# Research Papers — 2026-08 · bundle page 92 of 240

> Full-text markdown of papers #4551–4600 of 11995 published in 2026-08, newest first. AI-readable mirrors of the full 11995-paper 2026-08 archive (50 papers per file).

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### BF1: A Causal Dyadic Sparse-Attention Retrofit for Efficient Long-Context Transformers

Authors: Hina Dixit
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.20427v1

Dense causal attention remains expensive at long context even when implemented with highly optimized exact kernels. We study BF1, a deterministic block-aligned dyadic sparse-attention route that combines a small exact local neighborhood, a global first block, and logarithmically spaced historical blocks. The route is related to prior log-sparse and dilated attention patterns; our contribution is a correctness-gated pretrained-model retrofit, a matched topology-control study, and a systems characterization that connects per-layer sparsity to whole-model latency. For fixed block width, every converted layer uses O(n log n) selected token interactions and has O(log n) graph communication depth. On an NVIDIA RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell GPU, an optimized BF16 implementation crosses dense attention between 2K and 4K tokens and reaches a 10.91x per-layer prefill speedup at 32K. Retrofitting eight of 28 Qwen3-0.6B attention layers lowers warm whole-model time to first token by 7.7%, 11.3%, and 15.3% at 8K, 16K, and 32K, respectively, while the remaining dense layers keep the complete model asymptotically quadratic. Under a matched 1,000-step, 16.384M-token adaptation protocol, BF1 ranks first across three training seeds: mean report perplexity is 1.68639 versus 1.69154 for a matched static-random nonlocal graph, 1.69258 for dense continued training, and 1.81505 for equal-budget local sliding. At seed 1234, the packed-report paired interval places Dense-CT 0.3169-0.4055% above BF1 and static-random graph 17 0.2441-0.3642% above BF1. These results establish BF1 as a reproducible sparse operator and selective retrofit primitive with real long-context systems value. This paper evaluates numerical correctness, selected-interaction scaling, kernel performance, partial-model inference, and matched next-token language modeling.

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### Who Delegates to AI? Evidence from Agent Configurations in Github

Authors: Hyeongjae Lee, Jihyang Cheon, Lanu Kim
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.AI, cs.CY
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.20425v2

A growing body of literature measures the extent to which occupations are exposed to AI, yet existing measures capture where AI could perform tasks rather than whether workers have actually adopted it. We introduce a distinct tier of exposure, delegated exposure, which records whether a worker has committed a task to AI by embedding it into a structured workflow. We operationalize this concept through the Agentic Adoption Index (AAI), measuring how closely an occupation's tasks align with the agentic routines that practitioners have built and shared. Using semantic embeddings of roughly 888,000 agent skill specifications from public GitHub repositories, we compute their similarity to nearly 18,000 O*NET task statements and aggregate these scores to the occupational level. We present three main findings. First, the occupations where task delegation concentrates differ sharply from those identified as most vulnerable by pre-AI automation frameworks. Second, the AAI aligns more closely with measures of technical capability than with measures of current conversational LLM use. Third, for occupations requiring a bachelor's degree or less, the AAI increases alongside average wage levels; however, this relationship reverses for occupations requiring a master's degree or higher, where adoption declines among higher earners. These patterns replicate on an independently collected corpus of agent skills from the Manus Skills Marketplace. This lower adoption among highly educated, high-earning workers may reflect tasks that inherently resist advance specification or professional discretion over the pacing of workflow codification. Distinguishing these mechanisms will require longitudinal measurement.

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### From Thermal Preference Prediction to Adaptive Thermal Intervention: A Reinforcement Learning Approach Using Physiological and Environmental Sensing

Authors: Isibor Kennedy Ihianle, Emmanuel Manu, Ehsan Asnaashari, Mojgan Jadidi, Pedro Machado, Amrit Sagoo, Ahmad Lotfi
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.20423v1

Personalised thermal comfort is essential for occupant wellbeing and for the development of more responsive building-control strategies, yet conventional Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems rely on static setpoints and population-level comfort models that fail to capture individual physiological variability. This paper presents a two-stage personalised thermal comfort approach integrating multimodal physiological and environmental sensing with reinforcement learning-based decision-making.

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### Six misconceptions about large language models: A minimal model and diagnostic taxonomy

Authors: Zhicheng Lin
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CY, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.20421v1

Large language models (LLMs) are now embedded in scientific, educational, and governance workflows, with debates centering on their capabilities, mechanisms, and impacts. Yet these debates remain structured by persistent folk theories--intuitive, informal explanatory models that guide attitudes and actions. Deflationary slogans ("just autocomplete," "stochastic parrots," and "average of the internet") and anthropomorphic framings ("emergent agents" and "proto-minds") each capture genuine features of current systems but mistake those features for the whole. This Perspective proposes a minimal working model of LLM-based systems centered on four distinctions: between pretraining and deployed systems; between the learned distribution and particular samples; among parametric, contextual, and external memory; and between task competence and agency. The model is used to diagnose six misconceptions about LLMs: next-token prediction, regression to the mean, training-data regurgitation, model memory, alignment, and understanding. For each, the analysis identifies what the misconception gets right, which distinctions it conflates, and what follows for capability evaluation, system design, and governance. Applied to publisher AI policies as governance case studies, the framework shows both how policy language can conflate these distinctions and how such errors can be corrected. The model thereby avoids the parrot-mind binary by treating LLMs as simulators of discourse and task performance, offering a diagnostic toolkit for locating and correcting the errors these folk theories perpetuate.

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### Categorical AI phenomenology: A first-person approach

Authors: Robert Prentner
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.AI, q-bio.NC
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.20420v1

This paper develops a phenomenology-first approach to artificial consciousness by reframing consciousness as the subjective experience enacted through an agent's interface with the world. We shift the methodological focus to first-person structures, modeled mathematically by categories derived from Q-networks to capture actions and phenomenological invariants. In this framework, Q-networks are conceptualized as relational interfaces encoding agent-world interaction, analogous to how the dynamical states of a computer depend on its sensory inputs, previous states, and actions. Our work provides a rigorous framework for interface consciousness to describe computational systems that embed information-processing into phenomenological structure. The approach aligns with 4E approaches to cognition by emphasizing enactive, embedded, and extended dimensions of experience. The paper thus offers a principled, relational, and phenomenological account of artificial phenomenology grounded in categorical mathematics.

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### Evaluating Neural Cartographic Relief Shading for Urban Environments: A Downtown Calgary Study Using High-Resolution DEM and DSM Data

Authors: Emmanuel Stefanakis
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.20149v1

This article explores the performance of analytical and neural-based hillshading methods in a dense urban environment using high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) and digital surface model (DSM) data for downtown Calgary. The study compares single-direction and multi-direction analytical hillshading with relief shading generated in Eduard, a machine-learning system originally developed to emulate Swiss-style shaded relief trained primarily on mountainous landscapes. Because Eduard was not designed for buildings, bridges, streets, trees, and other urban infrastructures, the central question is not whether it perfectly reproduces urban morphology, but whether parameter tuning can nevertheless produce visually strong, cartographically useful, and in some cases superior results when compared with conventional analytical methods. The analysis focuses especially on terrain type, micro and macro generalization, and flat-area detail parameters, while keeping the large-scale shading style constant throughout the neural experiments. The article is structured as an exploratory comparison rather than a benchmark of universal best practice. It aims to identify where analytical hillshading remains more reliable, where Eduard offers unexpected strengths, and where neural shading fails because of its training bias toward alpine terrain. The study contributes to current work on terrain representation by testing whether a neural approach designed for natural landforms can be adapted to a highly built urban setting, and it concludes by arguing for future model training and evaluation specifically targeted at urban relief shading.

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### A Plug-in Interpretation of Conditioning in Score-Based Diffusion Models

Authors: Libo Chen, Souvik Ghosh, Teo Deveney, Chris Budd, Vinay P. Namboodiri
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19504v1

We propose a conditioning mechanism for diffusion models based on multi-speed joint diffusion of the target and the condition. The mechanism learns an unconditional joint score network and enforces conditioning at inference via a plug-in correction term. The plug-in term separates the conditioning contribution from the learned unconditional dynamics, offering a transparent view of how the condition steers generation of the target distribution. Building on this, we derive explicit conditional reverse-time SDEs and approximate probability-flow ODEs, enabling principled and directly comparable conditional samplers. To reduce the induced ODE--SDE discrepancy, we introduce a log-Fokker--Planck residual regularization that improves ODE sampling quality. Experiments on conditional image generation tasks demonstrate competitive performance and support the effectiveness of the plug-in conditioning view. Additional ODE--SDE comparison experiments show that the log-Fokker--Planck residual regularization improves deterministic ODE sampling.

