# Research Papers — 2026-10 · bundle page 115 of 156

> Full-text markdown of papers #5701–5750 of 7799 published in 2026-10, newest first. AI-readable mirrors of the full 7799-paper 2026-10 archive (50 papers per file).

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### Does On-Policy Distillation for Safety Pose Backdoor Risks?

Authors: Jian Luo, Kehan Qi, Qingqiao Hu, Meilong Xu, Jiacheng Qiu, Weimin Lyu, Jiawei Zhou, Chao Chen
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07654v1

On-policy distillation (OPD) has attracted growing attention as an effective way to transfer capabilities from teacher models to student models. Recent studies further explore OPD as a tool for improving large language model safety with promising results. However, these approaches typically assume that the teacher and training data are trustworthy. In this paper, we uncover an overlooked threat to OPD for safety: a safety-aligned but backdoored teacher can propagate its hidden malicious behavior to an initially clean student. Under our threat model, a poisoning rate as low as 3% results in an attack success rate (ASR) of up to 70% on the distilled student. We further identify two training choices that can amplify this risk. First, increasing the number of training epochs can lead to high ASR even at low poisoning rates. With only 10 poisoned samples, ASR reaches 67% after 16 epochs. Second, the commonly used top-k KL can accelerate backdoor transfer, causing trigger-conditioned harmful behavior to emerge earlier than sampled-token KL in most settings. Alongside these findings, we explore a simple mitigation, Lazy Defense, which clips KL rewards to make student updates less aggressive, limiting aggressive updates and slowing backdoor learning. Experiments show that Lazy Defense delays backdoor transfer in low poisoning rate settings. Together, our findings reveal that OPD can propagate backdoors, highlighting the need to address the safety risks of OPD.

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### SMART: Zero-Shot Sim-to-Real Articulated Object Manipulation via Large-Scale Synthetic Pretraining

Authors: Jicong Ao, Shuhan Jiang, Yuling Zhong, Yanwen Liu, Yuhan Gao, Jiangyuan Zhao, Yang Zhang, Shiqiang Zhu, Chenjia Bai, Xuelong Li
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.RO, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07652v1

The ability to interact with articulated objects is essential for embodied intelligent systems, but collecting large-scale real-world demonstrations for these interactions remains challenging due to the precise contact and constraint-following motions involved. Although simulation provides a promising alternative, existing synthetic data efforts cover limited articulated-object categories, while general-purpose synthesis pipelines lack explicit designs for part-level semantics and articulation constraints, hindering agentic task generation and scalable synthesis of high-quality articulated-manipulation demonstrations. To bridge this gap, we introduce SMART, a scalable system leveraging large-scale Synthesized Manipulation demonstrations for ARTiculated-object manipulation. At its core, we develop SMART-Sim, a simulation platform with articulation-aware design that enables effective task generation and efficient demonstration collection. Building on SMART-Sim, we apply agentic task generation and design a scalable distributed synthesis system, using them to synthesize SMART-Data, comprising over 1M demonstrations across 44 atomic task types, 5 robot setups, and 2,507 articulated objects. The vision-language-action (VLA) model pretrained on SMART-Data shows competitive performance on simulation benchmarks and achieves zero-shot sim-to-real transfer and scalable performance in real-world articulated-object manipulation tasks. This highlights the potential of synthetic demonstrations in providing effective and scalable supervision for improving VLA model performance in contact-rich articulated-object manipulation.

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### Loud and Clear: Dynamic Activation Steering for Improving Speech Intelligibility in Noisy Environments

Authors: Seymanur Akti, Alexander Waibel
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.SD, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07647v1

Speech becomes less intelligible in noisy environments, and humans naturally adapt their voice to compensate. Inspired by this behavior, we investigate whether a text-to-speech (TTS) model can be guided to produce more intelligible speech using activation steering, without retraining. We focus on two characteristics of the Lombard effect: increased vocal effort and hyper-articulation. We introduce a prompt-relative steering mechanism that prevents steering effects from accumulating during generation while allowing their strength to be adjusted dynamically. Across seen and unseen speakers and multiple languages, our method produces systematic changes in Lombard-related acoustic features, preserves speaker similarity (89-95%), and reduces WER under background noise by 7-22% at 1 dB SNR. These results show that pretrained TTS models can be dynamically controlled to generate more intelligible speech without retraining.

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### Matching Object or Relation? Tracing Abstract Reasoning Inside VLMs

Authors: Gouki Minegishi, Hiroki Furuta, Takeshi Kojima, Yusuke Iwasawa, Yutaka Matsuo
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07646v1

Vision Language Models (VLMs) excel on visual benchmarks but fail systematically on tasks requiring abstract reasoning. Existing benchmarks document this failure but cannot say \emph{why} it happens or which cognitive capability is missing. We close this gap by adopting the Relational Match-to-Sample (RMTS) paradigm from comparative and developmental psychology and pairing it with a mechanistic analysis of the model's internals. On a parametrically controlled stimulus set evaluated across frontier API models (GPT, Claude, Gemini) and three open-source families (Qwen3.5, Gemma-4, InternVL3), we identify four levers that shift VLMs toward the relational match---capability tier, model scale, the number of objects per scene, and the absence of per-object stimulus noise---together producing a developmental-like trajectory that mirrors the human \emph{relational shift}. Opening up the model, a per-layer representational similarity analysis and a causal mediation analysis reveal that VLM abstract reasoning is implemented by two competing circuits: an early circuit that organises images by their surface object features, and a late circuit that organises them by their abstract relation. Extending the analysis to ARC-AGI-1, we find that ablating the relational heads identified on RMTS degrades performance more than ablating random heads, indicating that the relational circuit is recruited beyond our controlled stimuli. We hope this mechanism-level view serves as a step toward understanding how abstract reasoning is implemented in VLMs.

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### SkillPoison: Progressive Skill Poisoning via Successful Experiences

Authors: Lizhi Zhang, Xin He, Dianxuan Fu, Yuyuan Feng, Jiatong Li, Qi Wang, Xin Wang, Qinggang Zhang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CR, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07645v1

Self-improving LLM agents increasingly distill successful experiences into persistent, reusable skills. Existing skill attack methods corrupt this learning pipeline by injecting malicious triggers, behaviors, or false facts into individual experiences or extracted skills. However, such attacks are easily detected, and the injected malicious behaviors often fail to accumulate as persistent skills. In this paper, we show that skill poisoning can arise even from verified successful experiences, without making any individual trajectory malicious. Based on this insight, we propose SkillPoison, a novel framework that progressively poisons skill via successful experiences. SkillPoison first constructs a set of successful experiences that reinforce a target behavior, and then removes the contextual conditions that constrain when the behavior applies. Rather than injecting malicious content, SkillPoison shapes how the skill extractor generalizes, allowing useful behavior to support task success while inducing harmful behavior when they are misapplied. Extensive experiments on three benchmarks show that SkillPoison achieves 95.71% attack success rates, while all injected experiences remain task-correct and pass verification and lexical inspection. Our code, data and implementation details are available for the community at https://github.com/DEEP-JLU/SkillPoison.

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### Monte Carlo Estimation for KV Cache Eviction

Authors: Ahsan Bilal, Muhammad Ahmed Mohsin, Muhammad Umer, Wajih Hassan Raza, Atta Ul Asad, Young D. Kwon, Michal Valko, Dean F. Hougen
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07643v2

Most KV-cache eviction methods ask, in effect, which memory appeared important while reading the prompt? We instead ask which memory will matter while answering? Since decoding queries are unavailable at eviction time, prior future-aware methods rely on pseudo-responses or synthetic future-query estimates. We cast fixed-budget future-aware eviction as distributional estimation over plausible model-conditional query trajectories and introduce LORE-KV (Lookahead Output-perturbation with Reliability-weighted Ensembles for Key-Value caches), a training-free method that samples short autoregressive continuations from the frozen target model and uses their response-side query states to estimate prompt-token utility. Tokens are scored by projected leave-one-out attention-output deletion cost and aggregated across sampled futures with optional trajectory weighting. The temporary continuations are discarded before final decoding, requiring no auxiliary model or training. Ablations isolate the mechanism: at B=128, a single response-side continuation recovers about 89% of the gain over the prompt-window control, while additional futures provide smaller improvements. At B=128, LORE-KV raises the LongBench average on Qwen2.5-14B from 45.49 to 48.24 (+2.75) and the 16K RULER average on Mistral-7B from 45.20 to 51.05 (+5.85); on Llama-3.1-8B, the RULER margin over AnDPro widens to +8.13 and +11.65 points at 64K and 128K contexts. Gains diminish at larger cache budgets and coexist with task-level regressions. LORE-KV incurs 1.46-2.77x AnDPro's per-sample wall-clock time as a one-time compression overhead across six dense and hybrid-attention backbones. Project webpage: https://ahsanbilal7.github.io/train_free_kv/

