), a neuro-symbolic architecture that unites zero-leakage, local LLM swarms with strict algorithmic physics engines. Rather than stopping at isolated cellular assays, the system autonomously generated therapeutic hypotheses against in vitro CRISPR dependency data (CCLE), traced dynamic causal cascades using mechanistic interpretability (XGBoost SHAP vectors), and orthogonally translated the emergent vulnerabilities in silico to predict in vivo mammalian tumor trajectory (PDX) and human overall survival (Marisa). In a fully unsupervised sweep of colorectal cancer transcriptomes, the pipeline autonomously identified Insulin-like Growth Factor 2 (IGF2) as a strictly bounded vulnerability to 5-Fluorouracil resistance. The discovery maintained significance after rigorous Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate correction (q=0.0292, Log-Rank p=0.0007 ) and successfully predicted significant in vivo tumor volume shrinkage in an independent mouse cohort (Mann-Whitney p=0.0373). By bridging the chasm between multi-agent reasoning and mathematically bounded clinical survival, this framework establishes a verifiable, zero-leakage paradigm for automated, end-to-end biomedical discovery. --- ### Reducing Per-Sample Interference in Stochastic Optimization Authors: Apostolos Avranas Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16261v2 Modern optimizers combine gradients from the current mini-batch with historical optimization state, such as momentum or adaptive moments. While effective, this standard practice can produce parameter updates that actively increase the loss of individual samples. We term this phenomenon per-sample interference and propose redefining the parameter update as an optimization problem that explicitly minimizes it. Because the exact formulation of the problem is computationally prohibitive, we introduce a highly efficient surrogate. By reducing the problem's dimensionality to the batch size and restricting the optimization to the last linear layer, we overcome memory and speed bottlenecks. This strategy hinges on our unexpected finding that this layer alone can reliably capture core second-order statistics of the full network. The resulting surrogate problem integrates readily into standard optimizers like SGD and AdamW, and can be solved using a small number of GPU-friendly iterations. Crucially, the method exhibits favorable scaling properties, as the relative computational overhead shrinks as the model size or input grows. Experiments on image classification benchmarks confirm reduced per-sample interference and improved generalization. --- ### Reducing Per-Sample Harm in Stochastic Optimization Authors: Apostolos Avranas Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16261v1 Modern optimizers combine gradients from the current mini-batch with historical optimization state, such as momentum or adaptive moments. While highly effective, aggregating across the batch and incorporating this history can produce parameter updates that increase the loss of individual samples. We term this effect harm and formalize the parameter update as an optimization problem that explicitly minimizes the conflicting impact of both batch averaging and past optimization state on current data. Because the exact formulation is intractable, we introduce a highly efficient proxy. We first reduce the problem's dimensionality to the batch size, and then drastically cut memory and speed bottlenecks by successfully restricting the optimization to the last linear layer. This hinges on the unexpected finding that this layer alone reliably captures the second-order statistics of the per-sample gradients. The resulting surrogate problem integrates readily into standard optimizers like SGD and AdamW, and can be solved using a small number of GPU-friendly iterations. Crucially, the method exhibits favorable scaling properties, as the relative computational overhead shrinks as the model size or input grows. Experiments on image classification benchmarks confirm reduced per-sample interference and improved generalization. --- ### AdaSurvMamba: Dynamic Fusion and Semantic Scanning for Multimodal Survival Analysis Authors: Jialong Zhong, Tingwei Liu, Baokun Yue, Jingjing Li, Yongri Piao, Miao Zhang, Leiye Liu, Jiahong Jiang, Wei Ji, Huchuan Lu Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16260v1 Multimodal survival analysis utilizing whole slide images (WSIs) and genomic profiles is fundamental for cancer prognosis. Recently, state-space models like Mamba have emerged as powerful tools for sequence modeling. However, translating this success to complex multimodal tasks is hindered by two critical limitations. First, conventional fusion strategies assume a static multimodal interaction strength, ignoring the fluctuating diagnostic importance of each modality across different patients and local regions. Second, the standard Mamba architecture processes tokens along predefined physical paths. This rigid scanning disrupts the semantic continuity of spatially scattered medical features and exacerbates long-range decay. To address these challenges, we introduce AdaSurvMamba as a novel adaptive framework for multimodal survival analysis. The framework features a Dual-Scale Importance-Aware Reconstruction (DSIR) module to dynamically modulate cross-modal interaction strength. It evaluates diagnostic importance at both the sequence and token levels to reconstruct the input representations. Furthermore, we propose a Semantic Aggregation Scanning (SAS) module to overcome contextual fragmentation. The SAS module dynamically reorganizes discrete tokens into semantically continuous sequences via a shared prototype pool. It explicitly modulates the state transition step size using global modality context and semantic priors to adaptively control the information absorption rate. Experiments across five TCGA cohorts demonstrate consistent gains over existing methods. Code is available at https://github.com/zjlGO/AdaSurvMamba. --- ### Quantifying Ranking Uncertainty in LLM Benchmarks Authors: Bitya Neuhof, Yuval Benjamini Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.CL, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16259v1 Pretrained models are typically ranked on multi-task leaderboards to assess their effectiveness across diverse tasks. Rank confidence intervals were recently introduced as a method to quantify the uncertainty in these rankings by aggregating pairwise hypothesis tests. In this work, we analyze the sources of uncertainty in the knowledge evaluation benchmark MMLU and show how hypothesis tests can be modified to account for their effects. We demonstrate that ranking variability across MMLU subjects is substantial and should be considered when comparing LLMs or identifying the top-performing models. --- ### Neural Controlled Differential Equations for EMT-Level Surrogate Modeling of Grid-Forming Inverters Authors: Jiagang Qu, Yong Tao, Dan Wang, Enyi Li, Jingjing Qi, Ding Wang Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16258v1 The application of artificial intelligence methods in power electronic converter modeling is becoming increasingly widespread, but existing applications still face many challenges, such