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### A Causal Inference Approach for Evaluating Diagnostic Tests and AI-Enabled Medical Devices: From Effect Modification to Information-Augmented Decision-Making

Authors: Wenxin Zhang, Rachael Phillips, Mark van der Laan
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: stat.ME, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19501v1

Diagnostic medical tests and devices provide useful information for evaluating the potential benefits and risks of therapeutic treatments. However, unlike treatments, their impact on health outcomes is generally indirect because measuring diagnostic information typically does not itself affect patient outcomes, which complicates evaluation of their effectiveness. In this work, we develop a causal inference approach for evaluating diagnostic tests by distinguishing explanatory and pragmatic effectiveness. Explanatory effectiveness evaluates whether a diagnostic test result provides treatment-relevant information beyond baseline covariates by explaining additional treatment-effect heterogeneity, which we characterize using a variance-based treatment-effect variable importance measure. Pragmatic effectiveness evaluates whether incorporating this information into personalized treatment decisions improves expected outcomes, a question central to decision-making for patients, clinicians, and other health care stakeholders. We formalize pragmatic effectiveness as a contrast between expected outcomes under optimal personalized treatment rules defined with and without access to the diagnostic test result. We establish identification of the proposed estimand and provide Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) and cross-validated TMLE procedures for nonparametric estimation and inference. Simulation studies and a synthetic colorectal cancer application illustrate the proposed estimands and estimation performance. More broadly, this approach provides a causal inference perspective for evaluating AI-enabled devices by distinguishing their dual roles as information-enrichment and personalized decision-optimization tools, clarifying whether AI improves outcomes by expanding information for downstream decisions, improving the decision rule used to act on that information, or through both pathways.

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### Empirical Characterization of Learning Geometry in Hybrid Quantum Forecasting Models

Authors: Sandra Leticia Juárez-Osorio, Jorge I. Hernandez-Martinez, Jesus Ivan Ruiz-Martinez, Andres Mendez-Vazquez, Eduardo Rodriguez-Tello
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19497v1

We characterize the learning dynamics of a compact hybrid quantum forecasting model through comparison with a structurally aligned classical baseline. Using stationary harmonic-mixture and nonstationary chirp benchmarks with controlled spectral complexity and data availability, we analyze empirical Neural Tangent Kernel dynamics through kernel-target alignment, kernel drift, spectral concentration, and training loss. The classical model exhibits stronger early target alignment, whereas the hybrid model generally develops a less concentrated kernel spectrum and smaller kernel drift. Despite these distinct optimization geometries, both architectures attain similar held-out performance across the evaluated regimes. Notably, the hybrid model uses 125 trainable parameters compared with 281 for the classical baseline and reaches its validation-selected checkpoint earlier in 15 of 18 frequency conditions. A Fourier-augmented classical baseline does not reproduce the observed training behavior, while a controlled re-uploading ablation shows that repeated encoding systematically modifies both optimization and kernel geometry. These results demonstrate that comparable generalization can emerge from substantially different learning trajectories and that individual NTK diagnostics do not provide monotonic predictors of validation convergence. Rather than claiming a general quantum advantage, the study identifies architecture-dependent learning behavior that is masked by endpoint accuracy alone.

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### Beyond Multimodal Alignment: Shared Physical Representations Across Sensors and Action Orders

Authors: Kaizhen Tan, Xin Xu, Siru Tao, Yixiao Li, Hanzhe Hong, Yang Feng, Heqing Du
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG, cs.RO
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19492v2

Multimodal world models are often evaluated by whether different sensors produce similar representations. However, similar representations do not necessarily imply that the models make the same physical predictions, or that those representations can be reused when actions are combined in a new order. We study both questions through the physical responses predicted by a model. We first use the Cluster Haptic dataset to ask whether audio and acceleration can independently recover the behavior of the same surface from different observations. Predictions from the two sensors are substantially closer for the same surface than for different surfaces, with a $4.5\times$ gap on average, while both also outperform an average-surface prediction. We then show that this agreement alone does not determine how familiar actions should compose. In a controlled elastoplastic system, shared step dynamics fit observed programs less accurately than a whole-program predictor but generalize better to unseen action orders, with the ranking reversing on both held-out transitions across three independent initializations. Fusing free-decay and hysteresis observations further improves prediction, with diagonal Gaussian beliefs yielding the lowest errors. Together, these results distinguish cross-sensor consistency, multimodal fusion, and generalization to new action orders as separate questions in evaluating multimodal physical representations.

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### Activation-Keyed Momentum: An Anisotropic Momentum Update via the Delta Rule

Authors: Euijin Hong, Guannan Qu
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG, cs.CL, math.OC, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19491v2

Most modern optimizers form their momentum as an exponential moving average (EMA) of past gradients, forgetting every direction at one fixed rate. However, the inputs a deep network sees during training can be highly anisotropic, with a few directions queried frequently while most are seen rarely. Preconditioning methods address this anisotropy by wrapping extra processing around this buffer and leave the momentum update itself unchanged. We propose Activation-Keyed Momentum (AK-Momentum), which builds direction-awareness into the momentum update rule. The gradient of a linear layer splits into an input activation that acts as a key and an output-side error that acts as a value. Keying on that activation, AK-Momentum updates the momentum buffer by the canonical delta rule, so each direction is forgotten at a rate set by how often it appears. We prove that it is a valid momentum, that it applies the input-side curvature correction without matrix inversion, and that it clears stale directions faster than EMA under both a fixed and a drifting optimum. It is a drop-in replacement for the momentum buffer of any optimizer, its coefficient transfers across widths under $μ$P, and its extra compute stays between $22.2\%$ and $25.0\%$ of a gated-MLP block's linear cost with no persistent memory. In FineWeb-Edu pretraining, AdamW with AK-Momentum (AK-AdamW) reaches AdamW's validation loss in up to $46.39 \pm 4.32\%$ fewer steps at 67M and $22.12 \pm 0.80\%$ at 370M over three seeds, and the gain persists at 1B on a Chinchilla-optimal budget. A Muon baseline tuned under the same protocol sits above AK-AdamW at both language-model scales, and the gain holds for SGD, ResNet-18, and ViT-Tiny on CIFAR-10. Training-time diagnostics confirm the predicted mechanism, better gradient tracking and healthier input directions.

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### Fine-Tuning VLAs with Self-Demonstrated Generative Control for Multi-Task Manipulation

Authors: Prachi Garg, Steve Xing, Prahit Yaugand, Saurabh Gupta, Derek Hoiem
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.RO, cs.CV, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19490v1

State-of-the-art vision-language-action (VLA) models such as $π_{0.5}$ exhibit strong semantic understanding, instruction following and task behavior. However, when deployed on new robots, even minor mismatches in hardware configuration relative to pretraining can cause severe performance drops. Finetuning the VLA on in-domain expert data from the new embodiment improves performance on the expert task but leads to a loss in its original instruction following and behavioral priors. In this paper, we propose a self-supervised method that generates online interaction rollouts from the zero-shot VLA as additional training data for finetuning. Our experiments show this finetuning scheme yields strong multi-task policies that, on the target robot, (1) inherit prior tasks distilled from the zero-shot model, (2) enable generalist instruction following, while (3) learning new skills from expert data with improved sample efficiency. We demonstrate the success of our approach across test sets probing generalization on a real ALOHA robot and a new simulation benchmark in RoboTwin. Video results are available at https://self-supervised-control.pages.dev/

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### When to Retrain: An Empirical Study of Retraining Policies for Streaming ML Under Concept Drift, Budget, and Latency Constraints

Authors: Sawan Dasari
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19488v1

Production machine learning systems degrade under concept drift, yet practitioners have little principled guidance on when to retrain. Retraining is costly, retraining budgets are finite, and a retrained model does not take effect instantly: training and deployment latency leave a stale model serving predictions while the data continues to move. We present a controlled empirical study of three practical model-refresh policies (periodic retraining, error-threshold triggering, and statistical drift-triggered retraining with ADWIN) against a no-retrain baseline, evaluated under a unified system model that makes retraining budgets and training-plus-deployment latency explicit. Across 3,933 experiment runs spanning three drift regimes, three budget levels, up to five latency levels, three datasets, and two learning modes, we find that the single most consequential design decision is not the retraining policy but whether the deployed model learns incrementally. With per-sample incremental updates, and for the linear online learner with immediate labels studied here, no policy differs from the no-retrain baseline by a practically significant margin in any of 54 paired comparisons, even at extreme latency. Without incremental updates, policy choice separates outcomes by 15-55 percentage points of post-drift accuracy, and simple periodic retraining significantly outperforms both reactive policies under abrupt and gradual drift, while reactive policies retain an advantage only under recurring drift. We document systematic failure modes of reactive policies and a latency-budget queueing interaction that silently halves effective retraining budgets, and release the full simulator, dataset pipelines, and per-run artifacts for reproducibility.

