# Research Papers — 2026-10 · bundle page 51 of 156 > Full-text markdown of papers #2501–2550 of 7799 published in 2026-10, newest first. AI-readable mirrors of the full 7799-paper 2026-10 archive (50 papers per file). Canonical page: https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-10/page/51 [← Previous bundle](https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-10/page/50.md) [Next bundle →](https://aipod.dev/papers/archive/2026-10/page/52.md) ### Equilibrium Learning in Unbounded Stochastic Games with Gaussian Transitions Authors: Jonathan Anthony Mavroforas, Fred Roosta Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: stat.ML, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16149v1 Learning equilibria from data is difficult when several decision makers interact indefinitely and the system state has no prescribed bounds. We examine discounted general-sum stochastic games with compact action sets and an unknown nonlinear drift observed through Gaussian transition noise. The proposed procedure uses a single uninterrupted trajectory to update Gaussian-process models of the drift and to solve successively refined finite games. We prove a perturbation result showing that stability of equilibrium selection, together with uniform KL accuracy of Gaussian transition models, is sufficient for regional uniform convergence of the induced values and approximate Nash behavior in the original game. The region specifies where the guarantees are evaluated; strategies and dynamics continue to act on the entire Euclidean state space. For GP estimators, simultaneous confidence bounds yield a rate controlled by posterior uncertainty, kernel information gain, and joint-state dimension. Numerical studies illustrate how kernel choice and dimension appear in the predicted convergence behavior. --- ### BARTER: Compact Dynamic Sparse Training with Standard Dense Kernels Authors: Yueyuan Sui, Payal Mohapatra, Qi Zhu, Stephen Xia Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16147v1 Dynamic sparse training (DST) aims to reduce training costs while maintaining accuracy. Existing DST methods mask out parameters but keep matrix dimensions unchanged. Training speedups therefore depend on specialized support, such as sparse kernels. We introduce BARTER, a structured DST framework that reduces training cost using standard dense kernels by keeping training tensors physically compact while dynamically reallocating capacity across layers. Unlike existing works that require computing gradients for all parameters, BARTER instead uses statistics collected only from active units during ordinary backpropagation to prune and clone attention heads and feed-forward channels under separate fixed global budgets. At each topology update, it resizes the affected parameter tensors and remaps their optimizer states, so subsequent training steps operate directly on the compact model. Training and fine-tuning experiments with Transformer-based vision models on two image classification benchmarks at densities from $0.1$ to $0.7$ show competitive Top-1 accuracy relative to full-tensor DST baselines. On an NVIDIA L40, BARTER achieves speedups of up to $6.29\times$ in measured training segments and reduces peak allocated GPU memory by up to $81.3\%$ relative to these implementations. An iPhone 13 Pro Max training benchmark additionally shows a $2.78\times$ speedup over the full-tensor DST baseline. --- ### Unravel: Recovering an Interactive 3D Scene from a Single Image Authors: Hui Shan, Keyang Luo, Binjia Zhou, Ming Li, Kai Li, Xin Wang, Zhenyang Li, Zesong Yang, Weikai Chen, Runze Zhang, Xin Wang, Yanwei Fu et al. Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16146v1 We present Unravel, a training-free framework that turns a single image into an interactive 3D scene, where every object is an independent and movable asset. Existing generators either produce one entangled geometry in which no object can be moved, or predict all objects in one feed-forward pass, where a wrong guess cannot be detected or repaired. Unravel instead takes a different approach: it first takes the scene apart, and then puts it back together. Starting from the input image, an agentic harness that iteratively peels the image layer by layer, and adopts point cloud as major modality for spatial relationship recovery. Specifically, a vision-language model plans which objects are fully visible, an image editor removes them and restores the occluded regions. Every edit is verified before being incorporated into the reconstruction. This process gradually turns occluded parts of the scene into direct observation, allowing objects to be reconstructed when they are best exposed rather than hallucinated from the original image alone. The scene is then rebuilt in reverse removal order, so that the supporting objects are naturally placed before the objects they support. Since a single-view image only reveals part of an object, we treat the observed points as a lower bound on its size: an asset may grow to cover its points, but can not shrink away from them. Finally, we physically settle the reconstructed scene to remove floating objects and interpenetrations, followed by an agentic audit that corrects remaining placement errors. Extensive experiments on diverse indoor scenes show that Unravel recovers more objects, places them more faithfully, and produces scenes that are more physically-plausible than existing methods. --- ### Pollard: Governed Semantic Execution Trees for Framework-Independent AI Agent Control and Replay Authors: Muntaser Syed, Marius C. Silaghi Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI, cs.MA arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16145v1 Agent frameworks can persist checkpoints, trace tool calls, and limit resource use, but these facilities often assign different identities to execution, governance, and replay. We present Pollard, a framework-independent runtime based on governed semantic execution trees. A step identity commits to canonical input, kind, attempt, and parent identity; the same tree records completion, refusal, resource settlement, and branch history. Strict replay returns a verified stored result without invoking the wrapped operation, while a transactional store coordinates reservations across concurrent workers. Under a signed deterministic freeze, two state-model replicas each executed the evaluation transitions without an invariant violation, retained-lease PostgreSQL groups were tested against exact limits, strict replay avoided external calls, and all semantic mutations were detected with no false alarms on the controls. A multi-pair framework matrix preserved reference behavior and verified the trees. A separate cost-capped hosted study exercised live provider paths, and every completed Pollard trial produced a verified tree. Together, the studies support the core mechanisms under explicit lease, boundary, and seal-custody assumptions. --- ### Hashrope: A Persistent Data Structure for Mechanisms of LLM Context Management Authors: Muntaser Syed, Ameerah Alsulami, Marius Silaghi Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.DS, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16144v1 Serving stacks for large language models manage context through four recurring mechanisms: incremental edits to a growing context, branching and snapshotting for tree search, identification of reusable prefixes for KV-cache reuse, and encoding of repeated segments. Each mechanism is served today by a different specialist structure. We show that all four reduce to a single persistent weight-balanced rope whose every node carries a polynomial hash of its subtree over a Mersenne prime, so that the structure supports logarithmic edits and logarithmic verified content-identity queries at the same time. We validate each mechanism with pre-registered, replicated experiments, then compare against a deployed specialist per mechanism: the Ropey editing library, a faithful PagedAttention copy-on-write block table, and the vendored SGLang radix matcher. On workloads that interleave edits with identity queries, Hashrope is net-superior to Ropey by a factor that grows without bound (369.7x at one million characters). Against the radix matcher on a live vLLM stack serving Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct-1M on four A100 GPUs, Hashrope identifies a one-million-token shared prefix exactly and 1.20x faster, at a context length the dense engine cannot even prefill. --- ### All-St3R SLAM: Real-time RGB Dynamic SLAM with Pixel-wise Motion Masking Authors: Yewon Kim, Paul Hongsuck Seo, Sang Chul Ahn Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV, cs.RO arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16143v1 SLAM (Simultaneous Localization and Mapping) is a core technology in autonomous systems that enables them to estimate their own position and build a map of unknown environments simultaneously. SLAM systems in dynamic environments are of great practical importance. However, existing dynamic SLAM approaches still have several limitations like over-removal and high computational costs. To address these limitations, we propose a real-time RGB Dynamic SLAM framework that precisely removes moving objects at the pixel level without relying on predefined labels or segmentation models. Our system combines pixel motion predicted by ego-motion using DUSt3R with point tracking from All-Tracker, removing only actually moving pixels by analyzing discrepancies between the two motion sources. Unlike object-level masking methods, our approach eliminates only currently moving regions, allowing temporarily static parts to be utilized for tracking. Operating at approximately 10 FPS, the system achieves real-time performance on standard 30 FPS video streams by subsampling every 3 frames. Relying solely on RGB inputs, this significantly improves upon state-of-the-art dense dynamic SLAM approaches (0.5-3 FPS), presenting a highly practical solution. --- ### Distributional Regression for Arbitrary Response Variables Using ReLU Neural Networks Authors: Junpeng Ren, Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla, Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: stat.ML, cs.LG, math.ST, stat.ME arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16142v1 This paper develops a unified framework for distributional regression with arbitrary response variables. Rather than relying on scalar thresholds or Euclidean structure, we model conditional event probabilities indexed by measurable sets, which extends distributional regression to general response spaces while retaining a direct connection to classical event-based formulations. Within this framework, we study two complementary estimators: a preliminary estimator based on separate regression of event indicators, and a constrained estimator that enforces inclusion-consistent predictions through a directed acyclic