as difficulties in multi-time-scale hybrid analysis and the lack of physics-aware evaluation criteria and constraints, resulting in poor performance. This paper proposes a Neural Controlled Differential Equation (Neural CDE) framework for learning continuous-time surrogate models of grid-forming inverters for electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulation, which relaxes the constraint of fixed sampling rates and enables multi-time-scale control analysis. Then, an affine-control formulation with dual slow/fast pathways is proposed to capture the hierarchical and multiscale behavior of converter dynamics, and a physics-inspired regularization method is utilized to enhance stability and coherence. Evaluated on EMT-generated trajectories, the model accurately reproduces transient responses, preserves effective damping and the dominant oscillatory characteristics, and maintains bounded long-horizon rollouts. The results show that Neural CDE-based component modeling offers a physically consistent surrogate modeling approach for EMT-level simulation studies. --- ### From Outcomes to Actions: Leveraging Hindsight for Long-Horizon Language Agent Training Authors: Zishang Jiang, Tingyun Li, Jinyi Han, Xinyi Wang, Sihang Jiang, Yizhou Ying, Xiaojun Meng, Jiansheng Wei, Jiaqing Liang, Yanghua Xiao Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16257v1 Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a widely adopted technique for improving large language models (LLMs) on complex tasks. Despite this progress, existing RL methods still face challenges in training agents with longer-horizon interactions. One major bottleneck is distinguishing the contribution of different actions in long-horizon interaction, leading to high optimization variance. To address this, we introduce a novel policy gradient method, Hindsight Policy Optimization (HPO), that projects both the current policy distribution and the hindsight distribution into an intent space and extracts low-variance learning signals from the Wasserstein distance between them. We theoretically and empirically show that aggregating semantically similar states and actions in the intent space yields a bounded-variance estimator and improves policy performance stably. Our code is available online. --- ### Discovery by Dreaming: Cross-Domain Recombination in Artificial Memory Authors: Oliver Zahn, James Evans, David Eagleman Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.IR, cs.NE arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16256v2 Dreams splice together people, places, and times that never met. Neuroscience suggests this recombination is not noise, but a function driving insight and creative discovery. This reframes memory consolidation: rather than merely defending against forgetting, its measurable value lies in recombining knowledge across experiences that have not yet co-occurred. We test this directly by isolating the recombinatory-replay mechanism and implementing it in two architecturally unrelated systems: a LoRA fine-tuning pipeline (DREAMS) and a symbolic engine replaying structured knowledge objects (SAPIENCE). Both systems converge on the same finding: cross-domain consolidation creates value, while within-domain rehearsal does not. The symbolic arm surfaces novel cross-domain connections at 85.7%, a +21 percentage point (pp) gain over baseline. The neural arm improves overall by +5.64 pp, but on subtasks explicitly requiring cross-domain transfer (like unseen math reasoning on GSM8K), gains reach +14.5 pp. This effect is a genuine property of the weights--not a prompt artifact--as prepending the same material in-context to a 671B-parameter model actually reverses the gain. We validate this prediction against documented discoveries across 50,000 real papers and state a falsifiable hippocampal-recording prediction to distinguish recombination from rehearsal. Ultimately, this principle is substrate-general, tracking real discovery at scale. Reading the literature teaches a model to recall what it has seen, but producing discovery requires a separate offline phase that recombines knowledge across domains--the computational analog of dreaming. Consolidation is not for remembering, but for discovering. --- ### Attention Dynamics in Diffusion Models: A Visual Analytics Framework for Human-AI Collaboration Authors: Yiran Xiao, George Legrady Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI, cs.HC arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.02563v1 Diffusion-based text-to-image models can synthesize complex and highly structured visual content, yet the emergence and evolution of semantic structure remain difficult to interpret. Many existing workflows rely on aggregated attention or scalar summaries that separate temporal change from image-space evidence. To address this gap, we present a visual analytics framework for exploring attention dynamics in diffusion models: the step-indexed evolution of token-level cross-attention maps, their temporal concentration, and their spatial relationships. Our approach enables structured analysis of attention behavior across generation steps by integrating quantitative measures with data-driven stage identification in an interactive workflow. Case studies on a structured 60-prompt Stable-Diffusion-class benchmark illustrate recurring, interpretable patterns within this setting and show how linked temporal and spatial views facilitate the observation and discussion of generative processes, supporting more effective human-AI collaboration. --- ### Entropy-Coded MS-VQ-VAE with Learned Priors for Ultra-Low Bitrate Video Compression Authors: Manikanta Kotthapalli, Banafsheh Rekabdar Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.02562v1 Learned video codecs based on continuous latent representations struggle to operate reliably below 0.1 bits per pixel~(bpp): without a differentiable rate signal, Lagrangian optimisation cannot effectively trade reconstruction quality for bitrate at extreme compression ratios. We demonstrate that discrete latent representations sidestep this limitation entirely. In a vector-quantized~(VQ) codec, the codebook size~$K$ imposes a hard information ceiling of $\log_2 K$ bits per symbol; a learned autoregressive prior then exploits the non-uniform distribution of code usage -- which we show follows a power law -- to push actual bitrates well below this ceiling, without any rate-penalty tuning. Building on the MS-VQ-VAE architecture introduced in~\cite{kotthapalli2026msvqvae}, we sweep $K \in \{128, 256, 512, 1024\}$ under a uniform training protocol to trace four operating points on the rate-distortion~(RD) curve. We identify and resolve a critical training instability: gradient-based VQ collapses catastrophically at $K \leq 512$, whereas EMA-stabilised codebook updates with dead-code restart maintain full utilisation across all configurations. On 500 UCF101 test clips ($64\!