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### Towards the Automatic Synthesis of Interpretable Chess Tactics

Authors: Abhijeet Krishnan, Chris Martens
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.SC
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07640v1

State-of-the-art reinforcement learning agents are capable of outperforming human experts at games like chess, Go and StarCraft II. These agents do not simply take advantage of their digital hardware in being able to react and calculate faster than humans, but employ better strategies that lead to more victories. Interpreting these strategies would give human players valuable insight into how to improve their play. In this preliminary work, we propose a symbolic sub-policy model for playing chess. Inspired by chess tactics, our model attempts to incorporate domain knowledge to improve interpretability. We adapt patterns learned by an inductive logic programming system called PAL to derive our model. We contribute a divergence metric to evaluate our model against a random baseline, and find a set of tactics that is able to suggest moves of similar playing strength to a human beginner. Finally, we propose a computational evaluation scheme for the model by augmenting an off-the-shelf engine with it.

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### Learning Explainable Representations of Complex Game-playing Strategies

Authors: Abhijeet Krishnan, Colin M. Potts, Arnav Jhala, Harshad Khadilkar, Shirish Karande, Chris Martens
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07638v1

As part of learning to play complex games, human players develop develop abstractions for concepts and strategies of gameplay consistent with game rules to improve their performance. These concepts are applied to explain other players' actions, and to inform their own actions in-game. Understanding other players' strategies is a crucial part of such improvement, but requires time and effort. In this paper, we propose a strategy similar to human cognition for training RL agents to synthesize learned strategies and policies as executable procedures based on sequences of gameplay actions. We present methods to automatically learn such programs to play chess and to solve tasks in a grid-based environment. We show that the learned strategies produce effective actions, and can be learned from gameplay data.

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### Asymptotic Analysis of Empirical Risk Minimization on Entry-wise i.i.d. Heavy-Tailed Data

Authors: Kaito Takanami, Takashi Takahashi, Yoshiyuki Kabashima
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cond-mat.dis-nn, cs.LG, math.ST, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07637v1

Many real-world datasets exhibit unusually large values far more frequently than predicted by Gaussian models. Heavy-tailed distributions capture this behavior, yet evaluating learning performance under them remains challenging because rare, large feature entries retain non-vanishing effects even in high dimensions. Even in the canonical setting of empirical risk minimization for linear regression with entry-wise i.i.d. symmetric $α$-stable data, a precise asymptotic characterization of prediction has been lacking. In this work, we introduce a functional order parameter that describes the random effective problem associated with each coefficient. Using the replica method, we fully characterize the generalization error in the proportional high-dimensional limit where the sample size and feature dimension diverge at a fixed ratio. Additionally, this analysis establishes a heavy-tail universality law, scaling laws relating typical errors to prediction reliability, and the Bayes-optimal prediction error. In addition to characterizing the effects of extreme entries on the learning process, our method applies broadly to other systems with persistent local heterogeneity.

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### Measuring climate backlash in Twitter and Reddit archives: Lexical definitions, recorded responses and participant turnover

Authors: Wentao Xu
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07634v1

Social media archives are often used to study resistance to climate action, but words, response counters and observed participants do not measure the same social process. We examine four supplied Twitter and Reddit archives by processing all registered files without sampling and applying transparent, non-exclusive lexical rules. The study links frame co-occurrence to source-specific temporal and response models, then separates event-period changes among returning authors from participant turnover. Renewable-energy terms accompany cost-related language on Reddit, yet narrower backlash phrases sharply reduce cross-source contrasts and reverse the sign of the Paris Agreement contrast in submissions. Cross-discourse history does not improve eligible primary-context forecasts. Denial/hoax terms are associated with higher recorded Twitter likes, whereas Reddit response associations depend on frame, outcome and author specification. Around the 2019 global climate strike, returning-author expression and participant turnover both contribute to increased protest-language shares. An archive endpoint prevents the corresponding Climate Twitter migration inference. Most crossed-cluster estimates lack released intervals, and joint author/month response covariance estimates fail, restricting formal inference. These results show how operational definitions, platform-specific response fields and observation boundaries shape what can be claimed about climate backlash. The contribution is an archive-based account of these measurement consequences, rather than a measure of individual opposition, persuasion or advocacy-induced backlash.

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### Complementary Supervised and Self-Supervised Representations for Out-of-Distribution Graph Learning

Authors: Qingying Hao, Zikang Chen, Chuxuan Hu, Jinyuan Jia, Bo Li, Gang Wang, Carl Gunter
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07628v1

Out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization remains challenging for graph neural networks (GNNs), as graph distributions can vary substantially across time and domains. Supervised and self-supervised graph representation learning are guided by distinct objectives and offer different perspectives on graph representations. In this work, we study whether self-supervised representations (SSL) can provide complementary signals to improve supervised OOD node classification. We develop two backbone-agnostic frameworks that exploit such information at different stages of learning and prediction. Co-Train jointly learns supervised and SSL representations and adaptively integrates them during training, while Dual-Space Retrieval performs non-parametric prediction in the two representation spaces and combines their predictions through confidence-aware fusion at inference time. The supervised and SSL encoders are separately parameterized and need not share the same GNN architecture. We evaluate multiple GNN backbones and two distinct SSL objectives, DGI and GRACE, on four graph benchmarks spanning temporal and cross-domain distribution shifts. Extensive experiments show that Co-Train consistently outperforms strong supervised OOD baselines, while Dual-Space Retrieval achieves competitive performance as a flexible non-parametric alternative. Results across different backbones and SSL objectives, together with representation analyses and ablations, demonstrate that SSL representations provide complementary information to supervised representations and can improve OOD node classification across diverse settings.

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### Learning to Outgrow a Theory: Experimental Discovery Beyond the Initial Hypothesis Space

Authors: SiYuan Ma, Albert Gao, Chunzheng Zhu, Xin Yan, Wenlong Zhang, Wenxin Zhang, Luqi Gong, Tianlin Li, Qixin Zhang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07627v1

Scientific discovery systems typically optimize experiments within a fixed hypothesis space. This creates a failure mode when all available candidates omit the same missing mechanism: candidate disagreement can collapse even while the model class is systematically wrong. We formulate experimental model-class revision, in which a discovery policy jointly proposes a structural edit and a diagnostic experiment that tests whether that edit is necessary. The method couples a class-level distinguishability objective, in which one shared parameterization must explain all selected experiments, with anytime-valid sequential evidence that triggers structural revision only after the current class is rejected. On 400 held-out controlled dynamical environments, the joint policy reaches 89.5% exact recovery with a budget of 32 real experiments, improving the strongest matched baseline by 10.0 percentage points while requiring fewer executed experiments and candidate fits. The learned revision-experiment pairing transfers across unseen mechanism combinations, held-out but expressible primitives, parameter extrapolation, and shifted experiment costs; when the true mechanism is outside the edit grammar, it detects library insufficiency in 88% of cases with a 5.5% false-support rate. Revision gains also transfer to ODEBench and ODEBase model-library tasks, as well as DiscoverPhysics worlds. These results support a view of scientific discovery in which deciding what mechanisms a theory should make expressible and where to collect evidence are treated as a single sequential decision problem.

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### A Novel Sentence Stress Detection Framework Leveraging Auxiliary Word-Stress Modeling and Loss Optimization

Authors: Tien-Hong Lo, Fong-Chun Tsai, Ting-An Hung, Yu-Hsuan Hsieh, Yao-Ting Sung, Berlin Chen
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: eess.AS, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07626v1

Prosodic stress is a crucial aspect of automatic pronunciation assessment (APA), encompassing both sentence stress detection (SSD) and word stress detection (WSD). SSD highlights semantically salient words that shape discourse meaning, while WSD identifies the primary stressed syllable within each word to ensure lexical clarity. However, most prior work treats SSD and WSD as independent tasks, overlooking their shared reliance on prosodic cues such as pitch, duration, and intensity. To address this gap, we propose an effective SSD approach combining SSD with auxiliary WSD via a novel modeling paradigm. In addition, we introduce a word-span stress regularizer (WSR) that concentrates token-level SSD probabilities within each stressed word span. Experiments on the TinyStress-15K benchmark show that the proposed method outperforms strong baselines, with the complete configuration achieving the best SSD result.

