# Research Papers — 2026-10 · bundle page 109 of 156

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### Language-model ratings of depression reflect the rater more than the patient

Authors: Baihan Lin
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI, q-bio.NC
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08501v1

Depression has no diagnostic blood test. Language models promise tireless, consistent assessment, but can accurate raters disagree about individuals? We pre-registered 880 language-model raters, crossing 11 open models with prompting and scoring choices, and applied them to 189 interviews against the eight-item Patient Health Questionnaire. Model choice explained 30.0% of summed-symptom score variance, stable participant differences 10.5%. Two randomly drawn raters with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) >= 0.70 disagreed on screening decisions for 40% of participants, on average. Average over-rating governed how many were flagged, yet equal-capacity raters chose differently for about one participant in five. A locked analysis of 86 new interviews reproduced the main pre-registered findings. Exploratory recalibration with 40 labelled participants raised accuracy from about 60% to 75% and halved disagreement, leaving one participant in five decided differently. Calibration repaired much of the rater dependence without securing agreement about individuals.

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### Information-Dense Synthesis for Molecular Discovery

Authors: Kasper K. Jakobsen, Eli N. Weinstein
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: stat.ML, cs.LG, physics.chem-ph, q-bio.BM
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08495v1

Machine learning can accelerate molecular discovery by designing molecules and planning experiments. However, many scientific challenges demand molecules with very rare properties, and in this sparse setting, existing algorithms offer little gain over random guessing. We propose a method to efficiently search large regions of molecular space using algorithmically controlled stochastic synthesis. Rather than design, make and test individual molecules, we design and make complex mixtures, test them as a pool, then deconvolute the molecule-activity map. We optimize synthesis to encode maximal information. Theoretically, this approach can reduce the number of experiments required to find the optimal molecule among $d$ candidates from $\mathcal{O}(d)$ to $\mathcal{O}(\log d)$ or $\mathcal{O}(1)$. In simulation, on estimated protein fitness landscapes, it finds active molecules with an order of magnitude fewer experiments than existing Bayesian optimization methods.

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### Knee3DVLM: Dual-Sequence Full-Volume Vision-Language Modeling for Comprehensive Knee MRI Assessment

Authors: Maryam Baizhigitova, Andrew Seohwan Yu, Po-Hao Chen, Naveen Subhas, Sixu Chen, Xinxin Wang, Kunio Nakamura, Richard Lartey, Xiaojuan Li, Mingrui Yang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08482v2

Vision-language models (VLMs) are increasingly being applied to three-dimensional medical imaging, but their application to knee MRI remains limited, particularly for interpreting the complementary sequences used in clinical practice. We introduce Knee3DVLM, a sequence-aware VLM that uses full-volume DESS and fluid-sensitive TSE MRI to predict 57 anatomically resolved binary diagnostic targets derived from the MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS) for structured reporting. We evaluated DESS-only, TSE-only, and paired DESS-TSE configurations using subject-disjoint Osteoarthritis Initiative partitions. In a held-out cohort of 1,074 examinations, the fused model achieved 72.98% average accuracy, 71.17% balanced accuracy, 78.96% mean ROC-AUC, and 78.74% macro ROC-AUC, the highest values among the three configurations. In a secondary multiclass analysis aligned with the released 3DReasonKnee cohort, Knee3DVLM was numerically higher than the strongest reported 3DReasonKnee configuration across five pathology categories. These findings support dual-sequence full-volume modeling for comprehensive knee MRI assessment.

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### MetaLearnNCA: Few-Shot Offline Meta-Learning via Interacting Neural Cellular Automata

Authors: Etienne Guichard, Stefano Nichele
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08479v1

Few-shot meta-learning traditionally formulates task adaptation either as analytical gradient descent through unrolled computational graphs or as metric-based distance comparisons over flattened 1D fea- ture vectors, which either incur costly test-time backpropagation or discard native 2D spatial geometry. In this work, we propose METALEARNNCA, a decentralized framework that achieves few-shot adapta- tion through the dynamical interaction of coupled Neural Cellular Automata (NCAs) without computing analytical gradients during inference. MetaLearnNCA decomposes task adaptation into an Active- NCA, which executes task inference conditioned on a continuous 2D spatial memory grid termed the spatial program, and a learned Meta-NCA, which acts as a decentralized cellular optimizer by diffusing spatial error residuals across local neighborhoods to dynamically update this program. METALEARN- NCA is competitive against canonical meta-learners in-distribution (96.12% on Omniglot) with Out-Of- Distribution transfer gains on MNIST, KMNIST, and Fashion-MNIST transfer across 10 independent testing seeds across 1-, 5-, and 10-shot regimes (e.g., surpassing Prototypical Networks by +10.54% on 10-shot MNIST and a +3.87% gain on 10-shot Fashion-MNIST over FOMAML). Our results establish that robust, gradient-free learning-to-learn can emerge from decentralized cellular dynamics on non-von Neumann substrates.

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### Learning PDE solution operators with variable initial conditions via Latent Dynamics Networks

Authors: Stefano Maria Pizzamiglio, Stefano Pagani, Francesco Regazzoni
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, math.NA
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08475v1

In many-query scenarios, data-driven surrogate models provide an efficient alternative to high-fidelity solvers for simulating physical systems governed by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). In this context, the Latent Dynamics Network (LDNet) has recently demonstrated remarkable performance in predicting the response of spatio-temporal systems, combining Neural Ordinary Differential Equations with nonlinear dimensionality reduction. However, the original formulation assumes a fixed initial condition, limiting its applicability to many real-world applications where a system evolves from varying starting states. In this work, we overcome this limitation while keeping the end-to-end training procedure of the original LDNet and its encoder-free nature, which preserves its intrinsic independence from spatial resolution and grid topology. We infer the initial latent state directly from a small set of early-time observations, treating latent-state initialization as an adaptation problem, and investigate two strategies: an auto-decoding formulation and a meta-learning approach in which the initial latent state acts as a task-specific context variable. We demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed methods across diverse physical phenomena, spanning advection-diffusion, fluid dynamics, and solid mechanics. Meta-learning markedly accelerates latent-state inference and induces smoother, better-conditioned optimization landscapes, and spontaneously organizes the latent space into a structured representation that reflects physically meaningful features of the underlying dynamics. The coordinate-based decoder enables training from spatially subsampled data while recovering high-resolution solution fields at inference. The resulting approach provides an efficient and resolution-independent surrogate modeling framework for many-query simulations of time-dependent PDEs with varying initial conditions.

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### UNREAL: Unifying Retrieval and Long-Context with a Single Model

Authors: Edan Kinderman, Elad Hoffer, Yochai Blau, Brian Chmiel, Ron Banner, Daniel Soudry, Boris Ginsburg
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.IR, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08463v1

Long-context inference and Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) handle evidence selection at vastly different scales, from a single long prompt to an entire corpus. We ask whether a single model-internal mechanism can select evidence across this range. We introduce UNifying REtrieval And Long-Context with a Single Model (UNREAL), a model-native evidence selection framework to span corpus retrieval and long-context inference. UNREAL encodes chunks and derives retrieval queries directly from the frozen LLM's internal representations. It adds fewer than 500K trainable parameters and leaves the backbone unchanged. On a 3B-token, 21M-chunk Wikipedia index, all four dense and hybrid UNREAL backbones outperform state-of-the-art retriever-reranker systems. The best model raises recall from 49.1% to 73.2% on HotpotQA, from 31.7% to 60.1% on 2WikiMultiHopQA, and from 8.8% to 14.4% on MuSiQue. Applied to long-context tasks, the same selection mechanism removes distractors before generation, raising NoLiMa accuracy from 1.0% to 24.83% at its maximum context length of 128K tokens, and LV-Eval's F1 score from 49.97% to 54.66% at 256K. UNREAL also reduces FLOPs and time-to-first-token relative to full-context inference from roughly 32K tokens onward, with larger gains as context grows. Together, these results establish model-internal evidence selection as a common foundation for corpus retrieval and evidence-sparse long-context inference.

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### One-Shot Private Confidence Regions via Resampling

Authors: Shourya Pandey, Purnamrita Sarkar, Po-Ling Loh, Debepsita Mukherjee
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: stat.ML, cs.CR
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08460v2

We propose a simple framework for constructing differentially private confidence regions \textit{in one shot}, i.e., by adding noise only to the final resampling quantile instead of privatizing the estimator computed on each resample. The cost of privacy of our procedure is only logarithmic in the number of resamples $B$ under with-replacement ($m$-out-of-$n$) sampling and independent of $B$ under without replacement sampling (subsampling), avoiding the $\sqrt{B}$ factor that arises in previous works. We provide nonasymptotic Gaussian Differential Privacy (GDP) and utility guarantees for both subsampling and $m$-out-of-$n$ resampling, covering mean-like estimators with small global sensitivity as well as estimators admitting efficiently computable smooth sensitivity bounds, including quantiles and degenerate U-statistics. This allows us to also obtain private confidence regions for degenerate U-statistics where the private error is much smaller than the non-private error. In all, we provide a toolbox for widely applicable DP uncertainty quantification procedures under popular resampling strategies while avoiding the computational and privacy costs of privatizing many intermediate resample statistics.

