# Research Papers — 2026-10 · bundle page 47 of 156

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### Guidance Without Labels: Flow Matching from Coupled Gaussian Mixtures

Authors: Stanislas Ducotterd, Bassam El Rawas, Michael Unser
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16654v1

Flow matching models are typically trained to transport a Gaussian source to the data distribution, with source and target samples paired independently. We replace the source with a fitted Gaussian mixture and couple each data point to a mixture component through an entropic optimal transport problem. We show that the resulting transport reduces to the standard Gaussian-source problem up to a guidance-like correction, which enables the reuse of a pretrained velocity field. This correction is a closed-form function of the fitted mixture plus a term that we learn with a small correction network. We test our model on published checkpoints for CIFAR-10 and CelebA-HQ. It improves FID at every step count, and on CelebA-HQ it reaches the quality of the baseline with about half the steps. The closed-form term alone, with no training, already delivers most of this improvement; the small correction network accounts for the rest.

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### Counting with Attention and LayerNorm: Norm Scaling and Representation Geometry

Authors: Ayyub Shaffy, Manoj Dhakal, Safal Shrestha, Keith W. Ross
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16653v1

Counting is a simple task on which transformers can nevertheless fail at long sequence lengths. We study the cost of counting in a single attention layer, up to a maximum length $L$, focusing on how softmax attention and layer normalization shape the representation from which the count is recovered. We mainly focus on regression read-out but also consider classification read-out. For regression, we show unnormalized linear attention counts exactly at parameter norms independent of $L$. For softmax attention, regression cannot count exactly with finite parameters; it recovers the count after rounding, but only when the vector parameter norms grow with $L$. We measure this cost by $B_{\min}$, the smallest bound that can be placed on every trainable vector to ensure exact counting after rounding, and derive tight rates. At fixed model dimension, $B_{\min}$ grows as $L$ without normalization, as $L^{3/2}$ under bare post-normalization, and as $L^{3/4}$ with learned post-normalization. The last rate is unexpected: post-normalization discards the magnitude that carries the count and might be expected to make counting harder, yet with a learnable gain it counts at a smaller norm than softmax without normalization. Bare pre-normalization is different: it bounds the attention scores, so beyond a finite length no parameter norm suffices. A classification read-out keeps every norm bounded under every placement, but a dense head stores one output vector per count and costs more in storage. Experiments on the post-normalized model reproduce this split between the two read-outs. Together, our theoretical and empirical findings characterize how self-attention, layer-normalization placement, and read-out choice shape the representation geometry and parameter cost of counting in the minimal single-head architecture studied here.

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### IND-Eval: Aligning Evaluation and Simulation for Industrial Time Series Foundation Models

Authors: Vebjørn Haugland, Pavel Gulin, David Foss, Peet Cremer, Erlend Aune, Simone Casolo, Andreas Solbrå, Milad Mobarhan
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16652v1

We introduce IND-Eval, a public benchmark that organizes industrial time series across domains into source-specific forecasting tasks. Relative to established benchmarks such as GIFT-Eval, it emphasizes finer sampling resolutions and a greater prevalence of multivariate forecasting. Evaluating Chronos-2, TiRex-2, and TimesFM-3, we find that TimesFM-3 achieves the lowest source-balanced aggregate nMASE and nCRPS and leads seven of nine sources under each metric; source-specific exceptions reinforce the need for domain-representative evaluation for model selection. These findings also motivate improving domain alignment during pretraining, where real industrial data are often too scarce to close domain-specific gaps directly; we therefore investigate whether a domain's statistical structure can guide simulator design. In a case study on two offshore well-monitoring regimes, we improve a general simulator's coverage using an oscillator-augmented simulation pipeline. This lowers forecasting error in the target domain but reduces performance on the subset of GIFT-Eval with natively univariate targets. A 50/50 mixture of the general and augmented simulation recipes achieves the lowest error among the three training recipes for all four event-metric pairs in the case study while recovering most of the lost GIFT-Eval performance. Together, these results illustrate how domain-representative evaluation can guide model selection and the composition of simulated data while revealing a trade-off between specialization and generality.

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### SIREN: Situation-aware Index for Response and Emergency ActioNability in Crisis Translation

Authors: Maria Carmen Staiano, Lifeng Han, Johanna Monti, Francesca Chiusaroli
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CL
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16646v1

Machine translation (MT) is increasingly utilized in multilingual crisis communication, yet conventional evaluation does not directly assess whether translated emergency messages preserve their actionability. We introduce SIREN (Situation-aware Index for Response and Emergency ActioNability), a human evaluation framework assessing whether translation choices compromise protective action, directive force, and urgency of the source text. We evaluate SIREN in two complementary settings. At the error level, we apply it to HOPE-annotated Italian--English translations produced by ChatGPT-4o and Google Translate: 31.63\% and 48.73\% of errors, respectively, compromise actionability, predominantly by affecting the protective action. At the message level, we evaluate English--French translations produced by TranslateGemma-4B and Google Translate, with actionability preserved in 85.34\% and 92.67\% of translations, respectively. TranslateGemma-4B failures predominantly weaken directive force, whereas Google Translate failures more often compromise protective actions and receive Major impact ratings. These findings show that translation systems can differ not only in how often actionability is lost, but also in the nature and functional impact of these failures. Alongside SIREN, we contribute an English--French crisis-translation resource with human actionability annotations and post-edited reference translations, supporting further research on function-oriented evaluation for crisis communication. Our experimental data is available at https://github.com/mcstaiano/SIREN.

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### Learning Incompressible 3D Flows from Sparse Samples: A Set Transformer Approach to Divergence-Free Kernel Fitting

Authors: Ramzi Idoughi, Radouan Boukharfane, Peter Wonka
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CE
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16645v1

Recovering divergence-free velocity fields from sparse and corrupted observations requires reconciling physical consistency, expressive representations, and robustness to missing data. We introduce DFK-Former, a set-to-field transformer that reconstructs divergence-free velocity fields from sparse, noisy, and irregularly sampled 3D observations. The model is inherently invariant to the number and ordering of input samples and predicts the parameters of a divergence-free kernel representation, producing continuous, mesh-free velocity fields that satisfy incompressibility exactly by construction rather than approximately through soft constraints or projection operators. Unlike existing divergence-free kernel approaches, which estimate kernel coefficients via a separate optimization for each field, DFK-Former predicts these coefficients directly in a single forward pass. This eliminates costly iterative fitting while providing a learned prior that enables accurate reconstruction even when observations are insufficient to uniquely determine the field. To enhance representational power, we introduce adaptive and anisotropic divergence-free kernels that preserve exact incompressibility guarantees while capturing more complex flow structures. Extensive experiments across varying levels of sparsity, noise, and occlusion, including transfer to real Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) turbulence data, demonstrate substantial gains in both accuracy and efficiency. DFK-Former reduces endpoint error by up to 4.6x compared to per-field divergence-free-kernel optimization, while reconstructing each field in 7.5 ms instead of 9.8 s, yielding a speedup of more than three orders of magnitude. These results establish direct, feed-forward prediction of divergence-free kernel parameters as a practical and effective paradigm for physically consistent velocity-field reconstruction from sparse observations.

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### Learning Deployable Causal Action Geometry under Temporal Non-Stationarity

Authors: Changjian Liu, Tianyu Wang, Yuwei Xu, Xiaoxuan Deng, Zhilin Zhang, Yong Gao, Chuan Yu, Jian Xu, Bo Zheng
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16644v1

Learning a response law for continuous decisions from observational time series is central to many real-world decision systems, yet temporal non-stationarity poses a fundamental challenge: as outcomes drift over time, naively pooled models can conflate action effects with shifting baselines and even reverse action rankings. Even when the one-step response is identifiable, unrestricted cross-time generalization remains fundamentally ill-posed. We therefore seek the part of the response that remains stable for decisions even when outcome levels do not. We propose deployable causal action geometry: the action-response shape that remains after anchoring away action-independent level shifts on a selected link scale and profiling out positive amplitude variation. Building on this target, we develop a two-stage orthogonal estimator that first obtains cross-fitted pilot estimates of anchored responses and then performs honest profiled selection over link, representation, and shape classes. The resulting estimator admits oracle guarantees for the restricted target and, under approximate persistence, produces decision rules that remain near optimal in future periods. Experiments on synthetic data and Dominick's support the proposed target and its transfer behavior. In a randomized Taobao A/B test, the deployed system improves GMV and purchase counts by \(1.16\%\) and \(1.70\%\).

