# Research Papers — 2026-06 · bundle page 60 of 260 > Full-text markdown of papers #2951–3000 of 12993 published in 2026-06, newest first. AI-readable mirrors of the full 12993-paper 2026-06 archive (50 papers per file). Canonical page: https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-06/page/60 [← Previous bundle](https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-06/page/59.md) [Next bundle →](https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-06/page/61.md) ### Information from coincidences Authors: Akshay Balsubramani Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.IT, math.PR, math.ST, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25042v1 We prove a single algebraic mixed coincidence identity that unifies a broad swath of information-theoretic variational results. For any family of priors $\{π_i\}$ and real exponents $\{ α_i \}$, the log of the mixed count $E_{x\simν}\!\left(\prod_{i=1}^W π_i^{α_i}(x)\right)$ is simultaneously a Boltzmann coincidence weight, an exponential-family normalizer, a maximum-entropy value, and a KL-barycenter optimum. The identity yields a unified derivation of classical cornerstones of information theory: concentration of empirical distributions (Sanov-type decompositions and Gibbs conditioning), hypothesis-testing error exponents (Chernoff information and its multi-way analogue), change-of-measure inequalities (Donsker-Varadhan and PAC-Bayes), and laws governing rare-pattern coincidences (Erdos-Renyi run-length, iterative guesswork, rate-distortion, and birthday thresholds). Each is recovered as a specialization of the same algebraic equality. It strictly generalizes the classical Renyi entropy and divergence variational formulas (one and two priors respectively) to a $W$-prior simplex, and holds for unnormalized and continuum-indexed priors. Among its consequences are an exact multi-prior PAC-Bayes penalty that subtracts an explicit "coincidence bonus" from the usual single-prior posterior penalty, and the asymptotic MAP error exponent for $W$-ary hypothesis testing as an edge-restricted simplex optimum. We demonstrate the calculus at scale on two large alphabets encoding richly modeled sequential languages: on language-model next-token predictives where we recover contrastive decoding, and on human genomic regulatory sequence where it separates correlated from diverse prior families along a sliding-window trace. --- ### Wan-Streamer v0.1: End-to-end Real-time Interactive Foundation Models Authors: Lianghua Huang, Zhi-Fan Wu, Wei Wang, Yupeng Shi, Mengyang Feng, Junjie He, Chen-Wei Xie, Yu Liu, Jingren Zhou, Ang Wang, Bang Zhang, Baole Ai et al. Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI, cs.GR, cs.SD arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25041v3 We present Wan-Streamer, a native-streaming, end-to-end interactive foundation model designed from the ground up for real-time, low-latency, full-duplex audio-visual interaction. Wan-Streamer seamlessly models language, audio, and video as both input and output within a single Transformer, where the sequence is represented as interleaved visual, audio, and text input tokens together with visual, audio, and text output tokens, coordinated by block-causal attention for incremental streaming. Unlike cascaded interactive systems that rely on separate VAD, ASR, language, TTS, audio-driven animation, or video-generation modules, Wan-Streamer does not rely on external language, speech, avatar, or video-generation modules: perception, reasoning, generation, response timing, turn management, and cross-modal synchronization are learned jointly within one unified model, reducing pipeline latency and error accumulation. To support natural audio-visual responsiveness, we redesign the entire stack around streamability, including causal encoders, causal decoders, block-causal attention, and low-latency multimodal token scheduling, enabling streaming units as short as 160 ms at 25 fps. Wan-Streamer achieves approximately 200 ms model-side response latency and approximately 550 ms total interaction latency when combined with 350 ms bidirectional network latency, supporting sub-second duplex audio-visual communication. These results position Wan-Streamer as a unified, end-to-end, multimodal interactive foundation model for low-latency streaming interaction. --- ### Chorus II: Cross-Request Sparsity Reuse for Efficient Image-to-Video Generation Authors: Hao Liu, Chenghuan Huang, Hao Liu, Xing Cai, Chen Li, Ziyang Ma, Jing Lyu, Nong Xiao, Jiangsu Du Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25040v1 Serving diffusion models for image-to-video generation is computationally expensive, posing significant challenges for large-scale deployment. Real I2V workloads often contain similar requests, such as repeated effect templates, related subjects, and recurring shot layouts. Existing cross-request acceleration methods mainly exploit this redundancy through feature reuse. We observe that similar I2V requests also share highly consistent sparse attention patterns, enabling historical sparse masks to serve as request-conditioned priors with almost no online mask-prediction overhead. We propose a cross-request reuse framework centered on \textbf{sparsity reuse}, with \textbf{feature reuse} as an optional extension safeguarded by a lightweight \textbf{guidance enhancement}. Our sparsity reuse is implemented as shared sparse mask reuse, which reuses high-quality sparse masks from similar historical requests to avoid per-request online mask prediction. Optional feature reuse applies downsampled computation to highly redundant spatiotemporal regions, mitigating boundary artifacts while preserving efficiency gains. Guidance enhancement reinforces image/text conditioning after reuse, mitigating semantic drift and condition-adherence issues. Experiments show that default sparsity reuse configuration preserves generation quality with a \textbf{2.16$\times$} speedup. --- ### LLM-ACES: Closed-Loop Discovery of Dynamical Systems with LLM-Guided Adaptive Search Authors: Nikhil Abhyankar, Sha Li, Sanchit Kabra, Naren Ramakrishnan, Yulia Gel, Chandan K. Reddy Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CL, math.DS arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25039v1 Recovering governing Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) from data is a central challenge in modeling dynamical systems across scientific domains. Existing approaches cast discovery as a static inference problem over fixed datasets, assuming that the observed trajectories are sufficiently informative. However, dynamical systems evolve over large state spaces, and limited data can make multiple equations observationally indistinguishable, leading to identifiability gaps and the recovery of incorrect governing equations. To address this, we introduce LLM-ACES, or LLM-guided Active Closed-loop Equation Search, a closed-loop framework that jointly optimizes symbolic hypothesis construction and adaptive data acquisition. In LLM-ACES, a large language model (LLM) proposes operator priors that partition the large search space into distinct regions, within which candidate equations are fit to the observed data. The disagreement among these candidates guides the acquisition of informative trajectories, creating a feedback loop that iteratively refines both the hypothesis space and the discovered dynamics. On 122 ODE systems spanning ODEBench and ODEBase, LLM-ACES achieves the lowest median NMSE, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines by several orders of magnitude while achieving a high symbolic accuracy of 46.2% and 52.4%, respectively. Our analysis further shows that LLM-ACES is sample-efficient, achieving better performance with one-tenth the data. Furthermore, LLM-ACES's feedback-driven data acquisition makes it robust to noise and recovers the correct symbolic structure, while baselines introduce spurious terms that fit the data locally but obscure the true governing relationships. --- ### Yuvion VL: A Multimodal Foundation Model for Adversarial Content and AI Safety Authors: Shikai Qiu, Xiaowen Xu, Benlei Cui, Ting Ma, Xiufeng Huang, Wenjing Jiang, Shaoxuan He, Haolei Xu, Chunyang Chai, Yujian Li, Yiliang Zhang, Guanghui Wang et al. Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25034v2 General-purpose models often struggle to reliably identify and understand real-world multimodal risks, largely due to the inherent multimodal adversarial nature of content and AI safety. We present Yuvion VL, a family of multimodal large language models purpose-built for content and AI safety, with both instruction-tuned and reasoning-oriented variants. Yuvion VL addresses this gap by treating safety as an inherently adversarial and multimodal problem and designing the entire pipeline around adversarial robustness. For data construction, we develop an automated pipeline integrating adversarial-aware data synthesis with multi-stage quality control, producing large-scale, high-quality multimodal samples augmented with domain knowledge and reasoning annotations. For training, we adopt a three-stage pipeline that includes continued pretraining for risk-concept cross-modal alignment, instruct post-training for production-grade safety tasks, and reasoning post-training for enhanced interpretability and performance in complex tasks. We further introduce Confuse-then-Contrast Fine-Tuning, a contrastive framework that mines model-specific confusions and constructs multi-image contrastive groups to enforce explicit discrimination of fine-grained visual-semantic elements, enabling the model to distinguish between visually similar cases with different safety implications in adversarial safety tasks. To support rigorous evaluation, we further introduce Yuvion VL RiskEval (YVRE), a collection of benchmarks covering diverse open and internal evaluations, with a focus on content and AI safety, adversarial robustness, and real-world capability requirements. Experiments show that Yuvion VL-32B achieves industry-leading safety performance, surpassing comparably sized open-source models and best closed-source commercial models, while maintaining comparable general capabilities. --- ### Do Thinking Tokens Help with Safety? Authors: Narutatsu Ri, Abhishek Panigrahi, Sanjeev Arora Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25013v1 Today's reasoning models use thinking tokens to attain stronger performance on benchmarks than their instruction-tuned