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### Accelerated Genetic Programming Hyper-Heuristics for Simulation-Based Scheduling via Agentic AI

Authors: Heyang Thomas Li, Alexander Pletzer, Yuan Tian, Yi Mei, Mengjie Zhang
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.SE, cs.AI, cs.NE
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19487v1

Python is widely used in scientific research because it enables rapid development and provides rich ecosystems for data analysis, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning. However, customized research code can become prohibitively slow as experiments scale. This challenge is particularly acute in discrete-event project-scheduling simulations, where sequential state updates, nested loops, conditional evaluations, and object-oriented structures limit the benefits of compiled numerical and GPU-accelerated libraries. Addressing these bottlenecks typically requires iterative profiling, refactoring, testing, and validation, yet researchers may lack the time or specialized software-engineering expertise for low-level optimization. This paper presents a systematic refactoring approach using Claude agentic AI on real-world project-scheduling workloads in a high-performance computing (HPC) environment. Guided by representative benchmarks and correctness checks, the agent identifies bottlenecks, implements targeted optimizations, and evaluates their effects, while the researcher retains final control. Testing runtime reduced from 1,298 seconds to under 200 seconds without changing outputs, saving four million core-hours (NZ\$320,000) annually.

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### VideoRun2D Demo: Markerless Body Tracking for Biomechanical Analysis of Running

Authors: Luis F. Gomez, Julian Fierrez, Roberto Daza, Ruben Tolosana, Aythami Morales, Gonzalo Garrido, Javier Rueda, Enrique Navarro
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19480v1

Human pose estimation has advanced significantly due to the development of deep learning models, increased data availability, and improved computing resources. These developments have led to highly accurate body tracking systems with direct applications in sports analysis and performance evaluation. The VideoRun2D Demo performs a biomechanical analysis during sprints using different human pose estimators. The proposed framework was evaluated using human pose trackers and expert manual annotations. The tested framework uses 314 sprints from 44 professional runners, focusing on two key joint angles in sprint biomechanics: 1) hip flexion/extension and 2) knee flexion/extension. The framework also includes a post-processing module for outlier detection. The tested results demonstrate that the average root-mean-square errors range from 11.46° to 5.83° for the best trackers. When integrated with the post-processing modules, these errors can be reduced to 9.87° and 5.30°, respectively. The VideoRun2D Demo findings suggest that human pose-tracking approaches can be valuable resources for the biomechanical analysis of running.

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### Measuring What a Specification Determines: A Formal Semantic-Block Model and an Execution-Judged Benchmark

Authors: Oleg Grynets, Dmytro Kostetskyi, Vasyl Lyashkevych
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.SE, cs.AI, cs.CL, cs.LO
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19475v1

This work introduces a formal semantic-block model for specifications and an execution-judged benchmark for evaluating specification quality independently of model capability. A specification is represented as a structure comprising semantic blocks, dependency relations, block-owned rules, decision points, and explicitly open questions, subject to four machine-checkable well-formedness conditions: acyclicity, single ownership, constraint domination, and totality or ambiguity-stop. Determinacy is defined model-theoretically as agreement among all conforming implementations and is estimated empirically through convergence across independent implementers. The model is instantiated on an Oracle-to-PostgreSQL migration specification containing 18 blocks and 19 dependency edges. Computational validation shows that the five-layer decomposition reduces mean per-task context by approximately 71% through dependency closures, covers 85.5% of the study-defined Oracle construct taxonomy with all identified gaps triaged, is not Pareto-dominated by the tested alternative partitions, and is recovered at the 99.9th percentile from citation-derived edges not used to define the original structure. The benchmark keeps the implementer panel fixed, includes a mandatory no-specification control arm, and uses PostgreSQL 16 and a live Oracle instance as deterministic execution judges. Six designed studies, including three pre-registered manipulations and three diagnostic analyses, further examine specification effects. Repeated runs on a 25-unit subsample reveal an empirical variability floor with a median arm-delta spread of 14.4 percentage points. The results support determinacy as a formal concept but not as a standalone empirical quality metric for the evaluated contemporary LLM implementers.

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### SynFlow: A Multidimensional Diachronic Semantic Analysis Toolkit

Authors: Bach Phan-Tat, Kris Heylen, Dirk Geeraerts, Stefano De Pascale, Dirk Speelman
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19472v3

Lexical semantic change (LSC) is commonly modelled through vector-space representations, but these approaches often provide limited insight into which aspects of usage are changing. Diachronic corpus research instead examines interpretable dimensions such as syntactic behaviour, morphology, and constructional patterns, but typically through separate analytical workflows. We present SynFlow, an open-source toolkit for multidimensional diachronic analysis of linguistic usage. SynFlow converts linguistic observations into period-specific distributions and applies a shared workflow across dependency-based co-occurrences, morphological features, constructional configurations, and externally derived representations such as Frame Semantics. It supports different distance measures, together with value-level decomposition, statistical testing, and incremental clustering of lexical fillers. We demonstrate SynFlow through a qualitative case study of the German adjective viral, showing how a single semantic development is reflected across syntactic, lexical, constructional, and morphological dimensions. We further report previously published results on SemEval-2020 Task 1 to situate the performance of these representations relative to existing lexical semantic change detection systems.

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### LLM as Detector: An In-context Learning Approach for Tabular Anomaly Detection

Authors: Tu Anh Hoang Nguyen, Dang Nguyen, Thuc Duy Le, Trung Le, Sunil Gupta
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19463v1

Anomaly detection in tabular data is challenging because abnormal samples often arise as violations of cross-feature dependencies rather than simple marginal deviations. Existing detectors rely on geometric or reconstruction signals, while prior LLM-based approaches mainly fine-tune LLMs with normal samples or generate synthetic anomalies. We propose LLM-Detector, a framework that utilizes the in-context learning capacity of LLMs for structured, prompt-conditioned scoring synthesis, enabling LLMs to derive anomaly detection logic from structured normal-state knowledge. Specifically, normal training data are converted into statistical summaries, causal dependencies, and distilled prototypes that are organized into a prompt for code generation. The resulting scoring engine evaluates statistical deviation, structural inconsistency, and density-based abnormality then computes an anomaly score for each test sample. We evaluate LLM-Detector on 24 tabular datasets, comparing against 15 SOTA baselines. Results show consistent improvements across both mixed-type and continuous-only settings. Moreover, this design eliminates the need for LLM fine-tuning or neural network training, reducing computational cost and enabling practical anomaly detection in real-world tabular systems.

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### Quantifying Event Impacts on Time Series via Multiscale Contrastive Learning

Authors: Yiming Sun, Shengyu Chen, Zhengzhang Chen, Haoyu Wang, Xiaowei Jia, Haifeng Chen
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19447v1

Shocks that spread through the web, such as cybersecurity breach disclosures, can abruptly disrupt financial time series and cause substantial abnormal losses. While these events are disclosed as discrete records through news reports, regulatory filings, or public databases, their consequences unfold through continuous market dynamics. This creates an event-conditioned impact prediction problem: given pre-event market history and limited event metadata, the goal is to estimate short-term post-disclosure abnormal loss rather than reconstruct the full post-event trajectory. However, most time-series forecasting models focus on endogenous regularities such as trend, seasonality, and autocorrelation, and thus struggle with rare and heterogeneous external events. The challenge is further amplified by sparse high-impact events and background market noise. We introduce EventTime, a multi-resolution framework that combines long-horizon market context, short-horizon pre-event dynamics, and event metadata. It incorporates an event fusion module that couples temporal representations with event attributes to identify relevant recent market patterns. To mitigate sparse supervision, EventTime further introduces a dynamic contrastive objective that constructs event- and time-series-aware positive and negative pairs during training. We also construct SECURE, a real-world dataset aligning cybersecurity incidents with stock-market time series and structured and LLM-derived semantic features. Experiments show that EventTime consistently outperforms state-of-the-art time-series and event-aware baselines in estimating post-event financial losses. Further analyses demonstrate more event-sensitive representations, greater robustness to incomplete metadata, and more interpretable estimates of short-term market impact following cybersecurity disclosures.