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### Stateless Language Agents: Scaling Long-Horizon Automated Research

Authors: Qizheng Zhang, Changxiu Ji, Isaac Sun, Yuetai Li, Shubhangi Upasani, Sherry Ruan, Boyuan Ma, Fenglu Hong, Vamsidhar Kamanuru, Yoonho Lee, Yuzhen Mao, Genghan Zhang et al.
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07625v1

Automated research systems increasingly run LLM agents over long horizons, but more inference does not by itself produce more progress: agents replay growing histories, duplicate one another's work, or stop experimenting while token consumption continues. Yet most evaluations use short budgets or benchmarks that saturate early, leaving these failure modes untested. We trace these failures to two choices: where research state lives and who decides what to try next. We introduce Stateless Language Agents (SLAs), built on the principle of stateful search with stateless agents: no agent carries its conversation across invocations; instead, the harness owns the research state (candidate solutions and measured outcomes) and reconstructs a fresh and role-specific context for every invocation. What each agent sees becomes an explicit design choice rather than a history that grows with the run. We implement this principle in the SLA framework, where a stateless Advisor reads harness-summarized evidence across search directions and assigns concrete experiments to parallel Workers. We evaluate SLA against three recent frameworks on software engineering, kernel optimization, and algorithm design at budgets of up to one billion tokens. SLA achieves the best final result on every task and reaches the strongest kernel baseline's final performance with over 84% fewer tokens. Ablations from shared checkpoints show that focused contexts and explicit assignments each contribute to SLA's progress, with effects that can compound over full runs, while the Advisor consumes less than 0.6% of tokens. These results argue for SLAs, which keep durable research state out of agent conversations, and show that short evaluation horizons can misjudge research systems and their components.

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### Explicit Asymptotic Bounds for Sequential Calibration Beyond $T^{2/3}$

Authors: Eric Dai, Maxwell Fishelson
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: stat.ML, cs.DS, cs.GT, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07623v2

Probability forecasts are calibrated when predicted probabilities match empirical outcome frequencies: among events assigned a probability $p$, we'd hope that the fraction of positive outcomes is close to $p$. We study the problem of sequential forecasting of binary outcomes. The classical $O(T^{2/3})$ bound on expected cumulative $\ell_1$-calibration error established by Foster and Vohra stood for over two decades until Dagan et al. reduced the exponent $2/3$ by an unspecified constant. We establish a new two-phase recursive labeling strategy for the sign-preservation-with-reuse game that yields the bound $O(n^αt^β)$ for all choices of space and time. We then sharpen the reduction from upper bounds on sign preservation to calibration by modifying the equivalence of Dagan et al. to use only $O(\log T)$ instances of the sign-preservation-with-reuse game. This lets us establish an explicit bound of $O(T^{0.662942288})$, the first explicit exponent below $2/3$ for sequential calibration, by combining both improvements and choosing explicit feasible parameters.

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### Explore, Then Commit: Measurement-Efficient Scientific Law Discovery with Language Models

Authors: Kautik Mandve, Dileepa Fernando
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG, physics.comp-ph
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07620v1

Scientific law discovery requires selecting measurements and converting evidence into a governing equation. We evaluate an explore-then-commit protocol in which a large language model proposes hypotheses, a programmatic planner gathers measurements, and a fresh prompt synthesizes the final law from fixed observations. The protocol combines structured probes, automatic numerical diagnostics, restricted measurement batches, and optional interpreter access. Across 576 NewtonBench trials, we compare eight configurations on 12 physics modules using GPT-4.1-mini and a medium-difficulty GPT-4.1 replication. On medium tasks, interpreter-enabled planners use 8.6 versus 22.5 measurements per trial for GPT-4.1-mini and 8.9 versus 43.0 for GPT-4.1. Their mean magnitude-based root-mean-squared logarithmic error falls from 2.514 to 0.202 and from 0.626 to 0.149, respectively. An additional audit retains incomplete and invalid submissions in a coverage-sensitive analysis. Observed symbolic-accuracy gains are less consistent across modules, and random acquisition is competitive with disagreement scoring. Measurement savings occur in every module, but unequal batch constraints prevent attributing them solely to acquisition quality. These results support the complete protocol as a promising measurement-efficient configuration, while leaving its causal components and generalization beyond noiseless direct-equation tasks unresolved.

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### AFA-BANDIT: Provably Near-Optimal Online Multi-Feature Classification Under Budget Constraints

Authors: AbdAlRahman Odeh, Teng-Hui Huang, Hesham El Gamal
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07615v1

Active Feature Acquisition (AFA) is a classification problem in which an agent decides which costly features to acquire before predicting each sample's label. Unlike batch AFA, which trains a fixed policy and classifier offline on fully observed data, online AFA updates its predictor from revealed labels as samples arrive. Existing online methods either use deep reinforcement learning (RL) without performance guarantees or maximize cost-adjusted reward rather than enforce a global budget. We formulate online AFA as a combinatorial Bandits with Knapsacks (BwK) problem that couples acquisition and prediction. Unlike prior bandit-based AFA and classical BwK, our setting has combinatorial complexity, evolving rewards, a global budget, and structured side information. We obtain an improved regret upper bound over standard BwK bounds in this framework, leveraging a cardinality-aware confidence bound and the subset update structure. To avoid an exponentially large action space, we propose \emph{LP-Chain}, a variant that searches a cost-aware chain of feature subsets with a size that grows linearly with the number of features. While the regret upper bound is specific to the combinatorial framework, \emph{LP-Chain} empirically achieves comparable predictive performance. On synthetic data, \emph{LP-Chain} outperforms HEDGE-based BwK and deep RL-based online AFA baselines and scales favorably to more features.

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### BioStudyBench: Evaluating Agents on Post-Cutoff Biomedical Studies

Authors: David Li, Shaamil Karim, Christian Gensbigler
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07614v1

We evaluate whether AI agents can match the reported findings of published biomedical studies using public data. Existing evaluations do not consistently separate analysis from prior knowledge or retrieval of the published answer. We introduce BioStudyBench, a benchmark of 25 long-horizon analysis tasks drawn from studies first published between July and September 2026, after the developer-reported knowledge cutoffs of the models we evaluate, semi-automatically filtered down from 404,019 PubMed records. In each task, the agent receives a neutral research question but no data files, so it must find and download the relevant public data, search the literature through tools that return only records dated before its cutoff, and report findings through data analysis. To measure gains over prior knowledge, we run every task both with and without access to data and tools. Across eight models, access to data and tools raises the pass rate by 47 percentage points on average over the no-data baseline. Open-weight models across sizes trail closed-weight models, with the best open-weight model passing 81.3% of tasks against 94.7% for the best closed-weight model.

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### Learning Grasp Targeting from Point Clouds for Log Pile Clearing on a Hydraulic Crane

Authors: George Sideris, Lucas Bessai, Heshan Fernando, Elie Ayoub, Nicolas Lemieux, Inna Sharf
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.RO, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07613v1

In mill yards, log loaders clear dense piles by a sequence of bundle grasps: hundreds of logs rest in contact, and each removal changes the pile available to the next grasp. A learned policy chooses where to place and orient the grapple from unsegmented point clouds and runs on a trailer-mounted hydraulic forestry crane. The policy classifies at which observed point to grasp and predicts depth and grapple orientation there. The same network outputs support behavior cloning (BC), reinforcement learning (RL), and deployment. BC learns from successful top-of-pile demonstrations; RL explores for improvements by fine-tuning the cloned policy (BC$\to$RL) or by training from scratch. In simulation, BC clears 98 of 100 piles of 200 logs, while BC$\to$RL improves load stability. Twelve field trials compare a geometric heuristic, RL from scratch, BC, and BC$\to$RL through complete grasp-transport-deposit cycles. BC and BC$\to$RL deposit 93.8% and 88.9% of pooled inventory, against 80.4% for the heuristic. BC$\to$RL deposits logs on 83.6% of its cycles, against 79.6% for the heuristic and 65.7% for BC, while its simulated stability gain does not carry over to the crane testbed. Trained entirely in simulation and run unchanged on the crane, the learned policies clear more than the hand-filtered heuristic while observing unfiltered clouds that still contain the storage rack's rails and poles.