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### Agentic AutoRAG: RAG Pipeline Optimization through Reasoning-Driven Agents

Authors: Lasse B. Strand, Robert Jakob, Kevin O'Sullivan, Markus Kreft
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.IR, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08452v1

Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) is a widely used approach for grounding large language models (LLMs) in external knowledge. However, configuring a pipeline is an expensive hyperparameter optimization problem over many interacting choices, from chunking and embedding model to reranking and generation. Existing optimizers, from greedy search to Bayesian optimization, reduce each trial to an aggregate score and search without modeling why a configuration performed as it did, even though the retrieved chunks already provide evidence about whether each failure occurred during retrieval or after it. We introduce Agentic AutoRAG, an LLM-agent optimizer for multi-objective RAG hyperparameter optimization with retrieval-versus-generation failure attribution. It proposes configurations scored on a frozen exam from the corpus: after each trial a Diagnoser attributes each failed question to retrieval or generation, and a Proposer, grounded in a knowledge base of model rankings and pricing, selects the next configuration, weighing accuracy against cost to trace a Pareto frontier. On three multi-hop QA benchmarks it reaches higher LLM-judge accuracy than every baseline we compare, and within its first 10 trials it matches or beats the statistical baselines' full 30-trial judge accuracy. In its cost-aware mode on a real-world healthcare corpus it reaches a median exam accuracy of 77%, above the strongest baseline's 71.5%, at about 58% of that baseline's cost per query, and it matches that 71.5% at about 22% of the cost.

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### Rethinking Cross-Tokenizer On-Policy Distillation: From Alignment Coverage to Supervision Reliability

Authors: Bingxi Hou, Guochao Jiang, Guofeng Quan, Weiqing Li, Wenfeng Feng, Guohua Liu, Yuewei Zhang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08448v1

On-Policy Distillation (OPD) trains a student on its own generations using teacher feedback. With different tokenizers, comparing teacher and student predictions requires alignment at both sequence and vocabulary levels. In this paper, we examine whether expanding this alignment coverage improves learning. Across three heterogeneous teacher--student pairs on mathematical reasoning and code generation, strict 1:1 groups already cover most student-generated tokens despite substantial vocabulary mismatch. On responses sampled from the students before distillation, the shared vocabulary retains nearly all teacher and student probability mass at strictly aligned positions on average. Restricting reverse KL to a student-selected top-16 subset of the shared vocabulary at each strict position achieves accuracy comparable to full shared-vocabulary OPD, outperforming the evaluated cross-tokenizer baselines. Adding mean squared error supervision on span log-probabilities in mismatch groups gives complete supervision coverage, yet reduces accuracy. At checkpoints from training with only the strict loss, the span gradients show weak or negative directional agreement with the strict gradients and grow in magnitude relative to them. These diagnostics may help explain the accuracy drop from adding span supervision. Our findings motivate a shift from maximizing alignment coverage to prioritizing supervision reliability: compact supervision at strict positions can be more effective than broader coverage that introduces weakly aligned or conflicting training signals.

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### AssemState: Manual and Physical-State-Guided Reasoning for Zero-shot Furniture Assembly

Authors: Zhiyuan Qi, Jierui Li, Yifan Shen, Cheng Qian, Jiateng Liu
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08446v1

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have made significant progress in visual understanding, but precise 3D spatial reasoning integrated with physical environment remains difficult. Furniture assembly requires not only recovering step-level operations from diagrammatic manuals, but also translating semantic attachment relations into 6D pose updates that enable parts to physically interact with the environment and previously assembled components. To study this problem, we propose AssemState, a zero-shot framework for manual and physical-state-guided furniture assembly. It firstly employs anchor-guided boundary assembly states to decompose manual pages into single-part operations and recover an assembly-tree. Then, it uses iterative after-state feedback refinement to guide successive (SE(3)) updates and corrections, and validates their physical plausibility through simulation-based release tests. Experiments show that compared with the strongest prior baseline, AssemState improves F1 from 38.58\% to 62.80\% and Tree Exact Match from 28.24\% to 53.92\% for assembly-tree recovery. On 243 independently evaluated part-level operations, our proposed iterative refinement improves judge-accepted operations from 0 to 5.3\% and reduces mean Chamfer distance from 5.4111 to 1.7744. However, visually plausible candidate poses may still suffer from collision, floating, mirror-orientation errors, incomplete seating, and wrong-side attachment. These results show that AssemState improves operation-structure recovery and selected local pose metrics, while MLLMs remain limited for spatial relationship reasoning.

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### Scalable Regularized Vector Multiplicative Error Models for Positive-valued Financial Time Series

Authors: Rohan Hemant Chhatre, Chiranjit Dutta, Nalini Ravishanker, Sumanta Basu
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: stat.CO, stat.AP, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08443v1

The logarithmic multiplicative error model (log-vMEM) has been useful in modeling and forecasting multivariate positive-valued financial time series. The number of parameters grow rapidly with the dimension of the system and the lag order, making estimation computationally demanding in high-dimensional settings. This paper describes regularized estimation via hierarchical lag structures (Nicholson et al., 2020) for log-vMEM models with multivariate gamma error distribution of Tsionas (2004). The parameter estimation is performed using a blockwise coordinate descent algorithm with a Gauss-Seidel-style update scheme (Wright, 2015). This enables an efficient computation strategy compared to traditional penalized maximum likelihood approaches. The competing models are juxtaposed against each other by combining three hierarchical lag structures (componentwise, elementwise, own-other) and four penalties(group-lasso, adaptive group-lasso, group-mcp, and group-scad). Extensive simulation runs have been performed to test the parameter recovery for both the unpenalized and the penalized models. We apply the proposed methods to model the joint dynamics of robust intraday realized volatility measures for Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) for the competing models. The numerical integration step of the log-likelihood is identified to be the principal computational bottleneck. We address this issue by using GPU-accelerated quadrature integration thus improving computational scalability of the proposed models.

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### HuC-VideoMAE: Human-Centric Video Masked Autoencoding from synthetic data

Authors: Ricardo Pizarro, Roberto Valle, José M. Buenaposada, Luis M. Bergasa, Luis Baumela
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08433v1

Modern action recognition models rely on video transformers pretrained on massive collections of web-crawled videos, such as Kinetics-700. However, the use of such data raises ethical concerns, as subjects' consent is typically not obtained. Recent high-quality synthetic video datasets generated from motion-capture data, such as BEDLAM2.0, offer a promising ethical alternative. In this work, we investigate self-supervised pretraining of video transformers on synthetic human-motion datasets. We first show that directly applying the standard VideoMAE masking strategy leads to substantially worse performance than pretraining on Kinetics. To address this limitation, we propose a human-centric masking scheme that leverages body keypoints and person bounding box regions. Our approach encourages the model to focus on the structure and dynamics of human motion during pretraining. Experiments on NTU RGB+D and Toyota-Smarthome demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms standard VideoMAE pretraining on synthetic data, closing 49% of the gap to Kinetics pretraining on NTU RGB+D cross-view-subject without using a single real frame during pretraining. To promote the use of ethical action recognition models, we will publicly release our pretrained models.

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### EMHO: EMbodied Agent Harness Optimization via Experience Traces

Authors: Hyun Jung Lee, Jungtaek Kim, Jongwon Jeong, Tae-Eui Kam, Donghyun Kim, Yong Jae Lee
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08432v1

Improving embodied agents often focuses on optimizing the underlying model through training, while the surrounding agent harness that controls planning, context, and tool use is typically engineered. We ask whether this harness can instead improve itself directly from experience traces under sparse environmental feedback. We propose EMbodied Agent Harness Optimization (EMHO), a self-evolving framework that keeps the embodied model frozen and iteratively revises its harness by analyzing execution trajectories and prior harness history. EMHO optimizes beyond skills or recovery prompts, modifying how the agent monitors progress, uses vision tools, grounds observations, and responds to failures. To support multiple subtasks with a single harness, we introduce EMHO-Merge, which addresses trade-offs in jointly optimizing a single shared harness across subtasks by using episode-level gains and losses to guide evidence-supported refinement of when and how revised behaviors are applied. We evaluate EMHO on EmbodiedBench across navigation and manipulation tasks, and EMHO consistently improves task success for both Qwen 9B and 27B models. Qualitative analysis shows that EMHO goes beyond recovering from failures and unproductive actions to reshape how the embodied agent interprets and interacts with its environment.