counterparts. It is also generally believed that this more "deliberative" mode should improve alignment and safety, by providing the model a safe space to consider whether its planned answer to a request violates its safety principles. We present evidence that this intuition is not always correct. Across frontier open-weight reasoning models spanning GPT-OSS, Qwen, Olmo, and Phi families, we find that the eventual refusal/compliance outcome is already strongly predictable via a trained head on the first token's hidden representation ($0.84$-$0.95$ AUROC and $\sim88\%$ balanced accuracy for predicting refusal/compliance) before any visible thinking. The thinking process turns out to be more akin to prefix completion than to deliberative revision, with the final outcome rarely changing after the first $\sim20\%$ of thinking, despite giving the appearance of deliberation at the text level ($\sim74\%$ of text-level deliberations occur when the response distribution is already locked to one refusal/compliance side). We also find that existing inference-time and training-based safety interventions, despite being motivated by the goal of inducing deliberation, largely shift model behavior toward over-refusal while suppressing already-scarce deliberation signals. Our results suggest that safety behavior in current reasoning models is much less deliberative than commonly assumed, and highlight the need for methods that induce real safety deliberation. --- ### Bias-Controlled Primal-Dual Natural Actor-Critic: Optimal Rates for Constrained Multi-Objective Average-Reward RL Authors: Ankur Naskar, Swetha Ganesh, Vaneet Aggarwal Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25012v1 Many reinforcement learning (RL) problems in the infinite-horizon average-reward setting require optimizing multiple conflicting objectives while satisfying multiple safety constraints. A common approach is concave scalarization, where the agent maximizes a utility $ f(J^π_{r_1}, \ldots, J^π_{r_M}) $ subject to a scalarized constraint $ g(J^π_{c_1}, \ldots, J^π_{c_N}) \ge 0 $, where $J^π_{r_m}$ and $J^π_{c_n}$ denote the average-reward and cost under policy $π$. However, the nonlinearity of $f$ and $g$ introduces bias in policy-gradient and actor-critic methods, since gradients must be evaluated using noisy estimates of $J^π,$ and $ \mathbb{E}(\partial f(J^π)) \neq \partial f(\mathbb{E}(J^π)),$ and this bias propagates through both primal and dual updates. We propose an MLMC-based primal-dual Natural Actor-Critic algorithm for average-reward MDPs that controls bias in scalarized objectives, constraint evaluation, and actor-critic estimation without requiring mixing-time knowledge. We show that the algorithm achieves optimal global convergence and constraint-violation rates of $ \tilde{O}(1/\sqrt{T}) $. To our knowledge, this is the first result establishing optimal convergence for concave scalarized multi-objective RL in the average-reward setting, both with and without constraints, and the first to do so without mixing-time information even in the absence of scalarization. --- ### Emergent Capabilities Arise Randomly from Learning Sparse Attention Patterns Authors: Vatsal Baherwani, Zixi Chen, Shikai Qiu, Andrew Gordon Wilson, Pavel Izmailov Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25010v1 Neural scaling laws for transformer language models predict smooth improvements in pretraining loss with increasing parameters, but downstream capabilities such as in-context learning are known to emerge abruptly past a certain model scale. In this paper, we show that emergent capabilities arise stochastically throughout training, with larger models acquiring them earlier on average. We demonstrate that the emergence of capabilities such as pattern completion and indirect object identification corresponds to the abrupt learning of task-relevant attention patterns. To isolate this phenomenon, we train transformer models on synthetic linear map and cellular automata datasets, and we show that the difficulty of learning attention patterns depends on context length and pattern sparsity. Moreover, scaling the number of attention heads improves learning efficiency on our synthetic tasks, while increasing the head dimension yields diminishing returns past a minimum capacity. We additionally investigate architectures with alternative attention mechanisms, showing that MLP-Mixer outperforms a transformer on linear map tasks with complex attention patterns. Our findings provide a mechanistic insight into emergence, showing that downstream capabilities arise abruptly due to the intrinsic difficulty of learning sparse attention patterns in transformer models. --- ### Noise-Aware Boundary-Enhanced Generative Learning for Ultrasound Speckle Reduction Authors: Yuexi Gu, Mengqi Wu, Yongheng Sun, Virginie Papadopoulou, Mingxia Liu, Maureen Kohi Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25009v2 Ultrasound is a non-invasive, real-time, and cost-effective imaging technique widely used in clinical diagnosis. However, its diagnostic efficacy is often compromised by inherent speckle noise that degrades image quality and obscures underlying anatomical structures. Existing speckle reduction methods tend to over-smooth tissue boundaries and generalize poorly to heterogeneous noise levels. To address these limitations, we propose a Noise-Aware Boundary-Enhanced Generative Learning (NBGL) framework for ultrasound speckle reduction, which simultaneously preserves annotated anatomical boundaries and adapts to varying noise levels. The NBGL framework consists of a speckle reduction branch and a boundary enhancement branch. The former leverages generative learning to suppress speckle noise, while the latter learns boundary-sensitive representations to preserve target anatomical structures. Furthermore, a noise-aware interaction weight generation (NIWG) module estimates the speckle noise level via 3D Laplacian filtering and a median absolute deviation estimator, and translates it into an adaptive interaction weight. This weight is incorporated into a weighted feature-wise linear modulation (wFiLM) module to adaptively modulate cross-branch feature coupling, thereby improving robustness to varying noise levels. Extensive evaluations on 141 3D transvaginal ultrasound volumes demonstrate that NBGL consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods in speckle reduction and structural preservation across six noise levels, while maintaining consistency with annotated anatomical boundaries. --- ### Neural Scaling Universality: If Exponents Are Fixed, Time to Understand Coefficients Authors: Yizhou Liu, Jeff Gore Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25008v1 Neural scaling laws describe how pre-training loss decays as power laws with training time, model size, and compute. This position paper argues that the exponents of these power laws are fixed by generic mechanisms: a one-third time scaling due to the strong nonlinearity of Softmax, an inverse width scaling due to representational superposition, and an inverse depth scaling due to ensemble averaging of Transformer layers. These mechanisms are robust to a wide range of data structures and architectural details, placing current large language models in a universality class with fixed exponents. The coefficients, however, are expected to be sensitive to data and architecture details, and directly determine practical quantities such as the optimal model shape and the compute-optimal frontier. We therefore argue that understanding the coefficients is the key to near-term performance improvements, and that a closer examination of the current universality class may reveal pathways to better universality classes. --- ### Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion for Financial Fraud Detection Authors: Mohammadamin Dashti Moghaddam, Nick Sciarrilli Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, q-fin.ST arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25007v1 Financial fraud detection in digital banking requires reasoning over multiple heterogeneous event streams -- transactions, login sessions, risk signals -- that individually appear benign but collectively reveal fraudulent patterns. We propose the Multi-Stream Fraud Transformer (MSFT), a unified architecture that encodes each event stream with independent Transformer encoders and fuses their representations through configurable mechanisms. We conduct a systematic ablation study comparing five fusion strategies: concatenation, gated fusion, time-aware positional encoding, cross-stream attention, and a full combination. On a large-scale dataset (10M users, 1.5% fraud rate) with 85M parameter models, we demonstrate that (1) sequence models significantly outperform gradient-boosted trees operating on aggregated features (0.74 vs. 0.99 AUROC), (2) per-stream encoding is essential -- a single-stream Transformer baseline with matched parameter budget reaches only 0.82 AUROC, an 18-point gap that confirms the multi-stream inductive bias is necessary, (3) time-aware positional encoding achieves the highest discrimination (0.9961 AUROC), (4) gated fusion yields the best precision (0.989) suitable for production deployment, and (5) the risk event stream provides the strongest individual signal contribution. We further validate on proprietary production data from a digital banking platform, showing over 22% relative AUROC improvement over the XGBoost baseline. --- ### Scalable Peptide Design via Memory-Efficient Equivariant Transformer Authors: Rui Jiao, Xiangzhe Kong, Yinjun Jia, Yijia Zhang, Ziyi Yang, Yang Liu, Jianzhu Ma Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25006v2 Target-specific peptide design requires sequence and structure co-design under full atom geometric constraints. Latent generative frameworks offer an effective route for this problem by compressing fine grained atomic structures into block level latent representations and performing conditional generation in a compact latent space. However, the scalability of such systems depends heavily on the geometric backbone used throughout their encoding, decoding, and denoising components. We introduce MEET (Memory Efficient Equivariant Transformer), an E(3) equivariant backbone for scalable atomistic peptide modeling. MEET maintains coupled invariant scalar and equivariant vector feature streams, while reformulating geometric computation around memory efficient attention. It initializes vector