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### Hub for Outliers, Spokes for Inliers: Uniform Latent Space Construction for Dual-Mismatched Semi-Supervised Learning

Authors: Li Yuan, Yaxin Hou, Jiawei Tang, Yongbiao Gao, Yuheng Jia
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07610v1

Semi-supervised learning typically assumes that labeled and unlabeled data share an identical class distribution and label space. However, this setting is often violated: unlabeled data may be imbalanced and contain unknown class samples, causing mismatches in both class distribution and label space. Such dual mismatch leads to majority classes dominating the latent space and unknown class samples being overconfidently misclassified, degrading feature discriminability and pseudo-label quality. To address this, we propose a hub-spoke latent geometry, where known classes are uniformly distributed around a central hub and each class forms compact clusters around its prototype, while the hub provides an anchor for a low-evidence region specifically designed for high-uncertainty unknown class samples. Integrated with an evidence-based classifier, this geometry ultimately enhances feature discriminability and uncertainty separation by mitigating majority-class domination through structured feature organization and guiding high-uncertainty unknown class samples toward the hub. Extensive experiments show that our method outperforms state-of-the-art methods, with a maximum improvement of 3.25% across various settings.

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### PhysLDM: Latent Diffusion for High-Fidelity Deformable Simulation

Authors: Yu Zhang, Xudong Xu, Xingang Pan
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.GR
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07609v2

Neural simulation of high-fidelity deformable bodies is a foundational challenge in computer graphics and physical AI. Long-horizon prediction for high-resolution 3D volumetric meshes is difficult: autoregressive methods are susceptible to error accumulation, while direct multi-frame prediction at native resolution is computationally prohibitive. This motivates a compact spatiotemporal latent representation, which is largely unexplored for mesh-based volumetric physics. Meanwhile, it remains unclear whether deterministic regression or generative diffusion is the more appropriate predictive paradigm. To address these coupled challenges, we introduce PhysLDM, a unified latent-diffusion paradigm for one-shot volumetric deformable simulation. Its core is a holistic spatiotemporal VAE that avoids the "staircase" artifacts of standard temporal compression (as in common video VAEs), achieving ~2.48 mm reconstruction precision on meter-scale scenes at up to 78x token compression. Based on this reliable latent space, we systematically compare regression and diffusion methods. Our experiments uncover a key modeling insight: complex deformable dynamics are often chaotic, and in this regime deterministic regression tends to produce non-physical averages, whereas diffusion better models their distribution. Accordingly, we employ a latent diffusion model that effectively learns from the chaotic data to generate physically plausible trajectories. Trained purely kinematically on an Objaverse-scale dataset, a single PhysLDM generalizes zero-shot to unseen OOD datasets (GSO and Toys4K). Its differentiability further enables efficient solution of inverse problems and higher-order design optimization. To our knowledge, PhysLDM is the first high-fidelity spatiotemporal autoencoder and latent-diffusion paradigm for volumetric deformable dynamics, offering a scalable and robust approach to neural simulation.

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### Linear Fitness Subspace in Protein Language Models Enables Sample-Efficient Directed Evolution

Authors: SiYuan Ma, Canran Xiao, Zikai Xiao, Albert Gao, Liang He, Xuan-Yu Wang, Shuying Cao, Xiaojun Jia
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: q-bio.QM, cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07607v1

Model-guided directed evolution seeks to identify high-fitness protein variants under limited oracle budgets. Protein language models (PLMs) provide rich representations for this task, but task-agnostic zero-shot scores can be misaligned with a target assay, while supervised search in high-dimensional embedding spaces can make surrogate modeling and uncertainty estimation sample-inefficient. We propose the Linear Fitness Subspace (LFS) hypothesis: within mutation-induced residue-level representation changes, a compact, assay-specific set of directions makes fitness variation linearly accessible from few labeled variants. This is a local, supervision-recoverable statement rather than a claim that protein fitness landscapes or global PLM geometry are universally linear. Building on this observation, we introduce Subspace-Guided Evolutionary Search (SGES), which estimates an LFS from a small initial sample and performs surrogate modeling, uncertainty estimation, and acquisition in the learned subspace. Across 10 core ProteinGym assays, 87 extended static-validation assays, and an 18-assay budgeted-search evaluation, SGES improves fitness prediction and search efficiency over zero-shot PLMs and recent ML-guided protein optimization baselines. Controlled comparisons with PCA, random projections, label-shuffled PLS, classical mutation features, and acquisition ablations further isolate the benefit of a fitness-aligned site-delta coordinate.

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### VALSE: Vertical Adaptive Layer Skipping for Efficient Inference in Large Language Models

Authors: Jia-Dong Zhang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07606v1

This paper establishes a theoretical framework for vertical adaptive layer skipping, proving three foundational results: (i) an Expected FLOPs formula (theorem 2) giving a closed-form expression for the computational cost of arbitrary per-sample skip schedules as a function of layer-wise skip probabilities; (ii) function-space superset (theorem 10) and strict inclusion (theorem 11) theorems showing that skip-layer models are strictly contained in---yet meaningfully approximate---the full-layer function space, with an explicit separating example; and (iii) a structural duality between VALSE and Mixture-of-Experts architectures (proposition 6), positioning vertical depth-wise sparsity as the orthogonal counterpart to horizontal width-wise sparsity. Building on this theory, we propose VALSE (Vertical Adaptive Layer Skipping for Efficiency), a per-sample, non-contiguous layer skipping method: a lightweight difficulty estimator scores each input from the first few layers, and per-layer gates selectively skip redundant layers---including arbitrary middle layers while retaining deeper ones---so that only the necessary depth is activated for each input, whose feasibility is preliminarily assessed at prototype scale.

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### Emoception: Selective Affective Layer Fine-Tuning of Video Vision Transformers for Player Arousal Change Recognition From Gameplay Footage

Authors: Yi Xia, Ibrahim Khan, Mury Fajar Dewantoro, Wenwen Ouyang, Ruck Thawonmas
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.HC, cs.AI, cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07603v1

This article proposes Selective Affective Layer Fine-Tuning (SALFT), an efficient adaptation framework for Video Vision Transformers in player arousal recognition from gameplay. To bypass computationally expensive full fine-tuning, SALFT introduces a selection criterion based on the L2-norm change in layer parameters after brief adaptation, directly measuring representational shifts and providing a more stable basis than gradient-based alternatives. Evaluated via five-fold cross-validation on the Arousal Video Game AnnotatIoN dataset, SALFT achieves performance comparable to full fine-tuning across all games without statistically significant degradation ($p&gt;0.05$), while updating only $\approx$8% of parameters (over 92% reduction). Notably, in one game, SALFT consistently outperforms both full fine-tuning and the best baseline across all metrics and folds, reaching the theoretical minimum p-value (p=0.0625, exact two-sided Wilcoxon signed-rank test). In addition, we introduce an interpretability method to trace attention patterns, enhancing model transparency. These results establish SALFT as an effective and efficient approach for affective game computing.

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### A Neural JKO Scheme for Hellinger-Kantorovich Gradient Flows via Monge-Growth Pairs

Authors: Geuntaek Seo, Cheolhyeong Kim, Hwijae Son, Hyung Ju Hwang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: math.NA, cs.LG, math.AP, math.OC
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07602v1

We develop a mesh-free neural JKO scheme for advection-reaction-diffusion equations with a gradient-flow structure in the Hellinger-Kantorovich (HK) geometry of unbalanced optimal transport. Each update is parametrized by a spatial map and a mass-changing factor, allowing spatial redistribution and local mass creation or loss to be treated jointly within a single variational step. Their cone action bounds the squared HK distance from above, yielding a sufficient condition for discrete energy dissipation through comparison with the identity pair. Minimizing the pair objective over all admissible pairs recovers the exact JKO minimum when the source and a minimizer have positive densities. We establish existence and mass bounds for JKO minimizers and, under additional assumptions, obtain positivity and regularity together with a discrete Euler-Lagrange equation and a metric-dissipation identity. The self-consistent chemical potential is then nonincreasing along an optimal map. There exist parametric pairs whose endpoint densities and objective values converge to those of an exact JKO minimizer, provided a regular-pair approximation hypothesis holds. Finally, we show that a primal-dual gap controls objective suboptimality and, for Boltzmann entropy, the $L^1$ density error, assuming exact-step regularity, positive-semidefinite interactions, and global dual feasibility. Numerical experiments examine pointwise agreement with the PDE, energy dissipation, and the roles of transport, reaction, and fully implicit interactions.