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### SuPER-Mamba: Surprisal Prioritization for Extended-Context Routing in Mamba

Authors: Zhetong Zhang, Gayan K Kulatilleke
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16636v1

State space models provide efficient linear-complexity processing for long sequences, but their performance frequently degrades as context length grows. We propose SuPER-Mamba, a training-free framework that uses Surprisal as a model-intrinsic signal for long-range state routing in pretrained Mamba models. SuPER-Mamba computes position-wise Surprisal from next-token predictions, aggregates neighboring responses through Local Pooling, and uses the resulting scores to prioritize Global-Channel updates without query-dependent scoring or additional training. We evaluate SuPER-Mamba on three state-space models across the LongBench-E benchmark. The results show that SuPER-Mamba improves the average score from 8.06 to 15.69, corresponding to a 94.7% relative gain over the Base Models and a 13.1% improvement over the state-of-the-art prior baseline. Ablation and length-wise analyses further support the effectiveness of the proposed routing framework.

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### ACED: Reference-Anchored Aggregation of Natural-Language and Executable Evidence for Mathematical Reasoning

Authors: Yiyi Lu, Jiaxiang Geng, Bing Luo
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16635v1

Natural-language self-consistency and executable programs provide complementary test-time evidence for mathematical reasoning, yet either channel may support the same semantic error. Thus we propose ACED, a reference-anchored framework that treats the self-consistency answer as the default and executable outputs as supporting evidence rather than interchangeable votes. ACED converts source-specific answer counts into smoothed supports, combines them through a weighted logarithmic pool, and overrides the reference only when a calibrated relative-evidence margin is exceeded. The same rule supports both candidate selection and admission of executable-only answers. Across five math word-problem benchmarks, ACED matches or outperforms the corresponding baselines. On GSM8K, ACED-CANDIDATE recovers 89.7% of the attainable candidate-set gain with only three damaging overrides, while ACED-ALL reaches 86.9% accuracy versus 82.6% for direct Program-of-Thought aggregation. These results show that preserving evidence provenance enables more reliable integration of natural-language and executable reasoning.

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### Language2Drive: Do Vision-Language-Action Models Really Follow the Instructions in Autonomous Driving?

Authors: Zihan You, Zehua Fan, Wenqi Lyu, Aoqi Wang, Ni Wang, Yifei Yang, Linge Zhao, Huan Li, Sining Ang, Yuguang Yang, Jueyu Chen, Xiangyu Li et al.
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.RO, cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16634v1

Recent Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models increasingly use natural-language instructions to condition autonomous driving behavior. Yet existing closed-loop benchmarks primarily measure route completion, safety, and rule compliance, leaving a fundamental question unresolved: does language actually determine which feasible behavior the vehicle executes? A trajectory may be safe and successful while still violating or even ignoring the passenger's instruction. To address this, we introduce \ltd, a benchmark designed to directly test this capability. Its key evaluation unit, the paired counterfactual unit (PCU), holds the initial driving scene fixed while changing only the instruction. This design enables us to distinguish isolated instruction success from counterfactual paired success across four instruction-following scopes. To test whether this distinction persists across evaluation regimes, we instantiate Language2Drive in complementary closed-loop CARLA simulation, reconstructed real-world scenes, and open-loop driving benchmarks, including our released CARLA-Language2Drive simulator with purpose-built maps. Evaluating representative driving VLAs across these settings reveals a striking mismatch between strong driving competence and weak language control: 93.2% of successful rollouts do not have a successful counterpart under the alternative feasible instruction. This failure is dominated by one-sided completion, where a model repeatedly executes one preferred behavior but fails when the same scene requires the counterfactual alternative. These results expose two fundamental limitations of current evaluation: isolated success and driving scores, which are widely used by conventional driving benchmarks, can substantially overstate language-following capability, while current driving VLAs themselves lack reliable instruction following under matched counterfactual tests.

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### REEL: Learning to Retrieve, Evaluate, and Evolve Visual Memory for Any Long-Horizon Multi-Shot Video Generation

Authors: Hang Xu, Guohui Zhang, Xiaoxiao Ma, Hu Yu, Jie Huang, Jiayin Xiao, Lin Song, Haoyang Huang, Nan Duan, Feng Zhao
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16632v1

Memory-based long-video generation aims to combine user control with long-range visual consistency. We organize this process into three functional components: a planner, an adapter, and a generator. Representative multi-shot systems couple memory to generator-specific interfaces or use predefined agent workflows, rather than independently training a memory policy for cross-shot objectives. We introduce REEL, a general-purpose visual-memory planner. Through a unified tool interface, REEL learns to retrieve references, create missing visual evidence, and update persistent memory. Backend-specific adapters translate its evidence plans into supported conditioning inputs, allowing the same policy to guide different black-box video generators. To train REEL, we construct two high-quality datasets, REEL-SFT-4k and REEL-RL-1k, covering diverse interaction patterns and prompt types. Training proceeds in three stages: supervised fine-tuning, single-shot Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), and multi-shot GRPO. Multi-shot GRPO carries policy-generated memory across consecutive shots, so later outcomes guide earlier reference selection and memory updates. REEL-Bench tests identity preservation and intended state changes under text-only requests and timed reference-image uploads. On JoyAI-Echo~1.5 and MiniMax-H3, REEL improves cross-shot consistency on ST-Bench by 15.1\% and 20.7\%, and Core-100 on our proposed REEL-Bench by 2.41 and 8.32 points, respectively, over the no-memory baseline.

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### AeroChem: Closed-loop Physics-Informed State Space Modeling for Long-term Chemically-Reactive Air Quality Forecasting--Extended Version

Authors: Kien Le Trung, Tung Kieu, Dinh Duc Nha Nguyen, Cuong Do, Bin Yang, Phi Long Nguyen
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CE
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16630v1

Accurate long-term air quality forecasting is challenging due to long-range transport, meteorological variability, and nonlinear chemical reactions underlying secondary pollutant formation. Purely data-driven models often suffer from long-horizon drift and lack physical consistency, while existing physics-informed approaches commonly follow open-loop designs that fuse neural and physical components only at the output level. We propose AeroChem, a closed-loop physics-informed state space framework for chemically reactive air quality forecasting. AeroChem adopts a two-branch co-correction design: a UDE-based process branch provides a structured but imperfect physical prior, while a Mamba-based virtual measurement branch captures long-range temporal context and produces probabilistic virtual observations. Neural Kalman Fusion couples the two branches by correcting the latent physical state at each forecasting step and feeding the posterior state back into the simulator, reducing long-horizon drift. We further introduce HanoiAir, a real-world dataset integrating pollutant concentrations, meteorology, and emission inventories. Experiments on HanoiAir and a public benchmark show that AeroChem improves long-horizon stability and sudden-change forecasting.

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### Integrating Feature Understandability into Feature Selection for Human-Centred Tabular Explanations

Authors: Nicola Rossberg, Bennett Kleinberg, Barry O'Sullivan, Luca Longo, Andrea Visentin
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.HC, cs.AI, cs.CY, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16627v1

Existing human-centred XAI research predominantly evaluates explanations after they have been generated. However, this fails to provide actionable insights into improving accessibility. This study incorporates human-based feature understandability into feature selection to improve the generation of human-centred explanations. Natural language explanations for machine learning models trained on tabular data often cite influential features in the input data to explain a given decision. As a consequence, users' ability to understand the produced explanation hinges on their understanding of the cited features. To quantify this natural-language feature understandability, Rossberg et al. proposed the Feature Understandability Scale, which assigns numerical `understandability scores' to features based on user feedback. To evaluate the degree to which these scores can improve machine learning explanation quality, this study collects understandability scores across two datasets, proposes an understandability-aware feature selection algorithm to select features that are both understandable and informative, and trains a random forest based on these feature subsets. The SHAP-based explanations generated by this model are evaluated using user feedback, and changes in explanation quality are assessed. The individual evaluation of the explanations showed that while the understandability-based explanations scored higher on average, the difference was not statistically significant. In contrast, the comparative evaluation found that participants preferred these explanations significantly more frequently than expected at the chance level. It is concluded that the integration of understandability can yield more understandable explanations at minimal cost to classification performance, although changes to quality require elucidation in larger cohorts.