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### NeMo-DCR: Bit-Exact Delta-Compressed Refit for Scalable Agentic RL at Trillion-Parameter Scale

Authors: Songlin Jiang, Zhiyu Li, Terry Kong, Yu Yao, Youngeun Kwon, Bernard Nguyen, Ashwath Aithal, Mario Di Francesco
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.DC, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08430v1

Agentic reinforcement learning (RL) disaggregates training from rollout, so each policy update must reach the rollout clusters before the next batch. Transferring a full 1T checkpoint for such weight synchronization (refit) takes 87.5 min between two AWS regions. Measurements of BF16 training show that about 1% of weights change their stored values per step. Recent systems exploit this sparsity but fall short on placement, exactness, or efficiency: they reimplement placement rules, assemble full tensors, rebuild values arithmetically, or use a cross-cluster collective, and none fully recovers from mid-refit failures. We present NeMo-DCR (Delta-Compressed Refit), which sends only changes yet is bit-exact: receivers obtain the same parameter and buffer bits as a dense refit. For placement, fixed affine mappings project changes from training shards into the checkpoint's canonical coordinates, residual conversion covers the other changes, and the serving runtime's native loader places all changes in receiver storage. For exactness, compressible XOR masks carry affine changes whose projection and loader preserve stored bits, and overwrites carry the others. Receivers apply both in place, retries overwrite partial writes, and a joint commit binds the policy to the baseline for the next delta. For efficiency, object storage or a relay tree streams payloads during delta construction, without a cross-cluster collective. Even at 3% and 5% change rates, NeMo-DCR refits of 30B-1T models are 12-40$\times$ faster than a transport-only full-checkpoint reference. A 1T relay-tree refit at 3% takes 150 s instead of 87.5 min, making refits practical for cross-cluster agentic RL at trillion-parameter scale.

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### Symmetry-Aware Feature Learning: A Polynomial Separation for Multi-Index Models

Authors: Jivan Waber, Vanessa Piccolo, Yatin Dandi, Florent Krzakala
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, math.PR, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08420v1

We establish a polynomial sample complexity separation between symmetry-aware and symmetry-agnostic feature learning. We study growing-rank multi-index models with high-dimensional Gaussian covariates in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and $r=Θ(d^δ)$ teacher directions forming a cyclic symmetry orbit, where $0<δ<1/2$. We compare three ways of exploiting this structure: architectural weight sharing, data augmentation over the full symmetry group, and learning without access to the symmetry. In particular, we analyze a symmetry-tied convolutional network, an untied network, and the same untied network trained with full-group data augmentation, using spherical online SGD with correlation loss. For a class of polynomial links with information exponent $p\ge3$, we prove matching sample complexity bounds up to logarithmic factors: the tied and augmented learners achieve weak directional recovery in $\widetildeΘ(d^{p-1})$ samples, whereas the symmetry-agnostic learner requires $\widetildeΘ(rd^{p-1})$. For the pure quadratic Hermite link, the same separation holds for weak recovery of the teacher subspace, with sample complexities $\widetildeΘ(d)$ and $\widetildeΘ(rd)$, respectively. Thus, full-group data augmentation matches the sample efficiency of architectural weight sharing, and both provide a polynomial advantage over training without symmetry. For $p\ge3$, the proof reveals a two-stage mechanism: fluctuations at initialization select one direction in the teacher orbit, after which localized growth amplifies its overlap to the weak recovery scale while competing overlaps remain near their initialization scale.

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### Deformable CT-US Registration via Anatomy-Aware Implicit Neural Representations

Authors: Agnieszka Lach, Magdalena Wysocki, Feng Li, Mohammad Farid Azampour, Benjamin D. Killeen, Felix Ginzinger, Mathias Braun, Philipp Steininger, Heinz Deutschmann, Nassir Navab
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08419v1

Slice-to-volume registration between ultrasound (US) and preoperative computed tomography (CT) imaging would enhance many minimally invasive interventions, for example by locating soft tissue structures intra-operatively that are discernible in CT. While optical tracking enables initial rigid registration, contact from the probe induces soft tissue deformations that inhibit accurate alignment. In this work, we introduce a deformable CT-ultrasound registration framework that incorporates anatomical priors derived from CT to improve registration under deformation. Rigid registration is first established using a robot-assisted optical tracking system, after which a deformable transformation is estimated using a sinusoidal implicit neural representation (SIREN) optimized per frame. Tissue stiffness is approximated from CT-based HU values and used as spatially varying regularization, suppressing deformation in rigid structures such as bone while allowing more flexibility in soft tissue. Two additional constraints capture the physics of probe contact: a contact-zone displacement prior that drives the displacement field to compress tissue below the probe face, and a fan-geometry regularization term based on beam direction and convex transducer field of view. Model parameters are optimized with a normalized gradient field (NGF). The proposed approach improves alignment over rigid initialisation by 17% and outperforms classical deformable baselines while maintaining near-zero topological folding.

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### From the Drosophila Visual Connectome to General-Purpose Computer Vision

Authors: Zongyu Li, Akito Yamauchi, Huaizhi Liu, Vishwanatha Rao, Jia Guo, for the Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration Neuroimaging Initiative, for the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.NE, q-bio.NC
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08418v1

Biological connectomes encode structured solutions to visual computation that may provide reusable inductive biases for artificial vision. We develop ConnectomeX around FlyVision, a trainable architecture that preserves parallel ON/OFF processing, recurrent computation and population-level graph interaction while scaling model capacity across tasks. FlyVision reached 99.34% accuracy on MNIST with 80,608 parameters and 78.03% on CIFAR-10 with 81,408 parameters. On ImageNet-1K, FlyVision Base and Large reached 60.79% and 66.25% top-1 accuracy with 1.8 and 3.7 million parameters, while a Large local-k7 model with a learned low-frequency branch reached 66.53%, compared with 69.25% for ResNet18 with 11.7 million parameters. On a 22-class skin-disease benchmark, FlyVision Large achieved 63.78% accuracy and 95.28% macro-AUROC with 2.99 million parameters. In four-class chest radiography, ImageNet-pretrained FlyVision Base and Large reached 92.60% and 92.76% accuracy with 1.33 and 2.97 million parameters, compared with 91.56% for ImageNet-pretrained ResNet18 with 11.18 million. BrainAGE extends FlyVision to volumetric T1-weighted MRI by applying a shared ImageNet-pretrained FlyVision Large encoder to 24 sagittal, coronal and axial slices per scan and combining slice-level age estimates by confidence-modulated Gaussian voting. On 433 held-out scans, three-axis fusion achieved a mean absolute error of 5.98 years and R^2 = 0.868. Across the 224x224 classification tasks, the best FlyVision configuration remained within three percentage points of ResNet18 on ImageNet-1K and skin-disease classification and exceeded it on chest radiography with substantially fewer parameters. These results show that a conserved connectome-informed computation can scale from compact recognition to large-scale natural and biomedical vision.

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### Ariadne's Thread of LipSync: Unraveling Forgeries via Inconsistency between Lip Motions and Head Poses

Authors: Tianyi She, Jiawei Liu, Weifeng Liu, Hanqing Zhao, Weiming Zhang, Kejiang Chen
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.CR
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08417v1

Recent advances in LipSync generation technology have led to the creation of highly realistic videos, posing severe societal risks. However, existing defense strategies struggle against LipSync forgeries, as advanced LipSync generation methods not only achieve better lip synchronization but also eliminate visual artifacts. An important reason is that they overlook an inherent biological coupling between lip movements and head poses in natural speech videos. In this paper, we propose LipDA, a novel framework for joint LipSync Detection and Attribution, which takes advantage of the inconsistency between head and lip. For detection, the framework learns to quantify this discrepancy by contrasting lip and pose features from authentic versus forged videos. For attribution, our method is designed to capture the unique temporal dynamics and audio-visual synchronization patterns that act as the fingerprint of models, enabling source tracing. We conduct extensive experiments on two challenging LipSync datasets as well as our own proposed large-scale and multi-generator dataset. LipDA achieves over 97\% AUC in detection and 97.5\% accuracy in model attribution, significantly outperforming existing methods. Code and the proposed LipSync-A dataset are available at https://github.com/AnsonShe/LipDA.