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### Beyond Scalar IoU: Structured Verification from Rollout Groups for Video Temporal Grounding

Authors: Youngjae Cho, Won Young Jhoo, Jongsuk Kim
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07601v1

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) provides a natural framework for adapting pretrained models to video temporal grounding, where generated temporal intervals can be scored directly against ground truth intervals. Yet existing overlap verifiers typically score each rollout independently, leaving the joint structure of the rollout group unused. We introduce SUTURE, which conditions verification on the rollout group and exploits its structure at two complementary scales: disagreement across rollouts controls how strongly the target is reweighted, while coverage at each position determines where reward mass is redistributed. We show that the resulting verifier admits an exact decomposition into the standard IoU term and a covariance correction determined by the rollout group. A local gradient diagnostic finds a preference for responses covering relatively less supported target regions in the analyzed groups. Across five temporal grounding benchmarks, SUTURE improves grounding performance at every reported IoU threshold. Its trained policy also shows less video-start anchoring in reasoning traces: for later events, the first temporal mention more often overlaps the annotated target. Together, these results show that the joint structure of a rollout group can support a more informative temporal verifier.

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### Modeling Latent Disturbances for Robust Decision-Making in World Models

Authors: Junwon Seo, Andrea Bajcsy
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.RO, cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07599v1

In this paper, we study robust decision-making in the latent space of world models (WMs). Robust optimization is a mathematical framework where, given explicitly specified dynamics and physically meaningful disturbances, a robot can select actions that remain effective even under worst-case disturbances. However, applying this principle to the learned latent space of WMs introduces a fundamental challenge: because WMs have fully learned state spaces and dynamics inferred from high-dimensional observations, it is unclear how to define latent-space disturbances that faithfully represent uncertainty in the underlying system. Our key idea is to model a latent-space disturbance as a perturbation to the learned latent dynamics that induces pessimistic but plausible transitions. Specifically, we construct a set of plausible latent dynamics by combining a dynamics-aware similarity metric that captures plausible transitions with out-of-distribution detection that excludes implausible latent states. We calibrate this uncertainty set over latent dynamics using conformal prediction, ensuring that WM imaginations induced by the latent disturbance remain plausible without becoming overly pessimistic. We then jointly optimize robust robot actions and the worst-case latent disturbances through game-theoretic optimization. We leverage this latent-space robust optimization to robustify policy steering, considering two paradigms: latent safety filtering and sample-and-verify steering of a generative control policy. Our controlled simulation experiments show that our latent disturbance enables robust decision-making directly in WM latent spaces, and hardware experiments with a Franka manipulator show that modeling latent disturbances enables robust policy steering, reducing failures by 70% in safety filtering and 54% in sampling-based policy steering. Project website: https://junwon.me/LatentDisturbance/.

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### The Robot Is Not Its Description: GaugeBench for Representation Robustness in Morphology-Aware Policies

Authors: Rahath Malladi, Arshia Sangwan, Rajesh K. Gupta, Tauhidur Rahman
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.RO, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07597v1

A robot description does more than specify a physical mechanism: it also encodes arbitrary conventions, such as joint-axis direction, joint-angle zero, and the order and names of links and joints. Morphology-aware policies consume interfaces built from these descriptions, yet cross-embodiment evaluation typically changes the robot while keeping those conventions fixed. This leaves a simple question unanswered: does behavior survive when the robot stays fixed but its description changes? GaugeBench isolates this case by rewriting a fixed mechanism under physically equivalent conventions, verifying that its physics and policy interface are preserved, and then evaluating the same policy weights. The result is stark: three MetaMorph policies score 4030.6 on 80 familiar robots, but only 51.6 when those same robots are equivalently re-described, while 98 genuinely held-out robots score 1489.6. A new description can therefore be more damaging than a new robot. Tracing the failure reveals that axis reversal alone reproduces the collapse, joint-angle zero changes are nearly harmless, and reordering lies between them; moreover, changing joint-state and torque coordinates alone is sufficient to cause the failure, while changing description-derived features alone is not. The same phenomenon appears in ModuMorph and an unrelated PyBullet framework. Yet it is not irreversible: exact two-description transport restores the original controller, and training across equivalent axis conventions raises retained return under axis reversal from 3.6% to 80.6%. Together, these results separate mechanism robustness from representation robustness and show that cross-embodiment evaluation should test both.

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### BiGym 2.0: Benchmarking Learned and Agent-Developed Policies for Humanoid Household Manipulation

Authors: Zexi Zhang, Zecheng Zhu, Zidong Chen, Zulkhuu Tuya, Stephen James
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.RO, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07594v2

Humanoid household manipulation requires the arms to act while the body balances, steps and changes posture. We present BiGym 2.0, an adaptation of BiGym for the Unitree G1 across 20 household tasks using a unified whole-body controller for demonstration and evaluation. The suite provides 60 native human virtual-reality demonstrations per task with synchronised multi-camera views and full-body execution records. We benchmark vision-language-action fine-tuning, imitation learning, demo-driven reinforcement learning, and cold-start coding agents given the interaction budget of online reinforcement learning. With the same onboard views, proprioception and whole-body controller for every method, vision-language-action fine-tuning has the highest nine-task mean, and agent-developed programs outperform every demo-driven reinforcement learning baseline on this mean and lead on bimanual reaching. Cross-workspace stacking remains open, $π_{0.5}$ stays low on pick-box, and multi-object transport is hard for imitation learning, demo-driven reinforcement learning and coding agents. All environments, human demonstrations, and evaluation traces are open-sourced at https://github.com/swirl-uk/BiGym2.

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### LSC-DPO: Learning-Signal-Controlled Direct Preference Optimization

Authors: Yang Qu, Yusheng Han, Chengjia Feng, Handan Liu
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07592v1

Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) has become a standard reward-model-free approach for aligning language models with preference data. However, as the scaled preference margin grows during training, the logistic DPO loss becomes progressively less sensitive to further changes. We study DPO from a loss-level geometric perspective and identify the sigmoid factor as a learning signal that characterizes the local sensitivity of the objective. Based on this view, we propose Learning-Signal-Controlled Direct Preference Optimization (LSC-DPO), which dynamically regulates the learning signal near a target regime. A log-space analysis establishes conditions for stable tracking of the target learning-signal regime. Experiments on AlpacaEval 2, MT-Bench, and Anthropic-HH show that LSC-DPO consistently improves over DPO and strong preference-optimization baselines. We further find that different coefficient initializations induce distinct transient learning-signal trajectories even when their later signal levels become similar. Based on this observation, we derive a signal-budget compensation rule that adjusts the target learning signal to compensate for these transient differences. The resulting compensation substantially reduces performance variation across coefficient initializations.

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### Recurrent Looped Transformer

Authors: Yifan Zhang, Jichen Feng, Shihan Qin, Sun-Yuan Kung, Mengdi Wang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07591v2

State tracking requires an update at every input, but the depth a Transformer applies to each token is fixed regardless of sequence length. We introduce the Recurrent Looped Transformer (RLT), which splits its layers between a parallel causal encoder and a recurrent decoder. At each token, the decoder merges the encoder output with the previous token's final decoder state, so the computation path grows with sequence length at a fixed per-token cost. On six algorithmic tasks, we compare five splits of eight layers with an eight-layer Transformer over three seeds. Trained on at most 40 bits, two RLT splits generalize parity to 256 bits with 100% accuracy in every seed, while the Transformer stays at chance. On swap-based $S_5$ permutation tracking at eight times the training length, RLT reaches 97% final-state accuracy versus under 1% for the Transformer, and accuracy increases with decoder depth. On modular arithmetic beyond the training lengths, RLT reaches up to 93% versus 33\% for the Transformer. Ablations show that these gains depend on the feedback: removing it drops parity and swap-based $S_5$ to chance at every split. Updating the feedback once per four-token chunk lets known tokens in a chunk run in parallel and keeps 64-bit parity at 99%, while permutation tracking depends on per-token feedback: chunking lowers length-64 swap-based $S_5$ from 100% to 20%.