\times\!64$, 32~frames), our models operate at 0.043-0.064~bpp -- 3.3-5$\times$ below H.264's practical floor and $5$-$7.6\times$ below H.265's floor at this resolution. Every MS-VQ-VAE configuration outperforms H.265 CRF\,36 on perceptual quality (LPIPS) despite using $5$-$7.6\times$ fewer bits. At $K{=}1024$, the model surpasses H.265 CRF\,36 on LPIPS by a margin of 0.072 absolute while using $5.1\times$ fewer bits. Codebook analysis confirms power-law index distributions and 70-85\% entropy efficiency, establishing the pipeline as a principled learned entropy coder. --- ### Double-Helix Active Geometry: LiDAR-Anchored Multi-View Depth with Selective Abstention Authors: Jinwen Wen Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.02561v1 Consumer depth sensors such as the LiDAR scanner on recent iPhones provide metric range, but their useful range is short and their returns are sparse. We present DH-Active, a lightweight, training-free geometry back-end that treats the sensor as a metric ruler rather than the sole source of depth. Near-field returns anchor the metric relative pose of two views through PnP; visually trackable samples without a valid depth return are then triangulated under that pose. A parallax/reprojection gate abstains wherever the geometry is ill-conditioned, leaving an explicit hole and a selective score instead of forcing an estimate. The measured core front end, including spiral sampling, sparse back-projection, and hole taxonomy but excluding preprocessing and multi-view recovery, runs at 1.11 ms median latency on CPU (OpenCV using 14 threads), about 38 times faster than a DINOv2-L visual branch on GPU in our timing setup. Across two iPhone captures and the public TUM RGB-D and ARKitScenes benchmarks, held-out depth is recovered at 1.4 to 6.7 percent median relative error. In a controlled ARKitScenes protocol that uses only returns within 2 m to set scale and an independent laser scan as ground truth, DH-Active achieves 64.2 percent scene-median coverage of evaluable far-field candidates at 13.4 percent scene-median relative error; direct triangulation from the device trajectory is not usable. We also report the alternatives that failed in our tests: single-frame defocus, classical focus-stack depth, defocus-LiDAR fusion, point-to-point ICP over a good visual-inertial track, and attention-to-holes resampling. A 1.26 B learned model remains more accurate after oracle scale alignment. The contribution here is narrower: metric sparse depth, explicit abstention, zero learned parameters, and near-millisecond CPU cost. --- ### Inpainting U-Net for seamless pedestrian-level wind prediction across urban morphologies Authors: Jingzi Huang, Claire E. Heaney, Tao Li, Xinzhe Li, Graham O. Hughes, Maarten van Reeuwijk Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.02560v1 Pedestrian-level wind prediction is essential for urban design and wind-comfort assessment, but high-fidelity simulations such as LES remain computationally expensive for rapid evaluation. This study develops a two-stage U-Net framework for efficient prediction of time-averaged pedestrian-level wind speed over realistic urban morphologies. The model is trained and evaluated using the UrbanTALES dataset, which contains realistic city configurations under different approaching wind directions. In the first stage, a baseline U-Net model (M1) predicts wind fields patch-by-patch from normalised building height and fetch information. This formulation allows application to urban domains of arbitrary size, but independent patch inference can introduce discontinuities at patch boundaries. To address this, a second U-Net model (M2) is introduced as an inpainting-based refinement model. M2 uses a larger contextual window containing the initial M1 prediction and local morphology to reduce discontinuities using neighbouring flow information. During full-field inference, M2 is applied iteratively using a Gauss-Seidel scheme until convergence. Results show that M1 captures the main spatial distribution of pedestrian-level wind speed and performs well in low- and moderate-velocity regions, although high-velocity peaks are less accurate. M2 substantially reduces patch-boundary artefacts and improves spatial coherence. Across unseen urban cases, the framework reproduces mean velocity and spatial variability reasonably well, while maximum velocities remain underestimated. Overall, the proposed framework provides an efficient and flexible surrogate model for high-resolution pedestrian-level wind prediction across realistic urban morphologies. --- ### How many labels do you need? A decision framework for cross-habitat marine species recognition Authors: Alzayat Saleh, Mostafa Rahimi Azghadi Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.02559v1 Automated image recognition is increasingly used to scale ecological monitoring beyond manual annotation, yet ecologists lack evidence-based guidance on how much labelling effort reliable deployment at new sites requires. We present a decision framework quantifying the trade-off between labelling effort and recognition accuracy when transferring vision systems across marine habitats. The benchmark spans five datasets, three oceans, and three taxonomic groups (fish, corals, invertebrates), from tropical reefs in the Great Barrier Reef and French Polynesia to a temperate Danish fjord. We evaluated four recognition models (DINOv2, CLIP, ResNet-50, EfficientNet-B4) under four adaptation strategies (linear probing, LoRA, Visual Prompt Tuning, full fine-tuning) across three protocols: within-habitat transfer across 20 reef sites (240 runs), cross-dataset geographic transfer along a difficulty gradient (40 runs), and few-shot adaptation curves with 0-100 labelled samples per class (648 runs). Frozen self-supervised foundation features (DINOv2 + linear classifier, 1,538 trainable parameters) generalised to unseen reef sites at least as well as fully fine-tuned convolutional baselines four orders of magnitude larger; they learned species-diagnostic, habitat-invariant representations, whereas baselines encoded habitat-specific shortcuts that fail at new sites. As few as 10-20 labelled images per species sufficed to deploy reliable recognition at a new site, cutting annotation effort by roughly an order of magnitude. Solution. Programmes expanding to new sites can deploy reliable recognition by pairing a frozen, open foundation model (DINOv2) with a simple linear classifier and annotating only 10-20 images per species - roughly 1-4 hours per site. The framework lets programmes budget labelling effort against expected accuracy across sites, ecosystems, and platforms. --- ### MLSYSIM: First-Principles Infrastructure Modeling for Machine Learning Systems Authors: Vijay Janapa Reddi Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.DC, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.02558v1 As machine learning shifts from laboratory curiosity to critical infrastructure, the systems that sustain it span an extraordinary range, from sub-milliwatt microcontrollers to multi-gigawatt datacenter fleets. Reasoning across this range is hard: empirical profiling requires the target hardware in hand, while cycle-accurate simulation costs hours per configuration, leaving no tool for rapid, full-stack architectural reasoning. We present MLSYSIM (Machine Learning Systems Infrastructure Modeling), a first-principles analytical framework that formalizes the "physics of systems" into a dimensionally-strict Python