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### Image Bitstream Fine-grained Understanding for Privacy-Friendly AIoT

Authors: Zhen Yu, Wenyang Liu, Kejun Wu, Chengwang Xiao, Renjie Qiao, Chengtao Cai
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08414v1

Image Bitstream Fine-grained Understanding (IBFU) aims to directly perform fine-grained classification and semantic description generation from encoded image byte sequences. In contrast to conventional pixel-domain visual understanding, IBFU conducts semantic analysis without fully decoding images into the pixel domain. Since pixel-level visual content is not explicitly reconstructed during inference, this paradigm reduces visual exposure within the processing pipeline and suits privacy-friendly Artificial Intelligence of Things (AIoT) applications. In this paper, we propose Bitstream Fine-grained Generator (BFG), a novel foundation model tailored for IBFU. BFG consists of two main components: a Bitstream Semantic Encoder (BSeE) and a Fine-grained Semantic Generator (FSeG). BSeE directly models semantic representations from encoded image bitstreams without explicit pixel reconstruction, while FSeG transforms the extracted bitstream semantics into detailed natural-language descriptions through autoregressive generation. To train BFG and comprehensively evaluate IBFU in practical AIoT scenarios, where image bitstreams may suffer corruption during transmission and storage, we construct a large-scale Corrupted-bitstream Fine-grained Understanding dataset (CFU-D), containing both intact bitstreams and corrupted variants across multiple corruption types and severity levels. Experiments show that BFG maintains stable fine-grained caption generation under bitstream corruption. For example, the performance only has slight change from 0.6339 to 0.6077 in terms of average CIDEr score on Stanford Dogs Caption dataset, while vision-language models, such as Qwen-VL-Chat, BLIP-2, GLM, Gemini, and GPT suffer severe performance decrease. This paper provides a practical paradigm for privacy-friendly fine-grained understanding in AIoT.

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### Knowing When Not to Answer: Cross-Domain and Multi-Turn Generalization of Latent Underspecification Signals

Authors: Jerzy Kamiński, Ilya Galyukshev, Artem Kuznetsov, Danil Fedorov, Kirill Redko, Sergey Chuprin, Aidar Shumbalov, Stanislav Chumakov, Anna Kalyuzhnaya
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08413v1

Large language models routinely answer questions that cannot be answered from the information given, and in dialogue they answer before enough has been said. Unanswerability is linearly decodable from hidden states, but it is unclear which of its forms share a representation and whether the signal is useful in dialogue. We contribute a turn-labeled multi-turn benchmark (423 conversations, 1,661 labeled turn-states) and an evaluation harness with a simulated user who answers clarifying questions, and use them with six datasets and six open-weight LLMs to test how far probes for unanswerability carry. Probes transfer robustly between datasets that share a ground of unanswerability: missing information in math (AUROC 0.77-0.97) and in a passage (SQuAD 2.0<->MuSiQue, 0.77-0.90). Probes for epistemic "known-unknowns" transfer poorly to math, but this separation weakens under lexical controls and changes with layer and coordinate system, so it remains unresolved. Single-turn probes fail zero-shot to detect when a conversation becomes answerable; in-structure probes recover it, but no better than a bag-of-words classifier. A gate on the calibrated probe, with no model fine-tuning, fires on underspecified turns far more precisely than chance, and its end-task success comes within 0.08 of a gate given the true labels. Yet across four models it does not reliably beat vanilla generation or prompted consolidation. The remaining gap lies mostly in how models use a clarification, not in detection.

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### Decoy and disclosure radii of invariant shape descriptors

Authors: Tanush Shaska, Lubjana Beshaj
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, astro-ph.EP, cs.CR, math.AG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08410v1

A recognizer that compares rotation-invariant descriptors sees a surface only up to the fiber of the descriptor. We measure this fiber by its radius in the orbit distance from the enrolled surface. A large radius admits decoys, that is, distant shapes that pass the matcher. A small radius discloses the enrolled shape to anyone who captures the stored value. For star-shaped surfaces truncated to spherical harmonics of degree at most $L$, with $n$ coefficients, a descriptor of generic rank $r$ has generic fibers of dimension $n-3-r$ modulo rotations. The standard pool of band powers, even bispectra, and three invariants of the degree-three band therefore admits decoy families of dimension $5$, $13$, $20$ at $L=4,6,8$. Its rank first reaches $n-3$ at $L=16$, and a mirror decoy remains at every $L$. The odd bispectra remove the mirror decoy generically for $L \geq 4$. Yet at fixed mean radius the same pool determines the enclosed volume exactly, and it does not determine whether a surface meets a clearance requirement. We certify two cases by exact and interval arithmetic. At $L=6$ a decoy matches all $32$ invariants to relative precision $2 \cdot 10^{-18}$ at orbit distance at least $0.87$ times the norm of the enrolled tuple. For the radar shape model of asteroid (101955) Bennu, the pool recovers the modeled volume, misses the handedness, and leaves the keep-out radius uncertain by more than $7 \, \mathrm{m}$.

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### Learning from Failures: A Failure-Driven Prompt Refinement for LLM-Based Vulnerability Analysis

Authors: Mandana Ghadamian, David Mohaisen
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.SE, cs.AI, cs.CR
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08405v1

Large Language Models have emerged as promising tools for software vulnerability analysis, but their effectiveness depends heavily on prompt design. Existing research primarily compares prompting strategies using aggregate performance metrics, providing limited insight into why models fail or how prompts can be improved systematically. We propose Failure-Driven Prompt Refinement (FDPR), a methodology that analyzes recurring model failures to guide evidence-based prompt refinement. Using the Damn Vulnerable Java Application (DVJA), we identify recurring failure modes, including false positives, false negatives, unsupported reasoning, and CWE misclassification, and translate them into targeted prompt refinements. We then evaluate the resulting prompt on the Juliet Test Suite and perform cross-model validation to assess generalizability. The results show that failure-driven refinement improves the reliability of LLM-based vulnerability analysis while yielding reusable prompt design principles. More broadly, this work demonstrates that recurring model failures provide a principled foundation for prompt engineering, enabling the systematic development of more reliable LLM-based vulnerability analysis systems.

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### SSR: Sparse Segment Reduction for Ternary GEMM Acceleration

Authors: Adeline Pittet, Shien Zhu, Valérie Verdan, Gustavo Alonso
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08403v1

Large Language Models (LLMs) require substantial computational resources, limiting their deployment on resource-constrained hardware. Ternary LLMs mitigate these demands through weight quantization via ternary values, achieving significant compression often with 50-90% sparsity. However, existing approaches have limitations: methods optimized for ternary weights, such as BitNet, redundant segment reduction (RSR), and its improved version RSR++, do not exploit sparsity structures, while conventional sparse formats neglect ternary characteristics, foregoing dual optimization opportunities. In this paper, we introduce Sparse Segment Reduction (SSR), a ternary matrix multiplication method designed to accelerate the inference of ternary LLMs and general Ternary Weight Networks (TWNs). SSR has a dedicated optimized ternary data format and an algorithm that systematically exploits sparsity patterns through computation trees that scale with the sparsity. SSR provides theoretical gains with asymptotically faster inference than RSR++ for sparsity above 50%, while practical evaluations reveal performance improvements across all sparsity levels. Evaluation results show that SSR achieves 2.1-11.3x speedup over RSR++ on ternary GEMM with 45-95% sparsity. Furthermore, SSR achieves 3.5-6.3x end-to-end speedup and 4.9% of memory saving over RSR++ on the Llama-3 1B model inference.

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### VETTA: Coordinating Turn- and Token-Level Credit Assignment for Multi-Turn LLM Agents

Authors: Jiaju Chen, Min Yang, Jinghua Piao, Xiaochong Lan, Xu Xia, Xiangnan He, Yong Li
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08402v1

Multi-turn LLM agents often receive sparse task feedback across several interactions, while generating each response token by token. This creates two related credit-assignment questions: which responses helped achieve the outcome, and which generation decisions mattered within each response? Existing methods typically focus on only one level: turn-level methods evaluate complete responses but do not distinguish the decisions within them; token-level methods can propagate feedback across turns but do not explicitly model credit for each response. These complementary limitations motivate learning credit at both levels and coordinating it in a single policy update. We introduce VETTA, a credit assignment method that jointly learns turn- and token-level values through separate heads on a shared lightweight critic. VETTA computes advantages along both temporal sequences and combines each turn advantage with a within-response-centered token residual for PPO updates. Furthermore, to reduce value-learning cost, the critic retains only early Transformer blocks from the pretrained checkpoint used to initialize the actor. On two challenging agent benchmarks, ALFWorld and WebShop, VETTA improves success rates over PPO by 37.5% and 22.3%, respectively, with Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct and achieves success rates of 95.5% and 76.0%, respectively, with Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct. Critic-depth comparisons further show strong task performance with substantially lower critic-side computation. These results suggest that a compact shared critic can coordinate turn- and token-level credit to improve agent performance while keeping value estimation efficient. Code is available at https://github.com/Jiaju-Chen/VETTA-official.