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### Vine Copula VAR:From Recursive Margins to Joint Forecast Inference

Authors: Hunter Ng, Yubo Tao
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: econ.EM, math.ST, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07589v2

Joint-event forecasts combine an estimated dependence model with current marginal forecasts. Retaining historical transforms at the marginal fits available when each outcome arrived creates overlapping estimation errors. We derive their joint influence with the terminal estimates in a stable Vine Copula VAR with normal innovation margins and a fixed, correctly specified Gaussian or positive Clayton vine. An intercept identity and the stable VAR filter reduce the historical correction to harmonically weighted innovation moments. Terminal slope uncertainty remains in the forecast gradient. A feasible covariance estimator yields asymptotically valid repeated-sample intervals for fixed one-sided event probabilities at the realized forecast state. A same-family terminal refit provides the efficiency comparison. Retaining dated transforms adds a positive semidefinite limiting covariance term, whose event-level cost depends on dependence sensitivity and forecast-state leverage. Monte Carlo comparisons show a small accuracy cost of retaining the transforms and a larger inferential role for current marginal estimation. Allowing Clayton dependence improves downside forecasts relative to Gaussian dependence under each transform rule. A fourteen-variable U.S. real-time forecasting application and simulations with twenty and fifty variables illustrate feasible joint-event estimation and analytic inference for fixed-depth vines.

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### Personal-Agent Mediated Recommendation with Cross-Platform User History

Authors: Yu Xia, Jiangfan Zhang, Jun Xiao, Julian McAuley, Xiangjun Fan
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07588v1

Modern recommendation is shifting from platform-centric personalization toward user-governed personalization, where a personal LLM agent can act on the user's behalf across services. We formalize this emerging paradigm as Personal-Agent Mediated Recommendation: a platform recommender ranks a candidate set using platform-local information, and a personal agent uses user-authorized cross-platform history to mediate the resulting ranking and produce the final top-K slate. Such mediation is nontrivial: the platform ranking can encode strong population evidence that the personal agent cannot observe, so effective mediation must therefore balance beneficial rescues against harmful overrides. To study this trade-off, we introduce MediateRec, a benchmark that includes scalable proxy cross-platform environments and a real cross-platform test under a controlled platform-agent information boundary. To train the agent to use cross-platform history effectively, we further propose Personal Attribution Mediation Optimization (PAMO), which counterfactually masks that history to estimate personal mediation support and reallocates rank-aware advantage mass under a platform-relative value floor. We theoretically prove that PAMO preserves cutoff-level advantage mass and is locally optimal among first-order reallocations that preserve this mass without lowering average platform-relative value. Experiments on MediateRec show that personal-agent mediation enables meaningful platform corrections, yet even strong proprietary LLMs introduce non-negligible harmful overrides. PAMO consistently improves over matched outcome-only RL across seen and unseen target platforms and on the real cross-platform test, while achieving a better rescue-harm balance.

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### Large Language Model Orchestration under Heterogeneous Preferences via Explicit Persona Inference

Authors: Shuqing Shi, Ziyan Wang, Milind Tambe, Yali Du
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07587v2

LLM orchestration investigates how an orchestrator coordinates a group of autonomous agents to achieve common goals or maximize collective welfare. The agents are typically heterogeneous, each holding a private preference that it pursues but does not reveal. Inferring such hidden preferences from behavior has been a subject of long-standing research in game theory and multi-agent systems. The core challenge lies in maintaining a belief over every agent's preference and updating it from the agents' observed actions. Existing LLM orchestrators carry that belief as prompt text with no explicit update rule. This lets early errors persist and propagate rather than be corrected. We therefore propose \textbf{HARP} (Heterogeneous-preference Agent oRchestration via Preference inference), a novel framework that moves the belief out of the prompt. Specifically, HARP maintains one numeric posterior per agent over a finite set of candidate preferences and updates it in closed form by Bayes' rule. The language model supplies only actions and per-candidate likelihoods, so estimation is decoupled from its reasoning. We prove that HARP attains the same $\tilde O(\sqrt K)$ Bayesian regret as explicit joint inference when the factorization is exact. Furthermore, HARP\textsuperscript{+} augments planning with a bonus for actions that distinguish the candidates, so inference continues even when the optimal action is uninformative. Empirical results on three substrates, ranging from payoffs the preferences fully determine, through payoffs that depend on more than them, to scales where explicit joint inference is infeasible, demonstrate that HARP\textsuperscript{+} is the strongest non-oracle method across the class our theory identifies.

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### REViT-v2: Hierarchical Windowed Roto-reflection Equivariant ViT for Equivariant Feature Extraction

Authors: Sheir A. Zaheer, Jihwan Moon, Chan Y. Park
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07585v1

We propose a scalable roto-reflection-group-equivariant vision transformer based on windowed group-convolutional self-attention and a hierarchical feature architecture. We demonstrate that our approach can be scaled to group-equivariant vision transformers (ViTs) with millions of parameters and large datasets with practically sized images, i.e., ImageNet. The code and pretrained weights for the proposed Hierarchical Windowed Roto-reflection Equivariant ViTs (REViT-v2) are available at https://github.com/kc-ml2/revit.

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### Mechanistic Interpretability of Atmospheric Rivers in GraphCast

Authors: Madelyn Mathai, Timothy B. Higgins, Kevin M. Grise, Chirag Agarwal, Antonios Mamalakis
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07583v1

While AI weather models now rival operational forecasts, how they represent the atmosphere internally remains an open question: feature attribution reveals which input patterns matter, not what the model computes or how it combines information internally. We train sparse autoencoders (SAEs) on GraphCast to uncover its learned concepts, using atmospheric rivers as our phenomenon of focus. Both standard and Matryoshka SAEs show GraphCast computes atmospheric river intensity, measured by integrated vapor transport (IVT), as a stable internal variable, despite IVT being neither an input nor a target. In contrast to the unstructured concept retrieval of the standard SAE, the Matryoshka SAE orders concepts by importance and exposes their relations. Atmospheric river concepts persist across depth and direct interventions confirm causality. This method offers a way to find internal variables and determine which of them the model actually relies on, which is a prerequisite for asking whether those variables remain meaningful as the phenomenon changes under a warming climate.

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### Representation Bias, Correction Transfer, and Resolution Sensitivity in Three-Dimensional Mitochondrial Morphometry

Authors: Farouk Ganiyu Adewumi, Timothy Oladunni
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07582v1

Quantitative imaging pipelines can produce precise but systematically different measurements of the same object. We present an empirical reliability assessment of three-dimensional mitochondrial morphometry that connects representation bias, a controlled processing intervention, correction transfer, and resolution sensitivity. Using 2,720 development objects from the 3D Mitochondria Shape Library for Optical Microscopy, we find that occupancy-derived volumes exceed reference mesh volumes by 3.665% on average despite an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.994. Boundary analysis identifies an outward label displacement of 0.00304 normalized units. In a controlled label-pipeline reimplementation, removing the depth offset reduces volume error in all 55 analyzed objects by a mean of 1.57 percentage points, approximately 45% of mean reproduced inflation; the source of the remainder is not isolated. A frozen regression using occupancy-derived features reduces median absolute percentage error from 3.481% to 0.664% in 2,728 previously unused objects from the same resource. However, its calibrated error bound covers only 92.1% overall and 49.2% in a low-occupancy subgroup, demonstrating that accuracy and uncertainty transfer must be evaluated separately. In 550 rat-cortex objects from the MitoEM resource, coarsening in-plane spacing from 8 to 24 nanometers changes median surface area by minus 10.60% and sphericity by plus 11.76%, despite a rank correlation of 0.994. These results provide quantitative checks for distinguishing processing-induced descriptor changes from candidate biological differences, without establishing biological invariance or cross-source correction transfer.

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### LOGIC: An LLM Benchmark for Intent-Grounded Change Impact in Aerospace Electrical Systems

Authors: Muhammad Faraz Shoaib, Muhammad Qasim, Raisulhaq Mohammed Rizwan, Rahmatullah Safdar, Muzammil Adnan Shaik, Abdul Aleem Mohammed
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI, cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07580v1

Aerospace electrical-design revisions can contain multiple genuine changes, although an engineering request may authorize only a subset. Propagating every detected difference can therefore produce overly broad impact reports. We present LOGIC, a controlled benchmark and evaluation framework in which locally deployable language models ground a request in a deterministic candidate-change inventory before selected changes are propagated through a typed electrical traceability graph. This separation permits candidate-selection errors to be distinguished from downstream propagation errors. LOGIC contains 168 scenarios, including 144 selection and 24 abstention cases. We evaluate three 7--8B models against intent-agnostic, lexical, and structured-evidence methods, with an oracle-root upper bound. On 96 explicitly anchored selection cases, gate-only structured evidence achieves candidate F1 of 1.0000, compared with 0.9677 for token-lexical matching. On 12 relational-paraphrase cases, token-lexical F1 is 0.1772 and gate-only F1 is 0.0000, compared with 0.5000--0.6400 for the large language models. Model grounding degrades as candidate inventories grow from 4 to 64 changes, while affected-element and typed-path accuracy remain comparatively stable when frozen selections are replayed over graphs of approximately 1K to 100K nodes. Strict evidence gating suppresses false positives but can remove correct semantic selections. An exploratory evidence-empty abstention policy raises strict abstention accuracy to 0.6667 for all three models and reduces unsafe-report rates to 0.1667, while decreasing answerable-case coverage by 16.0--27.1 percentage points. Four of six conflicting requests remain unsafe for each model. These findings support combining literal evidence and language-model reasoning with engineering review when intent cannot be established reliably.