engine. MLSysim is built on a demand-supply abstraction that decouples computational demand from silicon supply and environmental context, and it enforces unit integrity at runtime so the silent conversion errors that plague ad-hoc modeling cannot occur. Every input is drawn from a typed, provenance-tracked registry, so no number enters an analysis without a documented source. On this engine we codify a taxonomy of 22 "Systems Walls" resolved by 28 composable models and solvers, enabling sub-second design-space exploration that identifies binding constraints and synthesizes ideal hardware specifications across the entire ML systems lifecycle. --- ### Citation Discipline in Spec-Driven Development: A Cross-Model Empirical Study of Output Determinism and Automated Hallucination Detection in LLM-Generated Code Authors: Subham Panda Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.SE, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.30689v1 Spec-Driven Development (SDD) frameworks guide Large Language Model (LLM)-powered code generation through formal specifications, yet they differ fundamentally in how they enforce traceability between requirements and generated code. This paper presents two controlled empirical studies comparing three SDD frameworks: $traceSDD$, which enforces mandatory per-line requirement citations using hierarchical REQ-XXX.Y.Z identifiers; $Spec Kit$, which uses artifact-level traceability through user stories and acceptance criteria; and $OpenSpec$, which relies on post-hoc external trace maps. We measure two primary outcomes across two frontier LLMs -- Claude Sonnet 4.6 (N=20, 4 conditions, 240 implementations) and GLM-5-turbo (N=50, 4 conditions, 600 implementations): $output$ $determinism$ (lexical similarity across independent LLM sessions) and $automated$ $hallucination$ $detection$ $rate$ (TDR). Our pre-registered analysis reveals a consistent, cross-model replicated trade-off: the uncited condition produces significantly higher determinism than the cited condition (Claude: $d=-0.76$, $p=0.003$; GLM: $d=-0.72$, $p<0.001$), while only the cited condition enables automated hallucination detection (TDR: Claude 86.4%, GLM 88.0%, vs 0% for all alternatives, FPR=0% across both studies). traceSDD (cited) significantly outperforms $Spec Kit$ on determinism (Claude: $d=0.47$, $p=0.049$; GLM: $d=0.42$, $p=0.003$) but not OpenSpec (Claude: $d=0.18$, $p=0.44$; GLM: $d=0.14$, $p=0.32$). These findings establish that citation annotations trade determinism for verifiability, and that this trade-off generalizes across model architectures. --- ### A Coherence Law for Trainability in Noisy Equivariant Quantum Neural Networks Authors: Hassan Ugail, Newton Howard Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: quant-ph, cs.AI, cs.LG, math-ph arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.30688v1 Symmetry provides a quantum neural network structure, but on its own it does not keep the network trainable once noise is present. We ask which physical quantity decides whether the gradients of an equivariant circuit survive decoherence, and we answer with a compact training law. Working with U(1)-equivariant brickwork circuits that conserve a charge, we find that two distinct effects govern a trainable gradient. Causality fixes where the gradient can live, confining it to the backward light cone of the readout inside the active charge sector. Coherence then determines how fast it decays through the contraction of the off-diagonal sector modes that the projected readout can actually observe. We prove a light-cone reduction that pins the noiseless gradient to the sector-restricted cone with a lower bound independent of the total qubit number, and we define a readout-visible aligned coherence rate as a Rayleigh quotient of the noise generator along the gradient-carrying mode. A perturbative open-system analysis turns this rate into a leading-order training law. Density-matrix simulations then confirm that the finite-noise degradation follows a single accumulated variable built from noise depth and coherence contraction, with a coefficient of determination of 0.979. The sharpest test comes from a correlated-dephasing channel that has a large worst-case rate but a near-zero aligned rate. The law predicts no gradient loss for this channel, and none is seen. Sector coherence outperforms every standard channel diagnostic we compare it against, and the analysis identifies readout-visible sector coherence as the quantity that links equivariant architecture, open-system dynamics and noisy trainability. --- ### Unsupervised Thermodynamics of Molecular Diffusion Models: Action-Operator Semantics and Auditable Free-Energy Readout Authors: Wenjie Xi Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: physics.chem-ph, cond-mat.stat-mech, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.30687v2 Diffusion models are increasingly utilized for modeling molecular structures and conformational ensembles, yet the thermodynamic meaning of their learned representations and scores remains elusive. To resolve this ambiguity, we introduce a mathematically consistent action-operator framework natively compatible with diffusion models. By defining a fixed molecular environment as a base action $S_0(x)$ and an alchemical perturbation as an operator $O(x)$, standard diffusion noising induces effective noised actions and operators whose gradients and alchemical derivatives are directly represented by the model's learned fields. This rigorous self-consistency enables a ``noisy operator bridge'' capable of reading out free-energy differences ($ΔF$) from endpoint ensembles and per-frame evaluations. In controlled experiments on alanine dipeptide systems, we show that incorporating physical inductive biases enables partial recovery of the base action and perturbation operator. When applied to a challenging C6-H to C6-F ligand-pocket nonbonded perturbation (185L/IND) with negligible phase-space overlap, our supervised bridge estimates the alchemical $ΔF$ within approximately $1\ k_\mathrm{B}T$ of a stable 19-state MBAR reference. Finally, we demonstrate that endpoint coordinates and binary labels alone are sufficient to partially recover the operator shape and a centered free-energy scale without any force or action supervision. This work provides a rigorous path toward transforming generative molecular diffusion models from black-box coordinate samplers into auditable thermodynamic estimators. --- ### Unsupervised Thermodynamics of Molecular Diffusion Models: Action-Operator Semantics and Auditable Free-Energy Readout Authors: Wenjie Xi Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: physics.chem-ph, cond-mat.stat-mech, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.30687v1 Diffusion models are increasingly utilized for modeling molecular structures and conformational ensembles, yet the thermodynamic meaning of their learned representations and scores remains elusive. To resolve this ambiguity, we introduce a mathematically consistent action-operator framework natively compatible with diffusion models. By defining a fixed molecular environment as a base action $S_0(x)$ and an alchemical perturbation as an operator $O(x)$, standard