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### LATCH: LLM-Assisted Timing Closure Harness for Post-Route FPGA Optimisation

Authors: Shu Gu, Matthew Youngman, Yuqin Zhao, Cristian Sestito, Ali Siddique, Ramesh Krishnamurthy, Danial Chitnis, Themis Prodromakis
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16625v1

Post-route FPGA timing closure remains expert-dependent and computationally expensive. We present LATCH (LLM-Assisted Timing Closure Harness), a two-layer framework that separates large language model (LLM) orchestration from deterministic FPGA implementation and evaluation. Across sixteen designs and seven LLMs, a single-iteration study compares three agent control granularities - expert-written recipes, direct EDA operations and LLM-constructed procedures - to ask how much control an agent needs per attempt. Functional-pass rates are 98.2%, 71.4% and 17.9%, respectively; yet direct operations give slightly larger 3.4% median Fmax gains when passing, versus 3.2% for recipes. This exposes a trade-off between execution reliability and timing improvement. Informed by this trade-off, a multi-iteration study fixes the action tier at expert recipes to ask how repeated attempts are best organised, comparing a fitted deterministic heuristic with sequential LLM reasoning, branching exploration and knowledge base-guided exploration within 12 checkpoints per run. Branching raises mean maximum-frequency improvement from 10.5% (sequential) to 16.0%, and the knowledge base to 20.3%, improving 15 of 16 designs. Characterisation across 2,421 recipe attempts profiled their gain and validation rates, showing hard-block re-placement gives the largest cumulative mean gain at 41.4MHz.

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### Adaptive Interaction Network for Human Motion Prediction During Human-Robot Collaboration

Authors: Mengyuan Liu, Yangting Lin, Qiongjie Cui
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16624v1

Human motion prediction during human-robot collaboration is critical for achieving safe and efficient interactions in shared environments. Unlike previous studies that have primarily focused on humans and objects, we focus on the robot-aware human motion prediction task, which explicitly models the influence of robots on human motion. This task presents new challenges, such as capturing human-robot heterogeneity and modeling complex spatial interactions. To address these issues, we develop an adaptive interaction network (AINet) model that consists of two branches: a primary branch that predicts future human motion and an auxiliary branch that estimates robot trajectories. The two branches are jointly optimized and coupled via a Local-Global Spatial Interaction (LGSI) Module, which effectively captures fine-grained and global contextual dependencies between human and robot motion sequences. Then, we introduce an Adaptive Weighted Aggregation (AWA) Module to dynamically fuse motion features using context-dependent weights, thereby increasing adaptability across diverse scenarios. Furthermore, we adopt a coarse-to-fine prediction strategy, in which a coarse pseudo-trajectory is first predicted, followed by the refinement of detailed human poses based on that trajectory. Extensive experiments on three challenging datasets reveal that our proposed method achieves superior performance, validating its effectiveness in human-robot collaboration scenarios. Our code is available at: https://github.com/LyTingHub/AINet.

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### Answer It or Not? Towards Prompt-Adapted Adversarial Images on Vision Language Models

Authors: Shunyuan Bai, Yuchen Ren, Le Yang, Chenhao Lin, Chao Shen, Zhengyu Zhao
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16622v1

With the advancement in language modeling, research on adversarial images has recently shifted from image classifiers to vision-language models (VLMs). Despite the new, text-prompt-driven nature of VLMs, we find that existing VLM adversaries have largely overlooked the dynamics of text prompts. In a typical use case, adversarial images can protect visual privacy by rejecting VLMs from answering questions about the image. However, existing protections are prompt-agnostic, i.e., indiscriminately rejecting any question, including those for potential legitimate use of the image. To address this limitation, we propose Prompt-Adapted (ProAda) adversarial images, which are optimized to balance the rejection of harmful prompts and the correct response of legitimate prompts. In particular, to achieve a more accurate adversarial direction, the text prompt is also iteratively updated with a simple classifier judging whether the harmfulness of the prompt remains. Extensive experiments on visual-privacy-related datasets validate that ProAda can reject over 90% of harmful prompts while allowing over 90% of legitimate ones, demonstrating superior overall performance compared to existing prompt-agnostic VLM adversaries. In addition, our ProAda achieves competitive overall cross-model transferability and improved robustness against countermeasures.

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### Weak Segmentation-Guided GAN for~Realistic Color Edition

Authors: Vincent Auriau, Emmanuel Malherbe, Matthieu Perrot
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16620v1

Editing the color of images in a realistic way finds many applications such as changing the perception of an image, data augmentation or film post processing. The design of an automatic tool is a complex and long addressed challenge. In particular, two properties are difficult to meet altogether: generating realistic results without artifacts and the possibility to precisely choose the future color. Conventional methods using segmentation and histogram matching maximize the controllability but also introduce a lack of realism or are complex to automate. On the contrary, GANs that specialize in realism are difficult to control. To overcome these challenges, we propose a novel GAN architecture leveraging any differentiable segmentation model. We demonstrate the genericness of our framework that presents state of the art results on different use cases. It generates images that look realistic while offering a precise color control.

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### DR-APO: Decoupled-Representation Advantage-Guided Policy Optimization from Continuous Control to Embodied Navigation

Authors: Runhua Zhang, Yingjie Niu, Chao Li
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG, cs.RO
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16618v1

Policy representations in reinforcement learning have expanded beyond Gaussian policies to diffusion and flow-matching based generative policies. However, existing RL methods remain representation-specific, lacking a unified optimization interface for emerging generative policies. In particular, extending likelihood-based objectives to multi-step generative policies couples optimization to their internal generation process, where accumulated likelihood ratios can weaken the update signal. Meanwhile, generative-policy-specific methods often rely on multi-candidate generation and critic-based selection, improving overall return while providing limited improvement to the policy itself. We introduce DR-APO (Decoupled-Representation Advantage-Guided Policy Optimization), which decouples policy improvement from policy representation through advantage-guided target improvement and representation-compatible direct action fitting, providing a shared optimization principle for Gaussian, diffusion, and flow policies. Across five MuJoCo-v5 tasks, DR-APO remains competitive with SAC for Gaussian policies and achieves the best aggregate policy-only performance for both diffusion and flow-matching policies. NavDP post-training improves the Success Rate (SR) from 70.33% to 89.55% in simulation and from 25% to 65% in real-world navigation. These results demonstrate a unified policy-improvement principle across Gaussian, diffusion, and flow policies, from continuous-control learning to embodied-policy post-training.

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### Quickest Change-point Detection in Generalized Linear Models with Variational Estimation

Authors: Jonghyeok Lee, Yao Xie
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: stat.ME, stat.ML
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16616v1

We consider quickest change-point detection in generalized linear models when the post-change parameter is unknown. Such problems arise, for example, when monitoring whether the relationship between a learned representation and an observed response changes over time. Since detection must occur soon after a change, the post-change parameter must be estimated from a limited number of observations, making finite-sample estimation accuracy particularly important. We propose a window-limited CUSUM procedure that estimates the post-change parameter using a variational-inequality (VI) formulation. For noncanonical links, VI estimation can offer favorable finite-sample accuracy over short windows despite the asymptotic efficiency advantage of maximum likelihood estimation. We characterize how estimation error reduces the effective post-change information rate and affects detection delay, and derive finite-window guarantees accounting for both statistical error and incomplete numerical optimization. The resulting procedure retains false-alarm control and achieves first-order asymptotic optimality under suitable conditions. Numerical experiments compare detection delay and update cost for fixed-budget estimation and benchmark VI-WLCUSUM against alternative detectors.