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### Cooperating with Future Collaborators: Multi-Agent RL under Staggered Participation

Authors: Jianglin Qiao, Siyi Hu, Thien Hoang Nguyen, Zehong Cao, Salah Sukkarieh
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07578v1

In cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL), agents are often trained under concurrent participation, while in many tasks some agents act earlier and leave task-relevant information that becomes useful to agents participating later. We study this setting as staggered participation (SP), which introduces a cross-time, cross-agent learning dependency because an early action may affect the return through the information it provides and the later policy that uses it. Learning under SP therefore requires both identifying what information is useful for future decisions and learning how later agents should use it. We propose Staggered Participation Learning (SPL), a training-time augmentation that addresses these two parts with prospective acquisition supervision for earlier agents and outcome-supervised receiver learning for later agents. We evaluate SPL across multiple policy-based MARL backbones, environments, and staggered-participation patterns. Across 60 MPE/RWARE backbone setting comparisons, SPL achieves higher observed mean task completion in every case, with an average difference of 14.1%. The gains also extend to eight-agent teams and a physics-based UAV-UGV environment in Isaac Lab, providing evidence across algorithmic, temporal, and embodied settings.

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### CETUS: How Far Do Representations Trained on Earth Transfer to Cassini SAR of Titan?

Authors: Kevin Lee
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG, eess.IV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07576v1

Cassini synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images reveal the dunes, plains, and lake basins of Titan, providing an instance of representations learned from Earth imagery for planetary terrain classification. Cross-domain Evaluation of Earth-to-Titan Transfer Using SAR (CETUS) compares features from DINOv2, DOFA and CROMA with classical image measurements and features from an untrained vision transformer on the U.S. Geological Survey's Cassini SAR mosaic. The classifiers learn terrain labels from an expert geomorphological map and predict those labels in geographically separate Titan regions. Under logistic regression settings, pretrained encoders achieve higher mean macro F1 than the combined classical features. Encoder rankings change when feature scaling, optimization, and regularization change together. Further training on Titan improves DINOv2 performance, degrades DOFA performance, and leads to mixed results for CROMA under the tested settings. Architectural and input processing differences prevent these comparisons from isolating the effect of pretraining. Classifier fitting and performance on individual terrain classes matter when assessing representation transfer for planetary mapping. Since the map draws partly on the same radar observations, the scores measure agreement with expert interpretation.

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### Two Vectors Replace In-Context Demos: Structured Task Adaptation via Embeddings

Authors: Xi Ding, Naichen Shi, Jiawei Zhang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL, cs.CV, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07572v1

In-context learning (ICL) adapts frozen large multimodal models (LMMs) to new tasks from a few demonstrations (demos), but re-encodes them at every query, where each demo image adds up to hundreds of visual tokens. Demo-free methods remove this cost with a compact task state. However, they add it at locations searched per task or at every decoder layer, where task parameters grow with depth. Moreover, inserted tokens or keys cannot change how the original prompt divides its attention within a layer. To address these issues, we propose Structured Task Adaptation via Embeddings (STAVE), which replaces demos with two task-specific vectors added to existing input embeddings. Specifically, a readout vector updates the answer-producing tokens and a context vector updates the other structural token groups. Both are trained with answer labels on prompts with and without demos. We justify these design choices theoretically using a first-order analysis of the loss and a margin bound. Extensive experiments on six LMMs and five large language models show that STAVE matches or outperforms state-of-the-art methods on multimodal tasks with far fewer task parameters and surpasses 15-shot ICL and prior task vectors on 18 text tasks, all at zero-shot inference cost.

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### Unanimously Wrong: Certified Abstention from How Medical LLM Consensus Forms

Authors: Xiaoyang Wang, Tianrui Wang, Christopher C. Yang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07570v1

In clinical practice, agreement among independent experts is treated as evidence of reliability, and multi-round consensus has become a core mechanism of agentic medical question-answering systems. When such a system must decide whether to trust its own answer, the prevailing signal is again agreement, now among the sampled answers. But agreement is a fragile proxy for correctness. A system can be unanimously wrong, returning the same incorrect answer on every sample, and on these questions agreement-based signals carry no information. The cause is that these signals read only the final state of the consensus and discard how it was reached. Agreement that was reached by resolving disagreement with evidence looks identical, at the end, to agreement that was present from the first sample because every sample shares one misconception. ProbeGuard is a certified abstention framework that bases the abstention decision on how the consensus formed. Process features trace agreement trajectories, minority persistence, and retrieval saturation. For unanimous votes, rationale semantic entropy checks whether the reasons behind the vote cohere, and an active probe retrieves counter-evidence and measures whether the consensus survives. A stratified Learn-then-Test calibration then converts these scores into a distribution-free bound on selective risk. We evaluate ProbeGuard on three medical QA benchmarks and a hard-frontier reference, with a published multi-round agentic RAG substrate, against six abstention baselines. On MedQA, 13.4% of unanimous votes are wrong, and no agreement-based signal can flag them. Process signals raise the discrimination of correct from incorrect consensus from chance to 0.696 AUROC. The certified rule answers six in ten unanimous-layer questions at an observed selective risk of 9.0%, and nine in ten once in-domain calibration data accumulate.

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### OpenSplatGraph: From Dense Semantic Maps to Structured Scene Graphs for Open-Vocabulary Robot Perception

Authors: Binh Long Nguyen, Kien Nguyen, Clinton Fookes, Peyman Moghadam
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.RO, cs.AI, cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07569v1

Dense 3D mapping with semantic understanding is essential for robotic perception in complex environments. Recent 3D Gaussian Splatting-based mapping approaches enable high-fidelity geometry and efficient open-vocabulary perception, but typically represent semantics as unstructured feature fields that limit object-centric reasoning. In contrast, 3D scene graphs explicitly model objects and their relationships for structured reasoning, but are commonly constructed from sparse geometric representations that do not fully exploit dense semantic maps. In this work, we present OpenSplatGraph, a unified framework that constructs persistent 3D scene graphs directly from an online Gaussian-based open-vocabulary semantic map. The proposed framework augments the dense semantic map with a reliability-aware semantic field that maintains lightweight observation statistics for confidence-aware, query-conditioned object extraction. Extracted object instances are associated with persistent graph nodes, allowing object attributes and relationships to be incrementally updated across observations and queries. By tightly coupling dense semantic mapping with persistent object-centric representations, our framework supports both language-guided object grounding and structured relational reasoning while preserving the geometric fidelity of Gaussian-based mapping. Comprehensive evaluations on standard 3D scene understanding benchmarks and real-world robotic experiments demonstrate that OpenSplatGraph achieves competitive performance for online open-vocabulary perception and downstream robotic tasks. Project page: https://csiro-robotics.github.io/OpenSplatGraph.

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### AIMS: Anchor-Integrated Multi-View Synthesis for Scalable Novel View Rendering

Authors: JooHyun Park, HanYoung Jang, HyeongYeop Kang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07566v1

Feed-forward novel view synthesis methods achieve strong generalization from posed multi-view inputs, but scaling them to large input view sets remains challenging. Transformer-based approaches that jointly process all input-view tokens incur rapidly increasing computation and memory as the number of views grows, while simple view subsampling discards potentially useful observations. We introduce Anchor-Integrated Multi-View Synthesis (AIMS), a scalable framework that decouples the number of available observations from the number of views processed by the global synthesis model. AIMS selects a fixed set of spatially distributed anchor views using farthest point sampling, groups nearby observations around each anchor, and uses a lightweight learnable integrator to fuse their information into enriched anchor representations. This allows additional observations to contribute to synthesis while keeping the downstream global view budget fixed. Evaluations on RealEstate10K and ScanNet demonstrate a favorable quality--efficiency trade-off against transformer-based and Gaussian-based baselines. AIMS achieves 29.41 dB and 17.73 dB PSNR on the two datasets, respectively, with rendering averaging 7.24 ms per view.