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### Are LLMs becoming similarly creative? Evidence from three years of models

Authors: Nirav Patel, Josiah Crossman, Eva Aggarwal, Emily Wenger
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI, cs.CY
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19437v1

Many benchmarks track Large Language Model (LLM) performance on tasks with verifiable answers, but less is known about how LLM performance is evolving on open-ended tasks, where creativity, originality and diversity may matter as much as quality. As LLMs increasingly support human ideation and creative work, understanding trends in LLM performance on open-ended tasks is critical. This paper presents a preliminary analysis of LLM creative outputs spanning three years of model releases, examining model responses to Infinity-Chat100, a real-world collection of open-ended user queries, and the Alternate Uses Task, an established psychometric creativity assessment. Using sentence-embedding similarity, we examine trends in LLM responses to these prompts. Our findings show a statistically significant decrease in model output diversity over time, suggesting that LLM outputs may be converging in creative substance across models. If this trend persists, LLM-driven homogenization may progressively diminish human agency in human-AI co-creative work, demanding careful consideration of LLMs' role in the human creative process.

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### Longitudinal Bayesian Learning of Continuous Disease Position across the Alzheimer's Disease Continuum

Authors: Yingying Zhang, Kun Zhao, Guodong Liu, Qi Huang, Pengfei Gu, Dongchul Kim, Erik Enriquez, Alex D. Leow, Paul M. Thompson, Heng Huang, Hongchang Gao, Liang Zhan et al.
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, q-bio.QM
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19436v1

Alzheimer's disease (AD) progresses as a continuous biological process, whereas most existing neuroimaging-based artificial intelligence methods remain limited to discrete diagnosis or clinical score prediction from cross-sectional imaging. In this work, we propose Disease Continuum Positioning (DCP), a longitudinal Bayesian Learning framework that continuously estimates disease severity from longitudinal diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). Specifically, DCP models disease severity as a low-dimensional probabilistic latent variable by jointly integrating longitudinal observations with weak clinical supervision, from which the proposed Disease Continuum Score (DCS) is derived to quantify an individual's position along the Alzheimer's disease continuum together with its associated uncertainty. Extensive experiments on the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort demonstrate that DCP consistently outperforms representative disease progression methods. More importantly, comprehensive validation analyses show that DCS accurately characterizes disease severity, exhibits strong clinical relevance, preserves longitudinal disease evolution, and predicts future disease conversion. These results suggest that DCS provides a quantitative imaging-derived representation for continuous assessment of Alzheimer's disease progression beyond conventional diagnostic labels and clinical scores.

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### HARP: Hierarchical Adaptive Ranking with Preference-Adaptive Fusion for Query-Based CVE Prioritization

Authors: Haochen Liu, Zhengzhang Chen, Haoyu Wang, Yanchi Liu, Jundong Li, Haifeng Chen
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.IR, cs.CL, cs.CR
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19430v1

Vulnerability prioritization is inherently preference dependent, since the same CVE can receive different remediation priority under different operational preference scenarios. Existing scoring systems and ranking methods typically assume a fixed criterion. In practice, organizations already operate under a preference scenario, but this preference is often implicit and difficult to express as a written prompt instruction, while triage queries usually do not encode it. Past validated triage cases under the current scenario are more readily available. We study query-based CVE prioritization in this setting and propose HARP, a graph-grounded multi-view framework that ranks candidates from a natural-language query together with a support bank of historical labeled examples from the current preference scenario, without requiring an explicit textual summary of that scenario. HARP retrieves evidence from a vulnerability knowledge graph, scores candidates with policy-conditioned global, enterprise, and user views, and fits view-fusion weights from sampled supports. Experiments across three preference scenarios and multiple backbone LLMs show that HARP outperforms multiple baselines, expressing our method's effectiveness.

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### SCAPE: Scenario-Conditioned Simulation-Augmented Policy Evaluation

Authors: Dijie Zhu, Seunghun Oh, Ruopeng Huang, Zhiyu Huang, Jiaqi Ma, Chen Tang
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.RO, cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19425v1

Reliable performance evaluation is a central bottleneck for deploying robot-learning policies in real-world conditions. Real-world testing is faithful but costly and difficult to scale, whereas simulation-based testing scales easily but is inevitably biased by the sim-to-real gap. Existing simulation-augmented methods combine limited real-world rollouts with abundant simulation proxies, but focus on performance averaged over initial conditions and deployment settings. Such population-level averages obscure scenario-specific variation and provide limited guidance about when and where a policy can be safely deployed. We propose SCAPE, a scenario-conditioned simulation-augmented policy evaluation framework that predicts scenario-conditioned real-world policy performance using limited paired sim-and-real samples and large-scale simulation rollouts. SCAPE corrects sim-to-real bias in simulation labels before training the prediction model and calibrates prediction uncertainty through conformal prediction. We validate SCAPE on autonomous driving and quadruped velocity tracking. In sim-to-sim studies, SCAPE reduces scenario-level prediction error by 4.9%/34.7% (driving) and 14.5%/27.7% (quadruped) relative to scene-conditioned neural and aggregate statistical baselines on average. We further evaluate a velocity-tracking policy deployed on a physical Unitree Go2. SCAPE also improves testing sample efficiency, produces narrower calibrated prediction intervals, generalizes better to out-of-distribution scenarios, and enables fine-grained deployment strategies.

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### Microlensify: a Transformer Based Machine Learning Classifier for Microlensing Events Trained on TESS Light Curves

Authors: Atousa Kalantari, Somayeh Khakpash, Sedighe Sajadian, Hosein Haghi, Willow Fox Fortino, Rosanne Di Stefano
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: astro-ph.IM, astro-ph.EP, astro-ph.GA, astro-ph.SR, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19419v1

Microlensing can reveal populations of faint compact objects that are otherwise difficult to detect. Depending on their design, all-sky surveys have the potential to search for these objects across the sky. The Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS), primarily designed to detect transiting exoplanets, also provides near all-sky coverage with high cadence. In this work, we use TESS data to search for microlensing candidates using both traditional and machine-learning methods and to identify associated false positives in high-cadence surveys. Microlensify is a physics-informed, transformer-based variational autoencoder trained on simulated single-lens microlensing light curves and real TESS Sector 12 data. The model classifies events, reconstructs light curves, and estimates microlensing event durations. Applied to $\sim 5.6$ million TESS light curves, it identified between $0.036\%$ and $1.89\%$ as microlensing candidates across different TESS pipelines. After applying microlensing detection metrics and cross-matching with SIMBAD, we obtained a final list of candidates and identified false positives including long-period variables, Mira variables, cataclysmic variables, red giants, and transients. We also found Gaussian-like peaks caused by asteroid crossings, a potential source of false positives in high-cadence microlensing surveys. The model also predicts event duration with an accuracy of $R^2 = 0.97$. The model was further tested on published events from different ground-based microlensing surveys, confirming 92.7% as microlensing, demonstrating its applicability across surveys with different cadences.

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### Beyond Imitation: Filtering On-Policy Distillation by Reasoning Progress

Authors: Chen Yang, Haiyuan Wan, Rengrong Xiong, Yize Chen, Danny H. K. Tsang
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19408v1

On-policy distillation (OPD) has emerged as an effective framework for post-training language models by pairing student-generated trajectories with dense token-level supervision from a teacher. However, OPD implicitly assumes that teacher-derived rewards are an appropriate proxy for reasoning progress, and therefore treats all teacher feedback equally during policy optimization. While in practice, this assumption does not always hold. We observe that teacher-derived rewards often conflict with genuine reasoning progress, as reasoning steps with clear reasoning advancement may still receive lower distillation rewards, simply due to deviation from teacher's outputs. To address this mismatch, we propose Reasoning-Progress-Aware Reward Filtering for On-Policy Distillation (R2-OPD), which constructs two within-trajectory rankings of reasoning spans, one from teacher-derived rewards and the other from independently estimated progress reward. Distillation rewards are selectively suppressed whenever the two rankings disagree, reducing supervision that conflicts with reasoning progress while preserving effective teacher guidance. Our approach shows consistent improvement over standard OPD especially regarding reasoning performances.