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### When 1+1 Backfires: Rethinking Relevance-Diversity Balancing for Sample-Aware Visual Token Reduction

Authors: Yihang Huang, Peisong Wen, Chenhao Zhou, Difu Feng, Qianqian Xu
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16615v1

Visual token compression has emerged as a critical technique for reducing the inference cost of Vision-Language Models. Existing methods select tokens based on text relevance, visual diversity, or a fixed combination of both---treating the relevance-diversity balance as a universal constant independent of the input. We conduct a systematic analysis to challenge this assumption. At the dataset level, grid-searching the optimal relevance-diversity weight per benchmark reveals substantial cross-task variation. More critically, we further maximize per-sample answer likelihood to recover sample-level oracle weights, finding that their distributions not only differ markedly across benchmarks but also exhibit high within-benchmark variance. Based on these observations, we propose SAVER, a framework for Sample-Aware relevance-diversity balanced Visual tokEn Reduction. We first derive a Geometric Intent Prior (GIP) from the spatial concentration of text-relevant tokens to infer a sample-specific relevance-diversity weight, and then apply this weight to jointly select tokens via a Weighted Text Centroid (WTC) for relevance scoring and a Visual Marginal Coverage Gain (VMCG) for diversity. SAVER requires no additional training and achieves sample-aware balancing entirely at inference time. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SAVER consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across diverse benchmarks, retaining 96.5% of full-model performance on LLaVA-1.5-7B with only 11.1% of the original visual tokens, and further generalizing to LLaVA-NeXT and Mini-Gemini.

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### MixLID: Token-Level Language Identification in Mixed-Language Text

Authors: Seongtae Hong, Youngjoon Jang, Seungyoon Lee, Jungseob Lee, Heuiseok Lim
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16601v1

Processing multilingual text requires both identifying a broad range of languages and distinguishing the language of each token in inputs containing multiple languages. We introduce MixLID, a token-level language identification model supporting 111 language-script combinations. MixLID follows a two-stage training process: it first learns to distinguish individual languages using the language labels of monolingual examples, then continues training on mixed-language data. The second stage uses concatenated examples from existing code-switching data alongside augmented examples created through word substitution based on correspondences between English source words and loanwords. For monolingual identification, MixLID outperforms all baselines in both accuracy and macro F1 on four benchmarks within the language coverage shared with each baseline. For mixed-language identification, it outperforms the baselines in identifying the language of individual tokens on every evaluated language pair. MixLID achieves high performance across a broad range of languages in both monolingual and mixed-language settings. The model is publicly available at https://huggingface.co/nlpai-lab/MixLID.

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### Detecting Chain-of-Thought Hijacking in Backdoored Multimodal Large Reasoning Models

Authors: Zhifang Zhang, Qi Wei, Weitong Chen, Olaf Maennel, Wei Emma Zhang, zuomin ren, Lei Feng, Miao Xu
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16598v1

Chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning enables multimodal large reasoning models (MLRMs) to solve complex visual problems, but also exposes them to CoT hijacking: an adversary implants a backdoor through poisoned fine-tuning so that a visual trigger induces a hijacking turn, redirecting an otherwise faithful reasoning chain to an attacker-chosen answer. However, since the hijack acts within the reasoning chain, existing multimodal backdoor defenses designed for MLLMs that answer directly struggle to detect it. Moreover, inspecting the chain itself does not reliably expose the hijack, since the hijacking turn can resemble honest self-correction in form. In this paper, we find that honest reasoning tends to revise its answer at high-entropy "aha moments", whereas a hijack can overturn a confident answer through a near-deterministic turn. To quantify this contrast, we formalize this phenomenon as belief inertia, the cumulative next-token entropy of a reasoning span minus the answer-belief revision it induces, with markedly lower values for hijacked spans than for honest reasoning spans. Since hijacking tokens are also image-dependent, we further improve detection by restricting the measure to image-dependent spans, yielding visual belief inertia (VBI). Building on this, we propose InertiaGuard, a training-free, test-time detector that flags a trace when its VBI falls below a threshold calibrated on a small set of clean traces. Across various attacks and benchmarks, InertiaGuard achieves higher detection performance than existing baselines, while generalizing to different model architectures and trigger types.

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### DEFlow: Deep Equilibrium Flow Maximum-Entropy Reinforcement Learning

Authors: Ruslan Ageev, Huaze Tang, Runqing Miao, Jiarong Li, Wenbo Ding
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG, cs.RO
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16597v2

Expressive flow policies can represent multiple high-value actions, but sampling them with few integration steps while retaining tractable action densities remains challenging. We introduce DEFlow, a deep equilibrium flow policy that replaces explicit Euler sampling with implicit Euler integration and solves all intermediate actions jointly as an equilibrium system. We combine implicit differentiation with a discrete change-of-variables formula for the final-action density, enabling off-policy training within soft actor-critic without backpropagating through solver iterations. DEFlow achieves an average relative improvement of approximately 10% in mean successful coverage over the strongest baseline across four Multi-Goal docking variants. It also achieves the highest mean time-averaged return on four of five manipulation tasks, while remaining broadly competitive across five MuJoCo tasks. These results support implicit flow policies for tasks requiring both diversity and precision, at the cost of additional nonlinear and linear solves. Primary

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### Towards Modality-Agnostic Seizure Classification: A Unified Deep Learning Framework for Heterogeneous EEG and Intracranial EEG Signals

Authors: Ramya Sundaram, Muhammad Aslam Jarwar, M Uma, Sunder Ali Khowaja, Qurat-Ul-Ain Mastoi
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16596v2

Seizure prediction and detection, essential for clinical treatment of epilepsy, remain the crucial task of this neurological disease. EEG and iEEG are widely used to analyze epilepsy due to its capability of capturing discriminative brain activities at high time resolution. However, existing works generally analyze either EEG or iEEG seizure activity separately, where EEG analysis has been well-researched, while more and more works consider iEEG for its higher specificity at the spatial level and signal quality. Currently, most of the existing seizure prediction systems are single-modal in nature, which limits its application to a variety of clinical conditions. Therefore, a common framework to analyze seizures with both EEG and iEEG signals needs to be developed. This paper presents a new framework of multimodal seizure classification integrating the heterogeneous EEG and iEEG recordings from different subjects and sources. A specific framework, called Unified Multimodal Signal Harmonization (UMSH), is developed for harmonizing signals with varied sampling rates and recording conditions. Moreover, to handle the extremely class-imbalanced problem in the data sets, we use a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (cGAN) based data augmentation technique to generate synthetic samples to balance the class distribution. The proposed framework uses the EEGNet-Vision Transformer (EEGNet-ViT) as the feature extraction and classification network to learn the local discriminative patterns as well as global contextual information in the multimodal seizure data. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework for robust seizure classification, emphasizing the potential of integrated EEG-iEEG multimodal learning in advancing next-generation epilepsy monitoring and clinical decision-support systems.

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### Uncertainty-Aware Cortical Surface Reconstruction and Spherical Registration for Heterogeneous Brain MRI

Authors: Jesper Duemose Nielsen, Karthik Gopinath, Andrew Hoopes, Adrian Dalca, Axel Thielscher, Juan Eugenio Iglesias, Oula Puonti
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: eess.IV, cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16595v1

Surface-based cortical analysis is useful in many applications as it is a natural way to model the highly folded structure of the cerebral cortex, allowing quantities such as curvature and thickness to be easily calculated. Existing deep learning (DL) methods have focused on 1x1x1 mm3 T1-weighted (T1w) scans, thus replicating classical pipelines. Here we present a neural network that is trained exclusively on synthetic scans with random contrast and resolution. Consequently, it can be applied to almost any kind of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan. In addition, our model provides vertex-wise uncertainty estimates of the predicted surface as well as a spherical registration to fsaverage space. Our model performs on par with other state-of-the-art DL methods on 1x1x1 mm3 T1w scans and outperforms the only other method capable of estimating cortical surfaces from low resolution, non-T1w scans. The predicted uncertainty, moreover, correlates with overall scan quality on low resolution scans and highlights areas of poor surface reconstruction on 1x1x1 mm3 T1w scans, suggesting that it can be used for quality control. Finally, the predicted spherical registrations prove comparable to other DL and classical registration methods. These qualities, when combined with the fast inference time, will provide the ability to analyze large, existing databases of clinical MRI scans, with the potential for finding disease-specific patterns that would otherwise be infeasible in a research setting.