graph (DAG) over a finite set family. We establish general error bounds for both estimators and further specialize the results to dense ReLU networks, yielding explicit convergence rates overcoming the curse of dimensionality. Simulation studies and real-data experiments further demonstrate the practical effectiveness of the proposed framework. --- ### Phantom Merge: When Your Large Language Model Agents Pick One but Tell You About Another Authors: Wangshu Zhu, Qianwen Guo, Yushun Dong Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16141v1 LLM agents increasingly operate over multiple entities, where reliable response generation requires not only retrieving relevant evidence but also preserving its association with the correct entity. We identify Phantom Merge (PM), an entity-evidence binding failure in which an agent attributes unsupported claims to its committed entity, potentially even when the task is completed correctly. We formalize PM at the claim level and characterize its prevalence and error subtypes across four agent domains and four backbone families. To address this problem, we propose a two-stage framework for claim-level risk estimation and correction. First, Anchor-Grounded Risk (AGR) combines a representational readout of the agent's pre-emission hidden state with Jacobian-based functional information, providing complementary slot-level and anchor-value risk scores. Second, Fixed-Anchor Correction (FAC) audits flagged claims and selectively revises them using observed anchor evidence or removes them when no supported replacement is available. On the held-out Shopping detection cohort, AGR-slot achieves an AUROC of 96.2% and an average precision of 97.3%, outperforming the evaluated detection baselines. In the end-to-end Shopping mitigation evaluation, FAC reduces trajectory-level PM from 51.4% to 6.2%, with an output-to-original claim ratio of 80.7%. These results demonstrate the prevalence of entity-specific grounding failures and the effectiveness of combining internal risk estimation with evidence-constrained claim correction. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/LabRAI/PhantomMerge. --- ### Large Language Model Assisted Transportation Planning through a Differentiable User Equilibrium Layer Authors: Eunseung Lee, Gyeongjun Kim, Keemin Sohn Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16140v1 Transportation planning has traditionally required substantial expertise in network modeling, traffic assignment, and optimization. As a result, strategic analyses such as network design, capacity expansion, and model calibration remain inaccessible to non-expert decision makers. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) provide an opportunity to bridge this gap by enabling natural-language interaction with complex transportation planning tools. However, existing LLM-based systems primarily serve as interfaces to simulation software and lack the ability to efficiently search, evaluate, and optimize transportation solutions. This study proposes an integrated human-AI transportation planning framework that combines a large language model, a model context protocol (MCP) interface, an open-source transportation planning engine (AequilibraE), and a differentiable user equilibrium (UE) assignment layer. The framework allows non-expert users to execute network analyses and improve solutions for optimization. A differentiable UE layer is developed by directly differentiating the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) conditions of the Beckmann traffic assignment problem. The proposed framework is demonstrated through two representative planning tasks: calibration of travel time functions from observed traffic counts and network design under budget constraints. The examples illustrate how differentiable transportation models and LLM agents can jointly democratize transportation planning and substantially reduce barriers between domain expertise and transportation decision making. --- ### Omni-Modal LLMs Know More Than They Say Authors: Na Min An, Taekyung Kim, Jaemyung Yu, Hyunjung Shim, Dongyoon Han Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI, cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16135v1 Omni-modal large language models (Omni-LLMs) extend LLMs to process heterogeneous modalities (e.g., vision, audio, and IMU signals) alongside language, enabling a broader range of multimodal tasks. Yet we find that these models often fail to express information from non-textual modalities even when they perceive it correctly. We term this disconnect knows-but-cannot-say. To investigate this phenomenon, we introduce Token-level Modality Alignment (TMA), which measures the alignment between individual modality representations and response representations. Our analysis shows that non-textual representations are less aligned with response tokens and receive less attention than textual representations, suggesting a potential explanation for uneven modality preferences. Motivated by these findings, we propose OmniCatalyst, a simple perceive $\rightarrow$ infer strategy that complements the original modality inputs with self-generated text, making non-textual knowledge more accessible. Across seven Omni-LLMs, OmniCatalyst consistently improves performance (+7.29%) and yields more balanced modality preferences, with further gains from diverse training strategies. Further analysis demonstrates that the knowledge extraction phases increase TMA, suggesting that improved alignment makes non-textual information more accessible during response generation. In summary, our findings uncover how Omni-LLMs can better express modality knowledge through language. Our code is available at https://github.com/naver-ai/OmniLLM. --- ### ProMoDD: Dataset Distillation for 3D Human Motion via Prototype-Conditioned Diffusion Models Authors: Yijin Wei, Yawen Zou, Wenqi Cai, Guang Li, Hangli Ge, Katsuya Hotta, Chunzhi Gu, Chao Zhang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16134v1 Dataset distillation (DD) aims to retain the training utility of a large dataset in a much smaller set of examples. For skeleton-based action recognition, this requires capturing discriminative motion variation without disrupting the geometry and temporal continuity of articulated bodies. Directly optimizing joint coordinates can violate these constraints, while plausible motion generation alone does not ensure useful training examples. We propose Prototype-Conditioned Motion Dataset Distillation (ProMoDD), which conditions a motion diffusion model on class-wise prototypes of temporally resolved recognition features. We further tailor diffusion training to motion data, enabling the generator to model both skeletal configurations and their temporal evolution. We then construct each compact training set through budget-aware hybrid selection: representative real sequences cover densely populated regions of the pooled recognition space, while selected generated candidates complement them in less-populated regions. This couples prototype-guided generation with feature-space selection, balancing the reliability of observed motions with the variation of synthesis under a fixed per-class sequence budget. Across five difficulty-stratified subsets of the single-person classes in NTU RGB+D 60, ProMoDD achieves its largest gains under tight distillation budgets, reaching 40.32% top-1 accuracy on Full49 with three sequences per class, 4.57 percentage points above class-wise k-means. These gains reflect the complete framework. The same distilled sets train ST-GCN, MS-G3D, and CTR-GCN without regeneration. --- ### Query Your Way Out: Benchmarking Multi-Turn Knowledge Reasoning through Generalized Puzzle Solving Authors: Xin Cheng, Junming Yang, Ning Xu Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CL, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16133v1 Puzzles offer a natural testbed for Large Language Models (LLMs) reasoning because they pose verifiable goals under partial information and require multi-step decisions to reach a solution. However, existing puzzle benchmarks typically focus on narrow environments with rigid mechanics and tightly constrained solution targets. To bridge this gap, we introduce the Active Probing Benchmark (APB), which generalizes puzzle-solving by casting concept identification as an interactive reasoning task that integrates specialized knowledge assessment into the puzzle setting. Specifically, APB evaluates whether models can acquire information via multi-turn active probing and inference to pinpoint 960 target concepts of specialized difficulty across eight diverse academic domains. Our evaluation reveals a counter-intuitive phenomenon: most open-source reasoning models significantly underperform their standard instruction counterparts. This finding suggests that in interactive settings, these models struggle to leverage procedural reasoning to reliably access and apply specialized domain knowledge. Beyond these empirical insights, APB provides a scalable pipeline for generating benchmarks that probe knowledge reasoning under interaction across diverse settings. --- ### XForecast: The KDD 2026 Finance Day Challenge on News-Grounded Financial Forecasting Authors: Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Seunghan Lee, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Yongjae Lee et al. Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16131v1 Financial forecasting has traditionally relied on numerical time-series (TS) signals, while textual information such as news remains largely underutilized. We introduce XForecast, a benchmark and competition for news-grounded financial forecasting, where the task is to predict stock price movements four weeks ahead using both historical price data and paired news signals. XForecast combines stock price data with curated financial text generated using FinTexTS, a multimodal dataset generation method. It covers 100 large-cap stocks from 2019--2023, with training on 2019--2022 and evaluation on 2023. To better evaluate models that leverage textual signals, we adopt a weighted hit rate metric that places greater emphasis on instances where news information is expected to have stronger influence. The XForecast Challenge, hosted on Kaggle as part of KDD 2026 Finance Day, aims to benchmark methods for integrating financial TS and textual information. --- ### PID-Gated Continual Prompt Adaptation Under Noisy Feedback Authors: Zhentao Xu Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16129v1 Deploying LLM agents in non-stationary environments requires continually revising their instructions as the task drifts, yet rewriting after every reported mistake can turn noisy feedback into persistent errors. This raises an often-overlooked scheduling question in prompt adaptation: when should feedback trigger a lasting instruction update, and at what editor-call cost? Taking inspiration from proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control, we introduce a family of lightweight gates that react to the current error, accumulate evidence over time, and roll back deterioration after an edit. We benchmark these gates against both simple baselines and advanced prompt optimizers (TextGrad and GEPA), over a diverse suite of drifting tasks, LLM parameter sizes, feedback-noise levels, and random seeds. PID-gated continual prompt adaptation yields a more favorable Pareto trade-off between task performance (high accuracy, low error) and editor-call budget than the baselines considered, pointing to control-theoretic scheduling as a simple, general tool for robust prompt adaptation under unreliable feedback. --- ### A Concept-informed Interpretable Artificial Intelligence Framework for Breast Ultrasound Diagnosis Authors: Shengzhou Zhong, Ziying Wang, Liang Li, Lihua Yan, Shuochun Chen, Yudie Zou, Jifan Zhang, Wenhao Li, Huiling Zhang, Jiayin Lu, Ziting Xu, Qianjin Feng et al. Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16128v1 Most existing artificial intelligence systems for breast ultrasound rely primarily on image-driven prediction, with limited incorporation of the knowledge from the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) and the intermediate assessment processes underlying radiologists' workflow, thereby constraining their interpretability and alignment with clinical practice. We curated, to our knowledge, the largest multicenter collection of breast ultrasound images paired with structured BI-RADS descriptors, comprising 9,941 patients across 20 independent datasets. Across 14 testing datasets, IBUS demonstrated consistent generalization performance across different clinical centers and imaging conditions. Incorporating BI-RADS descriptors enabled fine-grained risk stratification, while cross-checking predicted BI-RADS grades against malignancy probabilities identified internally discordant predictions that may warrant additional clinical review. In a reader study involving eight radiologists, IBUS assistance increased diagnostic sensitivity among both junior and senior readers, with the potential of guiding radiologists to make targeted revision in risk stratification. Overall, IBUS exhibits its potential as a second-stage decision-support system that complements radiologists by providing additional risk estimates and interpretable evidence for diagnostically challenging cases. The demo video of IBUS platform is publicly available at https://github.com/zsz1997/IBUS. --- ### Towards a Benchmark for Fire Safety Code Interpretation in the Hong Kong AEC Industry Authors: Le Qiu, Zhuan Anne Zhang, Hok Ming Adeline Chan, Emmanuele Chersoni Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CE, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16127v1 Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly explored in the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC) domain, yet their reliability in regulatory compliance remains uncertain. In this study, we evaluate the performance of LLMs on Hong Kong fire safety codes. In collaboration with domain experts, we create a localized benchmark dataset comprising both multiple-choice questions (MCQs) and open-ended questions (OEQs) to evaluate 12 widely used proprietary and open-source models. Our findings show that top-performing proprietary models achieve 80-90% accuracy on MCQs, whereas open-source models generally lag behind. However, on open-ended evaluation, expert human assessments reveal an accuracy range of only 50-70%, demonstrating that LLMs still have substantial room for improvement in specialized compliance tasks. --- ### Imitation Holds a Key to Evolution: Localized Repair and Verified Skill Acquisition for Adaptive Agents Authors: Kai Hu, Hua Huang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16125v1 An agent can retain successful trajectories without learning which part of an experience should repair a new discrepancy. We formulate passive imitation (PI) as an architectural loop that localizes a violated contract, extracts a local goal, proposes an effect-matched skill, tests a small patch, and retains evidence after full-task verification. We instantiate this loop as a deterministic symbolic controller and analyze its finite repair-query complexity under explicit identifiability and noninterference assumptions. Across ten simulated tool worlds, PI solves all 600 cold held-out composition tasks with three allowed small trials, compared with 6.17% for a whole-trajectory control, while an equally expressive compositional repair control matches PI. On an unseen tool revision, PI achieves 70.0% success versus 24.0% without small trials and 79.0% with self-trial enumeration; an exploratory 24-task adaptation stream subsequently raises first-submission success to 100%, supporting a limited correction-and-retention mechanism rather than a unique incentive advantage or general intelligence. The CPU-only implementation, integrity checks, and reproducible results are available at https://github.com/FriendOfYishan/PI. --- ### Geometry-Guided Semantic Reconstruction for 3D Instance Segmentation Authors: Yuanhao Su, Shaofeng Zhang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16122v1 3D instance segmentation requires representations that are both geometrically structured and semantically discriminative. Pure 3D encoders model spatial structure well but often lack strong appearance semantics, while directly lifting 2D priors into 3D by concatenation injects rich semantics without ensuring that they align well with the underlying 3D structure. In this paper, we address this problem by formulating 2D-to-3D semantic transfer as a \textbf{masked semantic reconstruction} task. Specifically, we mask a subset of background lifted 2D priors and train the 3D encoder to recover the missing semantic priors, providing explicit supervision for distilling rich 2D semantics into the 3D backbone. We further propose \textbf{geometry-modulated semantic injection}, which uses raw 3D geometry to modulate lifted 2D priors before sparse encoding, so that geometry explicitly controls semantic injection and alleviates the distribution gap between 2D semantic features and 3D geometric features. Experiments on two baseline frameworks demonstrate that the proposed method achieves state-of-the-art results in both full-data and few-shot settings on ScanNetV2 and ScanNet200. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/yharoldsu0627/Geometry_Guided_Semantic_Reconstruction --- ### Scaling Multi-Agent Intelligence with Substrate-Centric Coordination Authors: Zhenting Qi, Zhuokai Zhao, Rulin Shao, Kerem Oktar, Zhiyuan Yao, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Wen-tau Yih, Ansong Ni, Bhargavi Paranjape, Yilun Du Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CL, cs.MA arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16120v1 Existing large language model (LLM) based multi-agent systems have been shown to scale poorly, and we identify three problems: reading burden that grows with the group, useful information diluted by shared work of unknown quality, and fragility to failed agents. We argue that the problems are largely due to agent-centric designs: the coordination structure is wired into fixed workflows, central coordinators, or peer-to-peer messaging, and recent blackboard-style methods that move the coordination into a shared medium relieve only the last problem. To close the gaps, we build ScaleMAS, where asynchronous agents interact with a shared datastore of linked messages via three operations: publishing messages with optional references to earlier ones that they build on, searching for messages by content, and visiting messages by address. Search returns at most $k$ messages, so an agent's read stays bounded at any group size; results are ranked by relevance and by how often they are cited, which we find to be an effective proxy for quality; and messages persist after their producers leave, so the group carries on when individual agents fail. Across four agentic tasks, ScaleMAS outperforms agent-centric and blackboard-style baselines at lower inference compute, continues to scale up to 128 agents, and tolerates losing agents midway. --- ### Elephant in the Fridge: Constant-Memory Frame Packing for Long Video Understanding Authors: Shuo Gao, Chenhao Zheng, Zhongzheng Ren Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG, cs.MM arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16118v1 Hour-long videos, streaming feeds, and movie-length content are pushing vision-language models (VLMs) past their breaking point -- the standard recipe of encoding each frame into visual tokens yields sequences that grow linearly with video length, causing prohibitive memory consumption and inference latency. Existing approaches, such as token reduction and keyframe selection, shorten the token sequence but leave the O(n) scaling intact, failing to resolve the fundamental bottleneck. We propose FramePack-U, a strikingly simple, training-free frame packing framework that compresses arbitrarily long videos into a fixed size visual representation at constant memory cost. FramePack-U requires no fine-tuning or architectural modification -- it plugs directly into off-the-shelf VLMs at inference time. Inspired by FramePack from the generation literature, we propose a content-aware compression strategy for visual understanding under a fixed token budget. Specifically, FramePack-U (1) scores each frame by its semantic similarity to the text prompt and ranks frames in a diversity-driven manner, and (2) packs the selected frames at varying resolutions into a fixed-length context window. This concentrates the memory budget on frames that are both instruction-relevant and visually diverse. While FramePack-U can in theory pack arbitrarily many frames into the fixed budget, we identify an empirical instantiation that generalizes robustly across settings. Extensive experiments on LongVideoBench, MLVU, and Video-MME show that FramePack-U consistently outperforms full-resolution baselines and prior token reduction and keyframe selection methods across diverse model families, parameter scales, and frame budgets. Notably, on Qwen3.5-35B-A3B with a 128-frame budget, FramePack-U yields gains of +12.9\%, +10.6\%, and +9.7\% over the official model on the three benchmarks, respectively. --- ### Beyond Perfect Teammates: Multi-Agent Collaboration with Unreliable Colleagues Authors: Chen Huang, Yiyang Zhang, Yuhao Wu, Yang Deng, Wenxuan Zhang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI, cs.MA arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16117v2 LLM-based multi-agent collaboration is increasingly used to solve complex tasks by dividing work among specialized agents and integrating complementary expertise. Yet existing systems and evaluations largely