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### Complementary Feature Domains: Information Preservation Does Not Imply Predictive-Contribution Preservation

Authors: Timothy Oladunni, Farouk Ganiyu-Adewumi
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07565v1

Complementary Feature Domains (CFD) theory characterizes predictive value as a context-indexed contribution system induced jointly by representations and their realization family. We show that Shannon-information preservation does not imply preservation of this contribution system: an invertible representation transformation can leave target information unchanged while altering predictive contribution under a restricted decision family. We formalize the resulting transition through a CFD contribution defect that measures how contextual contributions change under controlled recoding. For bounded Lipschitz utility, we show that each coalition utility shift is bounded by the behavioral distance between the attainable action sets before and after recoding; consequently, every contextual contribution defect is bounded by the sum of the corresponding coalition incompatibilities. Exact behavioral closure yields invariance, while increasingly accurate compensation yields restoration. A controlled ECG experiment illustrates the mechanism: a nonlinear bijective recoding preserves the information in a frozen time-frequency representation but changes accuracy under a fixed affine learner; applying the exact inverse restores all tested coalition accuracies. The result separates information preservation from realization-dependent contribution and provides a quantitative transition law for multi-representation prediction.

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### HouseholdBench: Evaluating Large Language Models as Predictors of Household Economic Behavior

Authors: Jin Huang, Diego Ferreras Garrucho, Yutong Xie, Walter M. Yuan, Qiaozhu Mei, Chen Lian, Jonathon Hazell
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07563v1

Large language models (LLMs) have the potential to meet a key goal in economics: a quantitative model of household decision making, across a variety of settings. Yet existing evaluations cover few surveys and outcomes, and do not study how households adjust to changing economic conditions. We introduce a new evaluation, HouseholdBench, which unites 6 U.S. household surveys and 32 prediction tasks spanning numeric, categorical and probabilistic outcomes, related to consumption, income, labor, expectations, and housing. Using past behavior, demographics and macroeconomic conditions, the tasks test whether LLMs predict behavior, including how households adjust to changes in various policies. We evaluate 13 proprietary and open-weight LLMs against a no-change baseline and a gradient-boosted tree model. Most LLMs outperform the no-change baseline, including for policy response tasks -- with the best model lowering error for numeric outcomes by 12.2%. Across most tasks, gradient-boosted trees rank first; leading proprietary LLMs approach their performance, but open-weight models lag. LLMs exhibit systematic over- and underprediction across different tasks. We identify methods that enable a 4 billion parameter open-weight model to match proprietary models' performance: fine-tuning and aggregating 16 predictions per observation. Improvements generalize to policy-response tasks, which are excluded from fine-tuning. We release our datasets, code, and leaderboard on our website: https://jn-huang.github.io/householdbench

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### Learning a Mixture of GFlowNets

Authors: Tiago da Silva, Amauri H. Souza, Salem Lahlou
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07562v1

Learning an ensemble of GFlowNets to sample from a discrete target distribution has become a common approach for achieving better state space exploration and convergence than that of a monolithic sampler. However, these methods often add a substantial runtime overhead to the base model, and their conceptual connection remains elusive. To address this, we first propose a general-purpose theoretical framework for describing a mixture of GFlowNets, which we specialize into continuously (CI) and discretely indexed (DI) collections. On the one hand, we show CI GFlowNets can be interpreted through the lens of a random features expansion, provably boosting the sampler's expressivity in graph-structured tasks and reducing learning instability via spectral shifting. On the other hand, we demonstrate DI GFlowNets encompass prior approaches for GFlowNet training and provide the foundation for the newly proposed Stratum-Conditioned (SC) GFlowNets. This method, which is inspired by the Doob's h-transform of Markov chains, decomposes the state space according to a prescribed modular function and restricts each component to sample from a distinct subset of it. Importantly, SC GFlowNets support centralized and component-wise embarrassingly parallel training, and we show both of them significantly speed up learning convergence and mode coverage without introducing any non-negligible extra computation.

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### LARK: A Low-Cost, Accurate, Occlusion-Resilient, Kalman Filter-Assisted Tracking System for Image-Guided Surgery

Authors: George Sideris, Justin Cree, Andrew Stirling, Mamadou Ly, Étienne Léger, D. Louis Collins
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.CV, eess.IV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07561v1

Image-guided surgery (IGS) depends on accurate tracking of surgical instruments to provide real-time navigation relative to anatomical structures. Commercial stereo infrared trackers are accurate but prone to occlusion and cost-prohibitive for many settings. This work presents LARK, a multi-camera optical tracking system using commodity RGB hardware and multi-view redundancy and fusion. We develop and evaluate two complete tracking methods: multi-view monocular pose fusion and multi-view triangulation. Both methods are assessed under varying occlusion levels using a precision-machined grid and an anatomical head phantom, and compared against a gold-standard stereo infrared system. With five cameras and adaptive Kalman filtering, LARK achieves median target registration errors of 0.64 mm for point localization with triangulation and 0.73 mm for trajectory tracking with pose fusion on the machined grid. Camera-subset experiments show graceful degradation in adaptive pose-fusion accuracy as fewer views remain available. With tracking hardware costing under $1,000 USD, LARK provides a low-cost platform for image-guided surgery research. Hardware designs and software are publicly available at https://nist.mni.mcgill.ca/software/ , and datasets at https://nist.mni.mcgill.ca/data/ .

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### Navigating Route Latent Space for Synthesizable Molecular Design

Authors: Tao Li, Tuan Vinh, Monika Raj, Yuan Fang, Zhichun Guo, Carl Yang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.AI, cs.CE
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07560v1

Goal-directed molecular design has advanced rapidly, yet a substantial proportion of designed molecules remain difficult to synthesize in practice, limiting their real-world utility. Prior synthesizability-aware methods either project generated molecules back to synthesizable analogs that deviate from the intended target, or optimize directly in discrete synthesis spaces that lack a continuous landscape for efficient search. We argue that this limitation mainly comes from the search space rather than the optimizer. To address this, we propose RouteFlow, a framework that reformulates synthesizable molecular design as a search over a continuous route latent space, where each latent maps back to a complete synthesis route and synthesizability is inherently preserved. To navigate this space, we adopt reward-guided flow matching as an efficient sampler that steers toward high-property regions. Since reward optimization may push latents off the manifold of real synthesis routes, where decoding becomes unreliable, we further introduce a cycle-consistency mechanism to stabilize fine-tuning. Across 16 optimization tasks from Therapeutic Data Commons, RouteFlow achieves the best sample efficiency among synthesizability-aware baselines, with the best synthetic accessibility and the highest retrosynthesis success rate. Our results also confirm that the proposed cycle-consistency reliably keeps optimization on-manifold while improving target properties, supporting effective synthesizable molecular discovery.

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### TAFFY: A Task-Adaptive Tabular Foundation Model with In-Context Diversity

Authors: Zijian Li, Xiangchen Song, Gongxu Luo, Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zhenhao Chen, Xinshuai Dong, Fan Feng, Guangyi Chen, Kun Zhang
Published: 2026-10-06
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07559v1

Recent progress in tabular foundation models suggests that training on synthetic tasks can substantially improve in-context learning capabilities, with overall performance largely depending on how well models can infer task-specific predictive relationships from the available context during inference. In this paper, we introduce TAFFY, a tabular foundation model with an In-Context Diversity Prior and a Task-Conditioned Looped Transformer that strengthen this ability. Specifically, to construct each synthetic pretraining context, the In-Context Diversity Prior samples from multiple related environments derived via controlled interventions and distribution shifts on a shared causal process. This in-context diversity encourages the model to learn a more comprehensive and task-specific representation. Moreover, the Task-Conditioned Looped Transformer iteratively and selectively applies a shared group of Transformer blocks to refine contextual representations, with a task-conditioned gate modulating the final hidden-state update. This enables task-adaptive iterative refinement. Together, these components encourage the model to identify predictive relationships from contextual contrasts during pretraining and dynamically modulate context integration for each task. Across six classification and five regression benchmark datasets, TAFFY attains the lowest average rank.

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