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### HiRA-CAM: Preserving Fine-Grained Spatial Relevance in Gradient-Based Visual Explanations

Authors: Manasi Nerurkar, Ali A. Minai
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.NE
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19407v1

Deep Learning models can include billions of parameters or more, making it difficult to explain their internal transformations and outputs. However, explainability is increasing in importance due to the use of AI in crucial applications. This paper focuses on the interpretability of convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Building on the popular gradient based method LayerCAM for extracting internal features in CNNs, we propose an improved method named HiRA-CAM, and show that it outperforms both LayerCAM and Grad-CAM on creating useful saliency maps for object classification. The main feature of HiRA-CAM is its adaptive use of activation maps from all the layers of the CNN to arrive at a more focused saliency map.

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### HYDRA: A Heterogeneous Chiplet DSE Framework for Serving Dynamic Hybrid LLM Workloads

Authors: Jiahao Lin, Alish Kanani, Sangwan Lee, Jaehyun Park, Umit Ogras
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.AR, cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19395v1

Hybrid Transformer-Mamba large language models (LLMs) enhance long-context efficiency, but their heterogeneous computation and communication patterns complicate efficient hardware acceleration. Chiplet-based architectures offer a scalable solution by integrating specialized compute and memory units. However, the design space spanning static architectural configurations and dynamic runtime policies is prohibitively large to explore exhaustively. To address this challenge, we present HYDRA, a comprehensive design space exploration framework for hybrid LLM serving on heterogeneous chiplet systems. HYDRA jointly explores chiplet composition, placement, inter-chiplet bandwidth provisioning, dynamic batching, and runtime scheduling. It integrates communication-aware placement, dynamic batching, elastic task scheduling, and a fast Markov-based performance estimator that captures multi-tenant runtime dynamics for efficient and accurate exploration. Across all workloads, HYDRA delivers 1.55x the throughput and 43.7 percent lower time-to-first-token on average, with throughput gains reaching up to 2.3x compared to state-of-the-art baselines. These results highlight that co-designing architecture and runtime policies is critical for efficient large-scale LLM serving on heterogeneous chiplet systems.

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### Deep-MKV-TS: Path-Dependent McKean--Vlasov Control for Financial Time Series Generation

Authors: Samer El Boustany, Théo Basseras, Samy Mekkaoui, Alexandre Alouadi, Yadh Hafsi, Huyên Pham
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: q-fin.CP, cs.CE, cs.LG, math.OC
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19394v1

We introduce Deep-MKV-TS, a path-dependent McKean-Vlasov framework for financial scenario generation. The stochastic dynamics are chosen by matching selected path and volatility features of generated scenarios to those observed in the data. Starting from an interpretable reference model, Deep-MKV-TS preserves the reference drift and adjusts its volatility, while a regularization penalty limits unnecessary departures from the calibrated dynamics. We solve the resulting control problem using a neural, sample-based implementation of the stochastic maximum principle. We validate the method against an exactly computable oracle. On Heston and Heston-mixture models, Deep-MKV-TS substantially reduces path-dependent and volatility-related deficiencies of the reference model. In delayed-volatility experiments, the correction remains effective as the forecasting horizon increases, while direct training becomes less reliable. On held-out intraday equity-index futures, the corrected model improves conditional forecasts relative to the reference and reaches a level of performance comparable to flexible generative and historical baselines. The resulting scenarios also support greater exposure than the reference under a fixed drawdown-risk target. These results show that path-dependent McKean-Vlasov control can enrich an interpretable reference model without replacing it.

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### Concentrated Liquidity Provision: a Reinforcement Learning Perspective

Authors: Georgios Chionas, Charalampos Kleitsikas, Stefanos Leonardos, Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt, Carmine Ventre
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: q-fin.TR, cs.AI, cs.LG, q-fin.CP, q-fin.MF
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19389v1

Automated market makers (AMMs) are a cornerstone of decentralised finance (DeFi). Constant product markets with concentrated liquidity, such as UniswapV3, are now a well-established design. In these markets, liquidity providers (LPs) face a sequential decision problem: they must decide when to rebalance their positions and which price ranges to allocate capital to as market conditions evolve. We formulate dynamic liquidity provision as a stochastic impulse control problem and use reinforcement learning (RL) to solve it, focusing on providing interpretable solutions. We show that learned policies exhibit rich state-dependent behaviour, allocating liquidity according to mispricing, rebalancing costs, uncertainty, inventory exposure, and heterogeneous risk preferences. These behaviours help compress the left tail of the Profit and Loss (PnL) distribution and avoid catastrophic outcomes under high uncertainty. Finally, we benchmark the RL agents against baseline and sophisticated agents from the AMM microstructure literature and analyse their performance.

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### Beyond Recognition: Compact Multi-Domain Arabic Manuscript HTR with Candidate-Selection Analysis and Evidence-Preserving Review

Authors: Abdullah Ahmed Ali, Mohammed Thamer Abdulhadi, Ali Haider Safaa, Dhulfiqar Mahdi Wadi
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19385v1

Historical Arabic manuscript transcription is not only a recognition problem. A usable scholarly system must cope with shifting hands and layouts, preserve uncertain readings, distinguish visual evidence from linguistic plausibility, and record the researcher's final decision. We present Phoenix, a 4.99-million-parameter CNN-BiLSTM-CTC recognizer, and Athar, an evidence-aware review workflow built around it. Phoenix is adapted across archival, Maghrebi, and historical manuscript domains using document-aware replay, an expanded 81-symbol codec, and forgetting guards that reject checkpoints that improve a new domain at unacceptable cost to previous domains. In a pre-specified held-out comparison against the preceding checkpoint, frozen before evaluation and scored with greedy decoding and raw references, Phoenix reduced CER from 22.12% to 17.86% on 10,594 Agapet lines and from 17.72% to 11.84% on 11,684 Omar lines, while regressing from 10.39% to 10.72% on 164 TariMa lines. Across the two large held-out sets, character-weighted CER fell from 19.98% to 14.93%, a 25.3% relative error reduction. A separate same-protocol development diagnostic found the lowest CER for Phoenix on four of four comparable domains (9.59% unweighted macro CER). An N-best diagnostic revealed a 2.15-point oracle gap between beam decoding and Oracle@25, while neural text rerankers, consensus MBR, CTC-posterior quality estimation, and local pre-CTC hidden-state quality estimation recovered less than 4% of this gap. Athar therefore preserves the visual reading, exposes bounded alternatives, uses local language models conservatively, retrieves source parallels with unique, ambiguous, or abstain states, and exports auditable TEI and PAGE-XML records. The results support evaluating manuscript HTR as auditable evidence management rather than silent text replacement.

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### Causal Generalization of Continuous Treatment Effects under Covariate Shift

Authors: Jay Jojo Cheng, Guanhua Chen
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: stat.ME, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19383v1

Average dose-response functions are widely used to summarize causal effects of continuous treatments, but most existing methods assume that the observed sample represents the target population. We study a covariate-shift setting in which covariates, treatment, and outcome are observed in a labelled source sample, while only covariates are observed in the target sample. We develop a two-sample local polynomial regression framework based on pseudo-outcomes that use source outcomes to address confounding and target covariates to define the population of interest. We further propose a source-to-target extension of distance covariance optimal weighting (DCOW), designed to remove treatment-covariate dependence in the source sample while aligning the weighted source covariate distribution with the target population. A central theoretical contribution is a weight-level analysis of this optimization-based procedure: we show that the population criterion identifies the oracle source-to-target weights and that approximate empirical minimizers, including exact minimizers as a special case, converge uniformly to these weights under regularity conditions. We also establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimator. Simulations show that the proposed method improves target dose-response estimation relative to DCOW, generalized-propensity-score weighting, entropy balancing, and unweighted alternatives. We illustrate the method in a county-level analysis of PM2.5 exposure and subsequent heart-disease mortality using a source-target validation design.