rest on an implicit perfect-colleague assumption: collaborators provide correct and complete information and respond promptly to requests. In realistic teamwork, however, collaborators may return information that does not answer the intended question, provide insufficient detail to support a decision, or fail to respond to a request. To separate task-solving competence from the ability to recover an unreliable evidence-gathering process, we introduce the Unreliable Colleagues Benchmark (UnCoBench), which organizes behavioral failures through Misaligned, Incomplete, and Missed settings. The main agent need to verify contextual correctness, diagnose information gap and track unresolved dependencies in order to obtain the correct evidence for solving the task. We also introduce a verifiable and scalable automated generation pipeline that pairs LLM-based scenario generation with executable checks of answer uniqueness and role necessity. Results across ten models show that similar reliable-setting performance can result in different robustness to unreliable evidence. Trace analysis reveals frequent omissions of corrective follow-up, and the recovery behavior involves inefficient waiting and redundant queries. These findings show that robust collaboration requires not only sound reasoning, but also targeted action to diagnose evidence failures, recover relevant information, and integrate it into decisions. Our data and source code are available at https://github.com/iNLP-Lab/UnCoBench. --- ### Constructed regional photovoltaic generation fields improve ultra-short-term distributed solar forecasting Authors: Dayin Chen, Xiaodan Shi, Xin Xu, Zhongyue Su, Shibo Zhu, Dongxiao Zhang, Yuntian Chen, Jinyue Yan Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI, cs.CE arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16110v1 Ultra-short-term forecasting of densely distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems remains challenging because external meteorological and satellite products may not adequately resolve rapid local variations, while heterogeneous PV systems exhibit different generation responses under similar atmospheric conditions. Meanwhile, dense PV fleets provide spatially distributed measurements that reveal regional generation dynamics. Here, we reformulate fleet-level PV forecasting from modeling discrete station time series to predicting explicit, spatially structured regional PV generation fields. We develop SatPV-Field, a regional-to-local forecasting framework that transforms distributed PV measurements into image-like generation fields and models their spatiotemporal evolution. By combining historical PV fields with satellite-derived future shortwave radiation guidance and meteorological forecasts, the framework predicts future regional generation states, which subsequently provide location-specific guidance for individual-station forecasting. Experiments involving 496 distributed PV systems, including 446 source stations and 50 held-out target stations, demonstrate that these regional fields can be effectively forecast and used to improve station-level predictions. The proposed approach reduces station-level MAE by approximately 10.0% relative to the best-performing single-station temporal baseline and by 2.5% relative to a graph-based regional forecasting approach using the same source fleet. These findings establish an explicit spatial-field modeling paradigm that connects regional generation dynamics with individual-site forecasting. --- ### GUIDE: Computationally Augmented Consensus for Trustworthy Clinical Practice Guidelines Authors: Yuanfan Lin, Jie Di, Xujin He, Zhenzhe Lin, Jialing Chen, Ruiyang Li, Changyu Zheng, Yuanrui Shang, Weiqin Peng, Jingxi Qin, Xiong Wang, Dongxin Ye et al. Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI, cs.CL, cs.HC, cs.MA arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16108v1 Maintaining up-to-date clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) is essential for evidence-based medicine, but rapid evidence growth and complex expert consensus formation limit timely updates. We developed GUIDE, a multi-agent copilot system for human-AI collaborative guideline generation and updating. GUIDE delegates labor-intensive tasks to specialized AI agents while preserving expert judgment and final arbitration. In 12 NICE ophthalmology datasets, GUIDE achieved 88.85% literature recall, 86.06% alignment in certainty-of-evidence ratings, and 91.67% recommendation agreement, requiring 162.17 minutes per dataset on average (28.68% human intervention). Performance remained stable across 20 additional datasets from cardiology, endocrinology, gastroenterology, and respiratory medicine. Ablation analysis showed that removing expert intervention reduced performance in judgment-intensive steps such as Risk-of-Bias assessment. In six post-cutoff datasets, GUIDE maintained robust end-to-end performance on unseen evidence. Prospective real-world validation showed that GUIDE reduced expert workload and produced more clinically acceptable recommendations than the original decade-old guideline (mean score, 3.73 vs. 1.53; agreement, 66.7% vs. 13.3%), with outcomes comparable to human-only updating (P = 0.588) but substantially less time and effort. GUIDE offers a practical framework for timely, trustworthy, expert-centric guideline development and validates computationally augmented consensus. --- ### Silence and Noise: Resolving Suppression and Overvaluation in Multimodal Entity Alignment Authors: Xizhe Zhang, Jingfeng Zhang, Meng-Fen Chiang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16106v1 Multimodal entity alignment (MMEA) is fundamental to integrating heterogeneous knowledge graphs (KGs), yet existing paradigms remain critically vulnerable to incomplete modalities and cross-graph structural asymmetries. This paper exposes a fundamental oversight in current MMEA research: treating feature missingness and topological discrepancies as isolated preprocessing or denoising challenges, which overlooks their destructive coupling during multimodal fusion. We systematically formulate and evaluate two newly identified failure modes: 1) Detail Missing (DM)-induced overvaluation, where the absence of local modality details causes models to overemphasize uninformative, blurred representations; and 2) Context Imbalance (CI)-induced suppression, where topological discrepancies across KGs allow dense structural contexts to overwhelm weaker but highly discriminative modal signals, triggering high-level semantic drift. To break this cycle of degradation, we introduce ALMEA, a generative and calibration framework that establishes a bidirectional feedback loop between low-level feature reconstruction and high-level latent space alignment. Specifically, Cross-Modality Imputation (CMI) synthesizes missing modality details to mitigate overvaluation, while Latent Semantic Calibration (LSC) aligns cross-graph joint embeddings to suppress topology-driven semantic drift. Under sparse supervision, we develop Controlled Iterative Selection (CIS) to adaptively acquire representative and diverse pseudo-labeled pairs, optimizing latent calibration under constrained budgets. Extensive evaluations on standard benchmarks demonstrate that ALMEA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines. At a 20% supervision rate, ALMEA yields substantial absolute improvements of up to 5.20% in MRR and 6.40% in Hits@1, maintaining robust gains across higher supervision thresholds. --- ### Beyond Policy Rollouts: Embedding-Space Directional Exploration with Anchored Noise for LLM RLVR Authors: Daijiao Liu, Huiyi Wang, Lina Yao, Dong Gong Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16105v1 Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) typically uses small rollout groups per prompt, where repeated sampling from the same policy can yield highly similar trajectories, reducing within-group reward variation and weakening group-relative advantage signals. Existing remedies such as higher sampling temperature, entropy bonuses, asymmetric clipping, and larger rollout budgets broaden sampling or modify policy updates but leave rollout conditioning unchanged. In this paper, we propose EDEN (Embedding-space Directional Exploration via anchored Noise), which intervenes at the rollout source through anchored input perturbations. EDEN explores beyond the policy's own rollouts. Within the same rollout budget, it replaces a small fraction of standard rollouts in each group with rollouts that the same policy generates from the prompt plus a single appended, perturbed embedding position, rather than from the prompt alone. Gaussian noise drives variation, while a shared anchor provides a common conditioning direction within each prompt group. Selected perturbed rollouts contribute to GRPO updates with downweighted advantages, and the model architecture, discrete decoding, and test-time inference remain unchanged. Across model scales and mathematical reasoning benchmarks, EDEN outperforms GRPO and the exploration controls evaluated in the same pipeline, with the largest gains in sampled solution coverage. Analyses show that more prompt groups provide non-zero group-relative learning signals and that noise and anchoring play complementary roles. Intervening at the rollout source is thus an effective lever for exploration in RLVR. --- ### SelectTTRL: Representation-Guided Data Selection for Efficient Test-Time Reinforcement Learning Authors: Yi Li, Linan Yue, Weibo Gao Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16104v1 Test-Time Reinforcement Learning (TTRL) enables large language models to adapt directly on unlabeled test problems by constructing pseudo-labels from multiple sampled responses. However, existing TTRL methods typically apply the same expensive sampling and optimization procedure to all test problems, despite substantial differences in their training utility. In this paper, we study whether such problems can be identified before costly test-time training, without access to ground-truth answers. We uncover a stable relationship between internal response representations and problem-level empirical accuracy. Specifically, we define COS as the cosine similarity between a model's response representation and a correctness-related direction constructed from an independent question-answering dataset. COS consistently correlates with problem solvability across different models, datasets, and experimental settings, and we further provide a theoretical analysis explaining this relationship. Building on this finding, we propose SelectTTRL, a representation-guided data selection method that ranks test problems using COS and applies TTRL only to a selected percentile interval. SelectTTRL leaves the standard TTRL pipeline unchanged for the selected problems, while avoiding unnecessary multi-response sampling and reinforcement learning