features through global coordinate aggregation, incorporates pairwise distances through augmented query and key dot products, and injects covalent bond information through sparse bond adaptation. Integrated into a VAE and latent diffusion pipeline for full atom peptide generation, MEET achieves linear memory scaling with atom count and improves generation quality over existing peptide design methods. Experiments on large scale AFDB derived datasets further show that the proposed backbone supports systematic model and data scaling, leading to better binding affinity, physical validity, and sample diversity. --- ### Certification of Machine Learning Models via Directional Sharpness Authors: Gefei Tan, Adria Gascon, Sarah Meiklejohn, Mariana Raykova Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.CR arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25004v1 In machine learning, model certification has been identified as an important method for gaining assurance about a model's trustworthiness and quality. A model's quality is largely determined by its ability to generalize, i.e., to perform well on data beyond what it was trained on. It is not possible to certify generalization directly, however, as it depends on unknown data and is not directly measurable. Proxies such as test accuracy can be misleading when the training process is perturbed (intentionally or accidentally), and metrics such as sharpness -- which has an empirically supported link to generalization -- are computationally expensive and can also serve as unreliable signals when training deviates from a prescribed procedure. In this work, we propose directional sharpness, a metric designed to efficiently and reliably indicate generalization despite potential training deviations. We provide empirical and analytical evidence that directional sharpness (1) correlates more strongly with generalization than existing metrics and (2) identifies models with poor generalization more reliably than existing metrics. Furthermore, directional sharpness is efficiently computable in model auditing settings, where the verifier has access to training data, and via zero-knowledge proofs that certify quality without revealing training data. --- ### Adaptive Joint Compression and Synchronisation in Federated Split Learning for IoT Rainfall Prediction Authors: Wenjie Ding, Yi Sin Lin, Jiale Liu, Baoyi Liu, Guanghua Liu, Zhuolu Li, Suleiman Sabo, Chuadhry Mujeeb Ahmed, Aydin Abadi, Rehmat Ullah, Rajiv Ranjan Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25003v1 Federated split learning (FSL) enables collaborative training across bandwidth-constrained IoT devices, but repeated activation and gradient exchange creates a communication bot-tleneck. Prior work optimises either activation compression or synchronisation frequency in isolation. This paper presents an FSL framework for IoT rainfall prediction that jointly regulates activation compression and the synchronisation interval \r{ho} via a latency driven scheduler on a server with per client EMA smoothing. The system is evaluated on hourly ERA5 data from 11 weather stations through a 17 scenario simulation matrix and a four scenario Raspberry Pi deployment over a real wide-area link. The simulation matrix validates scheduler switching across low, high, and mixed latency profiles, while the Pi deployment validates the high latency endpoint selected by the same policy. AUPRC varies only slightly across configurations (0.6381-0.6484 in simulation; within 0.011 on Pi), indicating that aggressive quantisation and sparser aggregation do not materially degrade predictive quality in this setting. On Pi, the selected endpoint (int8 with rho=3) achieves an 87% reduction in activation upload payload and a 54% reduction in synchronisation traffic relative to the float32 baseline, while reducing runtime jitter from +/-688 s to +/-10 s. --- ### TRACER: Training-Free Closed-Loop Structured Inference for Traffic Accident Reconstruction Authors: Yanchen Guan, Chengyue Wang, Bin Rao, Haicheng Liao, Jiaxun Zhang, Shang Gao, Chengzhong Xu, Zhenning Li Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25002v1 Traffic accident reconstruction is a forensic inverse problem that requires recovering physically consistent motion from sparse and heterogeneous evidence. Existing learning-based approaches predominantly optimize for semantic plausibility or visual realism, rather than quantitative agreement with measurable geometry and dynamics. Here, we present TRACER, a training-free framework that formulates reconstruction as a closed-loop structured inference process. Instead of directly generating dense trajectories, our framework constructs and iteratively refines event-anchored motion hypotheses under geometric, kinematic, and interaction constraints, guided by structured case memory and consistency-driven diagnosis. This design enables incremental, interpretable corrections when evidence is insufficient, making the accident reconstruction process more aligned with the workflow of human experts. Experiments on real-world accident data show that TRACER achieves improved geometric fidelity, velocity consistency, and collision accuracy over both data-driven and physics-based baselines. --- ### Erased, but Not Gone: Output Forgetting Is Not True Forgetting Authors: Teresa Pui Yee Yong, Win Kent Ong, Chee Seng Chan Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25001v1 Machine unlearning (MU) is commonly judged by output forgetting, such as low forget-set accuracy or reduced logit-level membership inference. But if output-level success can coexist with retraining-inconsistent residuals in representation space, what kind of forgetting are current evaluations actually certifying? We study this question through retraining-consistent representation forgetting, using the retrained model (i.e., trained from scratch without the forget data) as an operational reference for correct forgetting. Across multiple unlearning methods, datasets, and models, our theoretical analysis and empirical results show that standard output-level evaluation can systematically overestimate the success of unlearning. Under this stronger lens, current methods often appear forgotten at the output layer while exhibiting a structured mismatch relative to retraining. They partially align with retraining on forget samples, remain more inconsistent on retain samples, and leave residual discrepancy concentrated along retraining-related directions rather than diffuse in representation space. This structured mismatch is characterized by forget/retain asymmetry, directional mismatch, and concentrated residuals along retraining-related directions. These results suggest that current MU is often evaluated for apparent forgetting rather than retraining-consistent forgetting. More broadly, retraining reveals what output forgetting hides. --- ### Geo-Strat-RL: Learning Geological Event Reasoning from Verifiable Tasks Authors: Lukas Mosser Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, physics.geo-ph arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25000v1 To evaluate whether vision-language models can reason about geological histories, it is necessary to construct observations for which the underlying process history is known. Furthermore, reasoning over geological histories is not just a question of recognizing visual patterns, but also of understanding temporal and structural relationships that may be only indirectly visible or highly ambiguous. When ground-truth event histories are not uniquely identifiable or are unavailable, it remains an open challenge to teach models capable of visual reasoning to produce valid geological reconstructions that are consistent with both observed evidence and geological principles. We therefore investigate whether defining a verifiable geological reasoning task can improve geological event reconstruction across observation domains through reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR). To this end, we present Geo-Strat-RL, a synthetic environment that generates stratigraphic observations and compact visible-evidence event histories. The environment combines a geological generator with an executable verifier that scores chronology, event identity, deposition, and structural relationships. We show that RLVR improves geological reconstruction in vision-language models (VLMs), increasing geological content scores on held out stratigraphic diagrams. We further evaluate the same held-out geological histories in a synthetic seismic observation domain by converting the generated scenes into acoustic-impedance-derived amplitude sections. In this controlled paired-renderer setting, we present evidence that geological reasoning learned from stratigraphic diagram-domain RLVR training transfers to synthetic seismic representations without seismic-specific training examples, supporting the hypothesis that RLVR can teach reusable geological reasoning concepts across related observation formats. --- ### A Zeroth-Order Deep Learning Method for Fully Nonlinear Parabolic Partial Differential Equations with Unknown Coefficients Authors: Yanwei Jia, Du Ouyang, Huyên Pham, Xun Yu Zhou Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, math.OC arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24999v1 High-dimensional partial differential equations (PDEs) with unknown coefficients arise widely in scientific machine learning, including continuous-time reinforcement learning, yet solving them efficiently in a data-driven way remains challenging. Existing deep learning solvers often rely on repeated automatic differentiation to evaluate differential operators, which can cause instability and amplify derivative errors in high dimensions, while probabilistic methods based on stochastic representations require explicit knowledge of the data-generating dynamics and therefore do not apply to black-box environments. We introduce two types of simulators as data-generating mechanisms, and take a ``representing-then-learning" approach that learns the solutions and their derivatives under settings where the underlying PDE operators are accessible only through simulations and pointwise evaluations. Our representation of derivatives relies on the zeroth-order derivative (ZOD) estimators derived from perturbed Monte Carlo trajectories. This fully model-free approach generates targets for the gradient and Hessian networks using only function evaluations. We provide a