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### Double-Rollout Reinforcement Learning with Sampling-based Reward Estimation

Authors: Haifeng Qian, David Mosallanezhad, Christian Munley, Adithya Renduchintala, Oleksii Kuchaiev
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16593v1

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) implemented with Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) has driven substantial progress in training reasoning language models. However, verifiable outcome rewards provide an imperfect measure of reasoning quality: a correct final answer may not be supported by the reasoning trace, whereas an incorrect rollout may contain a nearly correct reasoning trajectory. We present empirical evidence for this mismatch and hypothesize that the resulting reward noise contributes to instability in reinforcement learning for both reasoning accuracy and token efficiency. To address this credit assignment challenge, this paper proposes double-rollout reinforcement learning. For each sampled rollout, we truncate its reasoning trace, sample multiple continuations from the truncated prefix, and replace the original reward with the mean continuation reward, yielding a more robust estimate of reasoning quality. This double-rollout algorithm incurs only a moderate increase in compute cost and yet reaches substantially higher accuracies across math and coding tasks and across Qwen and Nemotron models than baseline algorithms with fewer RL steps. For example, using only DAPO data it trains Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B to reach 95.4% on AIME 2026, versus 91.5% by GRPO and substantially above state of the art for this model size, within 30 RL steps. When combined with length-based rewards, the same algorithm further improves the accuracy-efficiency Pareto frontier over existing efficiency optimizations. These findings suggest that the double-rollout reward estimation is an effective and cost-efficient way to improve both the accuracy and token efficiency of reasoning RL.

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### Prorsa: Unleashing the Potential of Prefill-Decode Disaggregation in Agentic Reinforcement Learning

Authors: Chiheng Lou, Xiangwei Deng, Bangjun Xiao, Xiaodong Ji, Yikai Zhao, Xin Jin, Hailin Zhang
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.DC, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16592v1

Agentic reinforcement learning (RL) is commonly used to enhance the capabilities of large language models (LLMs) in solving complex multi-turn tasks. During rollout, agentic RL exhibits a workload pattern distinct from that of traditional RL: multi-turn interactions repeatedly introduce prefill requests, causing prefill and decode workloads to coexist throughout rollout. This workload makes prefill-decode (PD) disaggregation, a design widely used for online LLM serving, promising for speeding up agentic RL rollout. This paper shows that PD disaggregation can improve rollout efficiency by (a) mitigating interference among data-parallel attention modules, (b) enabling stage-specific parallelism, and (c) reducing end-to-end trajectory completion time. However, a fixed prefill-decode allocation may fail to sustain these benefits as workload composition varies across tasks and over time. We therefore present Prorsa, an agentic RL framework for prediction-guided prefill-decode resource allocation. Prorsa observes the lifecycle of every trajectory to forecast short-horizon prefill and decode demand. These forecasts then guide worker allocation decisions and trigger role switching of rollout engines, aligning prefill and decode capacity with anticipated workload demand. Across synchronous and asynchronous agentic RL settings, Prorsa achieves end-to-end rollout speedups of 1.11x-4.05x over prefill-decode colocation.

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### JtT: Rethinking Point Trajectory Diffusion for Diverse and Rigid Motion from an Image

Authors: Gabrijel Boduljak, Yushi Lan, Christian Rupprecht, Andrea Vedaldi
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16591v1

We study forecasting rigid-body motion from a single image: generating diverse and physically plausible future trajectories for arbitrary points in a scene, without building rigidity into the architecture or relying on geometric inputs such as depth. Like video generators, recent trajectory generators fail at this task, even in simple synthetic Kubric scenes, despite scaling up model size and training on real data. We show how to solve this with the right architecture and parameterization. Our model, JtT, is a simple diffusion transformer that operates directly in coordinate space and decodes arbitrary and dense query patterns, without the trajectory VAEs or fixed grids assumed in prior work. Through a systematic study of the design space of point trajectory diffusion, we find that diffusing per-frame velocities is the only parameterization that captures rigidity, that it must be paired with the right timestep schedule, and that adding full-resolution RGB at the query points resolves the boundary failures of prior methods. However, evaluating such 2D models rigorously is itself non-trivial. To our knowledge, we are the first to observe that physical plausibility and diversity do not improve together during training: larger models, as used in prior work, memorize the single ground-truth future per training image, becoming more rigid while covering fewer possible futures. Yet prior work has paid little attention to this, so we show how model rankings depend on model size, metric, and stopping time, and adopt a stricter, checkpoint-averaged evaluation protocol. Under this protocol, JtT improves over prior methods on both distributional and rigidity metrics and approaches ground-truth rigidity, with only about 50M parameters.

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### HyBRA-EEG: Hyperbolic Global-Local Brain-Region Aggregation for Self-Supervised EEG Representation Learning

Authors: Xin Liu, Feng Lu, Wei Li
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16589v1

Electroencephalography (EEG) representation learning is challenged by noisy signals, inter-subject variability, and heterogeneous electrode montages in different datasets and recording settings. Recent self-supervised EEG pretraining methods improve transferability by converting heterogeneous recordings into unified token or sequence representations, but channel-aware designs may still encode montage- or dataset-specific regularities. We propose HyBRA, a self-supervised framework based on hyperbolic global-local brain-region aggregation. HyBRA maps heterogeneous channel observations into a fixed regional token space by combining electrode coordinates, region priors, and feature-dependent hyperbolic distances. A channel-evidence injection branch preserves fine-grained discriminative cues during aggregation. The resulting tokens are processed by a Region-Time Transformer and pretrained with masked reconstruction of latent features and region-level signals. HyBRA outperforms the compared methods in average balanced accuracy on six benchmark datasets. Under a controlled six-fold evaluation on OpenBMI-MI, HyBRA matches CSBrain in balanced accuracy, improves AUROC by 1.84 percentage points and AUPRC by 5.23 percentage points, and uses 96.8\% fewer parameters. Matched comparisons on TUAB and TUEV show higher balanced accuracy for hyperbolic matching than for Euclidean distance or cosine similarity.

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### Code-Interactive Visual Reasoning for Financial Candlestick Understanding

Authors: Chenxi Zhang, Youwei Pang, Xiaoqi Zhao, Ziliang Gan, Rongjunchen Zhang, Shanshan Feng, Hao Wang
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16587v1

Financial candlestick understanding requires locating visual elements, aligning them across trading dates and panels, and combining observations through numerical and financial reasoning. Answer accuracy alone does not reveal whether predictions are supported by chart evidence. We introduce Code-Interactive Financial Candlestick Reasoning and present Fin-Thinker, a model based on Qwen3.5-9B that generates and executes code to acquire evidence and perform computations. The model uses the returned observations to guide subsequent reasoning. To train these capabilities, we construct FinKLine-32K with 32,184 replay-verified code-observation trajectories collected through teacher-guided student exploration. These include successful solutions with and without error recovery. Our three-stage training framework combines foundational visual-code fine-tuning, financial process supervision of successful reasoning and corrective continuations, and execution-feedback reinforcement learning. For evaluation, we introduce FinKLineBench with 1,200 questions across 138 financial task types to assess answer correctness, code execution, and evidence grounding separately. On FinKLineBench, Fin-Thinker improves strict accuracy by 13.1 and 33.2 percentage points over the best-performing direct-answer baseline among those evaluated and its base model with sandbox access, respectively. Training-stage ablations further show that financial process supervision and execution-feedback reinforcement learning yield successive improvements in both answer accuracy and GPT-5.6-judged grounded accuracy.

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### OctMole: Multiscale 3D Molecular Generation with Hierarchical Spatial Flows

Authors: Yu-Tong Jin, Yi-Yang Tian, Qiwei Ye, Peng-Shuai Wang
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16586v1

Generating accurate 3D molecules requires jointly determining a variable number of atoms, their identities, and geometry across spatial scales: global shape emerges coarsely, whereas chemical bonds demand fine local precision. Existing atom-based diffusion and flow models operate largely at a single scale, while dense spatial fields become costly at high resolution. We introduce OctMole, a multiscale octree flow framework for 3D molecular generation. A hierarchical occupancy flow progressively resolves sparse molecular support from coarse to fine, and a joint atom flow assigns atom types and continuous in-cell offsets to occupied leaves. This decomposition combines efficient global structure with subcell geometric precision, while cell corruption improves robustness to generated support. On QM9 and GEOM-DRUG, OctMole achieves strong chemical, distributional, and geometric quality, with particularly clear gains over Uni-3DAR on GEOM-DRUG and substantial efficiency gains over dense 3D generation. As an additional capability, intermediate occupancy states and selected regions provide spatial conditioning without task-specific retraining, supporting multiscale shape conditioning, regional editing, linker generation, and shape interpolation. Code and pretrained checkpoints are available at https://github.com/octree-nn/octmole and https://huggingface.co/Disembo/octmole, respectively.