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### Fairness-Aware Network Embeddings: Methods, Applications, and Challenges

Authors: Ella Has, Harshith Kumar Yadav, Gaurav Dixit, Mykola Pechenizkiy, Akrati Saxena
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.SI, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19381v1

Network embedding methods learn low-dimensional representations of graph-structured data to support downstream tasks such as node classification, link prediction, and influence maximization. However, real-world networks often reflect structural inequalities arising from demographic imbalances, homophily, and other societal biases, which fairness-agnostic embedding methods can encode and amplify. To address this issue, numerous fairness-aware network embedding methods have been proposed to mitigate bias while preserving embedding utility. This survey presents a comprehensive overview of fairness-aware network embeddings for complex networks. We propose a taxonomy that categorizes existing methods along three main complementary dimensions: underlying embedding approach (spectral, random walk, graph neural network, Bayesian, and method-agnostic), fairness intervention strategy (pre-processing, in-processing, and post-processing), and fairness objective criterion (embedding- or task-level). We further compare methods with respect to group versus individual fairness and assumptions regarding sensitive attributes. Finally, we discuss current limitations and highlight promising future research directions. This survey provides a unified perspective on fairness-aware network embedding and serves as a reference for developing fair and trustworthy network representation learning methods.

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### CAViAR: A Causal Video Dataset for Fine-Grained Accident Reasoning in Real-World Scenarios

Authors: Sparsh Garg, Yi-Wen Chen, Vijay Kumar B G, Abhishek Aich
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19380v1

While modern autonomous driving systems excel at perception tasks such as object detection and trajectory prediction, they lack the high-level causal reasoning required to interpret traffic accidents. In particular, determining responsibility, such as identifying who is at fault and which traffic rule was violated, remains largely unexplored in current benchmarks. To this end, we introduce CAViAR (Causal Accident Video and Incident Analysis Repository), a human-annotated dashcam benchmark comprising 2,249 real-world accident videos collected from CarCrashDataset (CCD) and Nexar. Each video is annotated with structured labels spanning environmental conditions, accident type, causal explanation, apparent At-Fault Agent, affected agent, and apparent rule-violation category. We benchmark state-of-the-art vision-language models (VLMs), including Cosmos-Reason2, Qwen3-VL, and InternVL3. Once class imbalance is accounted for with majority/random baselines and balanced metrics, perceptual competence is uneven--lighting is nearly solved, whereas weather and road-condition accuracy fall at or below the majority-class baseline---and all models degrade sharply on accident type and responsibility reasoning. Overall, CAViAR exposes a practical Perception--Reasoning Gap: current VLMs may recognize salient context, but do not reliably map visible agent actions to annotated rule-relevant responsibility categories in safety-critical driving scenarios. Code, annotation schema, prompts, and evaluation scripts are available at: https://github.com/nec-labs-ma/CAViAR

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### Heteroscedastic Neural Surrogate Modeling for Robust and Rapid Bayesian Inference in Fusion Plasma Diagnostics

Authors: Liyun Zhang, Naoya Mamada, Kentaro Sakai, Takeo Hoshi, Toru Aonishi
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: stat.CO, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19377v1

Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides effective parameter estimation, but its real-time application in complex physical systems is hindered by heavy computational bottlenecks and extreme sensitivity to statistical noise. We address this by proposing a neural-network-based probabilistic surrogate framework for rapid and robust MCMC inference. Using fusion plasma Thomson scattering diagnostics as a challenging, noise-dominated testbed, our approach employs a dual-head architecture to simultaneously estimate the expected physical emission spectrum and the channel-wise intrinsic measurement noise variance. By optimizing a Gaussian Negative Log-Likelihood (GNLL) objective, the learned aleatoric uncertainty dynamically buffers the sampler against pathological shot noise. Evaluations demonstrate that this surrogate framework achieves &gt; 1500x acceleration over exact physical forward models, while simultaneously reducing inference error (RMSE) by &gt;20% compared to standard homoscedastic neural baselines, offering a highly promising paradigm for real-time physical analysis.

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### Does Marginal Coverage Guarantee Class-Conditional Safety for Zero-Shot VLMs Under Shift?

Authors: Jai Kumar Sharma, Amartya Dutta
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19376v1

Split-conformal prediction provides marginal coverage under exchangeability and is increasingly used as an abstention layer for zero-shot vision-language models (VLMs). We audit this practice under deployment shift for CLIP, OpenCLIP, and SigLIP across ImageNet and non-ImageNet settings. Marginal coverage can remain relatively high while class-conditional tail coverage collapses: on ImageNet-Sketch, worst-class coverage falls to $\approx 0$ and 10-12% of classes lie below a finite-sample null floor, despite marginal coverage of about 0.86. The failure is aligned with target-domain class accuracy but is not predicted by the source-domain diagnostics we test. Source-side Mondrian calibration improves the in-distribution tail but does not transfer, while clustered conformal and Conf-OT improve marginal or average metrics without recovering the worst-class tail. Target-side class calibration substantially lifts the tail, but requires labels for every class and remains set-size-intensive. We further identify a 2-3$\times$ cross-family efficiency gap and show that native SigLIP sigmoid scores remove APS's probability-mass interpretation. The findings persist across the tested model scale, pretraining corpus, prompt, miscoverage level $α$, and shifted non-ImageNet settings. Marginal conformal coverage should therefore be treated as an average reliability statistic, not as a safety guarantee for the class tail.

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### Linguistic Holonomy and Statistical Watermarks: Inner Geometry of Meaning-Preserving Transformations

Authors: Daniele Corradetti
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CL, cs.CR, math.DG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19369v1

Statistical watermarks for language models live in the freedom of the signifier: they choose among tokens that are nearly equivalent in meaning, and they are therefore eroded by exactly those transformations which move the form of a text while leaving its content in place. The literature measures such transformations by their endpoint, through the semantic similarity between the original and the rewritten text. We show that the endpoint is the wrong statistic. Adapting the formalism of linguistic loops, we prove that the invariant of a chain of meaning-preserving transformations factorises canonically into an endpoint part and a holonomy in the stabiliser of the initial state, the second of which the semantic deficit cannot see; the loop rotation is parallel transport on the unit sphere of the embedding space, so that the analogy with the Wilson loop becomes a theorem rather than a figure of speech. On the side of the detector we prove an exact identity: the residual statistic is proportional to the number of positions whose seeding window survived intact, from which the decay law $ρ^{h+1}$ follows as the independent-edit corollary. The identity has a disconcerting consequence, which we confirm to three decimal places: at one and the same retention rate the surviving signal may be one half of the original, one quarter of it, or exactly nothing, according only to where the edits fall.

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### Data-Driven Time-Varying Control Barrier Functions for Adaptive Safe-Set Learning with Online Decremental Support Vector Machines

Authors: Shawon Dey, Michael Budihartono, Hever Moncayo
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CE, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19366v2

Mission-critical intelligent systems often operate under time-varying limitations that reduce control authority and change the admissible safe operating envelope. In such settings, a safety certificate learned under nominal conditions may become invalid as system capability changes. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a degradation-aware, data-driven safety-filtering framework that learns a safe set from data, updates it online, and enforces the resulting learned barrier through a time-varying control barrier function (CBF). A nominal safe envelope is first learned from operational data using a radial basis function (RBF)-kernel support vector machine (SVM), whose decision function serves as the initial CBF candidate. To capture capability-induced safe-set contraction, a continuous-time decremental SVM update law is developed so that selected support-vector coefficients are reduced according to a degradation signal. A homotopy-smoothed SVM-CBF is then introduced to avoid discontinuous changes in the learned barrier during active-set transitions. The resulting time-varying learned barrier is enforced using a quadratic-program-based safety filter under degraded input constraints. Forward invariance of the learned time-varying safe set and recursive feasibility of the safety filter are established. Simulation results on a vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) model show that the proposed method maintains safety under reduced control authority and avoids abrupt barrier-switching effects during safe-set contraction.

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### A Speech Corpus for Mizo Automatic Speech Recognition: Whisper and SraVaani 1.0 Fine-Tuning with Morphology-Aware Evaluation

Authors: Priyankoo Sarmah, Sanasam Ranbir Singh, Lalhmingmawia
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CL, eess.AS
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19361v1

This study reports the development of an Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) system in Mizo, a low-resource language. The development included collecting 17.62 hours of speech data, curating it, and fine-tuning the Mizo ASR system with three Whisper multilingual models and with the SraVaani 1.0 Indic multilingual model. Whisper-large-v3 achieved the lowest conventional WER (18.08%), while morphology-aware evaluation yielded a WER of 7.22%. Zero-shot evaluation of the SraVaani 1.0 Indic multilingual model yielded a WER of 58.27%, while Mizo-specific fine-tuning reduced the conventional WER to 29.45% and the morphology-aware WER to 17.93%. The results demonstrate that the Whisper model can achieve a substantially low WER, even when adapted to an unseen language. In contrast, SraVaani 1.0 supports the Mizo language in its multilingual model; however, fine-tuning with carefully curated Mizo speech data substantially improves its performance.