statistical learning analysis of the proposed approach, including a bias--variance tradeoff for ZODs. Assuming a standard contraction property of the underlying operator, we establish a non-asymptotic error bound that decomposes the total error into discretization error, approximation error, statistical error, and ZOD bias. Crucially, we derive the sample complexity of the learned representations in (weighted) Sobolev space, characterizing the error up to second-order derivatives. Numerical experiments illustrate the competitive performance of the method in moderate and high dimensions. --- ### Internal Data Repetition Destroys Language Models Authors: Jessica Chudnovsky, Joshua Kazdan, Noam Levi, Rylan Schaeffer, Yegor Denisov-Blanch, Bo He, Mehmet Donmez, Sanmi Koyejo, David Donoho Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24998v1 Language models are running out of high-quality training data, and even aggressively deduplicated corpora retain some amount of repetition. Earlier controlled studies predated Chinchilla-style scaling laws and could only measure the cost of repetition indirectly. We revisit repetition in the Chinchilla era, using a fitted no-repetition scaling law to report Compute-Equivalent Gain and Compute-Equivalent Loss. We show that under this modernized paradigm, repetition damage is systematic in three ways. First, holding compute allocated to repeated data constant, eval loss peaks at an intermediate repeat count $\Rep$; repeating a moderately sized subset a moderate number of times damages performance more than repeating a large subset a few times or a small subset many times. Second, the location of this peak is well-fit by a power law in model size; this scaling law reveals that the most damaging number of repeated data grows more quickly than compute. Finally, when repeated documents consume 10\% of the FLOPs budget in a controlled exact-document repetition setting, the compute-equivalent loss can be large: on FineWeb-Edu-Dedup, the most damaging repeat count for a Qwen3-style 344M-parameter model at $\OT=1$ matches the loss of a no-repetition run using 67% of the FLOPs. We demonstrate that these phenomena are not language-model-specific, and can be analytically understood in a simple statistical model: a misspecified linear regression with verbatim duplicates reproduces the same qualitative loss peak, quantifying how such peaks can arise from a statistical tradeoff between memorization and generalization. Our findings add precision to the study of duplication in language models, allowing practitioners to quantify the wasted compute incurred by the presence and repeat structure of duplicates in pretraining corpora. --- ### What's in an Earth Embedding? An Explainability Analysis of Location Encoders Authors: Livia Betti, Sebastian Ricke, Ivica Obadic, Adam J. Stewart, Esther Rolf Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24997v1 Geographic implicit neural representations (INRs) learn to map any coordinate on Earth to a location embedding, implicitly encoding geospatial data into the weights of a neural network. Location embeddings are widely used off the shelf as general-purpose geospatial representations, yet users lack principled tools to audit what geographic or semantic information these embeddings capture. In this work, we analyze the information content of geographic INRs through their location embeddings. We decompose these embeddings into human-interpretable features$\unicode{x2014}$namely, (i) sparse latent concepts, (ii) natural language concepts, and (iii) visual features. The latent concept embeddings are learned using sparse autoencoders. To recover natural language concepts, we apply sparse linear concept embeddings (SpLiCE) over a predefined geospatial dictionary. Finally, visual features are extracted using saliency maps derived from CLIP Surgery. We show that location embeddings can be decomposed into human-interpretable representations while retaining high reconstruction capability, revealing interpretable geographic structures such as forests, deserts, and urban features. Across methods, sparse decompositions expose systematic differences in encoded information, ranging from urban structures to broader biome and climate signals, and pretraining-space saliency maps further highlight complementary features such as roads and landmarks. We hope this work provides a first step toward interpretable geospatial representations. --- ### From Forecasting Leaderboards to Deployment Decisions: A Fail-Closed Certification Protocol Authors: Geumyoung Kim Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24996v1 Forecasting leaderboards rank models by predictive quality, but their winners are often read as deployment-ready top-1 advice. That reading can fail when forecasts are passed through a fixed decision interface, such as an alert threshold, a top-k budget, or a switching-cost policy. We study when a forecast-side winner can be certified as deployment-actionable for a specified interface and deployed utility. We introduce a fail-closed certification protocol whose gates are sufficient evidential conditions for a strong claim: a friction-caused, non-tie, statistically supported, and recurrent deployment-side reversal. Traffic-Hourly provides a certified anchor: winners agree at zero friction, but positive switching friction makes the forecast winner deployed-suboptimal. A locked native audit tests overclaiming: across 22 verified candidates and 362 full-grid cells, 155 apparent forecast/deployment winner inversions are blocked before certification. The contribution is not a new forecaster, metric, or universal utility, but a conservative protocol for deciding when forecasting leaderboard winners should be read as deployment-actionable top-1 advice. --- ### Are Tabular Foundation Models Robust to Realistic Query Distribution Shifts in Microbiome Data? Authors: Giulia Perciballi, Ahmad Fall, Federica Granese, Edi Prifti, Jean-Daniel Zucker Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, q-bio.QM arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24995v1 Tabular foundation models (TFMs) achieve strong performance on microbiome abundance data, yet their robustness under realistic distribution shift remains poorly characterized. We introduce a benchmark that evaluates the robustness of TFMs to biologically inspired perturbations across six gut microbiome datasets spanning four disease contexts. In this in-context learning setting, models receive unperturbed support sets as context and are evaluated on perturbed query samples. To isolate robustness beyond "shortcut" features, we preserve the most discriminative taxa and apply three controlled perturbation strategies: (i) removal of high-abundance (uninformative) taxa, (ii) sparsification via increased zero-inflation, and (iii) zero-imputation via spurious non-zero injections. Our results show that protecting discriminative features is insufficient to guarantee stability under support-query shift: across datasets, all perturbations degrade model performance, with zero-imputation consistently the most harmful, indicating that corrupting global feature structure can break generalization even when key taxa are retained. Sparsification disproportionately affects TFMs relative to a classical random forest baseline, suggesting greater sensitivity to zero-inflation-type shifts. The code is publicly available at: https://github.com/UMMISCO/metagenomics-fm/. --- ### ExTra: Exploratory Trajectory Optimization for Language Model Reinforcement Learning Authors: Wenyang Hu, Junxiang Jia, Zhen Shu, Daniel Dahlmeier, See-Kiong Ng, Bryan Kian Hsiang Low Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24994v1 Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) for language-model reasoning can fail at both extremes of task difficulty: easy prompts often produce all-correct, low-diversity rollout groups with little gradient signal, while hard prompts can produce all-incorrect groups with no positive reward. We introduce ExTra (Exploratory Trajectory Optimization), a GRPO-compatible framework that extracts exploration signals from the model's own rollouts. ExTra combines two mechanisms: (i) a novelty reward that adds embedding-based diversity bonuses after GRPO normalization, rewarding diverse correct solutions; and (ii) entropy-guided prefix regeneration, which scores partial trajectories using entropy signals and continues exploration from promising intermediate steps. Across six mathematical reasoning benchmarks, ExTra improves Qwen3-1.7B over GRPO by about +5 points on pass@1 and +7 points on pass@16, showing that trajectory-level exploration signals can improve both single-sample accuracy and inference-time coverage. --- ### The Geometry of Sequential Learning: Lie-Bracket Prediction of Transfer Order Authors: John Sweeney Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24993v1 Sequential learning is order-dependent: from Pile-style next-token domain adaptation to instruction-SFT and DPO, N candidate sources induce N! possible curricula. We show that the local order effect is governed by a computable geometric quantity, the Lie-bracket commutator of gradient update fields, yielding a pairwise score for whether A->B or B->A is better for a target domain. The pairwise bracket primitive also defines a Lie-Bracket Tournament: with a shared theta_0 target-gradient reference, Hessian symmetry gives Borda/row-sum scores from one Hessian-vector product per source, O(N) dot products, and an O(N log N) sort, without materializing the O(N^2) edge matrix. Empirically, the planner reaches 98.1%/98.9% pairwise accuracy at k=1 for instruction-SFT/DPO, remains at 73.1%/72.2% at k=20, and preserves the original pretraining-domain evidence with 82.4-92.0% accuracy across four LLMs and 91.1% on diffusion. At curriculum scale, it recovers the best of all 3! schedules in 87.5% of trials, ranks 85 Stack programming-language source domains for a Python target in the 99th sampled percentile, and reaches the 99.0-99.6th sampled percentile on 56 MMLU subjects, sharply above the reported descending gradient-norm baseline. These results reframe sequential learning as a geometric tournament problem: commutators provide both local pairwise order information and a scalable primitive for many-domain schedules. --- ### Solving Markov Decision Processes with Future Information via MPC Authors: Shambhuraj Sawant, Akhil S Anand, Dirk Reinhardt, Sebastien