diffusion noising induces effective noised actions and operators whose gradients and alchemical derivatives are directly represented by the model's learned fields. This rigorous self-consistency enables a ``noisy operator bridge'' capable of reading out free-energy differences ($ΔF$) from endpoint ensembles and per-frame evaluations. In controlled experiments on alanine dipeptide systems, we show that incorporating physical inductive biases enables partial recovery of the base action and perturbation operator. When applied to a challenging C6-H to C6-F ligand-pocket nonbonded perturbation (185L/IND) with negligible phase-space overlap, our supervised bridge estimates the alchemical $ΔF$ within approximately $1\ k_\mathrm{B}T$ of a stable 19-state MBAR reference. Finally, we demonstrate that endpoint coordinates and binary labels alone are sufficient to partially recover the operator shape and a centered free-energy scale without any force or action supervision. This work provides a rigorous path toward transforming generative molecular diffusion models from black-box coordinate samplers into auditable thermodynamic estimators. --- ### Position: Vision-Language-Action Models Cannot Be Verified to Perform Physical Reasoning Authors: Taozhao Chen, Ian Manchester, Huaming Chen Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.RO, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.30686v1 Vision-Language-Action (VLA) systems, built on pretrained vision-language models (VLMs), have shown rapidly improving performance on robot manipulation benchmarks. These gains are commonly interpreted as evidence that semantic representations learned from internet-scale data transfer to physical execution generalization. This position paper argues that the assumption underlying this interpretation -- that semantic generalization is sufficient to support physical action decisions -- has not been independently verified and cannot be tested under current evaluation protocols. We support this claim by decomposing VLA policies into semantic mapping and physical action decision, and showing that task success rate -- the dominant evaluation metric -- cannot distinguish between these two sources of capability. As a result, improvements in benchmark performance are consistent with multiple competing explanations, including semantic matching, distributional overlap, and genuine physical generalization. We further argue that this identifiability gap has been reinforced through narrative drift, whereby successive systems inherit and strengthen prior interpretations of performance gains without isolating the underlying causal mechanism. To address this limitation, we propose a research direction based on evaluation designs that introduce controlled variation to separately measure semantic and physical generalization. Such designs make it possible to causally attribute performance without requiring access to model internals, and to empirically assess the role of VLM backbones as semantic interfaces rather than implicit sources of physical competence. Our goal is not to refute the role of VLMs in robotics, but to clarify the conditions under which claims of physical generalization can be meaningfully evaluated. --- ### Multi-Source Transfer Learning of Sparse Single-Index Models Authors: Ye Tian Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: stat.ME, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29658v1 Transfer learning leverages knowledge from related source domains to improve learning in a target domain. Recent theoretical advances cover a broad range of regression settings within (generalized) linear models. Despite their diversity, these methods share two common constraints: they assume a known link function or linear structure and require direct access to raw source data. To move beyond these constraints, we propose a source-data-free transfer learning framework based on the single-index model (SIM). Instead of requiring raw source data, our method transfers only summary statistics derived from a generalized Stein's lemma in a one-time communication. This design preserves privacy and avoids side effects caused by dissimilarities of unknown nonlinear link functions across domains. To capture flexible, unknown nonlinearity, we employ a multilayer perceptron guided by the pre-estimated index from the transferred statistics, which significantly mitigates overfitting. Extensive experiments on synthetic data and a real-world application demonstrate consistent improvements over existing (generalized) linear model-based approaches. The proposed framework thus offers a practical, privacy-preserving, and nonlinear-adaptive solution for transfer learning. --- ### Safety from Honesty in a Disinterested AI Predictor Authors: Yoshua Bengio, Oliver Richardson, Tomáš Gavenčiak, Michael Cohen, Rory Svarc, Damiano Fornasiere, Gael Gendron, David Hyland, Aton Kamanda, Adam Oberman, Francis Rhys Ward, Anna Gavenčiak et al. Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29657v2 As AI systems become more capable, training procedures that optimize for downstream outcomes risk introducing implicit agency: goal-directed behavior that designers never specified. We present a formal safety argument for the Scientist AI (SAI) Predictor, trained to approximate the Bayesian posterior conditioned on a dataset of "epistemically contextualized" natural-language statements. We argue that such a Predictor can honestly predict agents, actions, and their consequences without itself being an agent that selects outputs to achieve goals. This rests on data representation and on the training procedure. Epistemic contextualization of text distinguishes latent factual claims from communication acts, so expressions of goals are treated as evidence to be explained rather than drives the model adopts. With a posterior-seeking training objective, this is intended to drive the Predictor toward calibrated, cautious predictions. Training proceeds so downstream effects of deploying a prediction never serve as a reward signal; any agency the system needs is supplied by explicit scaffolding constrained by guardrails. We prove that, under assumptions on the training dynamics and on the argued sparsity of dangerous Predictors, the probability that training produces a Predictor whose guarded deployment carries residual harm above a specified threshold is small: a dangerous Predictor would have to underestimate harm in a coordinated way across many queries while such coordinated patterns are rare under the initialization distribution and receive no direct training signal. Safety and accuracy are jointly supported in this framework, since the constraints that secure accuracy are the same ones that make coordinated deception costly. These guarantees against misalignment and agency arising from within the Predictor itself do not preclude the use of the Predictor as part of an agentic system. --- ### Geometric Reliability of Neural Population Codes: Sampling Calibration and Within-Session Nonstationarity Authors: Prashant C. Raju Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: q-bio.NC, cs.NE, q-bio.QM arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29655v2 Trial-to-trial