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### GeoPID: Decomposing and Steering Visual Information in Vision-Language Models

Authors: Seulgi Kim, Zhixiong Zhang, Xinwei Zhang, Jie Ling, Ronn Shaw
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08401v1

While recent vision-language models (VLMs) have shown outstanding performance across diverse applications, they tend to under-use visual information and over-rely on textual context. In this work, we propose \textsc{GeoPID}, a training-free framework that analyzes multimodal information within VLMs from a geometric perspective. \textsc{GeoPID} decomposes information into Redundant, Modality-Unique, and Synergistic components through the geometric relationships between visual and textual representation subspaces. Through an extensive analysis across 22 VLMs and 14 benchmarks, we confirm that correct predictions exhibit stronger vision-unique components when questions strongly require visual grounding. Building on this geometric analysis, we introduce a targeted intervention technique that selectively amplifies visual representations along the vision-unique subspace during inference. As a result, visual grounding capabilities were enhanced without any additional model parameter updates, achieving an average relative accuracy gain of 7.63\%.

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### Atom-JEPA: Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture for 3D Atomistic Systems

Authors: Kasper Helverskov Petersen, Rasmus Hannibal Tirsgaard, François R J Cornet, Mikkel Jordahn, Mikkel N. Schmidt
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, physics.comp-ph
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08400v1

Large-scale self-supervised pretraining has reshaped modern machine learning, substantially advancing the ability of language and vision models to generalize across downstream tasks. While deep learning has driven considerable progress in modeling atomistic systems in recent years, self-supervised pretraining in this domain has not yet achieved comparable downstream generalization. To address this, we introduce Atom-JEPA, a self-supervised pretraining framework that learns latent representations from unlabeled 3D structures through complementary atom-level and substructure-level objectives inspired by joint-embedding predictive architectures. We pretrain Atom-JEPA on large-scale molecular and crystalline datasets and evaluate its transfer performance by fine-tuning on a diverse set of downstream property prediction tasks. Atom-JEPA achieves state-of-the-art performance on molecular ADMET and quantum-chemical property prediction tasks, and is highly competitive in predicting the physical properties of crystalline materials. These results demonstrate the potential of latent-space predictive pretraining to support broad downstream generalization from structural data alone. Code and pretrained model checkpoints are publicly available at https://github.com/khelverskovp/atom-jepa

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### UP-MOPD: Update Projection in Multi-Teacher On-Policy Distillation

Authors: Taojie Zhu, Jing Jin, Yuan Xia, Chenyang Ding, Qunshan He, Wanke Xia, Tao Sun, Yan Chen, Jian Wang, Jinjie Gu, Tao Feng
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08398v1

On-policy distillation from multiple teachers combines expertise from different domains in a single student, but conflicting gradients can hinder this integration. Gradient corrections directly constrain parameter updates under plain SGD. With optimizers such as AdamW, however, momentum, adaptive scaling, and weight decay can turn a corrected gradient into an update that increases a domain loss to first order. To address this gap, we propose Update Projection for Multi-Teacher On-Policy Distillation (UP-MOPD). UP-MOPD lets the original mixed gradient update the optimizer state and generate a candidate displacement, then projects only violating candidates before they are committed to the parameters. The projection gives the unique feasible update closest to the candidate in Euclidean distance. In experiments combining medical and general domains, UP-MOPD improves IFEval-loose accuracy late in training by 2.96 points over vanilla M-OPD. It achieves an average score of 60.03 across eight metrics, compared with 59.00 for gradient projection and 59.15 for update rejection. On a public benchmark covering mathematics, code, and instruction following, it achieves the best average across six tasks (32.67), leads on LiveCodeBench v5, and ties for the best IFEval result.These results support projecting optimizer updates to reduce interference between domains.

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### Foresight-over-Graph: Reasoning Beyond Local Horizons for Knowledge Base Question Answering

Authors: Yang Hong, Yajun Yang, Xin Wang, Liping Jing, Qinghua Hu
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08388v1

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong capabilities in question answering, yet they still frequently suffer from hallucinations on knowledge-intensive tasks. Knowledge graphs (KGs) provide LLMs with structured, interpretable, and updatable factual grounding, making them a promising external knowledge source for reliable reasoning. However, existing LLM-guided graph reasoning methods typically rely on hop-wise greedy or beam-style pruning during evidence retrieval. Such local decision processes are inherently myopic: evidence that appears weak near the source may become crucial only after deeper graph context is explored, causing answer-critical branches to be discarded prematurely and making the reasoning chain difficult to recover. To address this limitation, we propose Foresight-over-Graph (FoG), a foresight-aware evidence retrieval framework for knowledge base question answering (KBQA). FoG iteratively constructs a question-relevant evidence subgraph and uses far-to-near feedback to guide path exploration, and maintains a compact memory subgraph to support continued exploration. Extensive experiments on widely used KBQA benchmarks demonstrate that FoG achieves state-of-the-art performance, with a particularly large improvement of 16.58% in Hit on CWQ, while also reducing LLM calls and token usage. Our code is available at https://github.com/yhong7/FoG .

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### Decision-Focused Learning in MDPs: An Occupancy Measure Approach

Authors: Zihao Zhao, Ashwath K. Karunakaram, Ali Eshragh, Yuexing Li, Kai Wang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08384v1

In this work, we consider decision-focused learning (DFL) for a Markov decision process (MDP), where existing methods differentiate through the KKT conditions of the Bellman equation and require solving a linear system over all state-action pairs, limiting its scalability. We address this by reformulating the MDP as an occupancy measure-based linear program (LP), whose feasible region is induced by predicted dynamics, and we derive a closed-form gradient by identifying the active constraints in the feasible polyhedron via the pivoting algorithm. This occupancy measure-based LP layer raises two challenges: (1) LP's solution gradient is discontinuous when active constraints change, and (2) the LP backward cost still scales with the state size, which is costly for large or continuous state spaces. We address the challenges with an augmented Lagrangian surrogate and smooth the boundary jumps by random row sketching of the constraints, and a learnable soft state-aggregation layer and its function-approximation generalization that scales the LP to large finite and continuous-state MDPs. Across multiple tasks, our methods reach lower regret than KKT-based DFL and two-stage baselines with significantly lower computation cost. The source code for all experiments is available at https://github.com/A-Eshragh/State_Aggregation_Project.

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### UniCounting: Instance-Aware Proposal Consolidation for Image-Query-Free Multi-Category Counting

Authors: Jinshi Liu, Pan Liu, Lei He, Weichao Luo, Rui Qian
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08379v1

Visual counting is commonly formulated as counting a single specified target, with a model receiving an image-specific exemplar, text query, or target category and returning a single count. We instead study fixed-vocabulary image-query-free multi-category counting. A global vocabulary is fixed for each run, and, given only an RGB image, the model predicts a complete category--count vector without being told which categories appear. We present UniCounting, which casts counting as instance-aware structural inference over an over-complete proposal set. Generic segmenters produce duplicate masks, partial views, and proposals from neighboring instances; semantic scores can name them but cannot determine which denote the same object. Frozen SAM~2.1 generates masks, while frozen DINOv2 and OpenCLIP provide relation and category features. A 3,267-parameter category-shared relation head predicts same-instance affinities from instance-mask-derived supervision. Sparse graph construction, representative selection, labeling, and background-margin admission then convert each admitted component into one count with replayable group evidence. Only the relation head is trained, without count or density-map targets. On COCO clean500, UniCounting obtains lower point-estimate vector $\ell_1$ error and absent-class false mass than calibrated OWLv2-All80, with comparable micro presence F1. Under a matched decoder, the learned relation reduces both errors relative to mask containment, mask IoU, CLIP, and DINO, while revealing a fragmentation--merge trade-off. We also report transfer diagnostics on OmniCount-sub, FSC-147, and CARPK.