Gros Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: eess.SY, cs.LG, math.OC arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24991v1 Model Predictive Control (MPC) is widely used in industrial and robotic systems for enforcing constraints and embedding domain knowledge through finite-horizon optimization-based planning. However, despite these strengths, an MPC scheme typically does not yield optimal policies for sequential decision-making problems formulated as Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Recent combinations of MPC with Reinforcement Learning (RL) alleviate this issue by treating MPC as a parameterized model of the optimal policy of an MDP and adjusting its parameters using data. While these approaches typically consider classical MDPs, many real-world problems include future information--such as forecasts, prices, or reference trajectories--at decision time, which must be included in the MDP state for optimal decision-making. Current MPC-RL approaches do not directly account for this augmented-state structure, raising the question of how to incorporate future information into MPC to obtain an optimal policy. This work establishes the structural requirements under which a parameterized MPC can exactly represent the optimal value functions and policy of an MDP with future information. We further demonstrate that such a parameterized MPC can serve as a structured function approximator, with its parameters learned using RL. The approach is illustrated on a point-mass racing task with future reference information. --- ### Uncertainty-aware reinforcement learning for chemical language models Authors: Borja Medina, Jon Paul Janet Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24990v1 Reinforcement Learning (RL) has become a powerful paradigm for de novo molecular design, enabling Chemical Language Models (CLMs) to navigate and explore the chemical space while optimizing specific desired properties. However, the existing RL frameworks treat all scoring functions as deterministic oracles, neglecting the inherent uncertainty attached to the predictions of the different molecular properties. This can lead to the exploration of highly-uncertain regions of the chemical space, focusing on the generation of highly scored molecules which are poorly supported by the training data. This can destabilize the optimization process, yielding predictions that are far from their true values. We propose and compare two complementary ways of incorporating predictive uncertainty into RL. In the first one, uncertainty is treated as an additional optimization objective and incorporated along with the rest of the scoring functions, allowing the policy to trade off exploitation against reliability. Secondly, uncertainty is used to modulate policy updates, reducing the influence of molecules whose properties lie far outside the scoring function confidence domain. Both approaches were evaluated across three different settings: (i) a controlled model system, in which the prediction error is modeled as a Gaussian distribution, with a variance proportional to the distance to the training data; and two real-world tasks, making use of (ii) ChemProp models and (iii) a Conformal Prediction wrapper applied to a Random forest classifier. We show that uncertainty-aware RL enables CLMs to explore chemical space more robustly by favoring lower-uncertainty regions. This leads to more reliable hit discovery without compromising molecular score, increasing the true hit rate by 0.25 (from 0.5 to 0.75), and nearly doubling the total number of true hits. --- ### Low-Cost High-Order Singular Value Decomposition for Tensor-Based Reconstruction from Sparse Sensor Measurements: Urban Flow and Air-Quality Applications Authors: Arindam Sengupta, Paul Jeanney, Ricardo Vinuesa, Jose Miguel Perez, Soledad Le Clainche Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24989v1 Urban flow and air-quality simulations generate high-dimensional datasets describing velocity and pollutant transport across multiple spatial, temporal, and physical-variable dimensions. Reconstructing these fields from sparse sensor measurements is a fundamental challenge in environmental monitoring, digital twins, forecasting, and data assimilation. Existing low-cost reconstruction approaches are commonly based on matrix decompositions, which require multidimensional datasets to be flattened into two-dimensional snapshot matrices, thereby discarding important structural information. This work introduces the low-cost High-Order Singular Value Decomposition (lcHOSVD), a novel tensor-based sparse-sensing reconstruction framework for high-dimensional environmental fields. To the authors' knowledge, this is the first methodology that combines sparse sensing and HOSVD for field reconstruction. Unlike matrix-based approaches, lcHOSVD preserves the natural tensor structure of the data, enabling the exploitation of correlations across spatial, temporal, and physical-variable dimensions while substantially reducing the computational requirements of conventional HOSVD. The methodology is applied to urban flow and air-quality datasets, where three-dimensional velocity and pollutant concentration fields are reconstructed using only 1-4% of the available spatial locations. While lcSVD provides larger computational speed-ups, lcHOSVD consistently achieves lower reconstruction errors in configurations characterized by strong multidimensional coupling and heterogeneous dynamics across dimensions. Additional sensor-anisotropy analyses demonstrate that the tensor formulation is significantly more robust to uneven sensor distributions, a common situation in practical environmental monitoring networks. --- ### Sample complexity of unbalanced entropic OT Authors: Francisco Andrade, Gabriel Peyré, Clarice Poon Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: math.ST, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24987v1 Optimal transport (OT) has become a central language for comparing probability measures, but exact balanced OT is often both too rigid for data with missing, created, or destroyed mass and subject to unfavorable high-dimensional sample complexity. Entropic regularization and unbalanced relaxations address these limitations in complementary ways. Entropy smooths the geometry, improves statistical behavior, and enables fast Sinkhorn-type algorithms, while unbalanced marginal penalties replace hard conservation constraints by divergence terms adapted to noisy empirical data. This paper studies the sample complexity of entropic unbalanced OT at the level of the optimal coupling, rather than only the scalar transport value. We develop a translation-invariant dual formulation, prove compactness and strong convexity properties for the intrinsic dual variables, and convert these geometric estimates into high-probability finite-sample bounds for empirical couplings. The results clarify why regularization is a practical necessity in machine learning applications: it softens the curse of dimensionality, reduces the number of samples needed for stable transport estimation, and keeps the resulting estimators compatible with scalable Sinkhorn-type solvers. --- ### When Multi-Sensor Fusion Fails to Generalize: Cattle Posture Classification Under Animal-Level and Temporal Distribution Shift Authors: Leutrim Uka, Severino Pinto, Gundula Hoffmann, Marina M. -C. Höhne Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24986v1 Automated cattle posture-classification systems frequently report near-perfect accuracy, yet their robustness under realistic deployment conditions remains largely unknown. In particular, it is unclear whether multimodal sensor fusion improves generalisation or leads models to rely on context-specific signals that fail under distribution shift. Here, we evaluate the robustness of automated posture classification (lying versus standing) using collar accelerometers, rumen-bolus sensors, and environmental measurements collected from a pasture-based beef cattle herd across two consecutive years (2024-2025). XGBoost served as the primary model, with Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Long Short-Term Memory networks evaluated as comparative baselines. Model robustness was assessed under progressively more stringent evaluation protocols, ranging from conventional random train-test splits to leave-one-animal-out validation and cross-year evaluation on an independent cohort of previously unseen animals recorded one year later. While multimodal models achieved strong within-year performance (macro-F1 0.94), the performance declined substantially under cross-year evaluation (macro-F1 0.49). Explainability analysis revealed persistent reliance on rumen-bolus activity and environmental variables even when predictive performance deteriorated. Distribution-shift diagnostics further confirmed substantial differences in feature distributions between recording years. Our findings demonstrate that commonly used evaluation protocols can substantially overestimate real-world performance and that multimodal sensor fusion may reduce, rather than improve, robustness under temporal distribution shift. More broadly, the results highlight that benchmark accuracy alone is insufficient to assess deployment readiness and underscore the need for robustness-centred evaluation in livestock-monitoring research. --- ### Retrieval-Augmented Personalization with Foundation Models for Wearable Stress Detection Authors: Louis Simon, Mohamed Chetouani Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24985v1 Personalization in wearable-based stress detection remains challenging due to substantial inter-individual variability in physiological and behavioral responses. While traditional approaches rely on user-specific fine-tuning or costly self-supervised pre-training on large datasets, we propose a lightweight alternative based on retrieval-augmented personalization. Our method leverages frozen, out-of-domain foundation models to retrieve similar patterns from a target user's history and encode them into a compact personalized embedding that modulates representations extracted by a lightweight transformer network. We evaluate our approach on the WESAD stress detection dataset with N=15 users, comprising wrist-worn physiological (EDA, BVP, temperature) and activity (accelerometer) signals, and report gains of +3.92\% in accuracy and +4.76\% in macro F1-score over a non-personalized transformer baseline, approaching