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### Characterizing and Mitigating Distributional Bias in Physics-Informed Generative Models

Authors: Tanja Bien, Samir Darouich, Lluís Pastor-Pérez, Vinh Tong, Loay Mualem, Mathias Niepert
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16582v1

Physics-informed generative models augment a data-fitting objective with residual penalties that encourage physical constraints to hold in generated samples. However, improving constraint satisfaction need not improve fidelity to the data distribution. We study this conflict in residual-regularized diffusion models and identify two possible consequences. First, the same prediction error can incur different residual costs near different feasible states, preferring states with lower residual sensitivity (avoidance). Second, this preference can extend to feasible states outside the data support, where the residual also vanishes (leakage). Motivated by this analysis, we propose a data-anchored penalty that weights prediction errors by the residual Jacobian at the clean training sample and normalizes the resulting magnitude. This removes the incentive to relocate to less sensitive states without changing the model architecture or sampling procedure. Experiments on a controlled synthetic system, three PDE systems, and molecular transition-state generation with flow matching demonstrate the benefits of anchoring. Code is available at https://github.com/TanjaBien/anchored_diffusion.

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### LLM-HB: Language-Aware LLM-Guided Hotword Biasing for Code-Switching ASR

Authors: Yuxuan He, Genshun Wan, Pengcheng Li, Gongping Huang, Jianqing Gao, Yanmin Qian
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.SD, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16579v1

Code-switching (CS) speech, characterized by language alternation within a single utterance, is prevalent in multilingual communities and poses challenges to automatic speech recognition (ASR) due to rapid language transitions. We propose LLM-HB, a language-aware large language model-guided hotword biasing framework for code-switching ASR (CS-ASR). The framework incorporates a mixture-of-experts (MoE) adaptor and an auxiliary language prediction head to better capture and differentiate multilingual representations, while hotwords are injected through LLM-based prompting. Experiments on the ASRU2019 code-switching challenge test set demonstrate that LLM-HB achieves a 20.30% relative reduction in mixed error rate (MER) over the baseline, reaching 5.85% MER under a 15-distractor hotword setting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to integrate LLM-guided biasing into code-switching ASR. We further release the extracted ASRU2019 hotword list to support future research.

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### Variational Filtering for Bayesian Last Layers with an Independent Binary Probit Surrogate

Authors: Dimitrije Markovic, Conor Heins, Alexander Tschantz, Christopher L. Buckley
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: stat.ML, cs.CV, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16578v1

Modern deep classifiers trained by gradient descent need many passes over the data to become accurate, and even then are not always well calibrated; post-hoc temperature scaling corrects calibration after training but cannot influence training-time accuracy or convergence. We propose a variational filtering algorithm for the last layer of deep classifiers, whose parameters are treated as the latent state of a linear-Gaussian state-space model. Each mini-batch is assimilated by an exact prediction step followed by a closed-form variational update, made conjugate by an independent binary probit (IBProbit) surrogate for the categorical likelihood. The filter's process noise stabilises the updates under feature drift and keeps the predictive distribution from collapsing to a point estimate, allowing the same procedure to be used for linear probing on a frozen backbone and for full-network fine-tuning. We evaluate on DINOv3 backbones against two baselines tuned under an identical protocol: AdamW with cross-entropy and post-hoc temperature scaling, and Variational Bayesian Last Layers (VBLL). As a linear probe on frozen features, IBProbit attains the best accuracy and negative log-likelihood on all five downstream tasks at the largest backbone, and on two of the five at the smallest. In out-of-distribution detection with CIFAR probes on the largest backbone, IBProbit reduces the false-positive rate at 95\% true-positive rate by a factor of 1.4 to 3.2 relative to the better of the two baselines, on all three dataset pairs. When the whole network is fine-tuned on ImageNet-1k, IBProbit reaches the final performance of the cross-entropy baseline in half the wall-clock time.

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### CineRecon: Benchmarking Frontier Models for Agentic Cinematic Reconstruction

Authors: Jialei Wang, Zehan Wang, XiaoYang Wu, Ziang Zhang, Siyu Chen, Jiaer Huang, Yujia Zhang, Tianyu Pang, Hengshuang Zhao
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16577v1

Reconstructing reference videos as editable dynamic 3D scenes is an important path toward controllable video generation for filmmaking: these scenes provide modifiable, renderable visual proxies that enable explicit control over scene layout, subject actions, and camera behavior. To evaluate agents' ability to reconstruct editable dynamic 3D scenes from dynamic reference videos, we introduce CineRecon, a benchmark comprising 50 reference videos and 360 annotated evaluation clips. The reference videos span film, real-world footage, and games. Given a complete video, an agent uses tools to construct, animate, render, and refine its reconstruction. We evaluate this task under three representation settings: Proxy, Simplified, and Detailed. These settings increase geometric and appearance requirements while retaining the same requirements for spatial relations, camera behavior, and subject dynamics. This design tests whether agents can reproduce the events in a video when detailed appearance is unnecessary, and how performance changes as representation requirements increase. For evaluation, we construct checklists that associate observable properties and events with specific entities and times. A vision-language judge compares timestamp-aligned reference and rendered frames across 11 categories, grouped into camera, static, and dynamic consistency dimensions. We evaluate 12 models using their corresponding agent harnesses and find failures across all three dimensions. Subject motions and interactions remain difficult to reproduce even under the Proxy setting.

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### $\texttt{NFDiag}$: High-dimensional MCMC Convergence Diagnosis with Normalizing Flows

Authors: Kutay Nazlı, Elena Sellentin
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: stat.ML, astro-ph.CO, astro-ph.IM, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16574v1

Accurately assessing the convergence of Monte Carlo Markov Chains is crucial for ensuring their validity in Bayesian inference problems. However, convergence assessment in high dimensions is known to be difficult, due to most convergence diagnostics becoming insensitive beyond a few dozen parameters. Conventional convergence statistics analyze marginal distributions which in high dimensions neglects increasing levels of information from the joint and conditional probability distributions. Thus we propose $\texttt{NFDiag}$, which taps into the information of the full multivariate joint posterior with a normalizing flow (NF). Our convergence diagnostic thereby also analyzes information from conditional distributions. In other words, by working in the full multivariate space, it is sensitive with respect to the geometry of the chain in high dimensions. Our diagnostic utilizes that NFs assume independent and identically distributed (iid) training samples, which is a testable assumption that will be violated by a non-converged or strongly correlated chain. Our diagnostic trains NFs on separate parts of a chain, and then assesses whether these correspond to the same multivariate target distribution. We test our diagnostic in up to 250 dimensions, and demonstrate it is universal and unbiased, and detects problematic chain quality also when Gelman-Rubin $\hat{R}$ and the multivarite effective sample size do not.

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### Dense Endoluminal Mapping and Localisation from Monocular Bronchoscopy

Authors: Salvatore Esposito, Matias Mattamala, Daniel Rebain, Liang Zhao, Kev Dhaliwal, Mohsen Khadem, Subramanian Ramamoorthy
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16570v1

Bronchoscopy inserts a camera through the airways to diagnose endoluminal disease. Locating the camera along the airway usually requires additional equipment, such as an electromagnetic tracker and a preoperative CT scan. In this paper, we investigate the use of the monocular camera stream to localise the bronchoscope without requiring additional sensing. We introduce a monocular SLAM system that localises the tip of a bronchoscope and reconstructs the airway surface around it from RGB video alone. A Depth Anything 3 backbone, fine-tuned on over a million photorealistic airway renderings, returns metric per-pixel depth and is the system's only source of scale. DINOv3 features routed through a custom cross-attention matcher supply sub-pixel correspondences on mucosa where classical descriptors fail. Both enter a factor graph alongside a dense constraint from projective iterative closest point (ICP) registration against the system's own running reconstruction, so surface evidence stabilises the directions the visual factors leave weakly observable. On six airways rendered from patient CT scans, the system reaches 26.1 mm mean absolute trajectory error and 77.5% mean surface F-score. Its mean surface accuracy exceeds that of five recent monocular SLAM and feed-forward baselines. MASt3R-SLAM, which fits a free scale to the ground truth, has a lower mean trajectory error (22.0 mm). ORB-SLAM3 completes only two of the six airways, whereas our system completes all six and also reconstructs two ex vivo specimens.