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### Accelerating the Development of PLGA In Situ Forming Depots Through AI-Driven Multi-Objective Optimization

Authors: Pauric Bannigan, Siddarth Chandrasekaran, Brigitte A. G. Lamers, Inge Hermsen, Gary Tom, Riley J. Hickman, Bahar Yeniad, Morgan Fox, Christine Allen
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08368v1

Developing long-acting injectable formulations requires the simultaneous optimization of drug loading, release kinetics, viscosity, injectability, stability and other objectives. To navigate this multidimensional space, Corbion and Intrepid combined Corbion's diverse PURASORB bioresorbable polymer library with Intrepid Labs' proprietary AI algorithm (ANDROMEDA 1) to develop in situ forming depots for a therapeutic peptide. Over approximately 15 weeks, 181 unique formulations spanning drug loadings of 6-12% w/w were prepared and characterized through broad design-space mapping and targeted multi-objective optimization. Four lead candidate formulations were identified at 6%, 9%, and 12% w/w drug loading. Each met the predefined viscosity and injectability criteria while providing distinct 30-day in vitro release profiles. The study evaluated polymers spanning a broad range of molecular weights, including commercially available PURASORB grades and new polymers under development by Corbion to expand its polymer toolbox. ANDROMEDA 1 identified that polymers with intermediate molecular weights provided a favorable balance between sustained release and solution viscosity. Together, these findings demonstrate how integrated polymer expertise and AI-driven optimization can rapidly identify differentiated formulation candidates, focus the development space, and establish a strong data-driven foundation for further optimization and in vivo evaluation.

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### Evolutionary One-Step Generators: Fast and Diverse Sampling for Discrete Design

Authors: Marcus Vukojevic, Erik Nielsen, Veronica Lachi, Andrea Passerini, Giovanni Iacca
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.NE
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08367v1

Several discrete design tasks, such as molecular discovery, require diverse collections of useful candidates at low computational cost. High validity alone does not guarantee a useful candidate library: repeatedly generating the same valid structures leaves few distinct alternatives. Training for both feasibility and diversity is challenging because many relevant criteria can only be evaluated after hard decoding. To address this challenge, we propose EGO (Evolutionary Generators with One-step inference), a framework for training compact generators directly on discrete outputs. The method combines distribution matching with structural constraints and optional diversity or history-dependent rewards, using antithetic low-rank evolution strategies without requiring criterion-specific differentiable surrogates. Once trained, the generator produces the entire graph in a single neural-network evaluation. On molecular generation benchmarks, our compact generator achieves over $50\times$ the valid-and-unique yield per estimated dense operation compared to recent one-step flow-map baselines while retaining high chemical validity. In scaffold completion, EGO achieves an observed $44.3\times$ speedup over MoLeR in generation to SMILES and produces approximately $10\times$ as many filter-passing proposals within matched time budgets for generation and screening. Beyond chemistry, EGO produces $1.54\times$ as many distinct held-out elite architectures as relaxed gradient training on NAS-Bench-101. The low generation cost may enable real-time candidate generation across discrete design tasks, supporting interactive exploration of constrained design spaces and rapid construction of candidate sets for downstream evaluation.

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### A Stevens's Power Law Check-up of GPT-5.5's Implicit Reading of Visual Encoding

Authors: Kaichun Yang, Jian Chen
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08365v2

We adapt Stevens's power law to measure the implicit ability of AI models to read visualizations, which can reveal the built-in perceptual mechanisms of algorithmic models. In our pilot study, AIs see no legend. In the color conditions, no colormap name is provided either. GPT-5.5 first views a reference visual representation and estimates its magnitude, then estimates the magnitude of each subsequent image of the same representation relative to that reference. Our evaluation of twelve visual variables makes how algorithmic models read visual encodings measurable, comparable with human perception, and more transparent to humans.

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### Transect: Retaining Observability for Long-Horizon LLM Agent Evaluations

Authors: Toby D. Pilditch, Konstantinos Voudouris, Alexandra Abbas, Cozmin Ududec
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08364v2

Frontier AI evaluations increasingly use open-ended, agentic, long-horizon tasks whose transcripts can span hundreds of pages of outputs and actions from complex multi-agent networks. The observability envelop-the range of what evaluators can reliably infer about an agent's behaviours-is therefore narrowing. Language model assistants can help classify and interpret agent behaviour but also afford human evaluators significant analytical degrees of freedom, threatening the reproducibility and auditability of language-model-based transcript analysis. Transect is an open source package built on Inspect Scout to help evaluators understand how a long agent run unfolded, identify behaviour worth investigating, and check interpretations against the transcript. Users specify task context and behavioural vocabulary in a reusable evaluation-family configuration, with judge models and analysis settings supplied separately. Transect's navigable reports align recorded events, token use, sub-agent activity, and model-generated behavioural labels on a common turn-based timeline. Reviewers can quickly grasp a run's narrative, trace any label or event to its source turns, and export the underlying data tables for cross-run analysis. We demonstrate the workflow on an AI R&D evaluation that generated almost 13 million tokens, dividing the agents' work into behavioural phases aligned with research-skill classifications, sub-agent delegations and interactions, and token use. The combined view shows a focus on operational work and manuscript production, with little evidence of a sustained hypothesis generation stage-arguably a necessary component for high-quality scientific outputs. Transect's flexible, customisable transcript-analysis pipeline will enable evaluators to keep pace with longer, more complex, more frequent AI evaluations while supporting scientific rigour, transparency, and reproducibility.

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### Explainable Failure Prediction and Prevention in Maritime

Authors: Dionisis Kalogeropoulos, Georgia Sovatzidi, Panagiotis G. Kalozoumis, Dimitris K. Iakovidis
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08363v1

Maritime systems operate in highly dynamic environments where unexpected equipment failures can compromise safety, reliability, and operational efficiency. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, digital twins, and predictive maintenance enable proactive failure prediction and prevention. However, ensuring trustworthy and explainable decision-making remains a major challenge in safety-critical maritime applications. This chapter reviews key AI technologies required for explainable failure prediction and prevention in maritime systems and presents a conceptual architecture capable of supporting autonomous or human-in-the-loop corrective actions. This architecture integrates data acquisition, time-series forecasting, anomaly detection, risk assessment, decision-making, and explainable AI into a closed-loop framework. With reference to the architectural components, a review and discussion of relevant maritime studies is performed, outlining their methods, advantages, and limitations. Furthermore, it highlights current challenges, including uncertainty and robustness, model generalization, explainability, limited availability of maritime datasets, and operational deployment, and identifies future research directions toward trustworthy AI-assisted maritime decision-making.

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### Test-Time Adaptation of Quantized ViTs via Single-Pass Quantizer-Aligned Recalibration

Authors: Hyeongheon Cha, Young D. Kwon, Sung-Ju Lee
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08358v1

Post-training quantization is a standard route to fitting vision transformers (ViTs) into edge compute and memory budgets, yet quantized models become especially brittle under distribution shift. Test-time adaptation (TTA) addresses such shifts without labels, but most existing approaches are poorly aligned with the constraints of quantized inference. Prevailing TTA methods recover accuracy through backpropagation, while backprop-free methods often still incur overhead from extra forward passes or parameter updates, and lightweight feature- or logit-level methods recover only part of the loss. Across these approaches, a quantization-specific failure mode that amplifies the drop is not directly targeted: under shift, activations occupy frozen quantizers' calibrated ranges differently, distorting their code distribution. We propose Quantizer-Aligned Recalibration (QuAR), a single-pass TTA method tailored to quantized ViTs that neither backpropagates nor updates any model parameters. QuAR recalibrates activations at the input to a frozen quantizer, mapping the test stream's running per-channel statistics back toward the source calibration. On ImageNet-C with ViT-B, QuAR achieves the highest mean accuracy among state-of-the-art backprop-free TTA methods at 3-, 4-, 6- and 8-bit weight/activation precision, outperforming the strongest baseline by 2.28 points at 8 bits and 4.00 at 3 bits, with 46% lower latency and a memory overhead of only 0.17 MB (0.01% of peak inference memory). Analysis and diagnostics trace the gain to a reduced per-channel mismatch at these quantizers, which restores the code distribution the baselines leave unchanged or distort further. A single fixed configuration remains ahead across continual streams, non-i.i.d. label shift, seven out-of-distribution suites, and three other backbones.