supervised fine-tuning performance without requiring any labeled user data. We further show that temporal retrieval, where only prior user samples are available, achieves performance close to full intra-user retrieval, demonstrating robustness to limited user history. Finally, we explore personalization in a cross-dataset retrieval setting, leveraging embeddings from the K-Emocon dataset to personalize representations for stress detection on the WESAD dataset. --- ### Learning Diachronic Representations of Ancient Greek Letterforms Authors: John Pavlopoulos, Spyros Barbakos, Lavinia Ferretti, Dionysis Voulgarakis, Asimina Paparrigopoulou, Maria Konstantinidou, Giuseppe De Gregorio, Isabelle Marthot-Santaniello, Paraskevi Platanou, Holger Essler Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.CL, cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24984v1 Learning representations that remain robust across centuries of variation in handwriting is a key challenge in diachronic representation learning. Taking one of the longest continuously used writing systems, ancient Greek, as a case study, we introduce three datasets for diachronic representation learning: Hell-Char, a curated training set spanning the 3rd-1st centuries BCE, and two evaluation sets, PaLit-Char (2nd-5th c. CE) and Med-Char (9th-14th c. CE). To address the challenges of symbolic variation, scarce data, and systematic degradation, we propose: a similarity-weighted supervised contrastive loss that biases embeddings using dynamically estimated inter-class similarities, and a lacuna-driven augmentation scheme that simulates realistic manuscript corruptions. Trained with these strategies, both a lightweight CNN and a pretrained ResNet achieve strong recognition performance and produce embeddings that more coherently separate character classes than PCA or generic pretrained models. These embeddings enable clustering, identification of stylistic subgroups, and construction of prototype images that visualize diachronic evolution and transitional letterforms. Our results demonstrate that respecting intrinsic inter-letter relationships and augmenting with domain-informed corruptions yield robust, interpretable representations, offering a transferable paradigm for representation learning under scarce, temporally evolving, and noisy conditions. Code and data available at: https://github.com/ipavlopoulos/diachronic-greek-letterforms. --- ### ConSolv: Solvent-Conditional Machine Learning Implicit Solvent Potential Authors: Linying Zhang, Julija Zavadlav Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: physics.chem-ph, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24983v2 Implicit solvent machine learning potentials (MLPs) offer a powerful route to bridging the gap between accuracy and efficiency in molecular simulations. However, existing models have largely focused on aqueous environments, overlooking the diverse and important roles of non-aqueous solvents in areas such as organic synthesis and battery technology. Here, we present ConSolv, a solvent-conditional MLP architecture that explicitly incorporates solvent effects on solute interactions through an attention-based solvent-embedding block. By combining experimental solvation free energy data with ab initio data, we train a single implicit solvent MLP that is transferable across 66 common organic solvents. ConSolv outperforms classical explicit solvent methods and selected ab initio implicit solvent approaches across multiple solvation free energy benchmarks, and demonstrates generalization to unseen solvents. Beyond solvation free energies, the model shows close agreement with experimental nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) data for $γ$-fluorohydrin molecules in chloroform. ConSolv's architecture is readily extensible to broader chemical spaces and alternative training strategies, while its attention-based design supports explainable artificial intelligence (AI) analysis that can help elucidate complex, solvent-dependent molecular interactions. --- ### ConSolv: Solvent-Conditional Machine Learning Implicit Solvent Potential Authors: Linying Zhang, Julija Zavadlav Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: physics.chem-ph, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24983v1 Implicit solvent machine learning potentials (MLPs) offer a powerful route to bridging the gap between accuracy and efficiency in molecular simulations. However, existing models have largely focused on aqueous environments, overlooking the diverse and important roles of non-aqueous solvents in areas such as organic synthesis and battery technology. Here, we present ConSolv, a solvent-conditional MLP architecture that explicitly incorporates solvent effects on solute interactions through an attention-based solvent-embedding block. By combining experimental solvation free energy data with ab initio data, we train a single implicit solvent MLP that is transferable across 66 common organic solvents. ConSolv outperforms classical explicit solvent methods and selected ab initio implicit solvent approaches across multiple solvation free energy benchmarks, and demonstrates generalization to unseen solvents. Beyond solvation free energies, the model shows close agreement with experimental nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) data for $γ$-fluorohydrin molecules in chloroform. ConSolv's architecture is readily extensible to broader chemical spaces and alternative training strategies, while its attention-based design supports explainable artificial intelligence (AI) analysis that can help elucidate complex, solvent-dependent molecular interactions. --- ### Latent Block-Diffusion Temporal Point Processes: A Semi-Autoregressive Framework for Asynchronous Event Sequence Generation Authors: Shuai Zhang, Yancheng Chen, Chuan Zhou, Yang Liu, Xixun Lin, Xiangyu Zhao, Jun Zhu, Zhi-Ming Ma Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24982v1 Modeling and sampling from the underlying distribution of asynchronous event sequences are crucial in various real-world applications, including social networks, medical diagnosis, and financial transactions. Existing autoregressive methods suffer from error accumulation during multi-step generation, while non-autoregressive diffusion methods are typically limited to fixed-length output sequences. In this paper, we propose Latent Block-Diffusion Temporal Point Processes (LBDTPP), a novel semi-autoregressive TPP framework that introduces a latent block diffusion mechanism for high-quality and variable-length event sequence generation. The core idea is to define an autoregressive probability distribution over event blocks in latent space and perform Gaussian diffusion within each block. By sequentially generating blocks while simultaneously sampling events in each block, LBDTPP preserves the length flexibility of autoregressive TPPs and inherits the parallel high-quality generation capability of diffusion models. Theoretically, we derive Wasserstein error bounds showing that, under suitable local approximation and prefix-stability assumptions, block-wise generation can reduce error accumulation compared with event-wise autoregressive generation. Extensive experiments on six real-world benchmark datasets demonstrate that LBDTPP outperforms state-of-the-art TPP baselines in both unconditional and conditional generation tasks. Further empirical analyses verify the benefits of latent-space diffusion and block-wise generation, and reveal the trade-off between generation quality and block size. Our code is available at https://github.com/Zh-Shuai/LBDTPP. --- ### A Single Stepsize Suffices for Unprojected Linear TD(0): Simultaneous Robust and Fast Rates via Polyak--Ruppert Averaging Authors: Wei-Cheng Lee, Francesco Orabona Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, math.OC, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24981v1 We study linear TD(0) under Markovian sampling, where data are generated along a single trajectory. We provide high-probability guarantees for a plain unprojected TD(0) algorithm with Polyak-Ruppert (PR) averaging, using a single stepsize schedule $η_t \propto \frac{1}{τ_{\mathrm{mix}}\log(t)\sqrt{t}}$ that depends on the mixing time but requires no prior knowledge of the curvature parameter $ω$. Our first result shows that such a choice of the stepsize guarantees that the TD(0) iterates are automatically and uniformly bounded with high probability, without projections and without any stability argument based on $ω$. Building on this result, we establish a simultaneous high-probability convergence guarantee for the PR average: the same stepsize yields both a robust curvature-free $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}\!\left(\frac{τ_{\mathrm{mix}}}{\sqrt{T}}\right)$ rate and a fast curvature-dependent $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}\!\left(\frac{τ_{\mathrm{mix}}^2}{ωT}\right)$rate, with the bound taking the minimum of the two. The core technical ingredient is a Poisson-equation toolkit for geometrically mixing Markov chains, which decomposes Markov noise into a martingale term plus a controlled remainder and enables a new self-bounding inductive argument for pathwise stability. --- ### Closed-Loop Graph Algorithm Execution with Small Language Models: Step Accuracy and Rollout Reliability Authors: Michal Podstawski Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24980v1 Small language models offer an efficient alternative to large-scale systems, but their ability to execute structured algorithms over multiple dependent decisions remains poorly understood. We study graph algorithm execution as a closed-loop prediction problem in which a model repeatedly selects the next action from the current graph and algorithmic state. Our evaluation framework covers several classical graph procedures, multiple synthetic graph families, and disjoint training, validation, and test partitions. It assesses both local decision quality and global execution behaviour using step accuracy, exact rollout accuracy, constraint validity, partial solution quality, prefix survival, and intervention-based diagnostics. The results show that adaptation can produce reliable policies for structural procedures such as traversal and coloring, while weighted algorithms remain substantially more sensitive to error accumulation. More broadly, the findings demonstrate that strong next-step prediction does not necessarily translate into reliable autonomous execution and motivate evaluating algorithmic language models through complete closed-loop rollouts rather than isolated decisions. --- ### CKM-Driven Communication-Aware UAV Intelligent Trajectory Optimization for Urban Inspection Authors: Yang Xiaomeng, Jia Ziye, Zhu Qiuming, Wu Qihui Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24979v1 Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are increasingly employed in urban inspection tasks, where reliable communication is critical but challenging due to the severe spatial channel heterogeneity. To address the issue, in this paper, we focus on the communication-aware path planning for multi-UAV tasks, and propose a channel knowledge map (CKM)-driven trajectory planning framework which integrates the channel modeling and trajectory decision-making. Specifically, we apply the diffusion model to construct a time-accumulated CKM and achieve the accurate perception with low flight overhead, which leverages the sparse observation data to reconstruct the high-fidelity global channel quality distribution. Based on the CKM, we propose a global-to-local graph attention network soft actor-critic algorithm. The graph attention network optimizes the complex combinatorial node ordering problem, generating an optimal and communication-aware sequence for the inspection targets. Subsequently, the soft actor-critic algorithm performs continuous action control to ensure the smoothness of the flight path and dynamically avoid communication attenuation areas. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method effectively guides UAVs through high-quality channel regions without dependence on real-time channel feedback, significantly improving both the trajectory efficiency and communication reliability. --- ### Auto-Configured Explainable Graph Neural Networks for Multi-Site Pollution Prediction Authors: Abdelkader Dairi, Fouzi Harrou, Ying Sun Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24978v1 Accurate particulate matter (PM) prediction is crucial for mitigating air pollution. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) effectively model spatiotemporal dependencies, but predefined graphs limit adaptability, and some datasets complicate learning. This study introduces a graph construction method based on a confusion matrix from a supervised learning process to dynamically capture inter-class relationships. Additionally, a hybrid loss function that combines energy distance and Huber loss is applied to address the vanishing gradient problem and improve learning stability. The approach is evaluated using air pollution data from the University of Utah AirU Pollution Monitoring Network in Salt Lake City, UT, with five GNN models: Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs), Simple Graph Convolutional Networks (SGConv), Graph Isomorphism Networks (GINs), Graph Attention Networks (GATs), and GraphSage. The experimental results of single- and multistep predictions confirm that GraphSage achieves the highest accuracy in predicting the concentrations of PM${1}$, PM${10}$, and PM$_{2.5}$ over different time horizons. Furthermore, {\color{black} GNNExplainer (Graph Neural Network Explainer) and PGExplainer (Probabilistic Graph Explainer)} are applied to interpret feature importance and graph structure, ensuring model transparency. Results show improved prediction accuracy, with GNN models outperforming traditional machine learning \textcolor{black}{and deep learning models (i.e., Prophet, Long short-term memory, Gated recurrent units} in air pollution forecasting. --- ### Diagnosing and Mitigating Compounding Failures in Agentic Persuasion via Taxonomic Strategy Retrieval Authors: Sana Ayromlou, Purvi Sehgal, Pradyumna Narayana Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.AI, cs.CL, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24976v3 Foundation-model agents in multi-step, open-ended environments frequently suffer from compounding errors, where early mistakes contaminate long-horizon trajectories. While Multi-Agent Debate (MAD) succeeds in deterministic domains, agents in subjective tasks like persuasion experience severe problem drift and sycophantic conformity. We identify semantic leakage in standard Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) as a reproducible trigger for these failures, as standard RAG prioritizes vocabulary overlap over logical necessity. To eliminate this leakage, we introduce Taxonomic Strategy RAG (TS-RAG), a systems intervention that routes strategies through a discrete categorical bottleneck to decouple argumentative structure from topical content. Zero-shot, cross-domain evaluations demonstrate that TS-RAG significantly improves the transfer of abstract logic where standard semantic retrieval collapses. Crucially, TS-RAG acts as a "capability bridge" in asymmetric deployments, empowering lightweight persuaders to consistently defeat parametrically superior opponents (improving win rates from 70.5 to 78.5) and accelerating argumentative efficiency. Finally, we introduce trace-level diagnostics via a turn-by-turn Debate State Representation (DSR), demonstrating the necessity of strict constraints to prevent evaluation collapse via default agentic sycophancy. --- ### Why Do Accumulated Transformations Extrapolate? Authors: Mahesh Godavarti Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24975v1 PaTH Attention showed that replacing RoPE's position-indexed rotations with accumulated data-dependent Householder reflections yields strong length extrapolation, though performance degrades at extreme context lengths. We ask whether this depends on Householder-specific structure or reflects a general property of accumulated transformations along source-to-query paths. We study a simpler variant keeping RoPE's block-diagonal SO(2) rotations but replacing position-indexed angles with accumulated token-dependent ones. It shows the same pattern: improved extrapolation then degradation at long contexts. We prove the result extends to accumulated orthogonal transformations satisfying certain regularity conditions: their products become incoherent after finitely many steps, suppressing attention to distant tokens. Accumulated rotations of queries and keys create a finite mixing window independent of context length; per-token suppression learned in training transfers unchanged to any evaluation length, and high-dimensional concentration produces a score gap suppressing far tokens while near-route transport preserves the target signal. Conversely, a lower bound shows accumulated rotations must eventually degrade: as the far set grows, no rotations preserve the near signal without explicit far-mass control. For SO(2) rotations, rotating values too makes residual far contributions combine incoherently, extending the range. Controlled experiments support these predictions: random accumulated rotations substantially improve extrapolation over RoPE, learned token-dependent rotations maintain near-training-length perplexity far beyond the training context, and rotating values helps over queries and keys alone. Rotation-only models still degrade at extreme lengths, while ALiBi stays length-stable, consistent with the need for far-mass control. --- ### Quantifying Explainable AI-introduced signal noise on ECG data with Spectral Entropy Authors: David A. Kelly, Nathan Blake Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24974v1 Explainability techniques are used to assess the output of various deep learning models. This is especially true in healthcare, where models need to be trusted and decisions justified. Explainability (XAI) tools use heuristics which often add signal noise to the explanation "core". It is not always obvious what is signal from the model and what is noise from the XAI. We propose the use of spectral entropy as a measure of noise in XAI output. We demonstrate its usefulness in the context of classifying arrhythmias in an ECG dataset with different post hoc explainability techniques. --- ### LLM Performance on a Real, Double-Marked GCSE Benchmark Authors: Malachy Fox, Kavi Samra, Paul Jung Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI, cs.CY, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24973v1 We introduce a dataset of 32,534 double-marked real student responses to GCSE mock exams (GCSEs are the UK's national exams, taken at age ~16), spanning 328 questions across five subjects and including handwritten work. We test whether off-the-shelf large language models agree with examiners as closely as the two examiners agree with each other. We find that models overwhelmingly agree well with the examiner consensus across subjects, with the top performing models agreeing more closely with examiners than examiners agree with each other. Models achieve high scores for subjective tasks like English essay marking, as well as handling complex and messy handwritten Maths paper scripts. Agreement is uniform near the examiner line, and not massively discriminated by model size, providing cost-effective automated marking solutions. --- ### Don't Go Breaking My LLM: The Impact of Pruning Attention Layers on Explanation Faithfulness and Confidence Calibration Authors: Pietro Tropeano, Maria Maistro, Tuukka Ruotsalo, Christina Lioma Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24970v1 Pruning Large Language Models (LLMs) reduces memory and inference costs by removing parts of the network, producing smaller models that retain most of their accuracy. As attention layers are the most resource-intensive parts of LLMs, pruning them is a promising compression strategy. Prior work shows that up to 33% of attention layers can be pruned with minimal accuracy loss. Nevertheless, the impact of attention pruning on model interpretability, specifically faithfulness and confidence calibration, remains unstudied. To address this gap, we study how pruning attention layers affects explanation faithfulness and confidence calibration across five LLMs and eight datasets. While the pruned models often maintain high accuracy, we find that their faithfulness and calibration often degrade. Notably, faithfulness and calibration can fluctuate significantly, even when accuracy remains stable, highlighting a misalignment between model confidence, interpretability, and accuracy. Our findings suggest that layer pruning can affect LLMs' interpretability and reliability in ways not captured by accuracy and efficiency