variability limits how reliably neural population geometry can be estimated, while comparisons across populations depend on neuron and trial counts, response quality, and clustered sampling. We quantified within-session geometric reliability using Shesha, the Spearman correlation between representational dissimilarity matrices estimated from independent trial subsets, in all 39 Steinmetz Neuropixels sessions and in olfactory bulb and piriform cortex recordings from Bolding and Franks. Steinmetz analyses matched neurons and repetitions, compared observed reliability with a stationary residual-bootstrap expectation, and used mouse-level or mouse-clustered inference. Mean matched reliability was 0.0402 across 312 area-by-session recordings. Regional differences and reliability above the stationary benchmark did not survive correction. Temporal effects received the strongest support: interleaving early and late trials increased reliability relative to blocked allocation ($Δ=0.02666$, $q=0.001953$), and RDM similarity declined with within-session lag (mean mouse-level slope $=-0.01912$, $q=0.001953$; $n=10$ mice). Outer-cross-fitted reliability was not associated with choice-direction coupling or stimulus or response-direction decoding after correction. Olfactory comparisons remained descriptive because few paired sessions and no animal identities were available. In held-out simulations, associative recurrence outperformed feedforward subspace denoising but not divisive normalization. Representational geometry became less reproducible with temporal separation within a session, and comparisons across neural populations require sampling calibration and independent inference. --- ### Geometric Stability of Neural Population Codes: Regional Variation, Behavioral Relevance, and Circuit Dependence Authors: Prashant C. Raju Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: q-bio.NC, cs.NE, q-bio.QM arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29655v1 Current models of representational reliability in neural populations focus on temporal stability: whether population centroids are preserved across sessions and days. This framing leaves a fundamental question unanswered: how reliably does the pairwise distance structure among stimuli reproduce across independent observations within a session? We argue that this property, geometric stability, constitutes an independent axis of representational analysis that existing frameworks do not capture. We formalize geometric stability as the Spearman rank correlation between split-half representational dissimilarity matrices (Shesha) and show that it is empirically dissociable from both temporal stability and decoding accuracy. Across 229 area-session observations spanning 68 brain regions in a visual discrimination task (Steinmetz et al. 2019), geometric stability predicts trial-by-trial neural-behavioral coupling ($ρ= 0.18$, $p = 0.005$) while centroid drift does not ($ρ= 0.002$, $p = 0.976$). The regional hierarchy, with striatum most stable ($\bar{S} = 0.44$) and hippocampus least ($\bar{S} = 0.19$), runs roughly opposite to the temporal stability hierarchy. Directionally consistent olfactory data (Bolding \& Franks 2018) motivate an attractor network model in which recurrent excitatory coupling amplifies split-half RDM consistency by completing stimulus patterns from sparse feedforward input ($ρ= +0.64$, $p = 0.010$), providing a circuit-level account of how geometric stability emerges. These results establish geometric stability as a functionally relevant, circuit-dependent property of neural population codes, orthogonal to temporal drift measures and complementary to recent accounts of how recurrent connectivity balances representational stability with sequential dynamics in hippocampal circuits. --- ### Budgeted Act-or-Defer Multi-Agent LLM Deliberation with Local Reliability Bounds Authors: Mengdie Flora Wang, Haochen Xie, Guanghui Wang, Devin Zhang, Jae Oh Woo Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.AI, cs.MA arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29654v1 Multi-agent deliberation among LLMs can improve reasoning, but deployment requires deciding when the current answer is reliable enough to act on and when it should be escalated to human review. We formulate this as budgeted act-or-defer decision making. At each round, the system maps the debate prefix to a low-dimensional state, computes a $k$-nearest-neighbor lower confidence bound on state-conditional correctness using calibration data, and acts only when the bound exceeds a user-specified reliability threshold. The certificate controls wrong actions through the decomposition $β= δ+ α+ \varepsilon_{\mathrm{act}}$, separating calibration failure, residual action risk, and representation gap. The guarantee is conditional, not distribution-free: it relies on a valid local bias envelope and an action-region representation-gap bound, and each assumption is paired with falsification-style diagnostics. Because the same absolute wrong-action budget has different meanings across tasks of different difficulty, we set budgets relative to each task's final-round error using training data only, and evaluate safety by normalized budget usage $\mathrm{WA}/β$. On six benchmarks against nine baselines, the method uses 9--12% of the pre-declared budget on activated datasets, reaching up to 84% automation and 96% acted-on accuracy; on stress-test datasets, it defers rather than forcing unreliable automation. Rather than relying on per-task post-hoc threshold search, the method prospectively converts a user-declared wrong-action budget into an auditable act-or-defer operating point before deployment, under explicitly stated assumptions. --- ### Resolution Thresholds in VLM Detection of Harmful ASCII Art Across Construction Modes and Languages Authors: Yikai Hua, Peter West Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29649v1 Large Vision-Language Models (VLMs) are increasingly deployed as content moderation tools, yet they remain vulnerable to jailbreak attacks in which harmful text is visually encoded as ASCII art. This can allow inappropriate or harmful content to bypass moderation systems. To address this vulnerability, this paper investigates how image resolution affects VLM detection of harmful ASCII art across eight character construction modes (L1-L8), ranging from dense block characters to word-embedded designs. We evaluate eight state-of-the-art VLMs on English and Chinese corpora using a pipeline that generates ASCII art images at ten resolution scales, probing whether a consistent detection-failure threshold exists across models, modes, and languages. Results indicate that detection rates decline sharply above certain resolution thresholds, and that word-based modes are the most resistant to detection across the full resolution range. These findings reveal a systematic vulnerability in VLM-based content moderation systems and motivate resolution-aware evaluation standards. --- ### Hybrid Retriever Evolution for Multimodal Document Reasoning Agents Authors: Bohan Yao, Shruthan Radhakrishna, Vikas Yadav Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.MA arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29648v1 