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### Sensor Geometry as a Flow-Matching Prior for Multi-Channel Brain Signals

Authors: Jaedong Hwang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08355v1

Flow-matching models start from an isotropic Gaussian source, the standard choice when the correlation structure of the data is unknown in advance. For multi-channel brain recordings, however, part of this structure is known in advance. Electrodes sit at fixed positions on the head, and volume conduction through the skull and scalp makes nearby electrodes co-vary in a way that is shared across subjects. Existing EEG generative models nonetheless leave the network to learn this from scratch. We put this structure into the source instead. From the sensor coordinates alone, we build a k-nearest-neighbor graph and take a graph-Matérn function of its Laplacian as the source covariance, so the flow starts from spatially coherent patterns rather than channel-independent noise. The change adds no learned parameters, works with any coupling and any drift network, and uses the same three hyperparameters on every dataset. Across eight EEG datasets and four flow-matching methods, the graph-Matérn source lowers the spectral discrepancy between generated and real signals in the five clinical bands (PSD-KL) on most datasets. PSD-KL falls by 12% to 17% in geometric mean over datasets depending on the method and by up to 40% on PhysioNet-MI, the densest montage. We show that the improvement stems from the spatial eigenvectors of the local graph of sensor positions, since randomizing the eigenvectors while preserving the eigenvalue spectrum eliminates the gain. Furthermore, a prior fitted directly to the empirical data covariance performs worse than isotropic noise. The same construction applies unchanged to MEG, intracranial EEG with patient-specific grids, and a traffic-sensor network, lowering PSD-KL for every method on each. https://jd730.github.io/projects/GraphPrior

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### Uncertainty Quantification Is Indispensable for Reliable Connectome-Based Graph Learning: A Narrative Review and Case Study

Authors: Mansooreh Pakravan
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08353v1

While graph neural networks (GNNs) have shown substantial promise in connectome-based diagnostic classification, deterministic models inevitably suppress pipeline-induced noise and model ambiguities, yielding overconfident predictions. Although uncertainty quantification (UQ) is widely adopted in voxel-level segmentation, its role in connectomic graph learning remains largely unaddressed. This paper presents a comprehensive narrative review of UQ frameworks tailored to connectome graph learning alongside an empirical case study demonstrating the perils of uncalibrated predictions. We delineate sources of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty across neuroimaging pipelines and review prominent UQ paradigms, from Bayesian approximations and ensemble methods to evidential learning and conformal prediction. In our case study, a temporal Graph Attention Network (GAT) trained on dynamic functional connectivity (dFC) matrices from the SUDMEX CONN dataset achieves 80.0% diagnostic accuracy (F1 = 0.794) for Cocaine Use Disorder. However, a post-hoc uncertainty audit via Monte Carlo dropout reveals severe overconfidence (ECE = 0.127), with misclassified subjects assigned prediction confidences up to 95%. This empirical divergence between discrimination and calibration underscores the confidence paradox in deep connectomics. Our findings establish that rigorous UQ, calibration, and selective prediction mechanisms are indispensable for deploying trustworthy graph-based biomarkers in clinical neuroscience.

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### How Much Planning Is Enough? Reducing Search and Computation in World-Model Planning

Authors: Changbai Li, Sirui Li, Yichen Yang, Tongfei Chen, Zichao Feng, Shuwei Shao, Huobin Tan
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.RO, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08350v1

Visual world models enable goal-directed control through decision-time action search, but their deployment efficiency is often limited by conservatively large planning budgets. We show that competitive task performance can be achieved without agreement with the Full-budget action, that sufficient budgets vary across model--task pairs, and that iterative planners repeatedly encode solve-invariant context. To address these inefficiencies, we propose {SufficientPlan}, a simple deployment framework that requires no modification to pretrained world models or planner updates. Its {Paired Sequential Budget Certification (PSBC)} component uses paired closed-loop evidence to search for and certify a reduced model--task-specific budget within a predefined Full-performance tolerance. Its {Static-Context Reuse (SCR)} component caches observation and goal representations across search iterations while preserving candidate-dependent planning and selected actions. Experiments across multiple world-model backbones and visual-control tasks show that SufficientPlan substantially reduces search budgets and planning latency while maintaining competitive control performance.

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### Network Intervention by Polling Strategic Agents

Authors: Chenyu Zhang, Rohit Parasnis, Saurabh Amin
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.GT, cs.MA, cs.SI, math.OC, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08347v1

A planner in a network of strategic agents faces three entangled challenges: the optimum depends on agents' private information, queried agents may misreport to steer the outcome, and exact computation does not scale. We study these challenges in multi-activity network games with heterogeneous private technologies, in which the planner sets non-discriminatory prices. We show that the optimal prices admit a centrality-based decomposition of the welfare kernel: each agent's contribution scales with its squared centrality in a network reweighted by agents' preferences across activities. This decomposition motivates Poll, a polling algorithm in which the planner samples one agent per round, walks briefly through the agent's neighborhood, and updates the price from a local report. From the same decomposition flow three forms of efficiency: computationally, Poll uses significantly fewer operations than exact computation and other distributed methods, requiring up to three orders of magnitude less communication on a real-world network with over 300,000 agents; statistically, its query complexity scales with topology and preference heterogeneity rather than explicitly with population size; and economically, it converges to welfare-maximizing prices while admitting behavior-specific implementations that induce truthful reports and detect adversarial deviations.

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### PolarScale: A Physics-Grounded Benchmark for Radiometrically Consistent RGB-to-Stokes Estimation

Authors: Beibei Lin, Tingting Chen, Xin Zhang, Wenhao Zhao, Dongjun Li, Zifeng Yuan
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, physics.optics
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08346v2

Polarization imaging provides physical cues beyond intensity imaging but typically requires specialized hardware. Recent methods infer polarization from RGB-like inputs, yet predict only normalized Stokes components or relative descriptors, from which the radiometric scale needed for full Stokes reconstruction has been divided out. We introduce PolarScale, a benchmark that makes this scale an explicit prediction and evaluation target. Built on existing trichromatic full-Stokes measurements, PolarScale takes the per-scene normalized total-intensity image $s_0$ (a scene-referred linear image, not a consumer sRGB photograph) and asks models to predict normalized Stokes components, AoLP/DoLP/DoCP, and a per-scene scale. Because the scale is divided out of the input, it is not physically identifiable; PolarScale therefore evaluates dataset-conditioned semantic scale estimation against a constant-scale control, together with angular, self-consistency, and physical-bound metrics. Across seven restoration-based and generative backbones and three prediction strategies, the strongest restoration models estimate the scale with 3.6-4.3% mean relative error versus 5.7% for the constant control and violate physical bounds on fewer than 0.25% of pixels, whereas two generative baselines collapse to a near-zero scale; explicit descriptor supervision improves descriptor accuracy (23.66 vs. 18.88 dB PSNR for MAE). Predicted full-Stokes representations improve diffuse/specular separation, material segmentation, and glare classification, although in diffuse/specular separation the learned scale performs only on par with the constant control.

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### High-Dimensional Statistical Inference for Sparse Support Vector Machines

Authors: Peng Zeng, Hanwen Huang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: stat.ML, cs.LG, stat.ME
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08345v1

Using a replica-symmetric high-dimensional characterization, we develop an inferential framework for sparse support vector machines when the sample size and number of features grow proportionally. The main challenge is the nonsmooth hinge loss, which prevents direct application of debiasing arguments developed for smooth classification losses. We overcome this difficulty by representing the $L_1$-penalized support vector machine (SVM) as a linear program and identifying the hinge-loss subgradient through its dual variables. This yields a computationally accessible debiased estimator whose coordinates are asymptotically Gaussian under the proportional asymptotic regime. The resulting distributional characterization provides confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for individual features and enables false-discovery-rate-controlled variable selection. Extensive simulations examine calibration, power, and variable-selection performance under a range of covariance structures, including strongly correlated designs. An analysis of high-dimensional breast cancer gene-expression data illustrates how the proposed inference can distinguish statistically significant features from variables selected by the original sparse SVM.

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### DIPrune: Task-Aware Token Pruning with Dual Importance for Efficient Multimodal Language Models

Authors: Shuo Yang, Changbai Li, Linlin Yang, Huobin Tan, Rongyu Chen, Tongfei Chen, Tian Wang, Sheng Xu, Baochang Zhang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08341v1

Recent training-free pruning approaches for Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) effectively cut computational overhead by exploiting visual redundancy or text-vision attention. However, they frequently suffer from semantic degradation due to their task-agnostic design or unreliable attention estimates. Based on our empirical analysis, we have found that this issue arises because salient tokens in shallow layers persistently suppress emerging semantic ones through numerical inertia, leading to premature discarding of signals crucial for deep reasoning. To address the aforementioned issue, from the task-oriented aspects, we first reformulate training-free pruning as a minimization of the distortion in the final task loss and derive a tractable, token-wise upper bound to serve as a surrogate objective. Specifically, this formulation inherently reveals a previously neglected inter-layer term that accounts for gradients across layers. Accordingly, for the implementation, we propose DIPrune, a rank-based framework that employs a dual importance scoring mechanism to jointly optimize intra-layer static feature saliency and inter-layer dynamic semantic evolution. Extensive experiments on LLaVA and Qwen-VL demonstrate that DIPrune consistently achieves state-of-the-art results.