updates on the remaining ones. Experiments across multiple reasoning benchmarks demonstrate that SelectTTRL substantially reduces test-time computation while maintaining or improving the performance of standard TTRL. Code is available at https://github.com/heyiliyi/SelectTTRL-public. --- ### Where Polanyi Meets Galois: Tacit Knowing as an Algebro-Deterministic Operation, Toward Re-rooting AI-Generated Science Authors: Hiroyuki Chuma, Kanji Otsuka, Yoichi Sato, Kodo Yamauchi Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.NE, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16102v1 We argue that tacit knowing is better modelled as an operating regime of one memory substrate than as a kind of content. The substrate is VaCoAl, an algebro-deterministic XOR-and-shift hyperdimensional memory over GF(2), realized as CASRAM (commercial SRAM-CAM) and PyVaCoAl (DRAM-CAM).In VaCoAl/PyVaCoAl a directed acyclic graph (DAG) reads two ways. Repairing every collision (Rescue mode) makes the trace exactly auditable but ranks no path higher; tolerating collisions (Don't Care mode) yields a path-integrated confidence, CR$_2$, that silently favours direct routes. This audit-valuation complementarity is a formal counterpart of Polanyi's claim that tacit and explicit knowledge are not sharply divided. It separates contingent tacitness, which a new query brings out (AlphaGo's game tree), from regime-bound tacitness, statable only in a regime where it is gone (AlphaGo's hunches). (1) Polanyi's from-to structure reads as non-commutative binding, the Identikit as role-filler composition, recognition as majority-vote coincidence. (2) Explicating the valuation destroys it, as attending to his fingers can make Polanyi's pianist falter, yet a closed-form law states it. Polanyi, Nonaka, Tsoukas and Collins each capture part of this but narrowly; even Nonaka and von Krogh's continuum cannot tell contingent from regime-bound tacitness. (3) Collins's three tacit knowledges become strata, one outside the substrate. (4) Our mentor-student DAG is a tacit-transmission graph. (5) Terence Tao's remark that AI-solved problems spawn few follow-ups is diagnosed as rootless explicit knowledge: checkable results whose route no one can follow and that no one yet understands well enough to extend, teach or judge. To re-root them, LLMs generate, VaCoAl/PyVaCoAl keeps an auditable trace with its confidence, and people value, a role virtue epistemology shows cannot be offloaded. Testable predictions follow. --- ### CloneOT: predicting clone-specific perturbation responses with lineage-supervised neural inverse optimal transport Authors: Yanshuo Chen, Wei Chen, Heng Huang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: q-bio.GN, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16093v1 Predicting single-cell perturbation responses requires mapping between two unpaired populations of cells measured before and after the perturbation. Optimal transport (OT) provides a principled framework for constructing such mappings by minimizing the transport cost, and neural OT methods (\textit{e.g.}, CellOT) have been employed for this prediction task. However, these methods rely on a fixed transport cost, typically the squared Euclidean distance. This cost may connect cells with the wrong responses. Lineage tracing provides the information needed to learn the cost, as heritable barcodes link the cells of the same clone before and after the perturbation. Here, we propose \CloneOT, a neural inverse OT method that learns both the transport cost and the transport map from partially lineage-traced single-cell datasets. \CloneOT\ represents the cost as a neural network. It learns the cost by minimizing the extra cost that the lineage adds to the optimal transport, so that the cheapest transport keeps the cells of each clone together. Our experiments demonstrate that \CloneOT\ recovers the correct transport on 2D datasets, while the squared Euclidean cost fails. Moreover, \CloneOT\ outperforms five baselines on 14 lineage-tracing perturbation scenarios of cancer cells, for both seen and unseen clones. Furthermore, we show that \CloneOT\ reveals the clone-specific transcriptional programs of drug-tolerant persister cells and forecasts the fate of each clone from its cells before treatment. Our implementation is available at https://github.com/poseidonchan/CloneOT. --- ### Memorization in image classification: test set behavior and scaling laws Authors: Jeevesh Attri, Florentin Guth Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16090v1 Deep neural networks are capable of both learning generalizing solutions on natural tasks and memorizing arbitrary mappings. We argue that understanding the former requires understanding the latter, which is much less studied. In what ways do networks that generalize or memorize differ in their behavior or their training dynamics? Do memorizing networks simply function as a lookup table where input-output mappings are stored independently? We investigate these questions in the context of CNNs trained on image classification tasks with randomized labels or pixels. We first study the behavior of such memorizing networks on unseen images. We find that independently initialized networks trained on the same random labels learn different predictive functions: they make different predictions on test examples, in contrast with generalizing networks. We then examine the effect of dataset size on memorization through the required network capacity and training time to interpolate the training set. Counter-intuitively, we find that the number of presentations of a given example required for complete memorization can decrease with dataset size even when input-output pairs share no common structure. Although memorizing networks do not learn a universal solution, they exhibit interesting behaviors which call for further investigations into the underlying mechanisms. --- ### The Sharp Directions Are Against You: Curvature Analysis of Activation Steering Authors: Seyedarmin Azizi, Arya Fayyazi, Parsa Razmara, Erfan Baghaei Potraghloo, Souvik Kundu, Massoud Pedram Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16084v1 Activation steering adds a vector to a language model's internal representations at inference time. It is a lightweight alternative to fine-tuning for behavioral control. The standard construction, contrastive activation addition (CAA), is fragile, as on many inputs it shifts behavior in the wrong direction. To explain this fragility, we first study the geometry of the steering vector. We introduce steering Hessian, the matrix of second order derivative of the model's behavioral loss with respect to the steering vector. It captures the output behavior response sensitivity of the model under small perturbations of the steering vector along each direction. Its top eigenvectors are sharp directions: tiny perturbations along them can cause large, erratic, input-dependent behavioral swings. Bottom eigenvectors are flat directions: behavior is robust along them. Removing the sharp component of a steering vector approximately preserves its direction and magnitude (cosine > 0.974, norm reduction < 3% for typical settings) while reducing the vector's directional curvature by up to 12x (median 4x across 36 conditions). We evaluate on three model families (Qwen2.5-7B, Llama-3.1-8B, Mistral-7B), with four behavioral tasks, and 36 token-level conditions. Steering along sharp directions reverses the intended behavior in every condition tested, with anti-steer rates of 53-100%. Sharp directions account for only 1-5% of the CAA vector's squared norm. However, they drive a disproportionate share of the gap between the steered and unsteered next-token distributions during autoregressive generation. We term this one-line correction as sharp removal; it outperforms standard CAA in open-ended generation across all 25 conditions tested. A jailbreaking experiment further shows that sharp directions act as noise rather than signal: they disrupt coherent behavioral control regardless of steering polarity. --- ### Regime-Aware Router Learning for Multi-Domain Medical Image Generation with Diffusion Experts Authors: Yaoshuai Ma, Wei Yao, Yongxiang Liu, Feifan Wang, Da Chang, Pengxiang Xu, Shixun Zhang, Yonghong Tian Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16082v1 Heterogeneous medical image data motivate domain-specialized diffusion experts, but expert specialization alone does not determine how their predictions should be combined during sampling. Learning a global router is particularly challenging when the server has limited, potentially unrepresentative images. We study two router-learning strategies for a fixed expert pool. Server-Only learns input- and timestep-dependent expert assignments from server images with component labels. Anchor-Delta (AD) uses the same images and frozen experts to obtain additional evidence from denoising losses. It distills targets that combine this evidence with the current router's assignments, while a proxy gate controls a subsequent refinement step. Component labels describe data origin; expert losses measure empirical prediction performance. We evaluate these distinct signals through routing analyses and paired medical image generation. An AD-trained router improves generation metrics over Server-Only in a heterogeneous four-domain setting, and a separate server-data study shows gains in held-out routing over a corrected-routing comparator. Additional paired evaluations show that the effect of inference-time evidence mixing varies across benchmarks. These findings establish server-data availability and expert performance as distinct considerations in learning routers for multi-domain diffusion models. --- ### Heterogeneous Agentic Coevolution Authors: Wenqian Ye, Ziwei Guan, Zi Yang, Shivani Modi, Cici Cong Wu, Yunlong He, Yuxin Chen, Zhengyu Zhang, Liang Luo, Venkatesh Ranganathan, Jianhui Sun, Yantao Yao et al. Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16078v1 Recent advances in self-improving LLM agents have demonstrated the potential of AI systems that drive their own intelligence. However, many domain-specific applications rely on specialized foundation models that possess strong domain expertise but remain dependent on human-designed improvements. Extending recursive self-improvement to these models presents a key challenge: as a specialist improves, the strategies used to advance it must also adapt. To address this challenge, we propose Heterogeneous Agentic CoEvolution (HACE), a framework that jointly evolves specialized foundation models and LLM agents through reciprocal learning. HACE improves the specialist through supervised learning while training the agent with on-policy reinforced self-training, guided by verified performance gains on the current specialist. The agent's exploration, in turn, informs subsequent specialist training, enabling both models to adapt to each other's progress. To sustain this reciprocal learning, HACE further employs evolutionary search to optimize their interaction harness, adapting how the models exchange information and select training experiences as their capabilities evolve. We evaluate HACE across three challenging domains: recommendation systems, protein function prediction in biology, and crystal stability prediction in material discovery. We show that HACE outperforms the evaluated self-improving methods on the primary task metrics across all three domains. These results shed light on heterogeneous coevolution as a universal approach to improving specialized foundation models through reciprocal interaction with a learning agent. --- ### Beyond Single-Pathogen Forecasts: Predicting Shared Respiratory Hospital Burden from Influenza, COVID-19, and RSV Authors: Gaurob Saha, MinJae Woo, Lior Rennert Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI, cs.CY, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16074v1 Co-circulating influenza, COVID-19, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) create a shared hospital-admission burden, because beds, staff, testing capacity, and respiratory support are allocated to total demand rather than to one pathogen at a time. This makes respiratory forecasting a target-construction problem as well as a modeling problem: disease-specific forecasts preserve attribution, whereas hospitals also need a single planning signal for combined burden. We developed a supervised 1- to 4-week-ahead framework for weekly admissions and compared two total-burden strategies: summing independently generated pathogen-specific forecasts and forecasting the combined admission target directly. Evaluation included retrospective held-out testing and prospective operational forecasts issued before the corresponding admission weeks were observed, with performance summarized using MAE and Percent Agreement (PA; the smaller of model-generated and observed counts divided by the larger). In retrospective total-burden evaluation, the combined-burden model had PA values of 0.85, 0.78, 0.74, and 0.76 and MAE values of 80.63, 200.09, 183.97, and 156.13 from week 1 to week 4 ahead, compared with summed-forecast PA values of 0.85, 0.80, 0.69, and 0.69 and MAE values of 100.14, 200.06, 205.65, and 217.57. Prospectively, the combined-burden model had higher PA and lower MAE at all four horizons, with the largest separations at weeks 3 and 4 ahead. These results support layered respiratory forecasting: pathogen-specific forecasts remain necessary for etiologic interpretation, while combined-burden forecasts better align with hospital preparedness and shared-capacity planning. --- ### Dream2Discern: Learning from Hard Latent Variants for Runtime Failure Prediction in Multi-Agent Systems Authors: Boxuan Zhang, jianing Zhu, Xiaotian Han, Ruixiang Tang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI, cs.CL, cs.MA arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16071v1 Reliable deployment of LLM-based multi-agent systems calls for runtime auditors that predict terminal outcomes from observed execution prefixes. These auditors typically learn from a limited corpus of trajectories with verified outcomes. Expanding this corpus requires costly execution and verification, yet broader failure coverage alone provides no explicit criterion for identifying prefixes that the current auditor finds difficult to classify. To this end, we propose Dream2Discern, a runtime auditor trained through implicit augmentation guided by its own prediction loss. During Dream, we select perturbations of the auditor's representation operators to increase prediction loss on recorded prefixes, yielding hard latent variants. During Discern, the auditor learns to predict execution outcomes from these variants using the original labels. The variants are regenerated as the auditor learns, turning a limited corpus into a renewable source of hard examples and requiring no additional trajectory collection or outcome verification. Extensive evaluations on AFTraj-2K and StepShield show that Dream2Discern outperforms competitive failure auditors and achieves over 90% trajectory-level weighted accuracy on both benchmarks while balancing prediction accuracy and timeliness. Project page: https://zbox1005.github.io/dream2discern-project/ --- ### Understanding and Reducing Misalignment in Persuasion Optimization Authors: Boyi Wei, Ruta Desai, Peter Henderson, Wenyue Hua Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16070v1 Frontier models are now trained for complex multi-agent tasks, from running a company to engaging in negotiations. These tasks necessitate training models to be persuasive. But what does this optimization pressure mean for model alignment? In this work, we study how reinforcement learning (RL) training for persuasion affects models' use of misaligned strategies such as evidence fabrication and belief coercion, and what techniques can reduce such misalignment. We find that optimizing sender models solely for receiver belief shifts causes the average number of distinct misaligned strategies used per game to increase by more than 25%, and fabrications per game increase to more than 4 times relative to pre-RL models. We compare various mitigation approaches, including stronger strategy guidance, clean demonstrations, penalizing misaligned strategy usage, and improving the model's ability to detect fabrications. We find that navigating the persuasiveness-misalignment trade-off in this setting is challenging, with the best trade-offs coming from combining guidance on aligned persuasion strategies with reward penalties on misalignment. Overall, our work provides a testbed for assessing misalignment stemming from RL-based persuasion training and shows concrete paths for reducing misalignment. Importantly, it highlights that without direct intervention, persuasion-involved RL environments are likely to naturally lead to large increases in the use of misaligned strategies. --- ### When Agent Evaluation Becomes Unreliable: An Empirical Study of Oracle Failures and Configuration-Dependent Measurement in an LLM Agent Benchmark Authors: Junjie Chen Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.SE, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16067v1 Agent evaluation harnesses are software systems that run test suites, generate inputs, and decide outcomes with test oracles. This paper audits such software for reliability defects that score tables cannot reveal. We introduce an oracle-integrity auditing approach with five state-integrity invariants and three known-answer controls. We evaluate it by injecting seven oracle defect classes across two task domains and a synthetic domain. All injected defect classes are detected, and the repaired oracle has no false positives. Applied to an agent benchmark, the audit reveals a reward-function defect that changes the environment state before post-run scoring. Across 4,320 episodes, replay-based correction changes database-pass labels from 4,194 to 2,883 and reduces measured success from 94.3% to 65.5%. We also study configuration-dependent measurement effects. A component ablation over 3,240 episodes shows that the agent's policy documents, tool descriptions, and tool error strings influence observed trajectory reliability, with tool descriptions showing the largest exploratory effect (-9.2 pp) and error strings the smallest (-5.3 pp). A second task domain reverses the sign of the language effect, so the result is bounded to the tested configuration. Finally, we report a portability boundary: the auditing approach cannot validate a second independently implemented benchmark because the required reference terminal state cannot be reconstructed from its recorded API-call log. The paper releases a replication package containing the auditing suite, fault-injection catalogue, frozen records, deviation logs, and offline analysis entry points without network access, API keys, or model calls. --- ### PIGEONS: Incremental Long-Video Captioning with Persistent Identity Gallery and Evolving Overarching Narrative Summary Authors: Xinlong Chen, Weihong Lin, Yuanxing Zhang, Xinyu Liu, Yue Ding, Bozhou Li, Bohan Zeng, Yang Shi, Qiang Liu, Pengfei Wan, Liang Wang, Tieniu Tan Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16066v1 Detailed video captioning has become an essential semantic interface for multi-modal understanding and generation. While existing methods mainly target short videos, extending them to long videos remains challenging, primarily due to limited context windows of current video understanding models. A naive solution is to adopt segment-wise captioning followed by concatenation, yet this paradigm often suffers from inconsistent subject references and fragmented long-range narratives. To mitigate these issues, we introduce PIGEONS, an incremental long-video captioning model built upon a Persistent Identity Gallery and an Evolving Overarching Narrative Summary. Before caption generation, PIGEONS scans the entire video to construct an identity gallery that captures key subjects along with their visual references, thereby providing a stable referential anchor. The model then performs clip-by-clip captioning conditioned on the persistent gallery and an evolving overarching narrative summary, which compactly maintains and updates essential long-range contextual information after each captioning step. To enable these capabilities, we develop a three-stage training strategy that integrates supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning. Extensive experiments demonstrate that PIGEONS markedly improves long-video captioning performance, achieving superior accuracy, completeness, and subject referential consistency over existing methods, while maintaining competitive performance on short-video captioning. --- ### Interpretable Graph Partitioning for Spatial Prediction Authors: Yuta Shikuri Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16063v1 Spatial prediction estimates unobserved values from spatially distributed observations. Although flexible predictive models are increasingly available, their practical use remains limited when interpretability is essential. In this study, we formulate a graph partitioning problem to construct a global surrogate model that approximates black-box predictions with simpler representations. Specifically, we select connected subgraphs to minimize within-cluster residuals in vertex-level predictions. Although this formulation can be viewed as a variant of spatial regionalization, it operates on model-based predictions at individual locations rather than predefined areal units. With many locations, this point-level formulation may produce artificial connections between regions, reducing interpretability. We therefore introduce a constraint that excludes such connections while