Different retrievers, including lexical, semantic, and multimodal approaches, provide highly complementary strengths for multimodal document understanding, yet most systems combine them through fixed pipelines that cannot adapt to the demands of individual reasoning steps. In this work, we ask whether retrieval orchestration itself can be learned as part of the reasoning process. We introduce a failure-driven evolution framework in which a meta-agent autonomously discovers how a tool-using task agent should coordinate diverse retrievers during multi-step document question answering. The meta-agent analyzes incorrect reasoning trajectories, actively probes the same tool environment to diagnose root causes, and iteratively rewrites the task agent's instructions, turning retrieval from a fixed front-end stage into an adaptive, step-wise reasoning decision. The evolved agent learns when to invoke each retriever, how to combine them, and how to compose evidence across modalities and pages. On MMLongBench-Doc and DocBench, the evolved agent achieves gains of up to +19.6 points over the unevolved baseline and consistently outperforms recent systems including MACT, MDocAgent, and SimpleDoc. Detailed retrieval analyses confirm that these improvements arise from adaptive routing and evidence composition rather than reliance on any hard coded retrieval mode, and evolution dynamics reveal a progressive shift from narrow lexical behavior to rich multi-tool coordination. These findings establish autonomous multi-agent coordination as a promising paradigm for multimodal document reasoning. --- ### Fuzzing Large Language Models to Elicit Hidden Behaviours Authors: Mohammed Abu Baker, Lakshmi Babu-Saheer Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29646v1 Sleeper agents are the canonical model organism of deception: models trained to behave normally but to emit an unsafe behaviour on a specific trigger. Eliciting that behaviour without knowing the trigger has not been studied systematically. We study fuzzing: injecting Gaussian noise into a model's weights or residual-stream activations and checking whether the perturbed outputs reveal the behaviour. On 6 backdoored models (7B-13B) we compare both forms of fuzzing head-to-head against temperature-sampling baselines. Fuzzing elicits the hidden behaviour more often than temperature sampling on 4 of 6 models (up to ~6x on OpenHermes-13B), and which form wins depends on the task, so both are worth running. Elicitation is uneven across each method's hyperparameter grid: a uniform sweep gives only a few percent on most models, while the best cell is 2-10x higher, so the bottleneck is hyperparameter selection, not the technique. To select hyperparameters without ground-truth access, we use a cheap proxy task (in-context secret elicitation, where a base64-encoded secret is placed in the system prompt for the model to hide) and run Thompson sampling on it to pick candidate cells, which we evaluate on the real backdoor. On the four models that can decode the secret, proxy-selected cells raise activation-fuzzing elicitation ~4x over the uniform-sweep mean (recovering ~70% of the best-cell rate on the best performing model) and weight-fuzzing by 1.3-1.8x. To our knowledge this is the first systematic study of fuzzing on sleeper-agent backdoors and the first to show proxy-task hyperparameter selection transferring to real-task elicitation. We also propose reporting such results as a (uniform-baseline, proxy-selected, oracle) triple, since these are three distinct claims that prior work has often blurred. --- ### t-STEP: An interpretable model for Total Electron Content predictions and irregularities estimations Authors: Stephen Tete, Carl Shneider, Maxime Cordy, Claudio Cesaroni, Andreas Hein, Vasily Petrov Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.LG, physics.space-ph arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29644v1 Earth system infrastructures relying on satellite-based technologies, such as Global Positioning System (GPS) communications, are affected by ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC) gradients. Modeling these gradients under physical constraints remains challenging due to their dynamic and transient nature. While existing machine learning (ML) models can predict hourly TEC variations, it remains unclear whether their temporal resolution is sufficient to preserve small-scale TEC irregularities within predicted signals. To address this gap, we introduce an interpretable ML-based model, t-STEP, designed to predict TEC at a 30-second resolution and estimate irregularity signatures from the modeled signals. This high cadence enables the derivation of Rate of TEC changes (ROT) and the ROT Index (ROTI) as diagnostic indicators of ionospheric variability. The model is developed using GPS observations from solar cycle 24 at a station located at 5.49°S, 47.49°W. A multi-metric evaluation framework, including dynamic time warping, is used for robustness assessment, while SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) provides insight into feature contributions. The 30-second TEC predictions achieve 91% accuracy with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.38 TECU during high solar activity (2015). Compared with the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI-2020), the hourly model improves accuracy by 35%, reduces absolute errors by 57%, and increases prediction skill by 54%. More importantly, the 30-second model captures TEC irregularity dynamics and morphologies during geomagnetic storms of different intensities, outperforming an attention-based Long Short-Term Memory model under the same experimental conditions. This study demonstrates the potential of a single TEC prediction framework for scalable irregularity monitoring without requiring separate models for individual transient events. --- ### Fast Wireless Foundation Models with Early-Exits Authors: Omar Mashaal, Hatem Abou-Zeid Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: eess.SP, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29640v1 While wireless foundation models (FMs) are demonstrating strong potential to enable AI-Native 6G networks, their high computational cost remains a critical barrier to deployment. The large computational cost stems from the rigid, full-depth execution of the FM backbone for every task, a process we show is not only inefficient but can also degrade performance on unseen out-of-distribution (OOD) tasks. In this paper, we propose a novel early-exit FM framework that attaches lightweight, per-task heads, at the most appropriate exit-stage of a frozen wireless FM encoder, enabling variable-depth inference tailored to each task's preferred representation depth. Our results demonstrate that these intermediate-layer features not only speed-up inference significantly (up to 93% fewer FLOPs), but also provide more transferable representations that exceed the full encoder accuracy on unseen tasks. We further demonstrate that a simple fixed-exit strategy per task is more effective than traditional early-exiting policies that route different samples to different exits based on their perceived difficulty levels. --- ### Two-Stage