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### GRACE: Grounded Reasoning via Adapter Composition and Evidence-Aware Calibration for Educational Visual Question Answering

Authors: Xinjin Li, Yudi Xia, Xi Zhao, Yiliu Xu, Yining Liu, Cheng Lu, Yujian Long, Yu Ma, Jinghan Cao, Liang Fan, Yeyun Xu
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.MM, cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19355v1

Educational visual question answering, or VQA, requires models to solve curriculum-oriented multiple-choice questions using both language and visual evidence. Compared with conventional open-ended VQA, educational examples often include structured assessment metadata, diagrams or image contexts, and semantically close answer options, creating strong opportunities for question-option shortcuts. We develop and evaluate a parameter-efficient adaptation framework for a frozen multimodal large language model in this setting. We introduce GRACE, Grounded Reasoning via Adapter Composition and Evidence-Aware Calibration, a framework that uses the pedagogical state of each question to specialize lightweight language and vision adaptation. The state combines inference-visible subject, grouped skill, grade, visual-context, question-intent, and option-structure cues. GRACE uses factor-specific prompts and lightweight visual adapters, then applies evidence-aware option calibration to score all candidates under a shared multimodal context. On ScienceQA, GRACE improves a shared-adapter baseline from 90.5 percent to 93.1 percent overall accuracy and from 88.7 percent to 91.2 percent on image-context questions. Removing pedagogical composition, option calibration, or the visual adapter reduces overall accuracy by 1.4, 1.0, and 1.5 points, respectively. These controlled results show that structured educational state is an effective routing signal for parameter-efficient multimodal adaptation.

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### Uncovering the Limits of Proof Sharing for Neural Networks

Authors: Kanak Das, Shubham Ugare, Bor-Yuh Evan Chang, Sasa Misailovic, Gagandeep Singh, Manu Sridharan
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19351v2

Robustness verification of neural networks is increasingly important, due to their use in many critical domains. In certain scenarios, proof sharing has been shown to accelerate incomplete verification techniques by reusing intermediate-layer abstract states, or templates, across queries. However, questions remain as to the robustness of template-based acceleration across varying network architectures, properties, datasets, and training methods. In this work, we perform a systematic study of the effectiveness of template-based acceleration and its limits. Our study shows that template subsumption rates can vary widely across scenarios. We present a novel metric of jointly stable neurons to explain this variation, showing that in some cases template-based techniques are very unlikely to provide any speedup. Then, we present FastCert, a novel technique for automatically distributing templates across neural network layers to increase performance impact, eschewing templates entirely if they are unlikely to produce a speedup. Across a large set of covering-design based $L_0$-verification tasks, FastCert achieved an average speedup of 1.13x over an extant template-based reuse technique.

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### Mechanistic Tomography: Designed Measurement for Control-Oriented Interpretability

Authors: Vijay Erramilli
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19338v1

Mechanistic interpretability seeks quantities that models do not expose directly: represented states, component effects, interactions, and responses to interventions. Patching, gradients, Hessian-vector products, and subset interventions provide different measurements under different access assumptions and may target different quantities. We formulate their shared measurement structure as mechanistic tomography: designed measurement for recovering internal mechanisms and intervention effects. For a chosen basis and intervention family, measurements take the form y = Ax + w, where A describes the interventions, x is the target map, and w contains nonlinear response, sampling error, and basis misspecification. This language gives a practical procedure: start with the least costly measurements, test on held-out interventions at the intended scale, calibrate simple mismatch, and expand the measurement family when structured residuals remain. Control provides a demanding validation setting because an estimate that guides an intervention acts as an observer. In a two-HMM model, control error rises with observer error, while target improvement can hide nuisance-state movement. Under forward-only access, sparse aggregate measurements recover a finite-effect map with fewer interventions than coordinate patching. With gradient access, finite probes improve a local attribution map. Lifted measurements and Hessian-vector products recover interactions missed by first-order maps, while Tracr shows that the required family depends on the basis. On GPT-2-small IOI, the Name Mover-Negative Name Mover interaction is the largest held-out predictive term among three tested cross-group pairs. On Qwen-2.5-7B, finite calibration makes an additive refusal-response map adequate, so held-out error does not support pairwise lifting.

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### Deep neural networks as lattice gauge theories

Authors: Ro Jefferson, Shradha Ramakrishnan
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: hep-th, cond-mat.dis-nn, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19331v1

We modify the NN/QFT duality (1) to incorporate the layerwise permutation symmetry of the network, resulting in a $(0\!+\!1)$-dimensional lattice gauge theory, in which each layer of $N$ neurons acts as an $N$-component lattice site, and the weight matrices play the role of gauge fields living on the links. In this framework, we compute the tree-level neuron-neuron propagator which describes the evolution of layer variance in the network, and develop the Feynman diagram machinery to compute interactions in the perturbative expansion in $1/N$. In particular, we obtain a recursive expression for all corrections to the exact propagator at $O(1)$, representing statistical fluctuations in the ensemble of networks, including infinitely-many loop diagrams mediating the interactions from previous layers. We also present a preliminary analysis of neuron scattering amplitudes that contribute order-by-order in $1/N$, which provides a field-theoretic framework for studying higher-point correlations, and by extension information propagation, in deep networks. We remark on some interesting directions for future work at the intersection of neural networks and quantum field theory.

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### Improved Confidence Estimates for Black-Box Large Language Models

Authors: Sokhna Diarra Mbacke, Mouloud Belbahri, Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19323v1

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for the safe deployment of large language models (LLMs). Existing methods, from verbalized confidence to ones requiring multiple generations, are often zero-shot and produce scores quantifying uncertainty without the need for labelled data. Nonetheless, in practice one must always evaluate their performance on a dataset of interest before deployment. In this work we show that, by leveraging this dataset, we consistently outperform these existing scores. Specifically, we build simple classifiers that predict LLM response correctness by using these scores and the correctness of similar queries as features. Our method produces minimal computational overhead, making it a cheap and straightforward enhancement for UQ in LLMs for real-world applications.

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### Quantum Gaussian processes for prediction of channel observations

Authors: Jonas Jäger, Yaroslav Khmelnitskiy, Paolo Braccia, Artur Miroszewski, Diego García-Martín, M. Cerezo, Piotr Czarnik
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: quant-ph, cs.LG, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19306v1

Given a set of input states, we consider the task of predicting the expectation value of a Pauli observable at the output of an unknown quantum evolution, using only a limited number of measurements. Recently, quantum Gaussian process (QGP) regression was introduced for this task across various classes of unitary evolution. Here, we extend the QGP framework beyond unitary dynamics. In particular, we prove convergence of the channel's outputs to a QGP and derive the associated closed-form kernel under a uniform (Lebesgue measure) prior over quantum channels. The kernel's dimensional factor, however, dictates the required observation precision. While manageable when the channel and observable are restricted to small subsystems, exponential suppression precludes learning when the subsystem grows extensively with the system size. Since the Lebesgue prior is overly broad for many applications, we propose an empirical Bayes heuristic that replaces the dimensional factor with a learnable scale parameter while retaining the kernel's state-overlap correlation structure. In numerical simulations of up to 64 qubits, channel QGP regression with the Lebesgue kernel exhibits a strong inductive bias for local channels, enabling faithful extrapolation. For global 64-qubit channels, the rescaled kernel restores learnability, with predictions improving systematically with the shot budget. Results from a noisy quantum computer further demonstrate the robustness of QGP regression under experimental conditions. Beyond regression, we validate QGPs as Bayesian-optimization surrogates for state preparation under noisy XXZ dynamics.