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### Digital Twin-Driven Real2Sim2Real: Simulator-Conditioned Generation via Paired Driving-Scene Reconstruction

Authors: Hojun Lim, Hyeongseok Jeon, Donghyun Kim, Soonyoung Jung, Heecheol Yoo
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08339v1

Camera-based 3D perception for autonomous driving relies heavily on large annotated datasets, and deploying such a system to a new target region typically requires data collection and annotation. Generative augmentation has been proposed to reduce this cost, but existing approaches face a fundamental trade-off: label-conditioned methods consume the very annotations they aim to replace, while simulator-conditioned methods offer free annotations but lack visual grounding to specific real environments. This work investigates the extent to which a digital-twin-driven Real2Sim2Real pipeline (DT-R2S2R) can substitute for target-region real data. By reconstructing recorded driving clips inside a georeferenced digital twin (DT-R2S), we condition a diffusion model on geometrically aligned simulator renderings, establishing a digital twin-grounded Sim2Real model (DT-S2R). As a result, DT-S2R synthesizes photorealistic driving images given low-cost yet georeferenced simulator data across both reconstructed and novel simulator scenes within digital-twin coverage. The efficacy of generated data is verified on diverse 3D detectors. DETR3D, especially, reports 93.18% of mAP obtained by a target-region real-data oracle, without employing target images for detector training. Furthermore, simple co-training with existing out-of-target real data outperforms the oracle. Thus, DT-R2S2R can substantially reduce the cost of manual on-site data collection and annotation in digital twin-available districts, providing a practical foundation for scaling 3D perception.

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### Machine Learning for German Redispatch Forecasting under Data Delays and Temporal Distribution Shift

Authors: Faraz Shamim, Faris Shamim
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: eess.SY, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08337v1

Public redispatch records provide empirical data for grid congestion forecasting, but delayed reporting, zero-inflated distributions, and temporal shift present major modeling challenges. We assess the accuracy and reliability of probabilistic machine-learning forecasts using published German transmission records under experimentally imposed information-age constraints. The benchmark evaluates eight daily series of upward and downward intervention energy across four German transmission system operators from 2021 to 2024 (48,242 eligible records; 354 evaluation dates in 2024). We compare seasonal empirical, regularized autoregressive (ARX), quantile LightGBM, GRU, and Transformer models under a minimum seven-day target-latency constraint. Neural architectures use a zero-censored output head to accommodate exact-zero outcomes. Static, rolling, and adaptive delayed-feedback calibration are evaluated using normalized weighted interval score (nWIS), empirical coverage, and block-bootstrap inference. Raw LightGBM achieved nWIS 0.7952, outperforming ARX (1.0604) and the seasonal baseline (0.8739) by 25.0% and 9.0%, respectively (Holm-adjusted p<0.005). Rolling calibration improved LightGBM to nWIS 0.7767 versus 0.8251 for static calibration (p=0.0092), with 91.81% coverage for nominal 90% intervals. The zero-censored Transformer achieved nWIS 0.8161, with no significant difference from LightGBM (p=0.260). However, aggregate coverage concealed substantial undercoverage during high-volume interventions (61.91% coverage among above-threshold events). These results show that boosted-tree models with rolling calibration provide accurate probabilistic forecasts of aggregate redispatch volumes under target delays, while nominal aggregate validity does not ensure reliability during extreme congestion events.

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### Transferable Spatial Temporal Coherence Adversarial Attack on Black-Box Vision Language Models for Autonomous Driving

Authors: Heyam Bin Jahlan Areej Alhothali Abeer Alhothali
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08331v1

The rapid integration of Vision Language Models (VLMs) into sensitive systems introduces critical safety vulnerabilities that remain unexplored in exist studies. While adversarial attack robustness has been extensively studied for image-based models, the susceptibility of VLMs to temporally-aware adversarial attacks against video in driving context poses a distinct and under examined threat. In this paper, we introduce novel adversarial attack against video targeting VLM models used for autonomous driving scenes named Spatial Temporal Coherence Adversarial Attack (STCA). Our attack comprise from three stages: modalities expansion, Spatial attack, and STCA attack. In modalities expansion, we propose caption-guided frame selection method in order to ensure that adversarial perturbation target the most semantically significant frames. Secondly.In spatial attack, we craft effective perturbation and preserve high similarity. Then the perturbed video generated fed into STCA stage that disrupt cross-frame temporal coherence using motion guided mask. Our method operate under black box threat model against victim target VLMs, relying solely on transferability from white-box surrogate model.We conduct our experiments on the BDD100K and nuScenes autonomous driving datasets across three VLM models: Video LLaVA-7B, Qwen2.5-VL-7B, and Dolphin. Experimental results demonstrate spatial attack achieves an ASR with high SSIM. Our finding reveal that existing video language model, remain highly susceptible to adversarial attack in autonomous driving scenarios, underscoring the urgent need for robust defense for VLM models.

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### MoF: Preference-Aware Mixture Modeling for Black-Box LLM Personalization

Authors: Hun Park
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08330v1

Proprietary Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across a wide range of tasks, yet aligning their outputs with diverse user preferences remains challenging. Existing personalization approaches for black-box LLMs often rely on user-specific scoring heads, causing the number of personalized parameters to grow linearly with the number of users and requiring additional adaptation for unseen users. To address these limitations, we propose Mixture-of-Facets (MoF), a scalable personalization framework for black-box LLMs that models user preferences as compositions of shared latent preference facets rather than dedicated user-specific parameters. MoF performs personalization through history-conditioned routing over shared facet heads, enabling personalization for users unseen during training without additional parameter updates. Across diverse personalization tasks, MoF delivers stronger personalization performance while maintaining a more scalable and parameter-efficient design than prior approaches. Additional analysis indicates strong generalization to unseen users.

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### An AI-Assisted Formalization of the Poincaré Conjecture

Authors: Zhiyuan Zhang, Axel Delaval, Leheng Chen, Jinxuan Chen, Jie Xu, Yuxuan Liao, Jiedong Jiang, Chunlei Liu, Bin Dong
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI, math.GT
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08329v1

We present an AI-assisted Lean 4 formalization of the Poincaré conjecture. The project began with limited reusable formal infrastructure for the geometric analysis behind the proof. To organize this work, we combined a proof blueprint prepared by mathematicians with explicit milestone statements. These milestones enabled parallel agent work and gave mathematicians clear points to locate blockers and provide effective mathematical guidance. Our analysis identifies the human interventions and organizational choices behind this workflow. The project provides a starting point toward reusable infrastructure for future formalization projects; such infrastructure, once developed, could eventually reduce the cost of verifying mathematical results in geometric analysis.

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### MedZERO: Self-Evolving Agents for Open-Ended Medical Reasoning Through Controlled Knowledge Accumulation

Authors: Xilin Dang, Weilin Ruan, Xue Yang, Jinghao Wang, Xiaowei Hu, Jinpeng Li, Pheng-Ann Heng
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08327v1

Large language models (LLMs) have shown promise in medical question answering and clinical reasoning, yet their improvement remains constrained by static parametric knowledge and costly expert supervision. Self-evolving agents offer a promising alternative by enabling models to improve through iterative task generation and problem-solving. However, most existing self-evolving methods are designed for easily verifiable domains such as mathematics and coding, where solutions can be checked by exact answers or executable programs. Medical reasoning is fundamentally different: it is open-ended, knowledge-intensive, and often only partially verifiable. We present MedZERO, a self-evolving framework for open-ended medical reasoning. MedZERO couples an Examiner that generates frontier medical question-option pairs with a Reasoner that solves them through evidence-grounded multi-turn reasoning with external knowledge tools. To support reliable, continual improvement, MedZERO adopts controlled knowledge accumulation, which maintains temporary exploratory knowledge and curated persistent knowledge in reasoning. We evaluate MedZERO on five public medical reasoning benchmarks using 4B- and 8B-scale base models under open-ended evaluation. Across all settings, MedZERO consistently outperforms the underlying base models and prior self-evolving baselines, achieving up to 13.7 average accuracy-point gains over the next-best self-evolving baseline.

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### Structure-Aware Graph Abstention for Reliable Selective Forecasting

Authors: Jianxiang Xie, Belal Alsinglawi
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08322v1

Selective forecasting abstains on high-risk test windows under a retained-coverage budget. Existing gates such as TEM (Brusokas et al., 2025) score each forecast as a whole; for multivariate outputs, trajectories can look plausible while violating dependencies among variables. We treat instance-level plausibility and relational consistency as distinct reliability axes and operationalize the latter via a learned sparse graph and a Dirichlet-style structural energy E_struct, trained with error-weighted graph regularization and score-error alignment. On seven long-horizon benchmarks and four backbones, structural gating often reduces selective MSE versus TEM at matched coverage, with the largest gains where cross-variable structure appears more informative in our benchmarks; gains are not universal, indicating a complementary abstention signal. Table 1 is a Protocol A ranking diagnostic (seed 2024); three-seed deployable Protocol B on an aligned subset is in Table 3 (full validation-to-test grids: Appendix A).

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