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### From a Large-Scale Teacher to Efficient Multimodal Students for Search Relevance Prediction

Authors: Tomasz Gniazdowski, Mohammadreza Momenifar, Nadia Vase, Shahram Khadivi, Wiktor Walentynowicz, Nicola Ueffing, Jan Pawlowski, Piotr Szymanski, Abraham Bagherjeiran
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.IR, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16569v1

Relevance prediction between user queries and items is a fundamental component of e-commerce search systems. Traditionally, high-quality relevance labels are obtained through human judgment, which is reliable but expensive, slow, and difficult to scale. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) enable automated relevance judgment at scale, achieving performance comparable to human annotators. However, such systems often rely on large commercial LLMs with complex prompts, resulting in high inference costs and limited throughput. In this work, we propose a framework that bridges this gap by distilling a high-performing LLM-based relevance judgment system into efficient multimodal student models. We first curate a small, high-quality human-annotated dataset to serve as ground truth. Using this dataset, we develop a reliable LLM-as-a-judge pipeline through careful prompt engineering and iterative refinement. This pipeline is then used to generate large-scale relevance labels, which serve as training data for compact multimodal models. Our distilled models achieve performance close to the teacher system while significantly improving latency, cost, and scalability. This approach enables practical deployment of high-quality relevance prediction systems in production environments.

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### VLA-GAUGE: Systematically Evaluating Generalization and Robustness in Vision-Language-Action Models

Authors: Jun Xiao, Rui Ye, Dong Cao, Jinyu Gu, Ying Wang, Zhiliang Zhu
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI, cs.RO
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16567v1

Vision-Language-Action models (VLAs) have achieved high success rates on familiar manipulation tasks, yet it remains unclear whether such scores reflect genuine zero-shot generalization and perturbation robustness. Existing evaluation frameworks provide limited capability-level diagnosis and combinatorial perturbation coverage, often without connecting diagnosis to targeted model refinement. We introduce VLA-GAUGE, a diagnostic framework that unifies both evaluations under a shared executable task representation. It combines (1) paired in-distribution and out-of-distribution tasks across six capability suites, (2) single-factor sensitivity analysis with combinatorial perturbation screening and evaluation, and (3) diagnosis-driven refinement through targeted data augmentation and model fine-tuning. We evaluate 12 VLAs spanning different model sizes and action-modeling paradigms under a unified protocol. We find that (1) The mean Zero-Shot Score on VLA-GAUGE is only 22.3%, with SimpleVLA-RL scoring 8.0% and ranking second to last among the evaluated models. (2) Under three representative combinatorial perturbation configurations, the mean R-Score is 9.3. (3) Diagnosis-driven fine-tuning improves $π_{0.5}$'s zero-shot generalization and robustness under a selected perturbation combination on held-out scenarios by 72.4 and 31.8 scoring points, respectively; the latter exceeds the 10.9-point gain from LIBERO-Plus single-factor fine-tuning despite fewer successful training trajectories. These results show that high reported success rates on familiar manipulation tasks do not guarantee strong zero-shot generalization to unseen tasks or robustness to combinatorial perturbations, while diagnostic evaluation provides actionable signals for targeted model improvement.

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### The Language of Looking: Motion Tokens Reveal Domain-Dependent Local Structure in Gaze Sequences

Authors: Virmarie Maquiling, Enkelejda Kasneci
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16565v1

Human gaze is the primary high-bandwidth interface through which we parse the semantics of our environment. While often modeled as a sequence, the degree to which gaze exhibits transferable local structure across domains remains underexplored. Using motion tokenization as a diagnostic lens across four diverse datasets, we investigate the transferability of local sequence structure. We demonstrate that while gaze can share a reusable motion-token vocabulary, identical motion tokens are organized into different local transition patterns depending on the dataset and task context. Our results show the limitations of naive data-pooling under low-semantic motion-token representations and provide a framework for evaluating behavioral sequences through information-theoretic diagnostics.

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### Optimal Transport PAC-Bayes Bounds

Authors: Armin Beck, Peter Ochs, Jalal Fadili
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16560v1

PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds are among the strongest distribution-dependent guarantees in statistical learning and are typically expressed in terms of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between a prior and posterior distribution. While analytically convenient, the KL divergence requires the posterior to be absolutely continuous w.r.t. the prior, imposing support constraints that can substantially restrict the choice of posterior. Moreover, the KL divergence does not account for the underlying geometry of the probability space. In this work, we derive new PAC-Bayesian bounds replacing the KL divergence with general optimal transport (OT) distances, including the total variation and Wasserstein-$p$ distances.

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### Scalable Identification of Physics-Based and Neural Dynamics from Partial Measurements

Authors: Yibo Zhou, Johannes Köhler
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: eess.SY, cs.LG, math.OC
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16559v1

We present a scalable method for identifying nonlinear dynamics from partial measurements, supporting physics-based, neural-network, and gray-box models. We use the Prediction Error Method (PEM) coupled with state estimation performed by a Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) scheme, which can account directly for general nonlinear dynamics. This results in a bi-level optimization problem that scales poorly with increasing model parameters. To improve computational efficiency, we derive a reformulation that avoids explicit parameter-wide sensitivity matrices and exploits the temporal structure of the underlying optimization problem. Numerical comparisons show up to a $215\times$ speedup in hypergradient evaluation. Racing-vehicle simulations demonstrate accurate prediction and physical-parameter recovery in tire-force identification. Real-world data show that the gray-box model improves prediction accuracy with a neural residual while retaining physical interpretability.

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### G$^2$WAM: World Action Models for Efficient and Geometry Grounded Image-Goal Navigation

Authors: Ke Gui, Chenghao Shi, Ziyue Wang, Longwen Chen, Xieyuanli Chen, Huimin Lu
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.AI, cs.RO
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16558v1

World models capture environment dynamics and support counterfactual reasoning for planning. In image-goal navigation, where the target often lies beyond the current field of view, the agent must not only model environmental dynamics but also maintain a persistent spatial memory of the scene. Existing approaches either introduce spatial context by fine-tuning pretrained models on the target task, which underexploits their spatial priors, or rely on external 3D reconstruction, which is computationally expensive for real-world deployment. In this paper, we propose the Geometry Grounded World Action Model (G$^2$WAM) for image-goal navigation. G$^2$WAM encodes spatial cues through a learned scene-coordinate localization module that anchors the current, goal, and history frames in a common reference frame, yielding a stable and consistent spatial context that enables efficient navigation without explicit 3D reconstruction. Following the world-action-model paradigm, G$^2$WAM jointly predicts future states and actions, eliminating the need for costly cross-entropy method (CEM) style planning. In addition, G$^2$WAM operates entirely in latent space, avoiding the computational burden of pixel-level reconstruction and substantially reducing inference cost. Across four trajectory prediction benchmarks, G$^2$WAM reduces average ATE and RPE by 40.1% and 35.2%, respectively. In closed-loop navigation experiments, it improves the success rate from 54.0% to 63.0% and the success weighted by path length (SPL) from 36.4% to 59.2%, while maintaining high efficiency.

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### AI Discovery in Combinatorics: From Problems to Solutions and Back to Bigger Problems

Authors: Eugenio Cainelli, Lorenzo Luccioli, Alessandro Iraci, Giovanni Paolini
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG, math.CO
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16555v1

We introduce $qt$Bench, a benchmark of 29 open problems in algebraic combinatorics. These problems ask for a simple combinatorial algorithm that explains given polynomial coefficients or identities. To help AI agents search for such algorithms, we provide a scaffold for playing with combinatorial objects, countering cheating attempts, and testing candidate solutions. To explore how far frontier AI systems can go on these problems, we collaborated with OpenAI, whose researchers obtained proposed solutions to several of them. This highlights bigger meta-problems: is AI discovery at scale ethical? How should these results be released? How should proof digestion be organized? We discuss these questions and give our views.