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### Quantum Kernel Estimation for the Discovery of Early Lung Cancer Detection

Authors: Hamed Javidi, Alex Zajichek, Hakan Doga, Laxmi Parida, Filippo Utro, Peter J. Mazzone
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, q-bio.QM
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19304v1

Lung cancer screening with low-dose chest computed tomography reduces mortality, but its impact is limited by uptake, adherence, and management challenges. Blood-based cell-free DNA (cfDNA) biomarkers offer a complementary approach, although early detection remains difficult because of lung cancer heterogeneity and high-dimensional, nonlinear molecular signals. We evaluated quantum-classical hybrid machine learning for lung cancer detection using DNA fragmentomics and DNA methylation. After feature selection, models were trained using 20- and 40-feature subsets. Features were encoded into quantum Hilbert space using angle and dense-angle feature maps with multiple entanglement strategies. Fidelity-based quantum kernels were computed with exact statevector simulation and integrated with precomputed-kernel SVM and kernel-PCA logistic regression and compared with an SVM model trained on the original features. This framework enabled systematic evaluation of how encoding and entanglement design affect classification. Across repeated held-out evaluations, quantum-kernel models achieved competitive performance on both datasets. For fragmentomics, several 20-feature configurations improved AUC relative to a classical SVM baseline, suggesting effective capture of nonlinear cfDNA fragmentation structure. For methylation, the classical SVM achieved the highest AUC, although selected quantum models remained competitive and improved specificity in some cases. Increasing features from 20 to 40 did not consistently improve performance and often increased variability. Overall, these results support quantum kernel methods as a promising approach for cfDNA-based lung cancer detection.

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### Outcome Monitors: Recovery Affordances for Silent Tool Failures

Authors: Sugam Panthi, Rabab Abdelfattah
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.AI, cs.CL, cs.SE
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19303v1

When a tool call times out, the agent sees the failure and can route around it. A cached error page or negative price can instead arrive in the expected format and be consumed as fact. We introduce Outcome Monitors, which detect violations of outcome contracts mined from task-disjoint traces or derived from public schemas. On a violation, the monitor preserves the result and issues a nonbinding receipt naming the violated property and public recovery tools. In frozen, prespecified evaluations with injected failures, Outcome Monitors raise ToolMaze completion from 10.9% to 28.1% across four models in two provider families and replicate in a third. In tau-bench retail, completion improves by 14.0 and 12.0 points on two tiers. In separate ToolMaze controls, removing the recovery-tool list eliminates the measured gain and restoring it recovers the effect; diagnostic detail and timing produce no detectable differences. Gains concentrate where the fault blocks completion. On a suite transcribed from a published incident taxonomy, detection outside the mined vocabulary falls to 46%, though delivery continues and completion is unchanged. Recovery tools are the active receipt content in these controls; extending detection beyond the contract vocabulary remains open.

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### Air Traffic Control Using Large Language Models: Prompt Engineering, Architecture, and Evaluation

Authors: Mahyar Ghazanfari, Matthias Casanova, Jordan Kam, Alex Zongo, Peng Wei, Torsten Darrell, Alexandre Bayen
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19299v2

Air traffic control (ATC) communication is a safety-critical dialogue that remains largely human-driven even as other parts of air traffic management have been semi-automated. In this article, we experimentally evaluate whether large language models (LLMs) can generate operationally realistic ATC transmissions. An experimental general-aviation flight flying over the San Francisco "Bay Tour" route is hand-transcribed and used as ground truth (P0). Through a pilot-in-the-loop process we design five prompt structures (P1-P5) of increasing constraint and embed them in a stateful multi-turn pipeline, where the model plays ATC to a fixed pilot transcript while conditioning on the accumulating dialogue history. Across nine open- and closed-source LLMs we vary the prompt, the presence of a worked transcript from a different experimental flight as an in-context example, and whether the model conditions on its own prior replies or on injected ground-truth history. Turns are scored with lexical, structural, and semantic similarity metrics and by an LLM-as-judge (GPT-5.5) validated against human expert annotation. Supplying a worked example improves similarity, but tightening the prompt does not: the lightest prompts perform best and the most heavily scripted one collapses as its own errors accumulate through the dialogue, which injecting correct history repairs. These results outline a concrete path and its current limits toward LLM-assisted ATC.

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### SceneGTMM: A Conformal Mapping-based Scene-Aware Transferable GNN-Transformer Dual-Graph Interaction Framework for Map Matching

Authors: Yongliang Zhang, Feng Song, Ji Chen, Lishuai Guo, Yong Deng, Yue Zheng, Tianyi Liu, Zhixiong Chen, Qixin Zhang
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19298v1

Map matching is a key technology connecting positioning data with high precision road networks, but it faces challenges in noise robustness, cross regional transfer, and interpretability. To addr ess the limitations of existing methods in local global fusion, dynamic road network adaptation, and reliance on black box mod els, this paper proposes SceneGTMM, a transferable GNN Transformer dual graph interaction map matching framework based on a conformal mapping based scene relative strategy. 1) Conformal mapping based scene relative strategy: constructs trajectory centric local coordinate systems to reduce dependence on the training road network, supporting cross regional transfer and dynamic road network updates; 2) GNN Transformer dual graph interaction architecture: a GNN modeled road graph captures local topological constraints, while a Transformer modeled trajectory graph captures global temporal dependencies, and cross graph attention achieves noise suppression and semantic alignment; 3) CRF enhanced structured prediction: combines the global context of the Transformer with the topological transition constraints of CRF to improve path connectivity and robustness. Experiments show that SceneGTM achieves over 80% accuracy on multi source trajectories with positioning errors of 16 50 meters, representing a 5.3% improvement over HMM. In cross city transfer scenarios, it outperforms MTrajRec, GraphMM, and TMM, and enhances interpretability through attention and relative coordinate visualization. This study provides a new paradigm for high precision, transferable map matching for real time traffic perception and autonomous driving path planning.

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### Holtercare-Bench: A Multimodal Benchmark for Evaluating Long-Term Dynamic ECG Analysis

Authors: Yihan Xie, Hanwen Cui, Runze Ye, Juekai Lin, Haoyang Wang, Jinhao Mao, Bo Zhang, Wenqiao Zhang, Xiaogang Guo, Jun Xiao, Lei Zhang
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19297v1

While multimodal large language models (MLLMs) excel in medical applications, most of them favor static images or short-term signals. In the critical field of dynamic electrocardiograms (ECG), models struggle with complex temporal reasoning and diagnostic report generation due to a lack of high-quality datasets and benchmarks. To address this, we introduce (i) Holtercare-23K, a large-scale multimodal dynamic ECG dataset comprising 22,980 QA pairs derived from 788 clinical Holter records and featuring a novel signal-video-text tri-modal alignment. Based on this dataset, we present (ii) Holtercare-Bench, a multimodal benchmark that evaluates models on temporal localization, clinical diagnosis, and global summarization. Zero-shot evaluations of leading MLLMs reveal a significant performance gap in processing ultra-long pathological sequences. However, fine-tuning representative models yields substantial improvements. This work illuminates the limitations of current MLLMs in electrophysiology and provides a foundational benchmark for long-term medical MLLMs. Our project is available at https://github.com/ZJU4HealthCare/Holtercare-Bench.

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### Clustering and Token Denoising for Faster and More Robust VLMs

Authors: Baptiste Rossigneux, Inna Kucher, Vincent Lorrain, Emmanuel Casseau
Published: 2026-08-19
Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.19285v1

Recent Visual-Language Models (VLMs) have enhanced the capabilities of pre-trained LLMs by adding vision tokens alongside text, with approaches like LLaVA showing impressive results. However, the computational burden of processing up to 576 or 729 visual tokens makes edge deployment challenging. While various token pruning techniques require retraining, some are training-free and thus can easily adapt to architecture changes. We introduce ClustRS, a two-part, training-free algorithm for robust token pruning. Its first component is an attention-weighted, clustering algorithm that selects representative tokens from each semantic cluster. The second component, Residual Shrinkage, is a one-pass denoising step on the selected tokens. These training-free lightweight steps make LLaVA ready for real-world data, improving robustness to a wide range of image-noise types and intensities. Experimental results on the ScienceQA-IMG and MM-VET benchmarks show our method outperforms attention- and diversity-based methods by up to 20\% under extreme noise and token conditions (reducing tokens by 97\%, down to 16 tokens) on LLaVA 1.5 7b and achieves exceptional results on LLaVA-OneVision, where we match baseline performance with fewer than one-third of their tokens under mild noise conditions. Our study demonstrates a simple yet powerful alternative to both score-only and diversity-only pruning rules, paving the way for compute-efficient and noise-resilient VLM deployment.

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