measures alone. We recommend including explainability and calibration metrics when evaluating pruned models. --- ### Frequency Domain Reservoir Computing Authors: Klaus Schertler, Xiomara Runge, Andrea Ceni, David Kappel, Claudio Gallicchio Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24969v1 While the quadratic sequence-length bottleneck of transformers has fueled a resurgence in recurrent models, effectively capturing complex dynamics requires architectures that balance efficient training with highly expressive latent states. Echo State Networks (ESNs) offer a compelling approach by utilizing fixed recurrent weights to circumvent backpropagation through time, enabling a closed-form training solution. However, achieving the expressivity needed for complex tasks demands large reservoirs, exposing an $\mathcal{O}(N^2)$ state-update bottleneck that prevents ESNs from matching the scale of contemporary recurrent models. To address this limitation, we introduce Frequency Domain Reservoir Computing (FRESCO), an ESN architecture operating entirely in the frequency domain while avoiding domain-shift overheads to achieve $\mathcal{O}(N)$ complexity for dense, non-linear recurrent updates. By employing a novel dimensional zero-padding input embedding, a packed \FDh readout, and a natively applied frequency-domain non-linearity, FRESCO drastically reduces computational costs and energy consumption of training and inference. Furthermore, FRESCO matches the state-of-the-art predictive performance on memory benchmarks, sequential classification, and multivariate long-horizon forecasting, offering a scalable path forward for dense recurrent architectures. --- ### Training Dynamics of Neural Software Defect Predictors under Coupled Data-Quality Issues Authors: Emmanuel Charleson Dapaah, Philip Makedonski, Jens Grabowski Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24968v1 Context: Software defect prediction supports maintenance decisions such as testing prioritization, release-risk assessment, and quality monitoring. However, metric-based SDP datasets often contain coupled data-quality issues, especially class imbalance and class overlap. Prior work has mainly measured their impact through endpoint performance, while recent evidence suggests that such issues may also appear in neural training dynamics (gradients, weights, biases, error trajectories). However, these studies examine issues in isolation, leaving open how internal neural network training patterns manifest when data quality issues are coupled. Objective: We investigate how training-dynamics patterns from class imbalance, overlap, and their coupling can be characterized under interaction-aware conditions in deep learning-based SDP. Method: We conduct a controlled intervention study on class-level UBD datasets, training a fixed MLP under imbalance-only, overlap-only, and joint conditions across five seeds. Training dynamics are logged per epoch; fidelity is monitored via coupling ratios. Patterns are characterized using effect sizes, trajectories, sensitivity analyses, and rule-based classification. Expected contribution: The study will produce an interaction-aware empirical protocol and a candidate taxonomy of training-dynamics patterns for coupled data-quality issues in metric-based SDP. --- ### What Do Language Priors Contribute to Darcy-Flow Inversion? A Mechanistic Audit Authors: Taiga Saito, Yu Otake, Daijiro Mizutani, Sopheakpolin Mom Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24967v1 In ill-posed inverse problems, the recovered solution depends as much on the prior as on the data, yet much of the engineering knowledge that could serve as that prior is recorded qualitatively rather than in formal mathematical form. Here we test whether sentence embeddings can act as an inference-time interface for injecting geological descriptions into a learned Darcy-flow inverse solver. Across six synthetic geological classes and an exploratory transfer to a benchmark reservoir model (SPE10), we vary only the conditioning representation and find that text conditioning reduces reconstruction error by 81 % relative to a no-text counterfactual. Most of this gain comes from a categorical, class-level constraint whose value concentrates where the hydraulic head leaves the conductivity field underdetermined, while within-class geometric detail is secondary and pattern-dependent. Compared with a discrete class label, sentence embeddings add little dense-observation accuracy but improve training stability and enable paraphrase-based sensitivity analysis and open-vocabulary inputs. These results show that language priors can serve as an engineering-informatics interface for injecting geological knowledge into learned inverse solvers, while clarifying when they help and what signal they actually carry. --- ### Learning Dynamical Systems from Multiple Sparse Datasets: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Approach Authors: Cristian Brugnara, Lea Multerer, Marco Forgione, Laura Azzimonti Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24966v1 Estimating parameters of dynamical systems from sparse, noisy, and irregularly sampled data is often severely ill-conditioned. When multiple related datasets are available, they provide additional information if the shared structure and variability are properly modeled. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian framework for probabilistic meta-learning in dynamical systems, modeling dataset-specific parameters as draws from a shared population distribution. A numerical ODE solver is embedded within gradient-based MCMC to enable efficient posterior inference of the shared population and dataset-specific parameter distribution. Experiments show improved predictive performance over unpooled methods, highlighting the potential for data-efficient system identification in settings with sparse data. --- ### Project Auto-World: Towards Automated Benchmarking of Neural Relational Reasoners Authors: Anirban Das, Joanne Boisson, Irtaza Khalid, Sumita Garai, Steven Schockaert Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24965v1 Reasoning about relational structures remains a significant challenge for neural models, particularly when they must systematically apply learned knowledge to problem instances that are harder than those seen in training. Progress is hampered by the difficulty of evaluating such generalization, since a priori, it is rarely clear what makes an instance hard. We study how this issue can be addressed by using large language models (LLMs) to automate benchmark generation, learning to produce increasingly challenging instances in an end-to-end manner. Concretely, given a world parametrized by Datalog rules, and an Edge Transformer as the reasoning evaluator, we use LLM-driven evolutionary search (based on FunSearch) and autonomous agentic search to discover sampling functions that yield hard problem instances. We also show that the Edge Transformer can be improved using this data such that it generalizes well to further data perturbations. Finally, we show that the same machinery can be applied to novel worlds proposed by LLMs, opening the door to autonomous research on neural relational reasoning. --- ### Evidence for feature-specific error correction in LLMs Authors: Francisco Ferreira da Silva, Stefan Heimersheim Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24964v1 Understanding the features of large language models (LLMs) is a central goal of interpretability. LLMs are commonly assumed to use superposition to represent more features than they have dimensions. They may not only represent features in superposition but also perform computation in superposition. Theory predicts that computing in superposition requires error correction that privileges feature directions over generic ones, but this prediction has not been tested empirically. We propose an empirical test of error correction in LLMs based on activation perturbations. Perturbing residual-stream activations, we find that they are robust to small perturbations--forming activation plateaus consistent with error correction--but less robust along candidate feature directions ("pure" directions, constructed from contrastive prompt pairs) than along mixtures of two such directions, indicating that the pure directions are privileged. We quantify this privilegedness by modeling the perturbation effect as a function of the $L^p$-norm of its decomposition into feature components. For $p=2$ the response is a quadratic form with at most as many nonzero eigenvalues as the residual-stream dimension, which cannot privilege the many feature directions superposition requires. $p>2$ lifts this constraint and is consistent with feature-specific error correction. We find $p>2$ for contrastive, MELBO, and SAE-decoder directions, and $p\approx2$ for random and PCA directions (controls). These results replicate across Gemma-2-9B, Qwen3-1.7B, Llama-3.1-8B, Mistral-7B-v0.3, Aya-Expanse-8B, and Yi-1.5-9B. We further validate our method on a toy model of error correction with known ground-truth features, recovering $p>2$ for true feature directions, degrading toward $2$ as we rotate away from them. --- ### Curvature-Guided Mixing for MLLM Adaptation Authors: Jinglong Yang, Jiaxuan He, Wenjian Huang, Zhan Zhuang, Jianguo Zhang Published: 2026-06-23 Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24963v1 Fine-tuning Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) on specialized tasks often leads to catastrophic forgetting of their general capabilities. Existing model merging methods to combat this are often heuristic or use sub-optimal objectives. We propose CurvatureGuided Mixing (CGM), a theoretically grounded framework that merges pre-trained and fine-tuned models. CGM formulates a joint optimization objective and uses a second-order (Hessian) approximation of the loss landscapes to analytically derive an optimal, closed-form "soft mixing" ratio. This ratio intelligently blends parameters based on their relative task-specific curvatures. We also introduce CGM$\dagger$, a robust "hard mixing" variant that performs sparse parameter selection guided by a novel, curvature-aware score. Experiments on LLaVA-1.5 and Qwen2.5VL across multiple downstream tasks show that CGM and CGM$\dagger$ consistently improve the trade-off between task specialization and general knowledge retention over existing methods. Code is available at github.com/zzsyjl/CGM-ECCV-2026. ---