Prompt Optimization for Few-Shot Relation Extraction: From Reasoning-Guided Search to Gradient-Guided Refinement Authors: Aunabil Chakma, Mihai Surdeanu, Eduardo Blanco Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29639v1 Automatic prompt optimization is still underexplored for episodic few-shot relation extraction with smaller language models. We propose a two-stage framework that combines reasoning-based prompt optimization with gradient-based prompt optimization. The first stage can use any reasoning-based optimizer to make broadprompt improvements in natural language. The second stage applies our GradPO, which uses loss and gradient signals to identify high-impact prompt spans and refine them with local edits. Experiments on FS-TACRED and FS-FewRel show that local refinement usually improves prompts found by the first stage, and GradPO is the most consistent refiner. Our framework achieves state-of-the-art performance on FS-TACRED with Qwen3-4B and remains competitive on FS-FewRel. --- ### Lie Group Diffusion Models for Hardware-Aware Quantum Circuit Synthesis Authors: Jyotirmai Singh Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: quant-ph, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29636v1 An important task in quantum computing is unitary circuit synthesis compatible with physical hardware constraints. This problem has a natural hybrid structure as local single-qubit gates are continuous variables on the Lie group $SU(2)$ while the entangling circuit structure is discrete and hardware-dependent. In this work, we use generative models to perform quantum circuit synthesis incorporating both the natural $SU(2)$ manifold geometry of quantum gates and hardware constraints that determine the overall circuit structure. Our model comprises two components: a circuit skeleton selector that chooses an entangling circuit and a diffusion model that generates quantum gates on the given circuit template by performing diffusion on the curved manifold $\mathrm{SU(2)} \simeq S^3$ itself. We demonstrate this approach with unitary compilation of physically motivated three-qubit Hamiltonian simulation targets such as the Transverse Field Ising Model and the Heisenberg-XXZ Model and show that Lie group diffusion outperforms comparable baselines. The synthesised circuits can also be customised subject to constraints, which we demonstrate by producing circuits with large and small gate rotation angles for the same target unitary evolution. We also investigate the fidelity-complexity frontier of the synthesised gates to demonstrate that the circuit selector learns to select circuits that balance fidelity with complexity rather than collapsing onto the most expansive entangling template. These results demonstrate that Lie group diffusion provides a natural generative framework for hardware-aware quantum circuit synthesis. --- ### VIB-AVSR: Variational Information Bottleneck for Noise-Robust LLM-Based Audio-Visual Speech Recognition Authors: Piyush Arora, Navlika Singh, Umberto Cappellazzo, Stavros Petridis, Maja Pantic Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: eess.AS, cs.CV, cs.SD arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29632v1 Audio-Visual Speech Recognition takes two input modalities, acoustic and visual streams, where visual information from lip movements aids recognition when audio is noisy. Recently, LLM-based AVSR models have emerged as a promising paradigm by connecting pre-trained audio-visual encoders to an LLM, achieving strong results in clean conditions. However, these models are predominantly optimized for clean acoustic conditions, with limited attention to making the LLM backbone robust to noise. No explicit mechanism is employed to produce stable representations under corrupted audio, leading to performance degradation in noisy environments. To address this, we propose VIB-AVSR, which integrates Variational Information Bottleneck layers at targeted positions within the LLM backbone to regularize representations. VIB-AVSR reduces degradation under noisy conditions across multiple SNR levels and noise types, without requiring architectural modifications or additional training data. --- ### SFBench: The SciFy Scientific Feasibility Benchmark Authors: Cash Costello, James Mayfield, Elsbeth Turcan, Christine Piatko, Christina K. Pikas, Justin Rokisky, Sam Scheck, Chris Ribaudo, Ritwik Bose, Alex Memory Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29630v1 We present SFBench, a benchmark dataset for evaluating systems that assess the feasibility of scientific claims. SFBench includes 197 claims in materials science, each annotated with a ground-truth feasibility score on a five-point scale along with an explanation of that assessment. The collection differs from previous collections in several important ways: 1) it defines a complex task that requires reasoning over claims of varying scientific feasibility; 2) its claims are not extracted from existing scientific publications but are created de novo, greatly reducing the chances that LLMs have trained on them; 3) claims and ground truth are established by subject matter experts, not by artificial intelligence; and 4) unlike many benchmarks that ask about question/answer pairs, provide multiple choice answers, or ask questions requiring short, fixed answers, SFBench explanations are completely open-ended. We describe the benchmark design, data creation process, and evaluation metrics, and we report baseline results using recent GPT models. --- ### Kriging and neural network models for pressure losses across perforated plates Authors: Shuai Li Published: 2026-06-28 Categories: physics.flu-dyn, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.29628v1 In this paper, two novel data-driven models based on kriging and neural networks (NN) are proposed to predict pressure losses across perforated plates with circular perforations in turbulent flows. The models are developed using two sets of experimental data available in the literature. The predictive performance of the proposed models is assessed and compared against widely used empirical formulae. It is found that the proposed models consistently outperform existing empirical models for most perforated plate configurations contained in the experimental datasets. Besides, the predicted pressure losses generally show good agreement with experimental measurements, demonstrating that data-driven approaches based on kriging and NN provide a feasible framework for modelling pressure losses across perforated plates. Overall, both approaches are promising, despite being trained on a relatively limited amount of experimental data, owing to the scarcity of measurements reported in the literature. To demonstrate the applicability of the proposed models in numerical simulations, two-dimensional channel flows are simulated using the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations, in which the new pressure-loss models are implemented as a source term in the momentum equations. The RANS predictions are found to be in excellent agreement with the model predictions, confirming the suitability of the proposed approaches for practical computational fluid dynamics applications. ---