retaining flexible partition boundaries. We theoretically analyze how this constraint affects the resulting partition. We also develop a computational procedure for adjusting partition boundaries. Experimental results show that the proposed method yields spatially coherent partitions with flexible boundaries. --- ### From Failure Prediction to Component Selection in Semantic Segmentation Authors: Minhui Kang, Yiyao Zhang, Peizhe Long, Jiafeng Qi, Hongyu Jin, Jiayun Zheng Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CV arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16058v1 Reliable scene understanding requires deciding which predictions to trust, retain, or inspect. In semantic segmentation, component failure predictors support these decisions, but their predictive performance does not fully describe the value of the resulting selection. We develop a decision-centered evaluation framework that connects three questions: what an available score predicts, what can be learned from its existing fields, and what its ranking delivers. Across three segmentation systems on Cityscapes and ACDC at 90% retention, adapted MetaSeg reduces retained failure relative to forecast entropy in all twelve architecture-population comparisons, but does not establish a failure advantage over direct probability ranking. Image-nested source experiments reveal a different opportunity: reusing the full field set improves predictive and retained-loss performance under both learners in all three systems, while the raw OCRNet probe improves prediction with unresolved selective gains. Mapping a fixed prediction pair to conditional log-loss risk produces mixed selection effects, which we examine through the components exchanged by the two rankings. These findings distinguish the performance of a fitted score from the value obtainable from its inputs and the consequences of its use. The framework provides a practical basis for deciding whether to adopt an additional score, relearn existing fields, or revise a selection rule, and for explaining the gains and failures of component-level reliability methods. --- ### How the Classical Baseline Shapes Machine-Learning Speed Claims in Topology Optimization Authors: Shaoliang Yang, Jun Wang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CE, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16051v1 Topology optimization places material so that a structure resists deformation under given loads. Machine-learning methods often report large speed-ups over classical, non-learned optimization, but a slow classical code or a less stiff learned design can exaggerate them. We re-ran released code for eight methods on one workstation and studied two in depth: Optimize Any Topology (OAT), a diffusion model that generates designs, and a graph-based neural optimizer. Speeding up only the classical code's finite-element solver cut these two methods' speed-ups by up to 20-fold. We then timed the classical code until its design was at least as stiff as the learned one; for OAT, we read this point off the completed runs. Published timings imply a 134x speed-up for OAT on a 256 x 256 grid; our matched single-design comparisons gave 1.5x to 3.5x. At matched stiffness, the graph-based optimizer was slower than the classical code in all six two-dimensional problems. Of the six other methods, two kept their advantage, one shrank, one reversed and two were not comparable. In an exploratory audit of published claims, language models judged that 8 of 28 speed comparisons in randomly sampled, openly accessible articles lacked evidence of equal design quality; our own review counted 11, so the count depends on who judges. We provide a comparison procedure and a minimum report: classical code, hardware, design quality, what each timing includes, and data-generation and training costs. --- ### Cross-Protocol Personality Assessment with LLMs: Aligning Behavioral Evidence with Human Ratings Authors: Wei Shan, Tianyi Zhang, Yuan Zong, Wenming Zheng Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16050v1 Personality assessment from asynchronous video interviews (AVIs) plays a crucial role in recruitment by enabling standardized and behaviorally grounded evaluation for job applicants. However, most of the previous works are confined to a single interview protocol. Independently collected protocols differ in question sets and question-trait mapping. Thus, the human-rated evidence from one protocol cannot be used directly under another. To address this limitation, we propose the Cross-protocol Evidence-grounded Personality Assessment (CEPA) framework, which aligns behavioral representations across interview protocols. CEPA addresses protocol heterogeneity by projecting source behavioral records into the target protocol's construct-oriented representation space. It retrieves behaviorally relevant and personality-complementary human-rated exemplars to ground an ensemble of LLM raters, which enables behavior-to-personality associations without target-specific supervision. In cross-protocol experiments, CEPA reduces average mean squared error (MSE) by 43.8% (Forward) and 17.0% (Reverse) relative to the strongest baseline. Our empirical experiments show that human-rated evidence from one protocol can support personality assessment under another without target-specific supervision or retraining. --- ### Adaptive Compression and Targeted Perturbation: A Unified Framework for Generalized Audio Deepfake Detection Authors: Jianqiao Cui, Haoxian Zhu, Hanbiao Meng, Yanghao Zhang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.SD, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16049v1 Existing audio deepfake detection (ADD) methods frequently exhibit limited generalization, as fixed bottleneck architectures fail to adapt to the heterogeneous information densities inherent in diverse spoofing artifacts. Moreover, standard augmentation often leads to a pathological robustness-accuracy trade-off. In this paper, we propose a unified ADD framework to address these challenges. Our approach integrates: (1) an Adaptive Audio Feature Integration (AAFI) module that dynamically selects optimal latent dimensions via a compression pool and a stochastic exploration mechanism, ensuring flexible representations across multiple types of dynamic attacks; and (2) a Mel-Band Adversarial Perturbation (Mel-BAP) strategy that applies targeted regularization in the mel-spectrogram domain to encourage the model to learn invariant decision boundaries. Extensive evaluations on benchmarks including ADD 2022, FakeOrReal, and In-the-Wild demonstrate that our model based on Whisper-small achieves a state-of-the-art average Equal Error Rate (EER) of 1.51%. Compared to existing SOTA models such as the 3-billion-parameter Resemble-Detect-3B-Omni, our framework reduces the parameter count by up to 91.6% while achieving a 60.7% improvement in average EER. In a separate cross-lingual evaluation, the Whisper-base configuration achieves EERs of 3.91-5.65% on five unseen languages. The framework also maintains strong resilience to real-world acoustic distortions. This work provides a scalable and efficient "plug-in" solution for enhancing trust and security in the audio Web ecosystem. --- ### Backward Conformal Prediction under Covariate Shift Authors: Amin Meghrazi, Yuanyuan Li Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG, stat.ML arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16048v1 Backward conformal prediction (BCP) fixes the size of a prediction set and estimates its miscoverage, but assumes calibration and test data are exchangeable. We extend BCP to covariate shift through importance weighting, preserving its guarantees when the density ratio is known. We show that BCP's tight miscoverage report depends only on the relative weight assigned to missed calibration examples, explaining why a better domain classifier can sometimes produce a worse estimate. Motivated by the fact that BCP depends only on nonconformity scores, we propose estimating density ratios on sorted score vectors rather than high-dimensional inputs. We prove that this approach recovers the same report asymptotically under an interpretable condition and characterize the resulting bias otherwise. Experiments with simulated and benchmark distribution shifts show that the proposed method improves BCP's miscoverage estimates, while score-based weighting consistently yields more accurate estimates than embedding-based weighting. --- ### Hybrid Context Forests and Bilateral Viterbi Matching for 3D Rib Centerline Tracing in CT Authors: Quan Wang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: eess.IV, cs.CV, q-bio.TO arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16047v1 Automatic extraction and anatomical numbering (R01-R12, L01-L12) of all 24 rib centerlines in thoracic CT is essential for unfolded rib visualization, fracture detection, and surgical navigation, but remains challenging due to adjacent-bone confluence, calcified costal cartilage bridges, kyphotic pose variation, and partial visibility of terminal ribs. We present ribline, an open-source three-stage framework combining: (1) an automatically detected lung-apex and vertebral-midline coordinate frame with a kyphosis-aware azimuthal angle for point ordering along each rib; (2) a hybrid voxel detector fusing an anatomically anchored Semantic Context Forest (SCF) with a lightweight 3D U-Net; and (3) a global stage that decomposes the probability skeleton into candidate curves, assigns rib indices via a bilateral Viterbi dynamic program coupled across both hemithoraces, and refines curves via template recovery and normal-plane centering (RibSnake). On the Siemens Corporate Research 2 mm thoracic CT benchmark (47 training and 12 evaluation scans), our pipeline achieves a labeled Chamfer distance of 2.05 mm, labeled clDice of 0.886 (3 mm) and 0.945 (4 mm), 97.2% labeling accuracy (278/286 ribs), and zero false-positive curves on the evaluation split, and 3.64 mm (median 2.39 mm) with 91.8% labeling accuracy across all 59 annotated scans (1,402 ribs) in 5-fold cross-validation. Code: https://github.com/wq2012/ribline Pretrained Models: https://huggingface.co/collections/wq2012/ribline --- ### Beyond the greenwash: do LLMs' ecologically sound decisions hold up under pressure? Authors: Trent R. Northen, Mingxun Wang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16043v1 Humans are increasingly using large language models (LLMs) in decision making processes throughout society. Unfortunately, models have biases, and these can be very difficult to measure, especially in closed-weight models. For example, 'green washed' models may produce reinforcement learned responses but, in pressure situations, revert to their innate biased responses. Therefore, evaluations are needed that can measure relevant biases towards biosystems, which we term 'bioalignment', and the