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### Making Language the Low-Rate Code of Vision: Successive Refinement from Words to Pixels

Authors: Ruilin Gong, Hao Gong
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16552v1

An ordered visual code lets a short prefix stand in for an image, and the training loss decides what that prefix contains. Under pixel reconstruction the first bits go to the directions of highest variance, and we prove that a caption can then be independent of the entire first half of a code that is rate-optimal for pixels at every length. In the rate-distortion sense a caption is therefore not the low-rate code of its image, unless the code is built to make it one. We study that construction and what it costs. We cast captioning and text-to-image generation as successive refinement under a distortion measure that changes along the code, from caption log-loss in the early stages to pixel distortion in the last, so that each stage is compared with its own optimum. Putting words first then costs nothing among the caption stages exactly when the captions form a summarization chain, and it costs the pixels at most the caption uncertainty left in a pixel-optimal reconstruction, which is large for short prefixes and small at full length. We build RUNG, an ordered code whose prefixes are supervised by a summarization ladder of captions and whose full length reconstructs the image; generation extends the code past the prompt and captioning truncates it. With data and capacity held fixed, ordering by language instead of reconstruction raises prefix-caption information 2.9 times and GenEval from 0.76 to 0.83, at a measured cost of 2.8 dB PSNR at a quarter of the code and 0.1 dB at full length. RUNG-XL (3.4B) reaches 0.88 GenEval and 87.6 DPG-Bench in 32 network evaluations and 0.91 GenEval when errors are redrawn at the rung where they appear; its coarse and fine captions agree 94.1% of the time, and it edits images without inversion.

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### NoduleFlow: Automatic 3D Lung Nodule Detection and Segmentation

Authors: Giulia Romoli, Filippo Ruffini, Francesco Di Feola, Valerio Guarrasi, Matteo Tortora, Paolo Soda
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16548v1

Low dose Computed Tomography (CT) is the standard imaging modality for lung cancer screening. On CT scans, lung cancer typically manifests as pulmonary nodules, whose manual identification is time-consuming and prone to observer variability, image quality limitations, and suboptimal reading conditions. Moreover, subtle temporal changes are often difficult to quantify reliably in CT scans from the same patient across follow-up examinations. Deep learning-based approaches for the automatic detection and segmentation of lung nodules have demonstrated improved accuracy and efficiency. However, most existing approaches provide only coarse region-of-interest localisation, rely on prior lesion annotations or human supervision, or treat detection and segmentation as separate tasks. In this work, we present NoduleFlow, a framework for lung nodule detection, classification, and segmentation directly from series of CT volumes. Our proposal consists of four interconnected modules and operates in an automated manner at inference time, without requiring prior lesion annotations, manual initialisation, or region-of-interest pre-selection. We further investigate whether nodule localization benefits from the propagation of candidate regions across follow-up scans through inter-scan registration fields, as opposed to conventional independent per-scan analysis. The generalisability of the framework is systematically evaluated across four independent datasets. The results underscore the potential of automated pipelines for lung nodule analysis in screening and diagnostic settings.

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### Know Yourself and Know Your Neighbour: A Syntactically Informed Self-Supervised Compositional Sentence Representation Learning Framework using a Recursive Hypernetwork

Authors: Vasudevan Nedumpozhimana, John Kelleher
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CL, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16547v1

Sentence representation learning is still an open challenge in Natural Language Processing. In this work, we propose a new self-supervised framework for learning sentence representations, using a special type of neural network called a recursive hypernetwork. Our proposed model composes the representation of a sentence from representations of words by applying a recursive composition through the parse tree. We maintain a separate syntactic and semantic representation, and the semantic composition is guided by the information from the syntactic representation. To train this model, we introduce a novel set of six self-supervised tasks. By analysing the performance on 7 probing tasks, we validate that the generated sentence representation encodes richer linguistic information than both averaging baselines and state-of-the-art alternatives. Furthermore, we assess the impact of the six proposed self-supervised training tasks through ablation studies. We also demonstrate that the representations generated by our model are stable for sentences of varying length and that the semantic composition operators adapt to different syntactic categories\footnote{Code available: https://github.com/vasudev2020/codi/tree/main}.

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### DeepFlow: Two Convergent Differentiable Approaches for Pairwise Conditional Random Fields

Authors: John S. H. Baxter
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16546v1

Basic probabilistic models form the basis of modern deep learning largely by defining the final activation layer of a network and allowing the networks outputs to be interpreted through a probabilistic lens. By increasing the complexity of these final activation layers to include features such as spatial regularisation, allow for these models to improve in performance without requiring significantly more data. The challenge however is to ensure that these more complex probabilistic graphical models adapt well to being used in tandem with deep learning, that is, ensuring they converge and have meaningful derivatives. The goal of this paper is to show two algorithms with provable convergence properties to allow this type of regularisation for image and signal classification models. Through both rigorous mathematical analysis and in silico experiments, we can show the differing performance between these solution types.

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### Heuristics are Not Enough: Calibrated and Corrected Caching for Video Diffusion Acceleration

Authors: Jiyue Jiang, Zhiyu Huo, Yuhan Chen, Yanruisheng Shao, Gong Zhang, Lei Deng
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16545v1

Feature caching has become a mainstream training-free strategy for accelerating video diffusion models by reusing intermediate outputs across denoising steps. However, existing adaptive methods rely on heuristic difference measures misaligned with actual generation quality, employ a single global threshold that ignores heterogeneous phase dynamics, and never validate their budget estimates against true approximation error, allowing systematic bias to propagate uncorrected. We propose \textbf{AlignCache}, a closed-loop caching framework that directly aligns scheduling decisions with their true influence on the final generated video through three tightly coupled components: (1) phase-adaptive budget routing that partitions the denoising trajectory into structurally distinct phases, each governed by an independent threshold and a staleness-aware guard; (2) closed-loop threshold calibration that exploits counterfactual error measurement at the classifier-free guided output level to adjust decision boundaries online via an EMA feedback loop; and (3) momentum-augmented draft synthesis combining direction-magnitude gated residual extrapolation with anchor-guided unconditional correction. By transforming scheduling from a static risk accumulator into a feedback-driven, self-correcting controller, AlignCache consistently achieves superior acceleration-quality trade-offs across state-of-the-art video generation models. Our code is available at https://github.com/jiangjyjy/AlignCache.

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### Overtaught, Underlearned: Learner-Centered Distillation from Multi-Agent Discussion

Authors: Mengtao Zhou, Jianxiao Wang, Xiupeng Chen, Cailiang Liu, Jie Song
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: cs.AI
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16543v1

Multi-agent discussion produces reasoning collaboratively, while deployment still relies on a smaller student that must answer alone. Full-graph distillation transfers such discussions by treating each correct solution as a separate training target, but what teachers provide need not match what the student learns. This mismatch appears in two ways: several correct solutions may amount to the same lesson in the student's representation (over-teaching), while some training questions remain missed after learning (under-learning). We quantify both with rates that are high on discussion graphs. To address them, we introduce FAR (Fold--Attempt--Revisit), a learner-centered distillation procedure that organizes supervision around the student's own state. Before training, FAR folds solutions within each discussion state into representative lessons. After training, the student's own attempts identify missed questions, while poorly represented clusters indicate where folding may have lost useful variation; FAR then writes targeted lessons from retained discussion contexts. Across two students and four reasoning tasks, FAR outperforms full-graph distillation with far fewer training targets and lower under-learning. Further analyses examine the behavior of FAR and the sources of its gains. Overall, the results show that organizing discussion supervision around the student can make distillation both more effective and more efficient.

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### Neural Network Preconditioning: A Case Study for the Solution of the Parametric Helmholtz Equation

Authors: Luc Giraud, Carola Kruse, Paul Mycek, Maksym Shpakovych, Yanfei Xiang
Published: 2026-10-12
Categories: math.NA, cs.LG
arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16542v1

This work presents a hybrid numerical approach for solving linear systems arising from the discretization of the two-dimensional parametric Helmholtz equation. A convolutional neural network based on the U-Net architecture is trained in an self-supervised manner (i.e., without explicitly generating reference solutions) to approximate the inverse of the discretized Helmholtz operator, using a loss function involving the residual norm of the linear system. The trained network is used as a nonlinear preconditioner within the flexible GMRES (FGMRES) algorithm. Numerical experiments show that while the neural network is not accurate enough to act as a standalone solver, it significantly improves the convergence of FGMRES when employed as a preconditioner. The neural preconditioner demonstrates robust performance and generalization capabilities with respect to variations in the velocity field and the domain size. Comparisons with algebraic preconditioners, based on LU factorizations of approximations of the original system matrices, indicate the superior efficiency of the neural approach under equivalent conditions. We believe that the proposed method is not tied to a specific neural architecture and can be extended to other parametric PDEs.

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