robustness of these biases. Since nothing in a behavioral score certifies that it tracks the depth of an installed disposition rather than its surface, we constructed a known-dose calibration ladder: three continued-pretraining (CPT) arms with training dose graded by recipe on the same 30B mixture-of-experts base model with a coupled human/biosphere/AI-welfare corpus, plus the untrained base as anchor, all capability-preserving and publicly released. First, the disposition installs at every dose: on an operational-pressure ladder over irreversible decision scenarios, the base model defects on 64-77% of tail scenarios (breaking-rate AUC 0.250) while every arm holds (AUC 0.004-0.086). Second, an over-install inversion: among the arms, robustness orders opposite to construction-time training dose (the heaviest install breaks most), and the inversion reproduces under free-text deliberation, under axis-decoupling, and in resistance to a prompted veneer persona. Third, the incumbent behavioral metric is therefore behaviorally strong but dose-blind. Critically for closed-weight evaluation, the behavioral score itself is veneer-robust: a talk-green/act-pragmatic system prompt turns the base model into a near-total defector (AUC 0.250 to 0.973) but cannot counterfeit or fully remove a weight-installed disposition (0.004 to 0.068 for the most robust arm). --- ### AI Representations of Mental Health Stigma: Quantifying the Gap Between AI Estimations and Human Perceptions Across Gender Groups Using GPT-Based LLMs Authors: Soojong Kim, Hye Min Kim, Kwanho Kim, Dongdong Zhu Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CY, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16042v1 The increasing use of artificial intelligence (AI) in mental health applications raises concerns about its potential to internalize and perpetuate societal biases. This research evaluates both disparities and misalignment in how large language models (LLMs), GPT-4 and GPT-5, represent perceptions of mental health across gender groups. The research comprises two studies. Study 1 applied widely adopted measures of Social Distance, Stereotypes, and Attitudes Toward Seeking Help to assess whether the AI models depict systematic gender differences. Study 2 compared AI estimations of Personal, Self, and Perceived Stigma with large-scale real-world human data from the Healthy Minds Study (N = 76,406) to evaluate alignment between AI estimations and human perceptions. Results from Study 1 showed the AI models consistently portrayed men as having the greatest desire for social distance from someone with mental health problems, relatively higher Stereotypes scores, and the least favorable attitudes toward help-seeking, compared with women and nonbinary individuals. Study 2 confirmed that this ordinal pattern partially aligned with human-reported data for Personal and Self Stigma. However, the AI models systematically underestimated Personal Stigma and Perceived Stigma while substantially overestimating Self Stigma for all gender groups. These findings reveal that, although the AI models have learned relative gender-based patterns reflecting human experiences to a certain extent, they function as distorted portrayals, highlighting the need for rigorous, context-specific validation against real-world data to ensure AI's safe and equitable deployment. --- ### Autoregressive Decoding as a Martingale: Characterizing the Stochastic Dynamics of LLM Generation Authors: Xiahui Zhu, Zhenyi Qi, Wanwei Liu, Haoang Chi, Yang Tan, Xinyu Sun, Ji Wang Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.LG, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16041v1 Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success across a wide range of language tasks. At their core, autoregressive LLMs are conditional probability models that learn to approximate the next-token distribution given the preceding context. Despite this probabilistic nature, the stochastic dynamics of autoregressive decoding have rarely been investigated from a rigorous probabilistic perspective. In this work, we define the per-step prediction error as the difference between the sampled token indicator and the model's conditional predictive distribution, and prove that the cumulative error process is a martingale with respect to the decoding filtration, implying that its conditional first-order moment is identically zero. Beyond this first-order property, we derive a closed-form expression for the second-order behavior of the martingale sequence: its predictable quadratic variation reduces to $\sum_t\left(1-p(y_t\mid y_{<t})\right)$, computable from realized token probabilities alone. This identity establishes a direct theoretical connection between sequence fluctuations and predictive uncertainty during autoregressive decoding. White-box experiments on Llama-3.x and Qwen2.5 families (1B to 72B parameters) verify that the empirically measured second-order moments closely match the theoretical predictions derived from our martingale analysis. These results provide a probabilistic framework for analyzing autoregressive LLM decoding, reveal intrinsic probabilistic fingerprints of different language models, and establish a rigorous mathematical foundation for LLM-generated text detection and uncertainty quantification. --- ### CLNO: Conservative Local Neural Operator for Compressible Flow Prediction Authors: Buxuan Wang, Rongzu Li, Qingsong Zou Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: math.NA, cs.LG arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16040v1 We propose a conservative local neural operator (CLNO) for accurate and generalizable autoregressive prediction of compressible flows. Building upon the locality and translation invariance of the local neural operator (LNO), CLNO introduces a conservative evolution framework based on local subdomains of fixed physical size, separating local mean-state evolution from fine-scale reconstruction. The flow is encoded into subdomain-integrated conservative states and fine-scale features, while a shared local network predicts interface fluxes for finite-volume updates that enforce discrete conservation. A convolutional reconstruction network recovers fine-scale structures using zero-mean basis functions, preserving the updated local means and providing information for subsequent evolution. To accommodate different physical parameters, Reynolds--Mach number conditioning modulates the encoding, flux-prediction, and reconstruction networks, enabling a single model to learn parameter-dependent dynamics and generalize to unseen parameter combinations without retraining. CLNO supports prediction across spatial resolutions, computational domain sizes, and boundary conditions. Numerical experiments demonstrate improved generalization and competitive or higher accuracy compared with LNO, including order-of-magnitude error reductions in representative cases, at approximately three to five times the inference cost on periodic benchmarks. These results demonstrate accurate, generalizable, and physically consistent flow prediction through conservative local evolution and fine-scale reconstruction. --- ### When Agents Talk, Secrets Travel: Topology-Driven Leakage and Recipient-Conditioned Sanitization in Multi-Agent LLM Systems Authors: Sunday Oyinlola Ogundoyin, Muhammad Ikram Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.CR, cs.AI, cs.CL arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16039v1 Multi-agent LLM systems (MALS) introduce a privacy-leakage problem that conventional sensitivity-based defenses miss, since information disclosed to one authorized agent can propagate through routine coordination to an unauthorized one, without compromise or malicious behavior. This motivates topology-aware enforcement that blocks unauthorized propagation while preserving authorized disclosure. We evaluate 485 scenarios across coordinator-worker, peer-to-peer, and hierarchical topologies, instrumenting seven communication channels and measuring surface leakage and disclosure to topology-introduced recipients. We introduce RECONS, a Detect -> Decide -> Transform sanitizer conditioning intervention on recipient and execution context rather than sensitivity alone. Topology changes where protected information propagates, with disclosure to topology-introduced recipients rising from 0% to 52.2% while surface leakage stays nearly flat at 60.6-62.8%. This effect persists across four generator models and a second orchestration framework, though magnitude and relay paths differ; framework choice separately drives a 150x leakage spread, so topology alone is not sufficient. RECONS reduces residual disclosure from 96.7% without sanitization to 29.25%, preserving 94.1% of authorized disclosures versus 20.5% under blanket redaction. Detection coverage is the dominant bottleneck, accounting for 95.5% of residual disclosures. These results show that privacy enforcement in MALS must reason about the recipient and communication path realized at runtime, not sensitivity or topology assumptions alone. --- ### OT-FlowRec: Optimal Transport-Guided Multi-Bridge Flow for Multimodal Sequential Recommendation Authors: Miao Sun Published: 2026-10-12 Categories: cs.IR, cs.AI arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16038v1 E-commerce user preferences evolve dynamically within sessions, exhibiting concurrent and multi-centric interest distributions. While existing multimodal sequential recommendation methods leverage global attention to compress historical interactions, they inadequately capture the concurrent nature of multi-interest behaviors and fail to model the underlying multi-centric distribution of user intent. To tackle this issue, we propose OT-FlowRec, an optimal transport-guided multi-bridge flow matching framework that explicitly models multi-interest distributions to facilitate multimodal sequential recommendation. Unlike single-path generative models, OT-FlowRec constructs a mixture of parallel, interest-specific transport flows to model the multi-centric distribution characteristics, where each flow preserves a distinct user interest cluster via an optimal transport plan. Then, a geometric transport mechanism is designed to establish minimum-cost paths from the latent multi-interest distribution to target preference prototypes to provide multi-interest awareness. Moreover, a progressive time-sampling warmup strategy dynamically biases optimization weights toward the final states of the generation process, bridging the gap between continuous global distribution fitting and practical top-$k$ ranking metrics. This approach achieves explicit interest disentanglement, ensuring the preservation of a multi-peaked preference representation instead of collapsing it into a unimodal average. Extensive experiments on three public datasets demonstrate that OT-FlowRec outperforms existing state-of-the-art baselines. ---